The Betting Thread

[Mazuuurk]

See, this is what I don't get:


The in play bet is refunded if you lose.

It is not? You've forked out 100, if you lose the second bet but win the first, you've still lost about £45 in total?

[Offshore Toon]

As Sincere said, your in-play bet is refunded so that -£47 turns into profit of £3 which gives you a free acca at the weekend. Just remember to do the safe bet pre-match and the risky bet in-play.

[Offshore Toon]

See, this is what I don't get:



It is not? You've forked out 100, if you lose the second bet but win the first, you've still lost about £45 in total?
The second bet should always be over 2.0 odds, so you'll get £100 or more back. The first bet's purpose is for you to qualify for the £50 in-play offer, that's why you go with something very, very safe.

[SincereTheRebel]

The safest option is the BTTS in the first half options. But i dont live by life in any safe option so i prefer the over 0.5 goals and predict the correct score option.

[Offshore Toon]

Looking at Atletico's form and I'm not particularly confident in the 0-0. As much as my head tells me Atletico will win, that 12/1 for Leicester is very, very appealing.

[Mazuuurk]

Wait, are you fuckers talking about one of these deals that the betting sites do where they give you back cash for the first bet? :cab:

If so that would make sense. Because I still can't make sense of how placing two bets ever cover each other otherwise, unless you find a binary bet with 2.0+ odds on option A on one site and 2.0+ on option B on another site (which, I learned the hard way, you should still stay the fuck clear of if it happens).

Sometimes you'll get stuff like

H / D / A
2.8 - 3.5 - 3.5, at which case you can almost cover yourself by betting on D & A and then hope there isn't an early goal and that the odds go up above 3.0 for H.

[Offshore Toon]

Yeah, you get your money back if the in-play bet loses.

[Mazuuurk]

What the fuck, so they just hand out money to people?

I only ever bet on the Betfair Exchange and that never happens there obviously.

[Offshore Toon]

Yeah, pretty much. Its a great offer. I didn't think it would last long initially but its been going for years.

[Mazuuurk]

Which site is it?

[Reg]

bet365

Atletico basically never concede at home in the Champions League so I think I'll avoid those Leicester odds even though they're so high. I do have a feeling they might do it though... And we all know the secret to success in betting is trusting very vague feelings!

[Mazuuurk]

I really can't tell a single one of the games tonight.

Usually, like Reg implies, that means just go with the highest odds on everything and hope for an upset.


Leicester seemingly being without Morgan might really hurt them though. And Athletico are still industrious enough to not expose themselves too much at the back, like teams like City might, so who knows.

[Offshore Toon]

bet365

Atletico basically never concede at home in the Champions League so I think I'll avoid those Leicester odds even though they're so high. I do have a feeling they might do it though... And we all know the secret to success in betting is trusting very vague feelings!
They conceded to Rostov. Their clean sheet record really isn't all that good. Factor in that Leicester have the potential to seriously up their game and Griezman being a bottler, I'm going for Leicester.

[Reg]

They conceded to Rostov. Their clean sheet record really isn't all that good. Factor in that Leicester have the potential to seriously up their game and Griezman being a bottler, I'm going for Leicester.
4 goals conceded in their last 20 home CL games.

[Offshore Toon]

4 goals conceded in their last 20 home CL games.
I see that Rostov goal was the only goal conceded this season as well. Fuck sake, Reg. I had my mind made up. Now I'm tempted by 0-0 again.

[Reg]

:D

I've gone with £5 Atletico 1-0 @5

Not sure about the in-play yet.

[Offshore Toon]

I've reverted back to Leicester. The dream run shall continue. Piss off with your logic.

[Waffdon]

Griezmann only has an issue bottling it in a final. He's scored winners against Barcelona, Bayern and abdy else they face in knockout stages. And his form since the turn of the years been immense. Their clean sheets have been somewhat iffy compared to previous as Oblak was injured for months.

Reg: why just a fiver? Surely just take advantage of the full £50?

[Offshore Toon]

Griezmann is a bottler, tra, la la, la la

[Reg]

Reg: why just a fiver? Surely just take advantage of the full £50?
There's no way to actually make sure you don't lose money, is there?

[Offshore Toon]

There's no way to actually make sure you don't lose money, is there?
Leicester, storia di un grande amore!

Have you not been reading this thread at all? Me and Sincere have gone through it. IT IS FREE MONEY*.

