The Betting Thread

[Jimmy Floyd]

Golden Ball Lionel Messi 8/1. Argentina to reach the final is 10/3, and for me the two bets are almost the same thing. He is fav but how can you turn this down?

Total goals 171+, 2/1. There were 169 goals at 2018, and I haven't exactly seen defending come back into fashion since then. Stone age cloggers like Iran and England will be a drag on this but some group stage mismatches should help it along. It's also a good interest bet.

Pens scored (inc shootouts) Over 37.5, 5/6. I haven't done the sums on this, but in the VAR age you just need one monster shootout and surely you've won the line here. Also an interest bet.

In the final I needed 5 goals, 4 scored penalties and (in all likelihood) an Argentina win to crown Messi. Merci à tous. Gracias a todos.

[Lofty]

Good effort Jim. I just had Argentina to win the tournament land, bit twitchy when I realised 888 didn't offer cashout.

[Don]

Forest and Brighton at evens.

[Lofty]

Waiting for over 2.5 goals in the remaining PL matches today to return £600 off a 7 fold on all PL matches today being goals galore.

[John Arne]

Vietnam v Malaysia

Malaysia at 15/2.

I just don't fancy Vietnam tonight. Nothing dodgy going on.

[Baz]

Victory March terrible odds later but wins, so get your Christmas money on it.

[Lofty]

Waiting for over 2.5 goals in the remaining PL matches today to return £600 off a 7 fold on all PL matches today being goals galore.

https://i.ibb.co/Fw8wWKg/Screenshot-20221226-213549-Samsung-Internet.jpg

:cool:

Darts treble today, Van Den Bergh -1.5 Price -1.5 Clayton -2.5 comes in just over 4/1.

[John Arne]

Laos v Singapore

Laos look to be on the take, my bookie isn't even taking bets on the game :/

[Lofty]

https://i.ibb.co/Fw8wWKg/Screenshot-20221226-213549-Samsung-Internet.jpg

:cool:

Darts treble today, Van Den Bergh -1.5 Price -1.5 Clayton -2.5 comes in just over 4/1.

Flown in.

[Baz]

CHELTENHAM

Supreme Novices
Chasing Fire
0.75pt EW @ 50/1

Mares Chase
Impervious
2pt win @ 5/1

Brown Advisory
Three Stripe Life
1pt win @ 10/1

Stayers Hurdle
Walking on Air
0.5pt win @ 33/1

Albert Bartlett
Affordable Fury
0.5pt win @ 33/1
Monbeg Park
0.5pt win @ 25/1

Champion Bumper
Caldwell Potter
1pt win @ 25/1

Foxhunters
Vaucelet
2pt win @ 5/1

[Don]

The narrative is there for some Brighton scenes even with some useless midget champ failure in midfield so I'm in heavy on Trossard FGS. Mon Mitoma getting hacked down in the box.

[Don]

Mon Celtic -1.

[Lofty]

https://i.ibb.co/dJq42V8/Screenshot-20221231-185655-Samsung-Internet.jpg

This bad boy romped home, rinse and repeat for the Newcastle match which will likely be another barnstormer.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

You've had some good bet builders recently. Post them pre-match you cunt so I can get on and curse them.

[Lofty]

https://i.ibb.co/KhMy1Qj/Screenshot-20230102-120617-Samsung-Internet.jpg

Fine :D this is mainly for interest but I think Brentford at home and Liverpool's lack of midfield could set up another game like the Villa match.

[Ben]

Toney is injured.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

And it's now cursed, minus the Toney leg.

I've also got this:

https://i.imgur.com/nOBlPJE.png

[Lofty]

Was the Toney injury news late, didn't seem to be on Flashscore when I checked.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Was the Toney injury news late, didn't seem to be on Flashscore when I checked.

He hurt his knee in the last game, not meant to be serious but I don't think he was ever set to play in this game.

Edit: Apparently he was in contention but that could have just been a bluff from Thomas Frank.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Post a new one again Lofty, I dare you.

[Lofty]

:D

I will be repeating the winning bet from the Arsenal Brighton match for the Arsenal Newcastle match. Tonight I always fancied Brentford to get something but never thought Liverpool would implode so badly they'd be hooking VVD at half time.

[Lofty]

Brighton Fulham double at 5/1 looks value tonight.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Tournament of Champions

Schauffele 11/1
Zalatoris 30/1
Stallings 125/1

Bit reluctant with Willy Z and his spray-on trousers, as he hasn't played since August or something, but ye cannae doubt the computer.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

:D

I will be repeating the winning bet from the Arsenal Brighton match for the Arsenal Newcastle match. Tonight I always fancied Brentford to get something but never thought Liverpool would implode so badly they'd be hooking VVD at half time.

