The Betting Thread

[Don]

Ajax are tasty too.

[Waffdon]

Also put a couple quid on Napoli, Sporting, Ajax, Hull, Blackburn and Tranmere for the lulz which returns £600.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Napoli and Napoli -1.

[Waffdon]

I love this game.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

:moop:

I blame Taz.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Football is a mug's game.

Mayakoba

Shuffler 9/1
Brian Harman 35/1
Dahmen 66/1
Lipsky 150/1
Haley II 250/1

I have no idea who the fuck Paul Haley II is but La Computadora as it's known this week likes the cut of his jib. He won the Memorial Health Championship last year on the KFT. I like the sound of that sponsor, got all angles covered. Presumably their main business is in health, but if that fails they do a cracking memorial to make up for it.

[Ben]

Are there any free APIs available with live bookies odds? The only aspect of my spreadsheets not automated is that and it’s highly annoying, especially for golf.

[Manc]

Mayakoba

Horschel 18/1
Hoge 25/1
Grillo 33/1
Detry 35/1
Champ 70/1

[SvN]

Are there any free APIs available with live bookies odds? The only aspect of my spreadsheets not automated is that and it’s highly annoying, especially for golf.

https://the-odds-api.com/

Depends how many requests you need to make.

[Ben]

Not many. That'll do great cheers.

[Ben]

Real Madrid, Huddersfield, Wigan @ 10/1

Under 2.5 4-fold @ 30/1
AC Milan vs. Salzburg
Juventus vs. PSG
Man City vs. Sevilla
Shakhtar vs. RB Leipzig

[Baz]

My horse came 4th today.

[Don]

I like Forest at almost 3s and I like Bournemouth at over 5. Maybe a little of Brighton too.

On the treble and BTTS treble too.

[Waffdon]

£5 on Martinelli to score, Arsenal win and Koulibaly sent off at 170s

Edit: apparently koulibaly is on the bench. Fuck off Potter, you mong

[Lofty]

It will be Azpilicueta off anyway.

[Waffdon]

Arsenal -1/-2 is tempting but odds aren’t as good as I thought they’d be

[Don]

Get a whiff of our price :drool:

On all manner of Liv bets but the pick is Salah to score in both halves at 20.

[Jimmy Floyd]

If it wasn't for this prick Henley I'd be legally classified as a high net worth individual.

[Manc]

The Computer raking it in.

Detry missing a T10 with a bogey on the 16th sums my selections up atm. Rancid.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Detry is a great golfer and was a good pick for this but in contention Sundays you might as well have me out there swinging a roll of wrapping paper. God help him if he makes the Ryder Cup next year, which isn't impossible.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I was too late with the golf picks this week :(

[Lofty]

Top effort Jim, a good return on the stake despite the fly in the ointment.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I came out about 2.5x up although I massively overstaked on Scheffler. Today's 62 a nice touch for sure.

[John Arne]

Nam Dinh v Hai Phong

[Don]

Missed it :( Low odds one, yeah?

[niko_cee]

Was 2/5 when I looked.

[John Arne]

Missed it :( Low odds one, yeah?

Yeah, Nam Dinh have picked a B team.

[Waffdon]

Osasuna are 3/1 to beat Barcelona. It’s 1-1 with 25 mins left and Barcelona have 9 men. Am I missing something?

Edit: never mind it’s just 10 men, pique was on the bench when he was sent off. :lol:

[Don]

Do like these stages of EFL and trying to read the lineups like the savant I am.

Decent Wolves lineup against a very inexperienced Leeds lineup of mercurial U18 talent and backup players. Wolves -1 and Wolves&O2.5 double.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Anything from The Computer this week, Jim?

[Jimmy Floyd]

Yeah, I've had it sent to psychological experts but they have just shrugged their shoulders and sent it back.

Houston

Finau 16/1 (this is not a drill)
Burmester 66/1
Steele 70/1
Bramlett 250/1

Nedbank

Zanotti 40/1
Syme 66/1
Walters 125/1

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

What could go wrong.

In Tony we trust.