*although it states in the T&Cs that you aren't allowed to use methods that guarantee profit, I've never known this to be put into action, and most of my mates have won hundreds at some point.

[Reg]

I didn't see that Sincere post, but I know of this bet365 thing.

So it states that in the T&C yet nobody ever has their account shut down when they take advantage of this offer?

[Offshore Toon]

You wouldn't have your account shut down, you just wouldn't get your money back from the in-play bet is my understanding. Like I said, as far as I've heard/read it has never happened.

[-james-]

I'm almost certain they will never do anything about people guaranteeing themselves money.

If you do it right it's a free £50 or whatever every time it rolls around.

It's worth it to them because it gets people using their website, and because people will either fuck up guaranteeing profit or go for something hollywood.

[Waffdon]

Just cover the 0-0 with a fiver on sky bet if you're that worried, surely?

Thinking £50 Atletico -1 pre match now. It's happening.

[Offshore Toon]

The most you can guarantee no matter the result is between £25 and £30. That's what I used to do until it wasn't enough.

[Foe]

Over 0.5 in the before, and I'm sorely tempted by Athletico to miss a pen at 16/1.

PLying football at 6.55 so going to need to chuck it on immediately after the game on my phone.

[Foe]

Missed pen in the wrong game. :uhoh:

[Boydy]

Bet365 won't let me log in for some reason. :moop:

[Waffdon]

Bottled standard handicap for pre match and stuck -1 AH @1.50. Might leave it ten minutes in play to see the odds.

[Offshore Toon]

Outside the box. :moop:

[Boydy]

Ugh. I'd just gone for the Leicester win in-play at 13.

[Reg]

in-play
£5
HT Correct Score: Atletico 1-0
@1.50

[Offshore Toon]

This is all set up to make the victory for Leicester more dramatic.

[Foe]

They weren't offering pens in play so I've completely bottled it and backed vardy to score any time :(

[Adamski]

in-play
£5
HT Correct Score: Atletico 1-0
@1.50

Fuck sake Reg :D

[Reg]

Don't knock my £2.50 dude.

[Reg]

£5 Juventus @2.75


I've gone with £5 Atletico 1-0 @5


in-play
£5
HT Correct Score: Atletico 1-0
@1.50
£31.25 profit :)

Time to blow it all on Albanian 3rd division 1st goalscorer bets!

[Offshore Toon]

We woz robbed. Anyway, £3.13 profit for a weekend accumulator.

[-james-]

http://i.imgur.com/jZWLIB8.png

Rough week. :|

[Offshore Toon]

How much did you stick on Leicester?

Real and Monaco prices were mad tonight tbh.

[-james-]

I had a tiny bet on Monaco and broke even on Atletico, won on Real.

Trust Champions League to be the only thing I can make a penny on.

[Waffdon]

Both bets have been refunded. Pointless nights work.

[AyDee]

http://i.imgur.com/jZWLIB8.png

Rough week. :|

What's killed you this week? I thought April had started pretty well for most but seems i was very wrong.

[-james-]

Just losing every bet. Swerving every winner. Won 4 of my last 26. Too big on Tucuman last night in particular.


I'm still up for April, the first five days were incredible. Lost 4 bets of my first 30.

Good old variance.

[AyDee]

Funny how variance works. I was having a pretty underwhelming year but enjoying my best ever month at the moment. 13% RoI, need this to continue.

[Offshore Toon]

Withdrew £50 at 10pm last night and £50 at 5am. Neither have hit my account and I'm not really expecting the 5am transaction to come through this weekend. Nothing yet, though. /o\

[Offshore Toon]

Close-of-business and no money. Yer deed, Waff.

[Waffdon]

I've got my money i withdrew last night. Soz mate x

[Samadini]

If you can use Paypal in future and you'll get it in a few hours.

[Offshore Toon]

Yeah, but then won't it take a couple of days to get it in your bank account from PayPal?

[Samadini]

I get mine same day.

[Offshore Toon]

It takes them about 3 working days to take money out of my account so I assumed it'd be similar.

[Mazuuurk]

Who is AyDee?

[Offshore Toon]

Annoying Devil.

[igor_balis]

Found a tenner on the floor on the way to work. Got myself lunch and put a random £6 bet on a horse. Fucker won me a tidy £22!!! Reinvested £10 on another bet which lost, but I'm still BUZZING lads.

[Waffdon]

What did you buy for lunch?