Followed :)

[Manc]

Red card in the Arsenal v Newcastle game 10/3.

[Lofty]

Brighton Fulham double at 5/1 looks value tonight.

Boom.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Obviously the one I didn't get on...

[Max Power]

You can get 8/1 on Leicester City to be relegated with some bookies. Get involved.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Surely another loss for the Fosse and it'll be endin' for Brendan?

[Don]

Time to get on draw and Atalanta, 2-0 down at HT.

[Manc]

Sung-Jae Im 18/1

[John Arne]

https://gyazo.com/7ebc8124d0575d155fd6ce5a4ec4399f.jpeg

[Don]

Just tuned in. See very little quality but followed in for a little morning ride.

[John Arne]

If Indonesia had one decent striker in the whole country, they'd be decent.

[Lofty]

Giving them the kiss of death with a cheeky follow at 6/1 in play, mon the last minute winner.

[Don]

Their gammon at the back looked decent: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marc_Klok

Why they waited till 92nd minute to chuck on this monster I don't know: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ilija_Spasojevi%C4%87

All in all, solid ride.

[John Arne]

Their gammon at the back looked decent: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marc_Klok

Why they waited till 92nd minute to chuck on this monster I don't know: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ilija_Spasojevi%C4%87

All in all, solid ride.

They also have Jordi Amat at the back, albeit, an old Jordi Amat.

[Lofty]

Surely United are going to anally invade Lampard's men this evening?

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/1iGXah8.png

That's what I'm on tonight.

[Lofty]

Andy Madley reffing Liverpool Wolves tonight, last match he handed out 9 yellows (including booking a sub who wasnt on the pitch), get those booking point bets on chaps.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Never bet on cards in a TV game. I've found this out the hard way over the years.

[niko_cee]

Cards in an FA Cup third round game between Premier League opponents surely never going to be a goer - it's not the sort of game that is going to carry a sufficient amount of intensity or needle to let a ref lose control.

[John Arne]

The only betting portal that works for me isn't yet offering odds for the 2023 V.League?

Is it available on your site? If so, what odds for Hanoi Police (aka, CAND, CAHN, Vietnam Police) for the title?

They only just got promoted, but they've sucked up a lot of good players, as they are corrupt as fuck.

[Ben]

Nothing on mine either. Got Bangladesh, Gambia and Iran Div. 2 but not Vietnam.

[John Arne]

Nothing on mine either. Got Bangladesh, Gambia and Iran Div. 2 but not Vietnam.

Seems about right.

[Manc]

Sony Open

Conners 20/1
Svensson 70/1

[Jimmy Floyd]

Oof, you've reminded me.

Sony

Harman 18/1
Bradley 30/1
Lingmerth 150/1
Streb 250/1

Echavarria is also showing long at 750/1 if anyone wants a mad one, but I'm trying to wean myself off those.

[Lofty]

Had a betbuilder on 365 last night, every leg came in and was shown to come in on their site. Check at full time and they chalked off Pereira shot on target having previously shown it as in, letting me down for £180 :moop:

Some twitter kick off about it from others but not confident they will get anywhere.

[Baz]

Seen that mug arguing about a world cup treble that was like argentina vs france final, argentina to win, messi golden ball, and he doesn't understand related betting rules? Of course he rolled out the 'I'd already promised gramps I'd buy him a new motability scooter' at the earliest opportunity.

[Lofty]

There's been a few fucks in the papers doing this recently, always been an opportunity to mug the counter girls off but apparently they don't even train them now, just need someone to sit in and watch the zombies play the machines.

Supoosedly other bookies paid out that shot on target :moop:

[Don]

These bet-builders seem to be very in with the twitter tipsters and the zombies that follow. All the trappings of accies with the added enjoyment of having to keep a count of how many touches the left back has made with his left foot. I'm certainly surprised it's led to disagreements on stats and potentially higher instances of match-fixing (Oxford booking vs Arsenal?).

[Jimmy Floyd]

Are those guys paid by bookmakers to promote stupid kinds of bets? I wouldn't rule it out.

[Lofty]

Many are affiliates, yes. I don't use them myself. I find a good rule of thumb in any match that looks tasty (like last night) is: result (unless too close to call), over 2.5 goals, over 2.5 cards, over 6 corners, pick a dangerous player from each team over 0.5 shots on target. Usually comes out at decent odds.

