The Betting Thread

[-james-]

-1.5 handicap @1.8

On this, Watford, Swansea and Doncaster handicaps

[Baz]

-1.5 handicap @1.8
:thbup: Hope it was a big one.


Edit 2-1 :cry: 90+1

[Mazuuurk]

Bit annoying that, specially as Watford also seem to fuck up.

Also have money on BTTS in Nice - Napoli, not looking likely here.

[SincereTheRebel]

Managed to cash out a few minutes before the goal was scored as it was part of an acca

FC FCSB vs Sporting CP @2
Southampton vs Wolves @9

[-james-]

http://i.imgur.com/YHzu3ye.png

[Jimmy Floyd]

CSKA, Liverpool and Copenhagen on the night for me at 4/1 or so. Suspect the Azeris will deny me.

[SincereTheRebel]

Managed to cash out a few minutes before the goal was scored as it was part of an acca

FC FCSB vs Sporting CP @2
Southampton vs Wolves @9

This all came through nice.

[SincereTheRebel]

Rosenberg @5 vs ajax

Ajax are food here.

Edit: i dont know their form or anyting, but ive seen dutch football be hurt by mutlipe shit teams the past few months. Ajax already lost first leg

[SincereTheRebel]

Rosenberg @5 vs ajax

Ajax are food here.

Edit: i dont know their form or anyting, but ive seen dutch football be hurt by mutlipe shit teams the past few months. Ajax already lost first leg

Im like denzel at the end of training day. I cant lose.

[Offshore Toon]

Bang it all on Mayweather by decision.

[SincereTheRebel]

Bang it all on Mayweather by decision.

Im on it

[Offshore Toon]

I'm in a tricky situation because I should be careful with money but it feels like an amazing opportunity.

[SincereTheRebel]

Oppourrunitys like this dont come around often. You get good odds on floyd and good odds on conor IF you beleieve he can pull it off.

Conor will have his success. He just has to take his options

Edit: i overheard a cunt who claims he got conor to win a round on all three judges scorecards @20. Cunt then refused to tell which bookie was offering this. Ive tried to find out but i cant see that online

[Offshore Toon]

Bastard. Yeah, if I hadn't already signed up to BetVictor I'd definitely do their 100/1 offer and then just bet on Mayweather to guarantee profit.

[SincereTheRebel]

I cant find a valid link for the BetVictor offer. Send it me.

[SvN]

Same - looks like it's been withdrawn.

[SincereTheRebel]

@51 - Either Fighter to be Examined by the Doctor (Paddypower) I think this is now mandatory in title fights in boxing, but not in non-title fights.

Hoping this one comes through. As stated in the boxing thread, a health check by the docter is trying to be enforced as a mandatory in title fights. It relies on one of the guys getting a savage beating, but hopefully it comes through.

edit: lost. not even close

[Mazuuurk]

Fuck it I'm on that. @41 on Betfair, because can't be fucked to sign up to anything else.

Mayweather to win is @1.25, is that really worth lumping on with such low odds?

[Mazuuurk]

Fuck it I'm on that. @41 on Betfair, because can't be fucked to sign up to anything else.

Mayweather to win is @1.25, is that really worth lumping on with such low odds?

[Jimmy Floyd]

Betting on what is surely a pre-scripted fight is for mugs.

[SincereTheRebel]

Ipswich @3.4 vs fulham

No idea why the odds are so nice as fulham havent won in the league yet and ipswich have won all league games

[Offshore Toon]

Watford, Southampton, Ipswich & Swansea @ 65

[mo]

Ipswich @3.4 vs fulham

No idea why the odds are so nice as fulham havent won in the league yet and ipswich have won all league games

Most places have Fulham as favourites to win the league.

[Foe]

Fulham have looked garbage this year, which is a bit surprising.

I've gone for a mis mash of the below teams in various combinations:

Dunfermline (@ Dumbarton)
Watford (vs Brighton)
Wigan (vs Portsmouth)
Cardiff (vs QPR)
Aberdeen (@Partick)
Ipswich (vs Fulham)
Cowdenbeath (vs Berwick)
Doncaster (@ Wimbledon)
Ayr (vs Arbroath)
Wolves (@ Brentford)
Swindon (vs Crawley)

[Reg]

Palace/Swansea 0-0 @8.5
Man Utd 2-0 @7

[Boydy]

Ipswich @3.4 vs fulham

No idea why the odds are so nice as fulham havent won in the league yet and ipswich have won all league games

2-0 to Fulham now.

Apparently Ipswich had a load of injuries and only have full backs in defence today.

[Foe]

I've had a really bad day. :(

[Offshore Toon]

TTH's Championship predictions have been dreadful. No more.

[Foe]

I was 3/3 last Saturday and 1/2 this weekend.

[Reg]

Palace/Swansea 0-0 @8.5
Man Utd 2-0 @7
I think there may be a fair few of them this season.

[Reg]

Bet365 are doing their £5 in-play offer on Liverpool-Arsenal. I won't be in to watch the game but will (try and) take advantage anyway.

Liverpool @2.15

[SincereTheRebel]

Lost on everything today. Celtic the green cunts especially can go fuck themselves and all of ireland.

[Mazuuurk]

On:
- Liverpool win
- Over 3.5 goals

Also quadruple of
Napoli, Real Madrid, Milan & Spurs wins.

[Reg]

Bet365 are doing their £5 in-play offer on Liverpool-Arsenal. I won't be in to watch the game but will (try and) take advantage anyway.

Liverpool @2.15
That came in thanks to their early payout offer.