[igor_balis]

"Naked Chicken Burrito Salad" and "Spiced Chicken & Mango Salad" (2 for £3, the latter will be my lunch on Saturday), a reduced pack of watermelon (30p), a reduced mixed fruit thing (80p), and a double espresso from Nero (£2).

[Boydy]

"Naked Chicken Burrito Salad" and "Spiced Chicken & Mango Salad" (2 for £3, the latter will be my lunch on Saturday), a reduced pack of watermelon (30p), a reduced mixed fruit thing (80p), and a double espresso from Nero (£2).

Is that basically just a chicken and rice salad?

[igor_balis]

Is that basically just a chicken and rice salad?

"Marinated chicken with basmati rice, salsa, iceberg lettuce and red cabbage with a sour cream and chipotle pepper dressing."

So, well, yeah. I'd be depressed if I ate stuff like that for all my meals, but I'm glad shit like this is my sorta...default option for lunch now, rather than a quadruple chicken bacon cheese wrap combo and a packet of crisps or whatever.

[Adamski]

"Naked Chicken Burrito Salad" and "Spiced Chicken & Mango Salad" (2 for £3, the latter will be my lunch on Saturday), a reduced pack of watermelon (30p), a reduced mixed fruit thing (80p), and a double espresso from Nero (£2).

I believe this comes to £6.10 plus the £6 bet equals £12.10.

Can you explain where the additional £2.10 came from?

[Boydy]

Yeah, it sounds nice. I just don't know why they bother to call it that. Why not just call it a Mexican chicken salad or something instead of the stupid naked burrito part.

[Waffdon]

"Naked Chicken Burrito Salad" and "Spiced Chicken & Mango Salad" (2 for £3, the latter will be my lunch on Saturday), a reduced pack of watermelon (30p), a reduced mixed fruit thing (80p), and a double espresso from Nero (£2).

Feel slightly cheated for my £3 Tesco meal deal and chewing gum.

I've got a fiver on Celta+btts, btts in Man Utd game and lacazette fgs.

[Adamski]

Sex sells, Boydy.

[igor_balis]

Full disclosure: I paid for my coffee on my card. However, as I counted the 2nd salad as lunch for another day, it still counts. Sort of.

[Adamski]

Full disclosure: I paid for my coffee on my card. However, as I counted the 2nd salad as lunch for another day, it still counts. Sort of.

Absolutely. Thanks for the clarification.

[Mazuuurk]

Meanwhile I'm on United for a fiver or so @1.8. Contemplating a trade out of 50% of the spoils as, well, United can't close games.

[Mazuuurk]

Meanwhile I'm on United for a fiver or so @1.8. Contemplating a trade out of 50% of the spoils as, well, United can't close games.

:moop:

[Foe]

Normally spend a good 30-45 minutes compiling an accumulator at the weekend. Didn't realise english games were played today. Scrambled at work for 30 seconds and put this on.

Sheff United to beat Port Vale. Won
Rotherham to draw with Birmingham. Won
Fulham to beat Norwich. Won
Brighton to beat Wolves. (2-0 Wolves with 5 minutes to play).
Burton to draw with Ipswich.

Chucked on the usual 2.50 and it returns 270.

Thoughts on Burton v Ipswich?

[AyDee]

Burton is the value side in that game, according to a friend who follows the league.

[mo]

Normally spend a good 30-45 minutes compiling an accumulator at the weekend. Didn't realise english games were played today. Scrambled at work for 30 seconds and put this on.

Sheff United to beat Port Vale. Won
Rotherham to draw with Birmingham. Won
Fulham to beat Norwich. Won
Brighton to beat Wolves. (2-0 Wolves with 5 minutes to play).
Burton to draw with Ipswich.

Chucked on the usual 2.50 and it returns 270.

Thoughts on Burton v Ipswich?

Christ, that is unfortunate. Still, get your stake back :p

[Pleb]

Lads I'm off to Newton Abbot races for the first time in my life today.

Advice would be amazing at this point :thbup:

[Foe]

The cash out was shit at half time (70 quid) and I was tired.

So I went to bed and hoped for the best. :(

[Reg]

For Monday: (This'd take us up :yn:)

£5
Brighton and Derby double
@3.83

[Waffdon]

Lovely looking odds for Atletico and Monaco.

[Reg]

Real Madrid for me. £5 @2.4

[Reg]

£5 in play on Chelsea in 90m @4

edit: made the deposit without putting the bet on :face:

[Reg]

I have a few quid on BTTS-No in the United game at 1.775.