If one team is clearly going to smash the other (Arsenal v Brighton, United v Everton etc) then swap the SOT bet for all the attacking front line of the favourites over 0.5 SOT.

[SvN]

Had a betbuilder on 365 last night, every leg came in and was shown to come in on their site. Check at full time and they chalked off Pereira shot on target having previously shown it as in, letting me down for £180 :moop:

Some twitter kick off about it from others but not confident they will get anywhere.

Just watched and the shot was clearly going wide, even though Kepa touched it. Obviously sucks that it changed from won to lost, but if they use OPTA stats and they're saying it doesn't count, then that's that.

[niko_cee]

Shots on target always intrigue me. Is there a point at which an aimless punt upfield, that happens to end with the 'keeper [and would have gone in without them intervening] becomes a shot on target?

[Lofty]

Just watched and the shot was clearly going wide, even though Kepa touched it. Obviously sucks that it changed from won to lost, but if they use OPTA stats and they're saying it doesn't count, then that's that.

Oh I know, OPTA even had it as a shot on target initially though so I am grinding this axe for a while yet. I know from friends if you bet regularly and moan enough at them they usually throw you something to shut up.

I feel more sorry for the guy who had Jorginho tackles in his bet that they voided because he didn't start, feels very naughty that one.

[-james-]

Shots on target always intrigue me. Is there a point at which an aimless punt upfield, that happens to end with the 'keeper [and would have gone in without them intervening] becomes a shot on target?

If only there were some better way of assigning value to attempts on goal.

[-james-]

I had a look at the ol xG table for the first time in a while last night. West Ham being in credit while sitting in 17th is a good laugh.

[Ben]

As if you needed any other proof xG is nonsense.

[Don]

What do you mean in credit? Understat has them as biggest underperformers and 9th on xPTS.

[-james-]

As if you needed any other proof xG is nonsense.

I have never understood what this means. What do you want it to do, mirror the league table?

[-james-]

What do you mean in credit? Understat has them as biggest underperformers and 9th on xPTS.

They've created more than they've allowed.

[Ben]

I have never understood what this means. What do you want it to do, mirror the league table?

Well yes. Otherwise what's the point of it? What does it tell you? West Ham have been shit all season which is why they're 17th. xG and xPTS can't tell me otherwise.

[Manc]

Levante pretty much broke xG last season.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Had a betbuilder on 365 last night, every leg came in and was shown to come in on their site. Check at full time and they chalked off Pereira shot on target having previously shown it as in, letting me down for £180 :moop:

Some twitter kick off about it from others but not confident they will get anywhere.
I had a bet builder miss due to Opta not counting a Partey tackle. Load of uproar on Twitter showing a second tackle. 365 changed to win the next day.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Understanding xG was a great step forward in my life. I now treat all its doubters like I treat people who don't like sport: with utter contempt.

xA probably even better.

[-james-]

Well yes. Otherwise what's the point of it? What does it tell you? West Ham have been shit all season which is why they're 17th. xG and xPTS can't tell me otherwise.

xG is a better predictor of future performance than goals, it's a simple as that. Market odds shits on both, of course.

[Ben]

My Lofty Special on the Liverpool game being let down by Salah not getting a shot on target. :moop:

[Waffdon]

£15 on Palace at 3/1.

I’ll be utterly shocked if they don’t win with this Jorginho-Gallagher double pivot

[SincereTheRebel]

Ive gone with lots of goals, cards, fouls and corners at 70/1 for this Arsenal game.

[SincereTheRebel]

Ive gone with lots of goals, cards, fouls, and corners at 70/1 for this Arsenal game.

Not enough goals. Needed more than 4. Doing the same again in this Barca- Real Madrid game.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Echavarria is also showing long at 750/1 if anyone wants a mad one, but I'm trying to wean myself off those.

Top 10 for this schmo (my actual selections a total whiff). Maybe I'll wean myself back onto them.

[John Arne]

I can get killed for this... But VN prime minister to resign within 24hrs. Odds available anywhere??

[John Arne]

And there he goes...

https://e.vnexpress.net/news/news/vietnam-president-nguyen-xuan-phuc-steps-down-4561196.html

[Manc]

Abu Dhabi - Perez 33/1

AMEX - Hoge 35/1

[Ben]

Hoge :cool:

My laptop is at my parents' house, left it there before Christmas. No spreadsheet = no golf bets for me.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I haven't had time this week but:

Zalatoris

[Lofty]

£20 on Forest Brighton double at 3.63/1.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Abu Dhabi - Perez 33/1

Batted

[Manc]

Magnifique.