In-play:

Liverpool to score the 4th goal @2.2

[Reg]

Nice. Might bet on Arsenal to lose more big games if the odds are similar.

Tennis double:
Shapovalov to beat Medvedev
Khachanov to beat Lu
@2.52

[SincereTheRebel]

@12 lemar to join arsenal

[Mazuuurk]

Got that @17 on Betfair.

[SincereTheRebel]

I've got a feeling they will fly in with the steal.

[Mazuuurk]

I don't, because they are all being a little demented, but worth a punt.

[SincereTheRebel]

I managed to call pedro to chelsea as they hijacked the move from man utd. Won a chunk of money on that. Called gotze back to dortmund and hopefully, ive pulled this one off.

[Reg]

Shapovalov to beat Tsonga
Johnson to beat Edmund
double @6.3

Shapovalov had a really good run in Montreal. I'd have him as favourite to beat Tsonga and the bookies don't.

Edmund was apparently knackered after playing lots of matches before the US Open, and was drinking Coke in his first round match.

[Mazuuurk]

I managed to call pedro to chelsea as they hijacked the move from man utd. Won a chunk of money on that. Called gotze back to dortmund and hopefully, ive pulled this one off.

Yeah but none of the managers at those clubs were demented.
Anyway, the odds aren't bad so I'm on it too. Cudos to you if it get's through.

[Weaver]

Down to 9/4 on Sky Bet for Lemar to Arsenal now. Good shout.

I'm keeping an eye on the Mahrez situation and possibly jumping in on that. It's 5/1 for him to stay at Leicester at the minute.

[Mazuuurk]

7/1 on Betfair.

That doesn't seem likely right now though.

[niko_cee]

It was 17/1 on betfair when I looked.

[Weaver]

Sky Bet have added a market for 'Team to Sign Most Players on Transfer Deadline Day'

Odds vary from 5/1 to 33/1, and I've jumped on Newcastle at 18/1. It's dead heat rules so I think there'll need to be 3+ signings, but we're going to have a decent turnover so we'll see.

[Reg]

Cheers for that. I'm on Brighton @8.

I think I'm going to abandon doubles/trebles. It's always annoying when there's one bet that doesn't come off.

[Weaver]

@12 lemar to join arsenal

Sky reckon there's a £92m bid now on the table. It's happening, Sincere.

[SincereTheRebel]

Sky reckon there's a £92m bid now on the table. It's happening, Sincere.

I also got on the 17 as mentioned by Mazuuurk.

After logging back in to my betvictor account, it appears my history shows i got lemar @10. Im 100% it was @12 when i placed the bet. Are they changing the odds after the fact and trying to short change man?

[Baz]

Doesn't matter, he's going to Anfield.

[Waffdon]

Nae idea about African football, but the following is 25/1 in the Nigeria/Cameroon game:

BTTS, 4+ corners both teams and 20+ booking points both teams. Assume it's because it's African football but you're normally 10/1, if that, for that to come up.

[SincereTheRebel]

under 2.5 goals in africa games is usually a certain

[Waffdon]

Overs in theirlast three meetings apparently. 1-1 shitfest will suffice.

Request a Bet on SkyBet if you fancy it.

[Jimmy Floyd]

The booking points is risky, African refs only give cards if they absolutely have to (unless it's a north African ref).

[Waffdon]

Worth a fiver. Hopefully the pub will have it on.

[Boydy]

What are booking points?

[Waffdon]

What are booking points?

A yellow is 10 points, straight red is 25 points.

[Weaver]

Not far away, Waff, with 15 still to go.

[Waffdon]

Nigeria yellow and corner, Cameroon goal. Not happening.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Quite fancy a lay of Norway at home to Azerbaijan. Norway are these days an extremely minor footballing nation, akin to Armenia/Cyprus etc, and shouldn't be as heavily favoured as they are.

[Offshore Toon]

My money is on Malta tonight. Effiong is a don.

[SincereTheRebel]

@3 poland to win
@5 robert to score 2 or more
@5 poland to win and over 2.5 goals

[Jimmy Floyd]

A four-fold lay of Norway, Scotland, Denmark and Romania is paying 24/1. I'm involved. Mon the wee minnows and Polaks.

[Weaver]

I've lobbed £5 on Sterling to get booked @ 13/2. He's been clobbered a few times already and he'll react at some point, if it keeps up.

Got £4 on a six fold and £1 on Oxlade Chamberlain FGS/England 4-0.

[Offshore Toon]

Malta or Draw HT result comes home easily. More than doubled my money and that's before Malta FT comes in. :drool:

[SincereTheRebel]

@3 poland to win
@5 robert to score 2 or more
@5 poland to win and over 2.5 goals

Robert got panned 0-4.

[SincereTheRebel]

Holland vs Bulgaria @11

Holland are currently shit at club level. Hopefully it transfers over international too

Also on the double chance

[SincereTheRebel]

Ive got a large bet on

France to winning at half time and over 2 goals
Switzerland to win
Dzeko to score anytime
@2.2

[Foe]

Ive got a large bet on

France to winning at half time and over 2 goals
Switzerland to win
Dzeko to score anytime
@2.2

Switzerland just seem too good to be true here. Not sure what to make of it as they don't concede many but don't score a lot. Latvia might just set up shop.

[SincereTheRebel]

Good point.

But im going to ignore your constructive criticism. Latvia are horrible and I like to think the swiss are just as efficient as the germans or those pocket knifes.

[Foe]

I've gone for France 3-0, Switzerland and Belgium.