Anyone betting on el clasico tonight?

[Reg]

£0.50 Ronaldo 1st goalscorer and Real Madrid 2-1 @29
£1 BTTS 2nd half, each team 4+ corners, 7+ yellow cards in match @7
£4 Real Madrid and under 4.5 @3

[Smiffy]

.....

[Reg]

£5 Cardiff Draw No Bet @2.3
£5 Birmingham Draw No Bet @1.72
£5 Crystal Palace @1.8

[Offshore Toon]

Should have stuck your money on your lot of pissheads to bottle it.

[Reg]

Someone's a bit annoyed their team's not top of the league.

[Offshore Toon]

Caring about football is for children.

[Reg]

You've been posting in the football threads a lot for someone who doesn't care.

[Offshore Toon]

Find a post that displays anything more than a mild interest.

[Smiffy]

Should have stuck your money on your lot of pissheads to bottle it.

Don't worry, Toon. I got this.


Newcastle at 18/1 to win the league is worth a tenner.

Brighton may be too partied out for tonight, an unexpected draw against Bristol City follows a defeat on the final day to Villa. Newcastle three shitty wins but enough to surpass those in blue and white.

:nodd:

EDIT: Better yet, add a Chelsea collapse then that Tottenham double will be 113/1.

"Football....bloody hell."

:cool: I'll throw a fiver your way.

[Offshore Toon]

Now that's how you waste money.

[Smiffy]

.....

[Offshore Toon]

I'm genuinely all for high odds. Where's the fun in winning a fiver?

[Offshore Toon]

0-0 in Palace-Burnleh

[Reg]

£5 Spurs to win first half @3.40
Missed a sitter and hit the bar so far, but I think it's coming.

Edit: It wasn't. Profit of £7.95 last 2 months. I'll take it.

[Reg]

Got a quid on each of Griezmann first scorer @6.5 and Atletico & U2.5 @8.5

Bookies have Real as big favourites. They've not looked amazing to me.

Edit: lol

[Reg]

Celta v Man Utd

£5 btts-yes @1.95
£1 Celta/MU HT/FT @29

[The Merse]

Nice slice of luck started with my mother messaging me asking me to place a fiver on a horse her mate owns at 19-1. She lost, but I also stuck a fiver on one of its competitiors and it won. Kicked myself for having gone each way, but whacked the winnings (£23) on a five fold returning £363. Was mega pissed when Austria Wien A had 2 player sent off with half an hour to go, and then when Kongsvinger equalised in the 93rd minute, but somehow the former held out and the latter conspired to still lose the game to a 95th minute winner.

Almost cashed out for £50 with Dundee Utd 1-0 down at half time, but kept going until they were 1-0 down thinking my luck couldn't hold and again at 2-1 up for £200 but got a call from the gf which stopped me using the app amd subsequently I returned to it with Juve and Dundee Utd a couple of minutes away from winning their respective ties.

Nice bit of luck not only in the games but the motivation to place the bet and no cash out.

http://i68.tinypic.com/2n8botu.png

[Offshore Toon]

New offer from Bet365 seems pretty awesome:

2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer
With our fantastic new offer, place a pre-match single bet on the Full Time Result market and if the team you back to win goes 2 goals ahead at any stage during the match, we will settle your bet early as a winner.

[Weaver]

Love that, The Merse.

I've tallied up my gambling losses this year and I'm £13.99 down since January 1st.

[AyDee]

WiilliamHill have fucked up two of their 'yourodds' offers (where someone requests a bet and they offer it to all customers):

Fulham v Reading = fulham o1 corner in each half, fulham o2 corner in each half, fulham o3 corner in each half
Rangers game = same bets as above but rangers o1, o2 etc.

2.37, 5.5 and 17.00 are the odds. Not worked out what the correct odds are for the Fulham game but for Rangers they should be 1.33, 2.10 and 4.00.

So worth having a little bet on those six markets.

[AyDee]

Probably should have mentioned why it's such an obvious fuck-up: they've given fulham and rangers the odds of their opponents, i.e. Reading's odds for o1 in each half are 1.33 whilst Fulham's are 2.37. Should be the other way around.

[Baz]

WiilliamHill have fucked up two of their 'yourodds' offers (where someone requests a bet and they offer it to all customers):

Fulham v Reading = fulham o1 corner in each half, fulham o2 corner in each half, fulham o3 corner in each half
Rangers game = same bets as above but rangers o1, o2 etc.