[Manc]

Farmers

Zalatoris 14/1
Homa 22/1

[Jimmy Floyd]

Farmers: Zalatoris, Montgomery, Hossler

Doobay: net worth on Mugilroy, + Aberg

[Manc]

DDC

Meronk 28/1
N Hojgaard 50/1

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Homa :cool:

[Lofty]

Yeah top shout that Manc, cheers. Hope McIlroy brings home the bacon now.

[Manc]

Wholesome.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

In addition to my usual card bets I've got money on Paul Mullin to score.

Edit: And Ollie Palmer for a goal too.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Fucking get in there my son.

Never staked so much on a 3/1 shot in my life. Should have been 5/2. Margins.

[Ben]

You'll be getting banned from whatever bookmaker you use. I got banned from Ladbrokes years ago for seemingly small time shit.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I'm surprised I haven't been thrown out, am about three grand up on golf in the last two years. I do help my cause by losing on other sports, though.

[Ben]

Sometimes I think it's patterns more than money won. I got booted from Ladbrokes because I saw a pattern that if Godolphin had more than one horse in a 2yo maiden then bet on the second string. I was up at least £1k over the course of a flat season which isn't mega money but I didn't really bet on anything else horse racing related outside of the big stuff so maybe I got flagged as potentially having inside information. This was about eight years ago so no idea if the pattern is still profitable. My second go round with Paddy Power was pretty middling.

[-james-]

I'm not too clued up on golf but on football the things that bookies chin you for are 1) betting on the obvious misprices that 100 other people are on 2) betting on lines that are value compared to betfair, or that shorten significantly before the off 3) regularly betting anywhere near 100% of the maximum allowed on the selection.

No idea what sort of stakes you're on Jim but chances are it's not too hard for them to manage the risk they take on from your bets by just laying it off elsewhere. Hell they might even have you pegged as a sharp player and value the information your bets give them.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I'm not doing 2) or 3), but I'm pretty much doing 1). I use the same formula that I developed in the first lockdown and would be amazed if others haven't cottoned onto it independently by now, but maybe if there is a herd I'm sufficiently detached from it to evade the censors. It's about 85% data and 15% vibes, the 15% can be crucial in avoiding bad selections but presumably also costs me sometimes, and probably keeps me safe from the algorithms.

Manc has had a better start to 2023 anyway so I can't be that good, but I've found I'm amazingly good at staking in the last year or so. Might just be a lucky run.

[Lofty]

Yeah thanks Jim, good shout.

[SvN]

I won my first bet with Stan James about 15 years ago which was a 3 team accumulator, and they limited my account to £2. They went under, so needless to say I had the last laugh.

[Jimmy Floyd]

How can a bookmaker go under?

'Nah, Stan, we can't go with the market on this one. Red Rum 100/1 I reckon.'

[-james-]

They were just hopeless when it came to adapting to being an online bookmaker, must have been headed by a bunch of absolute boomers because Stan James circa 2015 was proper hall of fame gambling. They were bought out by Unibet rather than going bust though iirc.

[SvN]

I'm still claiming the last laugh.

[Manc]

Ras Al Khaimah

Arnaus 25/1
Shinkwin 28/1

Pebble Beach

Power 22/1
Dahmen 35/1

[Jimmy Floyd]

My sheet has a red line through Dahmen this week, the second least preferred of the top 50 or so on the board. Fascinating range of methods available.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Pebble

Burmester 50/1
Hardy 60/1
Tarren 90/1
Tway 200/1

Ras

Norgaard Moller 50/1
Helligkilde 66/1
De Jager 90/1
Forsstrom 300/1

[Baz]

Selling my horse today. :cab:

[Manc]

That was short-lived.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

At least it didn't need a bullet.

[Ben]

It still might.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Profit on it, Baz?

[Baz]

Profit on it, Baz?

Likely a massive loss. Bought for £18,900 and they’re hoping for £5k, but I reckon we’ll be lucky to even sell her, nevermind get half that.

[Lofty]

Selling to another stable or Iceland?

[Jimmy Floyd]

What happens if you can't sell a horse? Do you take it in turns to go in and muck out the stables until someone takes it off your hands?

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Shipped to France for meat.

[niko_cee]

Who would buy a horse, nevermind a shit horse that other chumps have bought and now want to sell?

[SvN]

It's quite something when it turns out Bazbot wasn't the worst financial decision Baz made in the last year.

[Baz]

It's quite something when it turns out Bazbot wasn't the worst financial decision Baz made in the last year.
Collectively I guess, but individually it’s not even close.

34 of us are in the horse syndicate. I’ve only spent £1k on buying, training and caring for her.