[Manc]

Nedbank

Bezuidenhout 18/1
Lawrence 40/1
Green 45/1
Bekker 60/1

Houston

Burns 12/1
Day 25/1
Dahmen 33/1
Straka 70/1

[Ben]

I'm keeping to the outsiders for the Houston:

Hughes 66/1
Putnam 66/1
Hadwin 75/1
Hubbard 125/1
Lower 125/1 (first time backing this fella)

[Don]

On Villa. Hopefully Eriksen and Casemiro don't see action till the game is gone.

[Baz]

William regal dropped a classic “I had a bet at 10/1. It came in at twenty past four” line while commenting on AEW dynamite this week.

[Offshore Toon]

Is he still wrestling? That's mad.

[Baz]

Nah commentating.

Jericho and to a lesser extent Billy Gunn still do though. And Sting.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Big Tony four shots clear after two rounds, pursued by titans of the game such as Tyson Alexander and Carl Yuan. I'm choosing full confidence in a changed man.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SDrZ2Ln6aBE

[Manc]

Big Tony walking it in.

Solid return from Bez & Green. Shame Dahmen is bottling it.

[Jimmy Floyd]

My last 12 months on Sky Bet I am stakes 3390 returns 6154. When are they going to ban me? I'm almost feeling belittled.

[Manc]

Filthy.

[Baz]

Darwin Nunez golden ball (EW 4 places)

[Waffdon]

Kane being 7/1 for top goalscorer seems decent value

[Offshore Toon]

England, France, Portugal to all finish bottom of their groups is a very generous 57,000/1. Worth a quid.

[niko_cee]

Is it?

[Jimmy Floyd]

If France manage to finish below both Australia and Tunisia, it will be a top effort even by their standards.

[Offshore Toon]

https://i2-prod.mirror.co.uk/incoming/article9329186.ece/ALTERNATES/s1200c/Mystic-Meg-TV-Astrologer-National-Lottery.jpg

[Jimmy Floyd]

Markets pretty tight this week, computer almost going on strike apart from these four minor fancies.

RSM

Poston 70/1
Thompson 175/1

Dubai (or the McIlroy Goes Off At 3/1 Invitational)

Rahm 9/2
Kitayama 28/1

[Ben]

Glad it's you as well. I only do PGA Tour and it returned fuck all. Might end up doing a single bet at below par odds just for involvement.

[Don]

Clear out of here this weekend lads, the good times are back in here for the next month. I might even do a <1.1/1.2 odds system bet and fully relive the golden days.

[Lofty]

My last 12 months on Sky Bet I am stakes 3390 returns 6154. When are they going to ban me? I'm almost feeling belittled.

I can only surmise you are right in the sweet spot stake wise. The old saying 'you can shear a sheep a hundred times but you can only skin it once' etc.

[Baz]

Any WC bets?

[Jimmy Floyd]

I can only surmise you are right in the sweet spot stake wise. The old saying 'you can shear a sheep a hundred times but you can only skin it once' etc.

I've been a bit lucky with some high stake winners, especially Scheffler at the Masters. My staking plan is just guesswork / based on how much happens to be in my account at the time.

[Spikey M]

You should jack your job in and just do what James does Jimmy.

Obviously you're too boring sensible to do so, but it would make for an amazing thread. After your first Million you could go to Vegas and put it all on red or black.

[Offshore Toon]

I've just had Bruno G added for top goalscorer, most assists and golden ball on 365 so lump on boys.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Choo choo.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Since Taz feels insecure at mention of sports other than pleb-ball, these are my highly scientific World Cup bets:

Winner Spain 8/1. I have them as the second best side, narrowly behind England (7/1). Strangely, being in a tough group with Germany (10/1) might actually help them. A 2nd place finish would send them on a possible route of Belgium-Portugal in the next two rounds as opposed to hitting Brazil in the QFs. Semis onwards is basically a toss-up or decided on smaller things.

Semi-finalist United States 14/1. I quite fancy the chances of whoever comes second in England's group. Their run will face the winner of Group A (which might be the Dutch, but also might not be) and then likely Argentina. However, if not Argentina there are quite a lot of routes to the spot being Denmark or Poland instead, which would be winnable on their day for Wales or USA. I'm taking the States, with fresher players and more depth, over the taffs.