Gives these games a bit of purpose. Belgium drew 1-1 with this lot last time but were missing KdB and Hazard.

[SincereTheRebel]

Frenchies

[SincereTheRebel]

Im hurt

[Baz]

Got a free £2 bet on skyBet so put it on Kane hat trick, 3-0 @ 100

[Waffdon]

Mon the fkn bookings.

[Jimmy Floyd]

DRC, Ivory, Egypt, Algeria, Mali, Burkina Faso all home wins tonight. 60/1

[Foe]

Picks for tomorrow?

I've decided to go for doubles/trebles rather than accumulators. Will put on a 5 or 6 fold BTTS as well I think tomorrow.

A Charlton / Blackburn double would basically cover me so hope that comes in.

Other than that, I've basically backed Wolves, QPR, Dunfermline, East Fife, Stirling, Raith, Leeds, Fleetwood, Dag&Red, Berwick and u3.5 goals in Dundee Utd/Dumbarton.

Someone tell me why I'm wrong.

[SincereTheRebel]

Lena vs lorient @2.5

[Weaver]

Real Madrid to win to nil is evens, with kickoff in 20 minutes. No Ronaldo, Modric, Bale (bench), Isco or Keylor, but their back four looks solid and they are still playing Benzema, Asensio and Lucas as a front three.

I only know one of Levante's players.

EDIT: That went well.

[Adam]

BTTS + Liverpool currently at 5/1

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

£10 on Liverpool
£5 on Liverpool & BTTS
£5 on Mane AGS.

[Baz]

Quite confident about my goals galore coupon today, with the exception of Dundee Utd vs Dumbarton. Come on Dumbarton!

30 goals could net me £7500.

[Foe]

I think Dundee Utd Dumbarton will be 0-0. Dumbarton appear to just park the bus and Dundee United are pretty crap at scoring so far. In fact...

[Davgooner]

Mancs/Scousers Over 2.5
Draw or Bournemouth
Yids
Chelsea
Southampton
United

50/1

[Adam]

BTTS + Liverpool currently at 5/1

Dead.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I've got Spurs, Chelsea, Watford and Man Yoo for this afternoon.

[Reg]

I'm on a BTTS treble of:
Southampton v Watford - No
Leicester v Chelsea - Yes
Stoke v Man Utd - No
@5.51

Already going against my word of giving up doubles/trebles.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

In play I also put:

£5 on Liverpool after the first
£10 on over 4.5 (at half time)
£5 on 6 or more goals (at half-time).

Also have:

£20 on Spurs/Chelsea
£5 on Watford
£5 on Bournemouth.

[Foe]

Couple of good looking bets from you gents this afternoon.

A Man U 2-0 shit fest would suit TTH to the ground.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

£17.50 on over 2.5 goals & over 9.5 corners
£10 on United/United
£5 on Rashford AGS
£5 on Lukaku FGS, United to score 3 or more & over 10.5 corners
£5 on Lukaku AGS, United to score in both halves & Valencia to be carded
£5 on Pogba to score a header
£5 on United to win to nil, Lukaku to score & over 8.5 corners
£5 on Martins Indi, Matic & Zouma to be carded (made before the teams were released).

Get your money on 0-0 or a Stoke 1-0 win.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Ta muchly United.

[SvN]

Every cloud.

[Waffdon]

I'm needing three Sevilla corners in this second half for a cheeky RAB to come in. Everything else up already.

[Weaver]

Rob Holding, with two fouls near the box already, is still 21/10 to get booked in this game, if anyone fancies.

Would've thought his next foul will see him in the book, and there's still 83 minutes to go.

EDIT: I'm sure Sterling got taken off at HT when I gave this shout then.

[Reg]

Brighton @3.8
Adam Smith first carded player @10.5

[Weaver]

First decent win of the season tonight - £6.50 on a 10.23/1 double. Bournemouth :cool:

[Reg]

Chelsea win
Lukaku scores 1st & Man Utd win 2-0
double @22.75

[Foe]

Rotherham are a bunch of bastards for not scoring yesterday.

I'm far more successful betting on American football.

[Reg]

PSG v Bayern Munich @3.3

[Jimmy Floyd]

Besiktas look a bit long tonight.

[SincereTheRebel]

Ive been folliwing this method with great success the past few weeks.

Home team win to nil
Away win and both teams to score

[Mazuuurk]

You bet that on every game so long as both odds are above 2.0, I take it?

[SincereTheRebel]

You bet that on every game so long as both odds are above 2.0, I take it?

Not every single game. Just the bets i like.

[John]

My maddest mate has a treble of Roma, Man Utd, and PSG all to win and both to score. He's put a grand on it, and will get thirty three grand back if it comes in, which given the way the games are going now seems very likely.

[SincereTheRebel]

Big man bet that is

[SvN]

That really is mental. Still, only needs 3 goals at this early stage.

[Reg]

CSKA v MU
Over 3.5 first half goals
@3

Surely they'll score another.

Edit: oh what a mug.

[Boydy]

Gutted for John's mate. So close.

[SvN]

My maddest mate has a treble of Roma, Man Utd, and PSG all to win and both to score. He's put a grand on it, and will get thirty three grand back if it comes in, which given the way the games are going now seems very likely.

I thought he'd won it when Lewandowski hit that 94th minute free kick. I bet he's seething.

[SincereTheRebel]

Munich letting your son down is terrible

[Mazuuurk]

Not every single game. Just the bets i like.

Yeah sure, I get not every single one - but you always place both bets on the same game I mean?