Bazbot was an immediate £5k loss, or £8,667.84 if you consider how high it got.


What happens if you can't sell a horse? Do you take it in turns to go in and muck out the stables until someone takes it off your hands?We'll have a vote and see whether we want to move her up north for a little while and stick at it, or look to just give her away for re-training.

[Lofty]

How did Barrington Sr take it?

[Baz]

How did Barrington Sr take it?
Wasn’t arsed. Not much phases him tbh.

Actually I repaid his £1k and he sent it back, so I sent him £500 and think we left it at that.

Plus then £400 to TTHers who took me up on the repayment promise, so it was more like £6k immediate loss, vs £1k.

Owning a horse for a year > Bazbot

[Baz]

Lot 225 if anyone wants to watch it live (https://www.youtube.com/live/12l1nc_-1tE?feature=share). :cool:

[-james-]

I watched for about a minute and I think it's given me an aneurysm.

[Baz]

I watched for about a minute and I think it's given me an aneurysm.Forcing the kids to watch it. :baz:

Bargain if you buy one of those listed as 190A-190E cos they’re all in foal so it’s basically BOGOF.

[Lofty]

Making money off horses is a mugs game, I've seen enough of the wife's bint horsey friends try and fail.

[niko_cee]

Can you not take it to that massive gypsy fair that I've always assumed was up that way somewhere? Sure I've watched a doco of some mug buying a horse there.

[Baz]

Not sold :jayjay:

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

What happened to the 900 guineas?

[Baz]

What happened to the 900 guineas?
Needed to hit 1k

[Lofty]

Can you not take it to that massive gypsy fair that I've always assumed was up that way somewhere? Sure I've watched a doco of some mug buying a horse there.

Appleby and fuck going there.

[Foe]

Quite the life you lead baz.

You should’ve just created a tik tok channel about garden soccer and made a mint of the youngens.

[John Arne]

Anyone's bookies offering odds for next President of VN?

Mr To Lam, particularly.

[Lofty]

I looked last time and it appears most UK bookies don't offer odds on politics beyond UK/US.

[John Arne]

Ta. I couldn't find anything either.

[Waffdon]

Southampton u21s are currently @1.70 to win in half an hour and they have at least 4 first team starters in the squad. Seems a bit overpriced

They’ve caught on. Dropping rapidly

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Got on at 1.45.

[SvN]

I had £500 on at 1.4 just before kick off, and then stopped and thought "WTF am I doing?" and cancelled it.

[Baz]

I see they won 1-0.

[Lofty]

Arsenal record at Goodison not great but Saka Nketiah 1 SOT each 3/1 boost seems like free money on Sky.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Arsenal DNB.

[Ben]

Colchester, Salford and Yeovil @ 9/1

[Lofty]

Annoyingly meant to do this after the PSG game and forgot, odds have backed in after his last appearance. Spreading a few quid across Balogun anytime, Balogun 2+ goals and Balogun 3+ goals today.

[Waffdon]

£5er on Honeysuckle/Pied Piper forecast in the 3.10 at DRF @ 45s

[Offshore Toon]

I'll join for that.

[Manc]

Inter available at even money. Lump on.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/r56LJbD.png

Card betting :drool:

[Lofty]

Decent return that.

[Don]

Inter available at even money. Lump on.

Looks tasty.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/zjep55x.png

25p on the trixies too.

https://i.imgur.com/zNGhLQ1.png

[Lofty]

You inspired me to back Brereton Diaz and McClean on one tonight at 16s with my £5 free bet. Definitely an interesting market you have discovered here.

[Lofty]

Tonight I am thinking of Poveda and Helik in the Blackpool Huddersfield fixture and Bradaric and Danilo in the Juve match. All of them picked up two cards in the last five games.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Bradaric and Danilo are on my radar too.

Poveda benched.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/lCUub4C.png

SEETHING at Fleetwood and Sheffield Wednesday.

[Baz]

Horse sold for £500 to a random girl who our trainer knew. Happy retirement, Bally. :)

[niko_cee]

Cheval burgers all round!

[Jimmy Floyd]

Dogs cost about four times that, and you can't even ride a dog.

WMPO

Rahm 7/1
Finau 20/1
Steele 110/1

Singapore

Lawrence 45/1
Schneider 55/1
Johannessen 125/1

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Not with that attitude you can't.