Golden Boot Robert Lewandowski 40/1. I am stunned that Lewandowski is so long, ranking alongside Karim Adeyemi, who off the top of my head could play for almost any of the 32 teams. Poland play Saudi Arabia in their second group game, by which time the hapless geordies will already have been thrashed out of sight by Argentina. Poland may well have drawn with Mexico first up and will fancy a hatful to set the Mexicans a tough target in the final match. If Poland qualify - which I think they will - a second round match with France seems a candidate for a nice 5-3 defeat in which our hero can run up another couple and take his tally to six or seven. If France are upset in Group D, the possibilities are more delicious yet.

South Korea to lose all group games, 6/1. Portugal and Uruguay should be clear to progress from this group, but I can't understand why the market thinks Ghana inferior to the Koreans. Korea scored just 13 times in 10 while qualifying from by far the weaker Asian group, while Ghana have a number of progressive players and ejected Nigeria. I have them 19th of the 32, with Korea 26th. If this 6/1 is maybe a 4/1 or 5/1 for the Ghanaians to win that match, it represents great value for me.

Golden Ball Lionel Messi 8/1. Argentina to reach the final is 10/3, and for me the two bets are almost the same thing. He is fav but how can you turn this down?

Total goals 171+, 2/1. There were 169 goals at 2018, and I haven't exactly seen defending come back into fashion since then. Stone age cloggers like Iran and England will be a drag on this but some group stage mismatches should help it along. It's also a good interest bet.

Pens scored (inc shootouts) Over 37.5, 5/6. I haven't done the sums on this, but in the VAR age you just need one monster shootout and surely you've won the line here. Also an interest bet.

Group G Serbia to qualify 11/10. I have Serbia rated 11th in the tournament, higher than Switzerland (13th), and besides, I think it's high time the Swiss got dumped out of one of these things early. Cameroon could be spoilers as they're no mugs, but I can see the Serbs giving Brazil a game while the meek Swiss limp to a 2-0 loss.

Denmark to progress further than Belgium, 11/10. I feel this shouldn't be odds against, purely because Belgium have 3 noteworthy games in their group and the Danes have 1.

Most assists Pedri 25/1. Spain have the odd glut in them and Costa Rica/Japan may be ripe for a 6-0 with Pedri assisting four. Messi, Neymar et al at 5/1 for this seems short.

[Don]

"which would be winnable on their day for Wales or USA"

:happycry:

This is why pleb-ball isn't for you, son.

[Don]

Nah, I just saw the Black European Mercenaries XI > South Korea rating. I'm not reading any further.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Are you ill? You seem ill.

[Manc]

DP World

Fox 25/1
Minwoo Lee 28/1

RSM

Power 20/1
NeSmith 33/1
Rose 35/1
Davis Thompson 66/1

[-james-]

Germany outright @11 is my only bet so far. Will get stuck into the rest over the next few days.

[Spikey M]

Got Belgium in the Office sweepstake, which is probably about 8 years too late to stand any kind of chance.

[Baz]

They all Skybet, Jim? Might deposit on my mums account and join you.

[Ben]

Our sweepstake at work is £25 a pop. Imagine blowing £25 for fucking Saudi Arabia or Iran lol.

£500 to charity is the selling point. I was not sold.

[Ben]

They all Skybet, Jim? Might deposit on my mums account and join you.

Alright Colt Cabana.

[Jimmy Floyd]

They all Skybet, Jim? Might deposit on my mums account and join you.

Yep, all Skybet. Might add some more if I get bored on Friday.

[Don]

Ben's on a fishing expedition. Classic gammon pursuit.

[Ben]

What? :cab:

[Spikey M]

What? :cab:

You said the word Iran.

[Ben]

Oh yeah. :D

[Lofty]

Pandemic Princess 2030 Kempton

[Lofty]

I've just had Bruno G added for top goalscorer, most assists and golden ball on 365 so lump on boys.

Supposedly limped out of training after a heavy challenge today.

[niko_cee]

Pandemic Princess 2030 Kempton

Still running in 2030.