2.37, 5.5 and 17.00 are the odds. Not worked out what the correct odds are for the Fulham game but for Rangers they should be 1.33, 2.10 and 4.00.

So worth having a little bet on those six markets.
Did you make much money off this?

Fulham vs Reading
https://i.imgur.com/eIpMY39.png

Rangers vs Hearts
https://i.imgur.com/hgwhfbx.png

I was at work at the time so couldn't faff around creating a William Hill account to take advantage. :(

I've got this one cooking:

https://i.imgur.com/Bqr9vb6.png

C'mon you Saints. Pays out £50.63.

[Baz]

Sergio Romero owes me £50. :moop:

[SincereTheRebel]

Christian Eriksen to Real Madrid.

[niko_cee]

Odds?

Good to have you back.

[Baz]

I've bet my entire [undisclosed] SkyBet balance on Palace to win at 13/8. Free money. :drool:

[Adam]

Fancy a fair few goals to end the season, you can get mental odds for BTTS in both halves. I might stick a treble on for insane returns, tempted to back Palace as well think I will wait till team news is out though.

[Reg]

About a month ago I put a fiver on Nadal @2.87 and 50p on Wawrinka @9 to win the French Open. After seeing Djokovic's amazing performance tonight, I've put a fiver on him @4.

Might end up with a loss now but better to cover the Nadal bet as I feel I've got all bases covered with those three. Thiem and Zverev are doing great but not quite ready.

[-james-]

2. Bundesliga final day bets:

Union 0.0, +0.5 at 1.95
1860 -0.5 at 1.91
Aue 0.0 at 2.01
Arminia -0.0, -0.5 at 1.91
Wurzburger +1, +1.5 at 2.01

Cardboard for dinner if 0/5

[-james-]

1.5/5

Toenails it is.

[Foe]

What's your P/L for the season then dino?

Split down by league/ bet type / country.

The post season analysis.

[-james-]

Highest turnover leagues/countries since August, though it's still a small sample size for some of them:

http://i.imgur.com/VKSYbwa.png

http://imgur.com/a/gaCjx

Germany has been great. I've been a bit silly with Premier League betting so I should be doing less of that next season. Mainstream Asian stuff will be binned off entirely. Friendlies and internationals I think I've just ran really badly on but there's a few things I'll change.

http://imgur.com/a/LnlRg

I'm way too prone to shit overs stream bets, and apparently I underestimate home advantage

It's been ok but I'd have liked the numbers to be a lot better. Going to try a more specialised approach next season.

[Foe]

In some respects I'm very jealous of what you're doing. Can imagine it's difficult though because you'd have to be disciplined and have a side stream pulling off earnings into an untouchable "life" pot to make the whole thing work.

[Baz]

https://i.imgur.com/Zfb7Xd3_d.jpg?maxwidth=640&shape=thumb&fidelity=high

[-james-]

Hard to express how badly you're being ripped off there. Should be about 140/1

[SvN]

11/1 :harold:

[SvN]

BTTS is about evens
Ajax in 90 is about 2/1
Dolberg and Klaasan to score is 16/1 alone on Betfair

[Baz]

All my bets lose so whether it's 11/1, 28/1 or 140/1 it doesn't really matter.

Makes a game more interesting though. :)

[AyDee]

I'm way too prone to shit overs stream bets, and apparently I underestimate home advantage.

HFA may just be a symptom of the problem, which may be that you're staking too many minuses (with a minus more likely to be the home team).

[-james-]

But I do better on home teams than away teams, so surely I'm not staking enough minuses. I actually stake more pluses than minuses and do worse on them.

[AyDee]

Fair enough. I need to go through my spreadsheet to make general pluses/minuses stats, imagine I do a lot better on pluses than minuses though.

I don't stake goal-line bets at all anymore, apart from Mackers when he tips a goal-line bet in SA. Think it's very difficult to achieve as good a long-term RoI on goals as you can manage on asians.

[AyDee]

Wait, are your stats above just for the year? 4,000 bets? :eyemouth:

[-james-]

4000 stakes. That's from the automated spreadsheet mollybet gives you so probably loads of low limit games or games where I've traded. There's a random Danish game that I apparently had 97 bets on as well which definitely isn't right. I've had about 1000 bets this year.

You're right about overs in games you're just stream betting I think. Circumstancial late overs are some of the best bets going though.