[Kikó]

Could be shit but
3.40 Southwell western jill

[Manc]

Phoenix Open

Morikawa 16/1
Finau 20/1
Tom Kim 25/1

Singapore Classic

Otaegui
Veerman 30/1
Catlin 70/1

[Ben]

Fanion D’estruval 2.25 Newbury

[Manc]

Horse Racing is a complete basket case this season. Form has well and truly gone out of the window. Avoid Cheltenham at all costs.

[Waffdon]

All set up for Ahoy Senor to bundle his way through every fence and steam roll up the hill in the Gold Cup.

I’m just glad all these short priced favs have started to look a bit average in the last week. It’s shows how shite racing in general is though when Mullins has 3 massive favourites for their respective races at Cheltenham lose last week odds on and he still wins every race with his 2nd and 3rd string.

[Baz]

Horse Racing is a complete basket case this season. Form has well and truly gone out of the window. Avoid Cheltenham at all costs.
Too late. I’ve 19 antepost bets.

[Waffdon]

Let’s see.

[Manc]

Italy (+20.0) at even money.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/Tz5y6bD.png

My Owl builders.

Edit: First one fails due to 10 yards from McKinnon and the second fails due to no sack from Chris Jones. Balls.

[Baz]

Let’s see.

Ultimate Handicap Chase
LORD ACCORD 28/1 EW

National Hunt Chase
MAHLER MISSION 14/1 EW

Supreme Novices’ Hurdle
CHASING FIRE 33/1 EW
IMPAIRE ET PASSE 10/1 EW

Boodles
JAZZY MATTY 16/1 EW


Champion Bumper
CHAPEAU DE SOLEIL 10/1 win
CALDWELL POTTER 33/1 win

Brown Advisory
THREE STRIPE LIFE 15/2 win


Stayers’ Hurdle
WALKING ON AIR 50/1 win & 66/1 win

Turners Novice Chase
JAMES DU BERLAIS 13/2 win

Albert Bartlett
MONBEG PARK 33/1 win
AFFORDALE FURY 25/1 win

Mares’ Chase
IMPERVIOUS 9/2 win

Hunters’ Chase
CHRIS’S DREAM 9/1 win

NH Chase RAMILLIES & Brown Advisory GAILLARD DU MESNIL 55/1 win double

[Don]

Bayern @ 2.55
Bayern -1 @ 5
Bayern -2 @ 11
Bayern -3 @ 29
Bayern -4 @ 81
Bayern -5 @ 201
Musiala to announce himself to the world @ 1.015

[Baz]

All aboard PSG then :harold:

[Waffdon]

Both teams are a bit shit. Mbappe will probably be the difference

[Don]

Woah woah woah, I was under the impression turtleboy isn't fit. Goals galore it is then.

[Ben]

I watched Bayern the other day for a bit and they had fucking Choupo-Moting up top. :lol:

[-james-]

Opposing the NARRATIVE with Liverpool -1.0 above evens tonight. Make it 1.6.

[Lofty]

Onana Bajcetic card double for me.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I'm on Doucoure/Robertson/Bajcetic, Coleman/Fabinho, Onana/Henderson, Doucoure/Bajectic/Coleman and Onana/Mykolenko/Robertson/Bajcetic.

All 50p bar the quad at the end which is only 25p.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Opposing the NARRATIVE with Liverpool -1.0 above evens tonight. Make it 1.6.

Of course you are.

[-james-]

It's a good thing Giggles doesn't come in here. Cracking bet tbf.

[Don]

Mbappe only fit to come on as a sub. The 16 year-old is going to start it seems which leaves me a little conflicted but Bayern it is.

[Lofty]

Fancy Giroud to terrorise Forster and friends tonight.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Had a bit of bad luck with the cards lately but it seems this bet:

https://i.imgur.com/tDkwg1J.png

Actually should be a winner.

Twitter are sure Eccles was booked (especially by those who went to the game) and Skybet have now changed it to him having received a card.

[Ben]

Bet365 are wankers with stuff like this so don't hold your breath.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Bet365 are wankers with stuff like this so don't hold your breath.

They did change the outcome of a Bet builder I lost 24 hours later when people kept sending proof of a second Partey tackle.

Weird as fuck though that there seems to be confusion over a yellow card. Surely the ref had to submit a report.

[Lofty]

Zinchenko 9/2 to get booked, free money

[Waffdon]

No idea why Dortmund are favourites even with Potter at the helm. Chelsea’s record with both these full backs is v good

[Ben]

I have Gabriel/Bernardo yellow card double so fuck VAR. :eyemouth:

[Manc]

Thai Classic

Olesen 22/1
Rozner 22/1

[Manc]

Genesis Invitational

JT 14/1
Hovland 25/1
Speith 30/1

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Opta gave now finally said that Eccles got booked so it seems Bet365 will have to cough up.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

1626180565874491392

:cool:

[Manc]

Kudus, Rashford, Qurbanly AGS treble just shy of 50/1.