[Lofty]

Yeah, terrible. Was sent a tip showing a massive stake on it :D

[SvN]

I drew Argentina in our sweepstake, which I'm pretty happy about. One guy got Qatar and Saudi Arabia as his 2 choices :D

[Lofty]

That would be Mahow if we did a sweep.

[Baz]

Some World Cup data: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1I1sAOVDfs3CTFWbEBrbnU5N6JIFS1NsNwpnuN3DG8ts/edit

[niko_cee]

What are those 'rankings' and how are they arrived at?

[Jimmy Floyd]

Like this:

Rn = Ro + K × (W - We)
Rn is the new rating, Ro is the old (pre-match) rating.

K is the weight constant for the tournament played:

60 for World Cup finals;
50 for continental championship finals and major intercontinental tournaments;
40 for World Cup and continental qualifiers and major tournaments;
30 for all other tournaments;
20 for friendly matches.
K is then adjusted for the goal difference in the game. It is increased by half if a game is won by two goals, by 3/4 if a game is won by three goals, and by 3/4 + (N-3)/8 if the game is won by four or more goals, where N is the goal difference.

W is the result of the game (1 for a win, 0.5 for a draw, and 0 for a loss).

We is the expected result (win expectancy), either from the chart or the following formula:

We = 1 / (10(-dr/400) + 1)
dr equals the difference in ratings plus 100 points for a team playing at home.

The far superior Jimmy Floyd Method has Ghana 19th as opposed to worst. I have England best and Costa Rica worst. We shall see who prevails.

JFM:
1 England
2 Spain
3 Germany
4 Brazil
5 France
6 Argentina
7 Portugal
8 Belgium
9 Holland (the JFM does not recognise 'The Netherlands')
10 Denmark

[Offshore Toon]

England have three games set up perfectly for bottling. If Iran can scum a 1-0, England will cower and finish with 2 points bottom of the group.

[Offshore Toon]

Actually, Wales will probably do them in the last game.

[-james-]

I've had these from the first round of games:

Qatar - Ecuador o2.5 @2.62
Iran +1.25 vs England @2
Senegal vs Netherlands +1 @1.85
USA DNB vs Wales @1.8
Saudi Arabia +2.0 vs Argentina @1.95
Argentina - Saudi Arabia u2.5 @2.2
Tunisia DC vs Denmark @2.8

[-james-]

Probably have the + and unders in Germany and Spain's first games as well.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Senegal vs Netherlands +1 @1.85


Can you explain this one, it doesn't make any sense to my puny gambling brain.

[-james-]

As another regular in this thread might say, the computer knows all. Possibly. It is this computer's first outing.

[Waffdon]

Not a chance there will be less than 3 goals in that Argentina match

[-james-]

The underdog ones all look pretty stinky when applying the common sense test, which is probably why the spreadsheet likes them.

[Jimmy Floyd]

As another regular in this thread might say, the computer knows all. Possibly. It is this computer's first outing.

I mean what bet is it. Netherlands +1 on the handicap? Surely that's way shorter than 1.85.

[-james-]

Oh, my bad, I messed up the formatting. Should be Senegal +1 (asian) vs Netherlands.

[John Arne]

Given how public this now is, I doubt anything dodgy will go down.

1593271354803032064

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

£10 on Qatar 1-0 and £10 on Qatar 1-0 with most goals in the second half.

[John Arne]

Cheeky £3 on Qatar and Almoez first scorer.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Is that how they won the Asian Cup?

[Ben]

Given how public this now is, I doubt anything dodgy will go down.

1593271354803032064

I reckon it’s 100% true but it will absolutely get buried when the people in positions that dish out punishment get their customary brown envelope.

[Baz]

I'm on it, purely because of FOMO. 13/2 I think it was.

[Don]

I get banned for Phonics having a 4.7% abv rather than his usual 4% Coors but the usual suspects make a mockery of a continent because of blue-tick twitter posting shite. I guess they have to get their kicks somehow now that Ukraine have been outed.

[Jimmy Floyd]

You seem to be in some kind of weird existential crisis, caught between the evil white man and the favouritised #BLM minority. My advice is to load up on gammon and join the winning team. Team 2 has no future, as the Ayatollah is finding out.