Though how do you pick them?

I did this for PSG-Bayern and Anderlecht - Celtic yesterday.

Worked in the PSG game, but not Celtic as Anderlecht couldn't score.

At the end of the day, my four bets of 30 meant -120, and the one bet that came through put me up I think got me 110, setting me back 10 at the end of the day.

Still, I'll try it a few more times and see.

[Boydy]

I didn't think he meant putting both bets on the same game.

[Mazuuurk]

Really? Then what's method-y about it...? :confused:

[Boydy]

He's just having success with those bets where he fancies the home or away team? They'd offer better odds than just wins, I guess.

[SincereTheRebel]

He's just having success with those bets where he fancies the home or away team? They'd offer better odds than just wins, I guess.
Yeah this. Just whatever games i like the look

[Mazuuurk]

That's no magical recipe for success :(

Was hoping for magic.

[SincereTheRebel]

Arsenal result another one. Athletic Bilbao let me down though

[Mazuuurk]

I did it (the proper way, I suppose) again tonight on 4 games.

4 lost bets :(

I had Hoffenheim win, Villareal Win, Zenit win & Marseille win.


Might throw my last betting pennies on Monaco win to nil tonight, else Chelsea win to nil and Spurs win + BTTS tomorrow.

[John]

I thought he'd won it when Lewandowski hit that 94th minute free kick. I bet he's seething.

He'd covered himself with another grand on PSG and Celtic. He's not happy about missing out on the thirty three grand, but as you've no doubt guessed he doesn't really need the money.

[Reg]

I'm on a foolish/genius treble of:

Watford
Leicester
West Ham v Swansea BTTS-No
@18.95.

Watford look good odds to me, they're @3.7 (on BetVictor at least).
---

1-0 Chelsea @11

Bet365 are doing their £5 in-play offer on Chelsea v Man City.

[Foe]

Scattershot again today. All low stakes.

1. St Mirren, Peterhead, Villa and Man Utd.

2. Morton and Peterborough

3. Motherwell and Bradford

4. Millwall, Preston, Coventry

5. BTTS: Arbroath/Alloa, Albion/Raith, Montrose/Clyde, Invernesss/QotS, Forest Green/Accrington

6. Team to score in both halves: St Mirren, Arbroath, Raith, Peterhead, Man Utd

7. Blackburn, Man Utd to win to nil, Preston to win to nil, Accrington and BTTS, Arbroath and BTTS, Raith and BTTS

0/7 prediction.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I started with £30 on Spurs and £10 on Kane AGS, Spurs to score 3+ and over 10.5 corners.

Right now I have £10 on United, West Ham and Stoke, £15 on Lukaku AGS + 3-0 win and £18 on Rashford to score.

[-james-]

Looking to be on various bets in favour of Syria, Armenia, Scotland, Northern Ireland and Brazil today.

[Baz]

England are 20/1 to win the World Cup.

I’d happily give anyone 100/1 with a minimum bet of £10.

[-james-]

I'll have £50

[SvN]

If I thought you'd pay out, I'd have £100 and then lay off on Betfair.

[Baz]

The kitty can pay out.

[-james-]

Doctor Congo look a decent bet against Libya today. Beat them 4-0 at home, today is at a neutral venue. Need the win to keep up with Tunisia whereas Libya are already out of the running.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Nice shout.

[-james-]

Laid Portugal at 1.1 for a laugh.

[-james-]

Oh, Ronaldo on at half time. Maybe not.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I had £20 on DR Congo and £20 on DR Congo/Estonia/Switzerland/Netherlands/France.

Wondering if I should get out of it or not right now.

Edit: Just as I was about to, Belarus equalise :( ffs.

Edit: Cashed out for £20 profit, I've been watching the Dutch for 5 minutes and a Belarus winner looks more likely. Actually £5 on it.

Edit: https://media.giphy.com/media/26xBI0mwTQj8IL6so/source.gif

[Baz]

Seen the ballon dor odds
Ronaldo 1/33
Messi 12/1
Neymar 50/1
Kane 100/1

:D

[Mazuuurk]

Is Messi worth a punt on that?

I mean it feels like it should be Ronaldo, but you can seemingly never rule Messi out these things and Ronaldo got it last year right?

[Jimmy Floyd]

I'd give it to Neymar just for the lol.

[Weaver]

Won £39 from £5 last night on Under 1.5 Wales/Ireland and wins for Austria, Spain, Italy and Serbia. Put it on at HT.

Will be having another £5 on the games tonight - I’m thinking Holland/BTTS if it gets to 20 minutes and is still goalless. They have to go for it but are a bit shit.

[Baz]

I’m on Holland 7-0 with a Robben brace.

Halfway there! Just need Wijnaldum to score 5 in the second half.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

£10 on United
£10 on Lukaku AGS
£10 on Lukaku to score 2 or more
£10 on United to win to nil, Lukaku AGS & O8.5 corners
£5 on 4-0 with Lukaku scoring 2 or more
£5 on Lukaku FGS % United to win 3-1 or 4-1.

[-james-]

City, Bayern, Besiktas, Waxtap, Maribor

[Mazuuurk]

after doing insanely bad for a while to the point where I had to stick another tenner in my Betfair account recently to keep it going, I finally had a good night last night.

Was sitting on the trade-out button for most of these, but decided not to trade anything but damn liverpool out (was only a -4 of the total win anyway).


https://snag.gy/nxmSle.jpg

[Waffdon]

Struggling to see any value in tonight’s games. Besiktas and Shakhtar were the ones yesterday - shame a got greedy and fucking lumped Notts County in with them.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Grats on all the Vinsting, Maz.