[Ben]

I’m all aboard this bookings thing because why not.

Kessie and Bruno.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Bookings :cool:

I'm on quite a few.

[Ben]

Are the booking odds for this game pretty shit?

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

A little below average. Bookies probably think it has the potential to be a bit spicy.

I've got Malacia/Kessie, Bruno/De Jong and Araujo/Fred/Gavi for this game.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Burmy gone to Liv. Goodnight, sweet prince.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/jQBXFYZ.png

So close to a big double with cards tonight. Also had a couple of close misses but I did hit on a Juventus/Nantes card bet @ 10.

Really loving the card bets.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Also, that Eccles change has been massive for some. Just seen this on Twitter:

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Fo9aB92WIB4q5nv?format=jpg

He probably spent the night snorting coke off some prostitutes.

[Lofty]

White and Martinez to be carded, 55/1.

[Manc]

14:40: Haydock - Quick Wave 18/1

I think the market may well be sleeping on this one.

[Waffdon]

£10 on Barnsley, Derby, Plymouth, Sheff Wed, Leyton Orient, Salford and Shishkin @ 88

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Alex Moreno & Ben White, Mings & Gabriel, McGinn & Jorginho, Xhaka & McGinn, Moreno & Jorginho plus an Odegaard single (who is massively overpriced) for bookings in this game.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Also signed up to Kwiff before the match to put on Rangers/Bayern/Man City/O2.5 Young Boys & Bern and they put on a random £20 free bet which happened to be Arsenal O1.5 in the first half.

So mon another Arsenal goal.

[Ben]

Missed the start of this one. :(

Bookings bets galore for the 3 o’clocks incoming.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Got on Emi Martinez in play due to his time wasting which has saved the game.

[Lofty]

His booking was never in doubt today.

[Lofty]

14:40: Haydock - Quick Wave 18/1

I think the market may well be sleeping on this one.

Amazing pick, cheers!

[Waffdon]

14:40: Haydock - Quick Wave 18/1

I think the market may well be sleeping on this one.

Well played. I put it in a treble with Bo Zenith and the wrong outsider in the 1.50. Gutting

[Lofty]

Unlucky Waff.

Shit day for accas.

Trying Bajcetic/Trippier/Joelinton card treble.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Few doubles for me in the game. Hoping for a spicy one.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Little on Newcastle to win @ 5.25.

...

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

The red has been a killer.

Would still be decent if Joelinton could pick up a card.

And there he is on the floor injured...

[Waffdon]

Unlucky Waff.

Shit day for accas.

Trying Bajcetic/Trippier/Joelinton card treble.

I have no idea why I didn’t add Shishkin to the treble rather than Kinondo Kwetu. Ah well.

Hopefully Manc stuck his house on it.

[Manc]

Olesen bringing home the bacon.

[Lofty]

Didn't get on that in time, you're on fire at the moment. You'll be getting your account restricted you keep landing these :D

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Kristiansen/Sabitzer, Dewsbury-Hall/Martinez, Bruno Fernandes/Maddison, Faes/Shaw, Fred/Mendy, Castagne/Kristiansen/Martinez and Dalot/Fred/Castagne.

Mon a bloodbath.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Soumare and McTominay to be booked (singles) in play.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I'm seething.

I got on a boosted price Man United to win, most corners and Leicester most cards bet just before the game kicked off.

It lost because Leicester got a corner in the 91st minute to make it 6-6 on corners.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/hF6gbiK.png

Mon Casa Pia/Vitoria de Guimaraes.

[Baz]

Deviant.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I thought that was well established.

Edit: Both fairly useless. 0.9 v 0.47 in terms of xG no goals.

[Lofty]

Choudry & Furlong card double tonight.

[Waffdon]

Napoli are a mega price tonight, aren’t they? What am I missing?

£10 on Napoli/Burnley/Blackburn/Fleetwood/Stockport @39
£5 Napoli -1/Madrid/Plymouth -1/Bromley @ 122

[Don]

Yeah, imagine they'd take a draw and Frankfurt look dece but this is the best club side in Europe we're talking about. I'm on us -1.

[Ben]

Bollocks to this playing safe away from home mentality, Napoli should destroy Frankfurt. Their defence is pants and the big lad will torture them.

[Waffdon]

Added Eastleigh to the 5 fold which returns £770 thanks to Ladbrokes’ bonus thing they offer. Don’t think I’ve ever won a bet midweek.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/utoApeB.png

Hold. Please.