[Offshore Toon]

Qatar 1-0 first half is surely the bet now. That way NOBODY will know.

[-james-]

It's nonsense. They'd bribe the refs if anything.

[Jimmy Floyd]

You seem to be in some kind of weird existential crisis, caught between the evil white man and the favouritised #BLM minority. My advice is to load up on gammon and join the winning team. Team 2 has no future, as the Ayatollah is finding out.

Allah has punished me for this post by giving me Iran in the work sweepstake.

[Lofty]

And people lolled at Jim saying that 14/1 bet on them to make the knockouts was daft.

[Lofty]

888 Sport offering £5 free bet every time your team wins when you stake £10 on an outright win pre tournament, seems pretty decent.

[-james-]

I have also backed:

Iran TQ @4.33
Saudi TQ @8
Belgium NQ @4.75
Morocco TQ @3.25
Cameroon TQ @5

:happycry:

[Lofty]

Rahm riding high with one round to go.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Rahm :cool:

[Lofty]

Annoyingly Kitayama was hovering around the places for ages but apparently imploded at the end to finish +2.

[Waffdon]

Free £10 bet on Ecuador, Netherlands, Argentina -2.5, Denmark, Poland, France-1.5 and Croatia @ 115s

[John Arne]

:drool:

https://gyazo.com/3722ec3e63e353fb762c4f472bc42de9.jpeg

[igor_balis]

:drool:

https://gyazo.com/3722ec3e63e353fb762c4f472bc42de9.jpeg

Jesus when did you start drinking today

[igor_balis]

Ah bollocks you edited it before I pressed quote :(

[/Omg] was my favourite bit of an all round excellently formatted post

[John Arne]

Ah bollocks you edited it before I pressed quote :(

[/Omg] was my favourite bit of an all round excellently formatted post

:hat:

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I have money on Iran and Iran 1-0.

Plus England not to qualify from their group.

[Don]

Ecuador provided scenes today. Too much nerves and bias to get on anything in Iran game beside Taremi FGS at about 15. Is also penalty taker and an incredible penalty winner (:baz:). Very hard to see where else a goal comes from in our starting XI.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I'll follow with Taremi FGS.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

This game has started well so I'm on BTTS, O2.5 and O3.5.

[Waffdon]

I just realised I’ve bet on Asian Handicaps instead of normal - got a 3 fold of England -2, Dutch -1 and USA -1 - if the US win 1-0 does it effectively become a double or am I clueless as to what the difference between the two handicaps are

[SvN]

Masterclass from Mahow today.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

A Taz-esque run :(

I'm also on overs 2.5 and 3.5 in this game which doesn't look likely.

[Waffdon]

Can you bet on Argentina to win 4-0 or 6-0 tomorrow please, mahow

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I got you.

[Waffdon]

https://i.ibb.co/RhMFT7K/33-B83864-759-D-4149-AFCA-32-C8146748-D2.png

Definitely finishing 4-0. Hopefully there’s a decent cash out at half time as I’m in meetings all day in the office (for once lolz) which is annoying. Imagine if they’re 2/3-0 at half time I’ll be getting at least £300/400 offered

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I want to bet on O 4.5 in that game though...

[Waffdon]

It has to come in eventually I suppose

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

It is part of my bet builder so it could still come in and I can still fail.

[Lofty]

Godspeed Waff

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/upxOVIR.png

Bet builder off to a decent start.

Also got £5 on Argentina to win both halves & most corners in each half + the same for France.

[Waffdon]

£300 cash out at the minute. If it’s 3-0 at half time might just cash it out if over £500 as not sure I’ll be able to watch much of 2nd half.

Edit: nvm it was chopped off, back to £200

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Bet builder already dead because Argentina can't time their runs properly :drool:

[Waffdon]

The dream is over. At least I can let it run now

[Don]

Im on -3 but piled more on -2 at evens at HT.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Im on -3 but piled more on -2 at evens at HT.

lol.

[Lofty]

Dream's dead, Waff.

[Waffdon]

I blame the two above. We go again.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

It's all Taz.

I wasn't on any Argentina handicap.

[Offshore Toon]

Trying to get on Eriksen Golden Ball for the narrative at 50/1 but it's suspended everywhere.