[-james-]

PSG handicap seems too good to be true.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I've gone for £10 on Bayern -3
£10 on PSG -2/Chelsea/United/Juventus
£10 on Lukaku to score 2 or more.

[Mazuuurk]

Not as good last night. Started the night by fucking lumping on Athletico which I thought looked nifty @1.3, no way these fucking Qarabags were going to stand against the might Greaseman, right? Fuck me.

So anyway, rest of the evening was spent trying to recover that:

https://snag.gy/vJWZBP.jpg


At the end of the day, just ended up going down about a quid or two so actually not too bad. Thanks Roma.

Was a bit miffed at Barca letting one in, as that would have put me + for the day. But after Athleticos cuntery I can't blame anyone else too much really.

[Weaver]

High risk from Maz, I like it.

The board really needs a train ala Anzhi vs Liverpool, to bring us together. That Lacina Traore goal was magical :drool:

[Mazuuurk]

Looking at these for tonight:

Nice - Lazio DRAW @3.5
Milan win + BTTS @3.4
Everton win + BTTS @4.9 (could go with any result here really so just picking the one with highest odds)


Might do a little accum as well, though I've yet to date never managed to get a Europa League accum through I think.

[Baz]

Lyon -2 @12/1

:huhu:

[-james-]

Some Istanbul Basaksehir fuckhead has just cut inside and curled one home from 25 yards with the last kick of the game for a pointless consolation, and now I want to kill myself.

[Baz]

Shortest PL odds for as long as I can remember:

Man City to beat Burnley 1/10

:nono:

Burnley are 20/1

[Waffdon]

Any reason Coro are over evens not to lose tonight? @4.33 to win outright.

[Waffdon]

Watford to score 1 goal and 4+ corners @ 3.75 is cracking value.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I'm on Richarlison AGS and BTTS/3+ corners each/2+ cards each.

[Kikó]

Watford to score 1 goal and 4+ corners @ 3.75 is cracking value.

Nailed it.

[Waffdon]

I feel sick. I got cocky as fuck and doubled both my bets up.

£5 on Watford to score 2+, 5+ Watford corners and 2 Chelsea bookings (@23) + BTTS and 3+ each team in Levante/Getafe. Returned £300

£5 on Watford 1+ goal and 4+ corners + Celtic 2+ goals, 5+ Corners and 2 Hibernian bookings returned £70

1 Getafe corner and 1 Hibernian booking let me down. Fuck me

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I'm on Richarlison AGS and BTTS/3+ corners each/2+ cards each.

Fucking Richarlison.

The other was at 7.5 with £10 on and it came in though.

[Baz]

I put £5 on (rather than the usual £1) on my Goals Galore coupon this weekend. Still never won (odds are 7500/1 for fifteen BTTS games) but today would be a pretty good time to finally win.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Took Betfair ages to pay out, I've gone for:

£30 on Newcastle/United/City -2
£20 on City -3
£15 on Martial AGS
£10 on United -1.

[Mazuuurk]

Sticking some cash on Neymar AGS @1.75. Feels pretty decent, usually he's on around 1.5.

[Mazuuurk]

Also few quid on a Draw here between liverpool and spurs.

mon Pool

[Mazuuurk]

well, was a long shot

[Waffdon]

I feel like I’m jinxed right now. Somebody post something up and win me money.

[Baz]

Can’t get to Betfred today to play my coupon so there’d better not be loads of goals. :moop:

Gone for a top six most backed EW Heinz for a fiver on the horses instead:

https://i.imgur.com/i7KIBj9.jpg

:arry:

[Baz]

2 wins and a third place so far. :drool:

[Reg]

I've got Man City to win to nil @2.1

[-james-]

I've trebled Man City -2, Arsenal -2, Liverpool -2 at 17 or so. I'm really not sure prices have caught up with how big the gulf can be in Premier League games nowadays.

[Mazuuurk]

https://snag.gy/cwmxX3.jpg

Particularly miffed about PSG. Couldn't they have squeezed one little fucker more in?!

[Jimmy Floyd]

Funnily enough 'Oavgjort' is also what I said when I saw the scoreline of that game.

[Mazuuurk]

I don't understand that, but ok.

[-james-]

I backed Watford double chance pre-game. No words.

[Waffdon]

I backed Watford double chance pre-game. No words.

Cleverley missed a penalty in the 99th minute too. SHeeeeeeesh.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Fucking hell.

[Baz]

Gone in a bit on New Zealand to qualify @9/2 considering Peru’s only good player is suspended for cocaine drinking tea.

[-james-]

Kosovo U21 at home to Israel tomorrow are an excellent bet at 3/1, in my opinion.

[Adam]

Kosovo U21 at home to Israel tomorrow are an excellent bet at 3/1, in my opinion.

Whats that opinion based on?

[-james-]

Whats that opinion based on?

Having watched every game in the group. In short, Kosovo have been generally very solid and welcome back their best player. Israel have looked turd.

Kicked off at 6/4 so can claim it was value if it loses anyway.

[-james-]

That, or match fixing. Definitely match fixing.

[Manc]

Netherlands, NI & Greece for maximum scenes. £5 for £600.

[Weaver]

Odds for cards are pretty good tonight for England vs Germany - Danny Rose at 4/1 is the lowest odds. I know it’s a friendly/it’s Wembley/it’s England, but you’d expect at least one or two in the match.