[AyDee]

Ah, I see. I'm at 1,100-1,200 so similar amount. How's the year going for you so far? I'm bemoaning the fact that I started with such reduced stakes when going full-time last August, upping stakes quicker each month now instead.

Late overs are class but overrated imo. The absolute class overs bets are rarer than people think, which is probably why people end up with high volume of overs bets but usually a poor RoI.

[-james-]

I'm having a decent year. Had no accounts and making good money in Asia so can't complain. Invested a lot of time and effort into the 2.Bundesliga stuff, pleased with how it's gone mostly but looking forward to changing and expanding it a fair bit for next season.

I've been busy with other stuff for the past 6 weeks or so and am away from home for most of the summer. Poses a bit of a challenge as the idea of being out of the game for so long makes me nervous (addiction etc.). Just going to follow the good international stuff that's on and hopefully make back the holiday.

[Mike]

BTTS and Ajax for later.

[Reg]

a quid on each of:

Man Utd in ET @11
Man Utd on pens @13

[Offshore Toon]

Ajax/Man Utd
Half time/full time

[Offshore Toon]

Sanchez and Arsenal 1-0

[Offshore Toon]

Probably a bit early but I'm not complaining.

[-james-]

Zambia u20s are a huge price vs Germany later today

[Offshore Toon]

I've gone - 1.5 with £5. Let's hope this comes in, Jimmy boy.

[Mazuuurk]

Why would Zambia be expected to beat Germany...?

[AyDee]

Germany are dog shit at this level, sounds like Zambia should be faves.

[Mazuuurk]

Hmm Germany are winning now anyway... Might stay out of this one.

[Offshore Toon]

Decent tip, James, but hard to stomach that. Zambia 3-1 up with minutes to spare. I was hovering over the 'cash out' button, stupidly determined to hold out even though I couldn't help but dread the idea of relying on African defenders. Finished 3-3. I sweat I've lost about £200 through not cashing out in the past year.

[Jimmy Floyd]

They went through in extra time so you can back them against France in the next round.

Champions Trophy starts today. Pakistan are grossly overpriced at 30 on the Betfair exchange outrights. They won't win it, but are in the weaker group (in these conditions) and could easily go through to the semis at which point you'll be able to trade out in single figures.

[Mazuuurk]

Tomas Berdych fucked up what by the looks of it otherwise would have been a bit of an epic Accum :moop:

[-james-]

They went through in extra time so you can back them against France in the next round.


Italians did the job versus Jean-Kevin Mbappe & co. :cool:

Italy are going to win it I think. Zambia haven't a chance.

England vs Mexico promises to be the worst match of all time.

[Reg]

Carreno-Busta and Ramos-Vinolas double @4.4

Real Madrid in extra time @12
Real Madrid on penalties @11

[Offshore Toon]

http://i.imgur.com/vTclZcQ.png

All tips welcome this weekend. If I don't find money from somewhere it may have to be a sober Glastonbury (or a debt-ridden one, anyway).

[Mazuuurk]

Are you fucking kidding me with Andorra and Cyprus fucking shit up?

[Offshore Toon]

Not even angry. Mon the Swedes.

[Mazuuurk]

Yeah what the fuck :cab:

Quite chuffed.

[Boydy]

Had £3 on draws in the Ireland - Austria, Moldova - Georgia, Serbia - Wales and Iceland - Croatia games. It would've returned almost £400.

Iceland scored in the 90th minute. :moop:

[Jimmy Floyd]

Champions Trophy starts today. Pakistan are grossly overpriced at 30 on the Betfair exchange outrights. They won't win it, but are in the weaker group (in these conditions) and could easily go through to the semis at which point you'll be able to trade out in single figures.

Now 6.8 :drool:

I've greened so they will now win it.

[Max Power]

I whacked £50 on England ages ago at 4.5 and forgot about it until a couple days ago. Stupidly short but I still fully think we'll win it.

[Boydy]

Jimmy Floyd - any tips for the US Open?

[Mellberg]

Justin Rose @ 26 is a glorious price.

[Mellberg]

£8.60 E/W on him.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Jimmy Floyd - any tips for the US Open?

I'm looking at it tomorrow but the course is absolutely mental and anyone who doesn't hit the ball straight off the tee is not in contention. Rickie Fowler might as well not turn up, and Mickelson literally hasn't turned up.

Without seeing odds I'd be thinking dull Americans in the game - Kuchar, Kisner, Walker and so on. Stricker might be a good one each way as I think he's a local and is very straight (albeit old).