[Waffdon]

Napoli are a mega price tonight, aren’t they? What am I missing?

£10 on Napoli/Burnley/Blackburn/Fleetwood/Stockport @39
£5 Napoli -1/Madrid/Plymouth -1/Bromley @ 122

Burnley concede to make it 1-1 with 5 mins left with every one else currently winning. Fawk you Vincent

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Had a 15 team O1.5 accy that was let down by Morecambe/Port Vale who only managed 1 goal :(

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Newport with a 91st minute winner.

Scored by Mickey Demetriou, I'm seething.

[Waffdon]

Everybody hates Burnley

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Add Newport and Port Vale to the hated list.

Edit: Fylde too.

So many accas ruined by one team tonight. Disgusting.

[Manc]

Honda Classic

Svensson 28/1
Vegas 30/1
Buckley 50/1

Indian Open

JH Wang 18/1
Knappe 55/1
Gandas 110/1

[Lofty]

https://i.ibb.co/hfc2LQ8/Screenshot-20230225-113726-Sky-Bet.jpg

Not a tip as such but heard all four of these Christian Williams horses have a good chance today.

[Waffdon]

Middlesbrough, Cardiff, Barnsley, Plymouth, Wycombe, Leyton orient and Falkirk all lovely and overpriced today. Just a case of picking which ones don’t prove the bookies correct.

I will win today.

[Max Power]

Yeah I can’t believe the Boro price.

[Ben]

West Brom away is always difficult, hence the Boro price. But I am confident.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Card bets for Coventry/Sunderland:

McFadzean/Batth, Allen/Clarke and Neil/Eccles. Also gone for a single on Eccles.

[Waffdon]

£5 Leyton Orient, Falkirk, Middlesbrough, Bolton, Stevenage, Sheff Wed @ 120
£5 Dunfermline, Queens Park, Eastleigh, Reading, Barnsley, Crewe @180
£10 Crewe, Dunfermline, Dumbarton, Bolton, Sheff Wed @ 29

Going with that I think.

[Lofty]

Killer Clown 3.00 at Kempton looks well priced at 20/1, worth a sniff e/w.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Eccles and Neil :cool:

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

https://i.imgur.com/jddtcO2.png

BTTS: Leicester/Arsenal, Shrewsbury/Wycombe, Mansfield/Salford, West Brom/Boro, Crewe/Rochdale.

Cards: Faes/Adams/Onana/Freuler.

Man City/Reading/Stevenage/Burnley/Bolton.

[Ben]

I've gone Preston, Luton and Blackburn @ 25 because they all seem overpriced but are still favourites.

West Brom vs. Boro yellow cards: Pieters and Giles @ 40.

[SvN]

West Brom away is always difficult, hence the Boro price. But I am confident.
I don't mean to be a cunt, but I read this just as West Brom went 2-0 up after 10 minutes and had to chuckle:D

[Waffdon]

I’ll take the blame :lol:

[Ben]

I don't mean to be a cunt, but I read this just as West Brom went 2-0 up after 10 minutes and had to chuckle:D

Never doubt the bookies.

[Waffdon]

Fuck off, Dumbarton.

[Waffdon]

£5 Leyton Orient, Falkirk, Middlesbrough, Bolton, Stevenage, Sheff Wed @ 120
£5 Dunfermline, Queens Park, Eastleigh, Reading, Barnsley, Crewe @180
£10 Crewe, Dunfermline, Dumbarton, Bolton, Sheff Wed @ 29

Going with that I think.

Eastleigh winner would be sound. Down to 10 men though.

[Baz]

https://i.ibb.co/hfc2LQ8/Screenshot-20230225-113726-Sky-Bet.jpg

Not a tip as such but heard all four of these Christian Williams horses have a good chance today.

1 win, 3 places?

[Lofty]

Yeah, my win only Lucky 15 struck out. My mate put a fiver e/w on an acca and returned £95. Si Elegant drifted to 16s.

[Ben]

I've gone Preston, Luton and Blackburn @ 25 because they all seem overpriced but are still favourites.

:thbup:

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Andy Robertson winning me a double (with Clyne) card bet at the death :cool:

[Manc]

Knappe coming back from the dead to T6. Legend.

[Lofty]

Yeah nice tip cheers, covers my bets for this afternoon.

[Baz]

Jake Paul to win @ nearly evens

[niko_cee]

Anyone got a decent stream for this Fury business?

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Jake Paul to win @ nearly evens

Draw @ 11.5 for me.