[Baz]

My Goals Galore Bonus coupon had a few eyebrow-raisers on it today. Normally it’s all england but internationals has thrown a spanner in the works, and a few foreign league games were included.

So over the weekend I’ll be praying for at least a goal per team from the likes of Alcorcon, Albacete, Cultural Leonesa, Russia, Frosinone, Carpi, Rayo Vallecano and Mexico. :baz:

Even put £2 on rather than the usual quid, so £15k awaits me come Monday night.

Had to track it on Livescore too cos they’re not all listed on the Sky Sports Score Centre app I normally use.

Edit:

Having watched every game in the group. In short, Kosovo have been generally very solid and welcome back their best player. Israel have looked turd.

Kicked off at 6/4 so can claim it was value if it loses anyway.0-4 :D

[Baz]

https://imgur.com/gallery/6Unm2 :chortle:

[-james-]

Edit:
0-4 :D

Just makes them an even bigger bet in Baku on Tuesday. Germany are a ludicrous price against Israel as well.

[Mazuuurk]

Sticking some cash on Italy to win @1.5.

Those odds really aren't very good, but I just wanna get something out of it if they do.

[-james-]

World cup outright thoughts?

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/world-cup/winner

Belgium 12/1 is all sorts of lol. Spain look the best value at a glance.

[SvN]

How are England shorter than the reigning Euro champions?

[Jimmy Floyd]

Yeah I'd have Portugal being on the long side there.

[phonics]

NBA 2k has a mini game where you guess who will win the real life games happening that evening and I have a 75% success rate in it.

Are odds good on NBA games? Where's the best way to look?

Could I make any money if I just put a quid on literally every game if I had a 70% success rate?

[Jimmy Floyd]

From memory most basketball games have a very clear favourite and so the odds are shit.

[Baz]

Nobody fancy West Ham @ 22/1? :lol:

Even a draw is 9/1. Crazy!

[Samadini]

Allardyce has a chance to get one over both Newcastle and Benitez in one go. A Newcastle side who have 1 point from the last 7 games.

Look at Everton's odds.

[-james-]

https://soundcloud.com/chat-with-traders/ep-154-andreas-koukorinis-stratagem

Dunno if this will interest anyone besides maybe AyDee, but this is an insightful talk with one of the founders of Stratagem, who are seemingly the new big boys on the block.

I'm undecided on whether their existence is a good thing for me of not. On one hand, they are a lot smarter than me, on the other they probably don't know much about football, and volatility is always good.

[Mazuuurk]

You Pro guys, give me a couple of solid tips.

Been doing absolutely woeful recently and need a few wins to get back on track.



(yeah I know it doesn't work like that but I'm desperate here)

[-james-]

I can't post a winner in this thread to save my life, let alone at this time of the year when the only things on the schedule are Omani cup and Israeli u19 fixtures.

[Mazuuurk]

My luck (or decision-making) recently has been abysmal.

Like the other night I went on Messi as next goalscorer at 4.2 in against Deportivo or some such, he gets a Penalty (yay i'm thinking) and fucking misses. How often does Messi miss penalties?

Decided a late backing of Manchester United was a good idea yesterday as well :moop:


But what do you mean the only things on the schedule? There's so much football going on at the moment it's insane!

[SvN]

How often does Messi miss penalties?


He's scored 77 and missed 22, so quite often.

[Mazuuurk]

Thanks that helps.

[SvN]

It's worth knowing if you're betting on him to score.

[Mazuuurk]

Well he could have scored in any way, and already being 3-1 up in in a random league game doesn't exactly add to the pressure I think. So when a penalty comes, I figure OK, my chances of getting my bet in here are pretty decent, you know? But all my recent bets have seemed just about off like that.

Like I bet on over 2.5 and it's a 1-1 draw, or I bet on a draw and there's a really late winner.

I know you need to look at the full picture but it's killing me that I'm constantly just about right but not completely.

[Baz]

Rock the kasbah in the welsh national. :nod:

[-james-]

My luck (or decision-making) recently has been abysmal.

Like the other night I went on Messi as next goalscorer at 4.2 in against Deportivo or some such, he gets a Penalty (yay i'm thinking) and fucking misses. How often does Messi miss penalties?

Decided a late backing of Manchester United was a good idea yesterday as well :moop:


But what do you mean the only things on the schedule? There's so much football going on at the moment it's insane!

There's loads of English football on, but I'm no more than a recreational gambler on it. If I can swerve it for the next couple of weeks then my bank balance will likely be healthier.

[Jimmy Floyd]

He's scored 77 and missed 22, so quite often.

That record is bad to the point that he probably shouldn't be taking them, unless he's just doing it for the stats whoring (clue: he is).

[-james-]

The conversion rate across top European leagues is about 75%, so he's a slightly better than average penalty taker.

Suarez is the only other player in the squad who's taken penalties regularly throughout his career, and his conversion rate is 79%, but only 12 of 18 while at Barcelona.

[-james-]

I've just looked at prices and team news and I find it hard to envision myself not recreationally smashing the shit out of on Spurs 4/7 at Burney on Saturday.

[Mazuuurk]

I might also smash the shit out, of myself, on saturday.

Recreationally.

[SincereTheRebel]

Alexis to join bayern @16

[Baz]

952307154211438594

[Baz]

https://i.imgur.com/TquZsSn.jpgCut it fine with that second Liverpool corner (45+2 mins) but this is still possible. :yn:

[SvN]

How often does Messi miss penalties?

Missed another one today.

[Mazuuurk]

Thankfully I didn't bet on him to score.