[Jimmy Floyd]

Just seen the odds - Rose is a good price but not good enough to tempt me on the nose.

Stenson on the nose 35/1

Each way:
Alex Noren 66/1
Kaymer 100/1
Snedeker 150/1
Bill Haas 280/1

I see Davis Love IV, aka 'Dru Love' (quadruple) popping up towards the bottom of the odds.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Now 6.8 :drool:

I've greened so they will now win it.

2.58 :face:

[Weaver]

2.58 :face:

Whoops.

Haven't seen any of the tournament, but you nailed that.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I think it's one of my best ever tips, along with Netherlands to beat England in the World T20 that time.

Pro tip Floyd: stick to cricket.

[Baz]

I think it's one of my best ever tips, along with Netherlands to beat England in the World T20 that time.

Pro tip Floyd: stick to cricket.

I saw it and thought it was a good bet to back them to win Group B. :face:

Nice one though.

[Reg]

Dimitrov to win Wimbledon worth checking out https://www.oddschecker.com/tennis/wimbledon/mens/mens-wimbledon-2017/winner

[Reg]

Wimbledon 'to reach final'

Cilic @9
Kyrgios @12
Dimitrov @13

[Baz]

Liverpool to win the league 10/1
Liverpool to win the Champions Leauge 25/1

Not gonna bet until Cheltenham festival now. See you in March. :arry:

[Reg]

Karolina Pliskova to win Wimbledon @5.5

[Boydy]

Any tips on the men's?

[Reg]

Any tips on the men's?
Outrights? For best value, Kyrgios and Dimitrov. I think Federer is the favourite.

Hope you avoided Kyrgios, Boydy. :uhoh:

[Reg]

Venus won today and you can still get her @15 (on bet365, may be higher elsewhere).

[Boydy]

I put a quid each way on the guy who won Queen's (Feliciano Lopez, I think?) at 100/1.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Tommy Fleetwood absolutely sorted my finances out yesterday and I never posted the tip, so to double the poor form I will now tip Matthew Fitzpatrick for the Irish Open at a chunky 35/1.

[Foe]

Tommy Fleetwood absolutely sorted my finances out yesterday and I never posted the tip, so to double the poor form I will now tip Matthew Fitzpatrick for the Irish Open at a chunky 35/1.

What was the scoop for Fleetword JF?

Apparently finding historic odds on golf is impossible.

[John]

Outrights? For best value, Kyrgios and Dimitrov. I think Federer is the favourite.

Hope you avoided Kyrgios, Boydy. :uhoh:

I don't think I could enjoy a bet on Kyrgios to win Wimbledon, because it would require Kyrgios to win Wimbledon.

[Jimmy Floyd]

What was the scoop for Fleetword JF?

Apparently finding historic odds on golf is impossible.

25. Nothing amazing for golf but any sort of winner in golf is a plus, that said it's only my second of the season after Garcia at the Masters.

The PGA Tour this season has been more or less a weekly raffle, and it's all just one redneck twat after another anyway, I am a lot more comfortable with the European stuff.

Oh and Fitz has gone up to 46 now, presumably because Flybe lost his clubs.

[Reg]

Venus won today and you can still get her @15 (on bet365, may be higher elsewhere).
£3 on.

[Jimmy Floyd]

lol, just dug up my 3 month Betfair summary.

http://i.imgur.com/z8Ojgix.png

Fuck you, Theresa May.

[SincereTheRebel]

Zlatan next club
Malmo @20
Bayern Munich @50

[-james-]

Hefty bet on the Glasgow Celtic.

[SincereTheRebel]

Hefty bet on the Glasgow Celtic.

Handicap?

[-james-]

I don't want to talk about it.

[Reg]

Bet365 are doing a Wimbledon offer:
Place a pre-match single bet on the Wimbledon men's Singles final and we'll give you a risk free In-Play bet to the same stake (up to £5) on the big match. T&Cs apply.
How it works:
- Place a bet on the Wimbledon men's Singles final before the match starts.
- Once the action begins, place another bet on any In-Play market on the big match.
- If your FIRST In-Play bet loses we will refund this stake, up to the same value as your largest pre-match bet (max refund £5).
Only customers who receive the promotional email and/or web message are eligible for this offer.

I've just gone with a boring
Federer to win @1.18

Then I might go with set betting (maybe Fed in 4) depending on how the start goes.

[Reg]

In-play I've gone with Federer in 4 sets @3.75

[Weaver]

Any favourites for the golf this weekend?