[SvN]

Im on -3 but piled more on -2 at evens at HT.

What are the odds now? Is there still time to pile on?

[Offshore Toon]

Back up on 365. 66/1. £25 on.

[igor_balis]

Honestly think that's a terrible bet, narrative or not

[Waffdon]

Fuck outta here, Igor

[igor_balis]

Fuck outta here, Igor

Do you think zombie eriksen is winning the golden ball? I'd have maybe been tempted for 250-1.

[Waffdon]

He’s been brilliant for Man Utd and if Denmark get to a semi final (which isn’t hugely unlikely) he definitely has a chance as for them to get there he’d have to be playing well. Plus, narrative init

[Don]

What are the odds now? Is there still time to pile on?

Lad, calm the fuck down. If you like your aftertiming so much, I made so much on Ecuador I could pay for all my gammon haters on here to eat out, and if you have any stats of their average BMI you'd know we're talking silly silly money.

[igor_balis]

He’s been brilliant for Man Utd and if Denmark get to a semi final (which isn’t hugely unlikely) he definitely has a chance as for them to get there he’d have to be playing well. Plus, narrative init

Hm, that first half has done very little to change my mind gotta be honest.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I'm sure (from previous memory) that Golden Ball gets awarded going into the final, so you'd do very well for it not to be from one of the finalists.

[niko_cee]

Yeah, if you're looking for a Modric repeat then it's final as a minimum, and Denmark aren't getting to the final.

Messi already has the 'narrative' award sewn up, even if Argentina are shite.

[Waffdon]

Weird behaviour regardless from Mr Igor

[igor_balis]

Weird behaviour regardless from Mr Igor

How is it? You can't give a judgment about a player or team without saying they're amazing/terrible, and the one time I can ever remember giving a strong opinion in this thread against a pretty speculative bet I'm deemed WEIRD?? Wtf man.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

How is it? You can't give a judgment about a player or team without saying they're amazing/terrible, and the one time I can ever remember giving a strong opinion in this thread against a pretty speculative bet I'm deemed WEIRD?? Wtf man.

You're only meant to question or laugh at Taz's bets.

[Waffdon]

:lol:

[igor_balis]

Cunt

[Manc]

Mbappe hat trick 22/1.

[Offshore Toon]

Kuol last goal 28/1

[Waffdon]

Done another correct score treble of 5-1 France, 2-1 Croatia and 3-0 Belgium. Thought we were off to a great start again. At least the handicaps have come in.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Expect some bore draws.

I'm going on overs all day.

[Baz]

Done a load of Japan player cards (Sakai, Endo, Kamada, J Ito) plus Neueur. 1000/1 lol

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Overs plus Musiala to score.

[Baz]

Done a load of Japan player cards (Sakai, Endo, Kamada, J Ito) plus Neueur. 1000/1 lol

None. :D

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Overs finally coming in!

Edit: Over 2.5 and 3.5 in the Spain/Costa Rica game.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

In game on O6.5 and 7.5.

Let's hope for a fisting.

[Jimmy Floyd]

If they're nerd smart (which most football people aren't), they'll foresee a possible 6-6-6 finish in this group and go for a glut here.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Didn't think they'd do it.

Still 6 minutes left for the eighth if they want it.

[Don]

Got on 6-0 at HT :drool:

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Over 3.5.

[Don]

Belgium -1 at 4 after Canada price has crumbled.

[SvN]

Got on 6-0 at HT :drool:
Failing even when aftertiming.

[Don]

This guy is relentless, check the time of my post, you ferocious fangirl :D

Rodriguez FGS at 20 :drool:

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Skipped the first game. Overs in this one though.

[Don]

Proper gammon pricing on South Korea at 6. I've piled in.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Mitro AGS + O2.5
Raphina 2+ shots/Brazil over 17.5 tackles/Serbia over 6.5 shots.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Wales
Bale FGS.

[Don]

If Senegal -1 and England -whateverthefuckwewant also come in, I may retire.

[Don]

Wales
Bale FGS.

Gahahahhahaha.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Gahahahhahaha.

Considering my streak lately you should be thanking me you prick.