I did lose my other bet, but you know, I'm just hopelessly chucking money at shit at this point.

[Baz]

Could've been going Haydock Races tomorrow but something else (http://www.thethirdhalf.co.uk/showthread.php?20-What-shall-your-weekend-bring&p=247533#post247533) got planned instead. Alas, I'll still have a bet:

https://i.imgur.com/kvarysy.png

[-james-]

Crystal Palace are an unbelievable price tonight.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I talked myself out of putting money on Swansea :(

[Baz]

Double fail. :(

[Mazuuurk]

Finally a few wins. Normally never go for accums but recently been doing some random ones:

https://snag.gy/zGYNMK.jpg

https://snag.gy/HeWc9I.jpg


(I'm not showing you the 5 accums I lost before those two :rolleyes:

[SincereTheRebel]

Alexis to join bayern @16

Dead.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Nobody in their right mind is going to the Bundesliga these days, it's like a glorified Holland.

[Reg]

Ulloa to score anytime and Brighton win 2-1 @21. Because why wouldn't it happen now that I've thought about it and decided that it's obviously the logical outcome.

[Baz]

https://i.imgur.com/QvsyOsr.jpg

SkyBet offering money back as cash (not free bets) if this doesn’t win. So either I get my £10 back or I get £45 - it’s a no brainer.

If you’ve any money in your SkyBet account, stick it in this!

[Mazuuurk]

Chelsea to Win champions league at 40/1 on Betfair feels inflated to me.

They won't, I know, but if they just get a decent result against Barca in the first leg next week, at home, I feel those 40 will dip to at least 30-35 or maybe even less, meaning the trade out isn't so much worse than the 4/1 offered for a win for them in that game.

[Baz]

Firmino is 18/1 (SkyBet) to score a brace. Tempting. Not betting til Cheltenham though - I will hold strong.

If the bet is “to score a brace,” do you lose if he scores a hat-trick? Or is it really ‘at least two’?

[Baz]

Phew.

Also imagine being this guy (https://i.redd.it/m07lgo3sw8g01.jpg). :lol:

[Baz]

My Cheltenham request a bet is currently the highest odds they’re offering @ 180

:cool:

Stuck my free £5 bet on it.

[Baz]

972398245325557760

40/1 for McTominay to be carded, Salah to score [at least] two and Liverpool to win. :yn: Just like every bet I place, I look at it and think why wouldn’t it happen? Free money! Had £8 in there already so on it went.

[-james-]

They should be giving you at least 80/1 on that.

[Mike]

I've got a fiver on Liverpool to win and our Bobby to score.

[Baz]

They should be giving you at least 80/1 on that.Nah. I was ready to take anything over 25s, so was pretty happy with 40.

Will probably start a Cheltenham thread in the next couple of days. :youpi:

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I put the following on:

£5 on Lukaku and Rashford AGS
£5 on Man United 2-0
£5 on BTTS & 3+ corners for each team & 2+ cards for each team
£5 on Lukaku & Salah to score, Valencia & Can carded

[Baz]

cba with my fifteen-game 7500/1 goals galore bonus coupon not coming in every week so I've done a twenty-game over 1.5 goal accumulator for saturday.


Sat 12:30
Crystal Palace v Liverpool

Sat 14:00
Lazio v Benevento
Nancy v Stade Reims

Sat 14:30
Schalke v SC Freiburg

Sat 15:00
Hibernian v Partick Thistle
Elgin City v Stirling
Celtic v Ross County
Walsall v Portsmouth
East Fife v Ayr
Alloa Athletic v Arbroath

Sat 16:00
Dijon FCO v Marseille

Sat 17:00
KV Kortrijk v Waasland-Beveren
Sassuolo v Napoli
Spartak Moscow v FC Tosno

Sat 17:30
Everton v Manchester City
Las Palmas v Real Madrid
Hull v Aston Villa
Red Bull Salzburg v RZ Pellets WAC
St Polten v Sturm Graz

Sat 18:45
PSV Eindhoven v NAC Breda


Returns £258.37.

[SincereTheRebel]

Needed chile to beat denmark for 110. They draw 0-0 after the other two results came in.

[Mazuuurk]

I try not to bet on Friendlies. It's hard, because it's basically the only way to make them interesting, but they just are so difficult to predict.

[Jimmy Floyd]

My annual rubbish post on the Masters (a week tomorrow). I am using Coral which has a horrible 10 place E/W payout and therefore a staggeringly huge overround on the market, so you should be able to get better prices for fewer places elsewhere.

It's a very hard one to call this year, not because of a paucity of contenders but because there are so many with a plausible case to win that it's hard to separate them. So first of all, let's eliminate some front runners... Dustin Johnson, at 8/1, may have clung onto his world number one status last week, but is well short of his best form and Augusta is a course that does not reward bombers. Jon Rahm (16/1) can be discounted for similar reasons, and I remain to be convinced that Justin Thomas (8/1) has matured enough to tackle one of the tougher majors, though he will get there.

This still leaves an array of shortish priced contenders and it's hard to look past one of this pool for the win. At every Masters I pick Phil Mickelson and Bubba Watson and with both in superb form it will be no different this time. Five titles between them on a course which sets up beautifully for left handers (and right handed drawers off the tee) are impossible to ignore. Bubba has come in a long way and 12/1 is a bit slim, but Phil's 16/1 is decent value.

Rory McIlroy has started playing some of his best stuff, although as yet in fits and starts. One year he will get it going round here and he will be unbeatable, will it be this year? I might have some on the nose at 7/1.