[Don]

On Enner FGS.

[Baz]

England -4

Actually -3 at 9/1

[Jimmy Floyd]

I don't think we've ever beaten USA in a meaningful match and the USA/draw double chance is 7/4. My bets are hedged.

[niko_cee]

Seems fairly short - 9/1 to win by 4 clear goals?

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I don't think we've ever beaten USA in a meaningful match and the USA/draw double chance is 7/4. My bets are hedged.

Correct.

[Baz]

Seems fairly short - 9/1 to win by 4 clear goals?

Because it’s so likely. :yn:

[Don]

USA leave gaps so big you could fit me in them. Baz knows.

[Lofty]

Saka 2 or more goals @ 20 for me.

[Don]

I've bottled -3 but I got 4 figures on -2 and -1. Proper gammon night. I might go powder my face before KO.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I've bottled -3 but I got 4 figures on -2 and -1. Proper gammon night. I might go powder my face before KO.

:harold:

[Don]

Fear not, obvs still massively up, my disgusting friend.

[Baz]

USA leave gaps so big you could fit me in them. Baz knows.
Ah, the kiss of death.

[SvN]

Tonight's performance suddenly makes sense.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

O2.5 and Lewandowski to score.

Get on 0-0 lads.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Are Poland going to go for it this time? If they sit back again you're not getting over 1.5, never mind 2.5.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Surely the thought after Argentina lost was to ensure they didn't lose to Mexico and then try to win the GD battle.

If not then fuck knows what they're doing. Playing for 3 draws?

[Jimmy Floyd]

Play for a clean sheet and hope to nick it 1-0. Seems to be in vogue.

Hopefully they come out to score goals.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

If they play for a 1-0 they're surely out. I can't see them getting anything against the Argies who will probably need to win and so it's going to be a GD slugfest with the Mexican's who will know exactly how many goals they need.

Although the Polish mentality is always horseshit so who knows.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Even if this comes in (highly doubt it) Poland are just wank.

This is a terrible team.

[Foe]

Lewa 1+ shot on target was 2/1 on William hill.

Messi 1+ shot on target is 2/1 on paddy power.

Max £10, but lewa has just come in.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Penalty missed, woodwork hit twice and Lewandowski missing a good chance near the end.

I'm cursed.

Edit: Mbappe to have 2 or more shots on target and Eriksen to have 1 or more. RIP Mbappe.

[Don]

Mon Denmark at those monster odds.

[Foe]

Lewa 1+ shot on target was 2/1 on William hill.

Messi 1+ shot on target is 2/1 on paddy power.

Max £10, but lewa has just come in.

Both winners. Will keep an eye out for similar in future games.

[Offshore Toon]

Spain 3-0 @ 29

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Betfair with a boosted Richarlison to have 1 shot on target @ evens.

£10 max only.

[Don]

Richarlison 2 or more at 15.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Well there goes my money then.

[Boydy]

Betfair with a boosted Richarlison to have 1 shot on target @ evens.

£10 max only.

Stuck a tenner on this as well. Has he still not managed one yet? :uhoh:

[Boydy]

And a minute later, he's off. Ffs :D

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

He did not manage it, he was useless.

[Boydy]

Should have steered well clear when I saw the Taz bet.

[Foe]

Will hill have Brazil to beat Cameroon at 2.0.

Even if they rotate, they should still throttle them on the break.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Pepe and Nunez to be booked.

[Baz]

Kane and Foden to score, England to win, 3+ goals @ 10/1

[Waffdon]

Free £5 bet builder for England game on PP. I just done Henderson, Allen, Ampadu and Williams to all be booked

[Jimmy Floyd]

I think I fancy cards in Iran-USA as a rooting interest. 90+ booking points in the game 6/1.

My man Mateu Lahoz to deliver.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Sorry to do this to Jimmy but:

Hosseini/Hajisafi/Ezatolahi/Musah to be booked
Joe Allen/Maguire to be booked
Wales to WIN.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Tunisia to win & BTTS (the French side looks crap) and a card multiple across both games.

[Don]

Denmark -1

[Baz]

My horse is gonna win on Tuesday.

[Lofty]

Costa Rica 24/1 to win today, sticking my £5 free bet on it.

[Don]

The Germany dicking odds were poor so I've got on Sane and Muller AGS and Over 3 goals at 6.

[Baz]

William Hill boosted Spain and Germany to win both their halves, so let’s hope they don’t take the foot off the gas.

EDIT: lol

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

It seems I'm cursed even when I don't post in here.

I had £10 on Spain to win on enhanced odds.

[Don]

Over 5.5 in Brazil game at 10.

[-james-]

I have also backed:

Iran TQ @4.33
Saudi TQ @8
Belgium NQ @4.75
Morocco TQ @3.25
Cameroon TQ @5

:happycry:

Could have been epic scenes but done alright off these.

Japan TQ vs Croatia @2.5

Senegal to reach semi final @17
Japan to reach semi final @13

Portugal to win the world cup @13
Netherlands to win the world cup @24
Senegal to win the world cup @200
South Korea to win the world cup @300

[Baz]

Holland, Argentina, France, England, Brazil, Spain all to win within 90 mins @ 8/1

Seems too easy.

[Waffdon]

£10 on Shishkin, Love Envoi and Ahoy Senor @ 18s

Edit: was going to add Call Me Lord to this. Thankful I didn’t after the jockey cocked up on the line there. Bloody hell

[Waffdon]

Back to avoiding the ponies.

Noble Yeats had a rocket up its arse between the last 2 fences. Fkn hell. That’s a Gold Cup winning horse if I’ve ever seen one. Never seen a change of speed that quickly in a 3 miler

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/oOlvLOA.png

I need 1 US corner.

Edit: \0/.

[-james-]

Argentina handicaps. :nodd:

[igor_balis]

Had a tidy 12.50 on Argentina-1 and Messi ATG. Will return £30. As I'm a coward, as soon as they got the second I put £5 on Australia+2 (returns 27.50), which is basically a rubbish cash out, but I couldn't face the pain of a late Aussie consolation ruining my evening. Guaranteed £10 or £12.50 profit isn't bad though.

[igor_balis]

Phew

[Baz]

Holland, Argentina, France, England, Brazil, Spain all to win within 90 mins @ 8/1

Seems too easy.

This is definitely coming in. Wish I'd done more than 2 points.

[Don]

The last 3 are where you'll become undone.

[Foe]

If it’s looking good going into the Spain game I’d be hedging the shit out of that backing Spain NQ.

[Lofty]

Of all the 'second tier' sides Morocco offer the biggest threat to Spain. Could easily see Spain going 1-0 up and shutting up shop only to come unstuck.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/jU6r7oj.png

Had a similar style Bet builder for France/Poland which I redded out for half my stake as France needed 5 more shots in about 7 minutes.

[Don]

Bruv let's get this party started properly you dirty Polish fuck. N'diaye's footwork against these gammon fucks :drool::rave::rasta: :0ink:

[Don]

Ismaila Don AGS @ 6. Unloaded.

[Manc]

Croatia/Japan 40/1.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Various yellow card doubles for me in this game.

Morita/Brozovic
Endo/Brozovic
Morita/Barisic
Yoshida/Kovacic.

[Jimmy Floyd]

This ref is a lunatic, back cards.

[Don]

Petkovic FGS @ 7.

[Baz]

4:20 at Southall tomorrow, my horse BKA 14/1 gonna win :baz:

(I’ve done EW extra, 6 places)

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Only 1 card total...

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/LFrCn8b.png

Mon the cards.

[Lofty]

Of all the 'second tier' sides Morocco offer the biggest threat to Spain. Could easily see Spain going 1-0 up and shutting up shop only to come unstuck.

Did you cash out Baz?

[Baz]

Did you cash out Baz?

Nope :(

[niko_cee]

How did your horse do?

[Baz]

How did your horse do?

Dreadful

[niko_cee]

Shame, I stuck a tenner on the bugger.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/tSqNI02.png

1 Argentina offside away, seething.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Messi 2 or more shots on target and Mbappe 1 or more SOT
Romero/Tchouameni/Theo Hernandez to be carded.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Some money on Mbappe, Thuram and Muani to score in ET. Singles.