Paul Casey is also in the form of his life and has a great game for Augusta, with five top tens in the past. Given how little he has won, 18/1 is a bit narrow and I'd prefer 25s. The last two years have seen European first time winners and I would say Tommy Fleetwood and Alex Noren are nicely placed to make it three, at 25/1 and 28/1 respectively both will be on my each way card. Both are superb wedge players which is important around Augusta, although if anything I would say Noren shades it on the putting. Justin Rose at 10/1 came so close last year and is in good form again, but 10/1 doesn't really tickle my interest. Nor, indeed, does 9/1 for the old cat himself, Tiger Woods who I think will do well but beating this field at that price, it's an optimist who spunks on that. That said, if he wins another Major I think it will be this one. One I do quite fancy, which will mean his undoing, is Jordan Spieth at 10/1. He has always been superb here (despite a couple of noted meltdowns) and although his long game has been dubious of late, it never stays that way for long.

The bigger prices will do well to beat the above cabal, but a few names I've picked out for £2 each way:

Brian Harman 50/1, a proven winner and a lefty in decent form. I slightly fear he could be just too short a hitter, though, as the winner here always takes advantage of the par 5s and Harman could be hitting some longish irons into them.
Cameron Smith 80/1, a young Aussie with a great temperament from the little I've seen and a few high placed finishes in big events. Think he could be a big Aussie star one day, for now he seems to be only very gradually creeping into people's consciousness. You might get a decent price also for him to finish Top Aussie ahead of Day, Scott and Leishman.
Ross Fisher 150/1, this seems a fairly big price for a consistent performer with a good all-round game who has made 4/5 cuts here before.
Patton Kizzire 150/1, if you don't fancy him for the green jacket then why not back him for top debutant, you don't win twice already this season unless you can play.
Bernhard Langer 400/1, this is for price alone but experience counts for everything at Augusta and Bernhard knows where the bodies are buried around here.

[Baz]

I noticed yesterday I've got £10 EW on Kiradech Aphibarnrat to win the Masters @ 250/1. :cab: I'm pretty sure I had to RequestABet it too. Not sure why I bothered!

[Jimmy Floyd]

Good player is Kiradech but not sure they have a green jacket in his size.

[Boydy]

I always like your posts about the majors, Jim but given how they usually go, I'll avoid all of those players. Cheers.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I won last year with Garcia. Or I won money anyway, no idea what I wrote in here. Can't remember the last time I picked a major winner before that. Probably 2014. It's a tough gig. I'll probably stake up on about half of the bolded names above.

Longest odds win I ever had on golf (or anything) was Wu Ashun for the China Open a few years ago at 300/1. One of those times you wish you'd done a fiver each way instead of a quid.

[Baz]

Good player is Kiradech but not sure they have a green jacket in his size.i can’t cash out so I’m fully behind him all the way.

Is there realistically any chance he makes top 10 though?

[Jimmy Floyd]

It's not impossible, as he's having a good year, but I don't think his record at Augusta is up to much.

EDIT: That is bollocks, T15 in his only start. The jacket is his, congrats.

[SincereTheRebel]

Braga @3 vs Sporting Lisbon

Braga have won their past six league games. They are four points behind sporting who are third.

Edit: last minute winners :cool:

[SincereTheRebel]

Scottish Championship
-1.6 Inverness @6 vs Brechin

Brechin have not won a league game all season. Four points all season. I don't usually mess around with handicaps but that type of form. They must not play with a goalkeeper.

[-james-]

Brechin are a funny case of ending up in a division which you're nowhere near good enough for.

Went up through the league one play-offs last season despite being perhaps the worst team in the league. Went off second favs against Stenhousemuir, who finished bottom, in the last game of the season, then fluked their way through the play-offs.

Could rather have done with knowing about all of this about eight months ago, instead of being filled in recently by someone who's been profiting off this information since August.

[SincereTheRebel]

Better late than never.

[SincereTheRebel]

Scottish Championship
-1.6 Inverness @6 vs Brechin

Brechin have not won a league game all season. Four points all season. I don't usually mess around with handicaps but that type of form. They must not play with a goalkeeper.


It was @1.6 and it came through with a 4-0 win. Brechin next game is at home on the 7th. I’ll add their oppnenets in a two or three fold.

[-james-]

My Champions League outright book consists of green for City and Liverpool, and red for the rest. From before the draw was made, obv. I should really make a decision but I haven't a clue which way to go.

[SincereTheRebel]

Liverpool vs Man City
@4 Both teams to score in 1st half
@2 Both teams to score in 2nd half
@12 Both teams to score in both half

[Gray Fox]

City to score in all 4 halves of the tie would be a good bet.

[SvN]

Had City and BTTS as that goal went in. Not sure if I'm happy about it or not, but I guess I'm basically just backing City now.

[Baz]

Similarly to Brechin, the Olympiakos bossman has sent every player on holiday early cos they’re all phoning it in, and is playing U20s for the remainder of the season. Put a lump on whoever they’re against for the remaining four weeks.

[SincereTheRebel]

Is the greek league in the bag or have they had a dreadful season?

[Baz]

Is the greek league in the bag or have they had a dreadful season?Theyre in third but have been called a disgrace who aren’t interested in winning football matches, just having a flashy lifestyle.

[SincereTheRebel]

Liverpool vs Man City
@4 Both teams to score in 1st half
@2 Both teams to score in 2nd half
@12 Both teams to score in both half

lost here. Covered a little at half time on the barca game for over 2.5 @1.7