Sky Bet are paying ten places for 1/5th of the odds if anyone fancies a long odds player to do well.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Fowler and Fleetwood are my picks for the Open, but they're both so short at 18 and 28 on Betfair.

Schwartzel 110 is quite long, as is Wiesberger 200.

[Boydy]

Did you put anything on Schwartzel?

Any tips after the first day?

[Jimmy Floyd]

I have a tenner on Charl and a fiver on Bernd, and 20 each on Fowler/Fleetwood. Tommy is dead though.

The people who started later today (and earlier tomorrow) look like they're massively having the better of the draw, with the wind getting nasty during the day tomorrow. There could be value in someone who's currently on about level or +1, but starts as early as possible to come through the field.

If I had to pick who's going to be in the final pair for Saturday, I'd say Casey and Kuchar, although that will require Kuch to have two good days in a row, which is something he is normally averse to doing.

Forget Rory, he is a surprisingly shite wind player given he's from Portrush.

[Boydy]

Probably because he's not from Portrush.

He's a sheltered east coast lad.

[Boydy]

I've got a quid each way on Austin Connelly at 150/1, Stuart Manley at 400/1 and Sung Kang at 150/1. Each way bets on long shots who were decently placed after the first day won me a little bit on the Irish Open so I'll try that again.

[SincereTheRebel]

Sanchez to barcelona @16.

Once neymar leaves, hopefully barcawill go back in for him.

Edit: Managed to get it @26 with betvictor. Another £25

[SincereTheRebel]

Portsmouth @2 vs Rochdale

[-james-]

Man Utd outright at 9/2
Chelsea top 4 lay at 1.3
Watford to finish top 10 at 8/1
Burnley, Huddersfield and Stoke to go down at 50/1

[Weaver]

Had a nightmare with my bets for the cup games last night.

Had a £3 8 fold (became a 7 fold when Derby voided) which was winning at about 65 minutes, but then Barnsley were pegged back to 3-3 so I left it a while and cashed out for £9.90.

You can't withdraw less than £10 on Sky Bet, so I lobbed the £9.90 on Ipswich to win 1-0 (already 1-0 with about two minutes to go) only for them to literally score seconds later, and then I had a look and saw that Barnsley scored a 94th minute winner too.

Could've had £74 from a winning bet, ended up with £0 instead!

[Reg]

Burnley, Huddersfield and Stoke to go down at 50/1
I like these odds. Was my pick in the prediction thread, surprised it's so high. I've followed at the same odds. Also:

Hemed our top PL scorer @17
Man Utd unbeaten PL season @101 ( Jimmy Floyd - had a look?)

[Jimmy Floyd]

Those are great odds, I'll get involved.

[Boydy]

Stoke to go down?

[Offshore Toon]

Small amounts on o4.5, o5.5 and o6.5 for Liverpool v Watford.

[-james-]

Stoke to go down?

Why not. The first two seem obvious but I can't be arsed at their respective odds. It's not unfathomable that Stoke will be shit and I was enticed by the big number.

[Baz]

Because Swansea.

[Baz]

Those are great odds, I'll get involved.Lindelof will owe you money, come the end of the season. (He's one of the worst defenders ever to wear a United shirt.)

[Manc]

Mane FGS.

[Foe]

Brentford to beat Forest at home.
Leeds to beat Preston at home.
Hull to beat Burton at home.
Fulham to beat Reading away.
Bradford to beat Gillingham away.
Livingston to beat Brechin away.
Raith to beat Stranraer at home.
Peterhead to beat Elgin at home.
Everton to beat Stoke at home.
Fleetwood to beat Northampton away.

10 fold accumulator @ like 450/1 and small stake singles.

Saturdays :cool:

[SincereTheRebel]

Small amounts on o4.5, o5.5 and o6.5 for Liverpool v Watford.

This is nice. I managed to get over 2.5 in play at evans when it was still 0-0.

[Offshore Toon]

Not too confident. There have been long periods of dreadful, boring football.

[Offshore Toon]

Nice. Cashed out the o5.5 bet since it was a pretty good return (£8 instead of potential £13).

[Offshore Toon]

I've stuck a quid on Watford.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

£2 on Watford
£1.5 on Andre Gray AGS
£1.5 on Richarlison AGS.

[Baz]

May as well chuck it down a grid.

[SincereTheRebel]

£10 on burnley @13.

Burnley have lost key players over the summer but this chelsea squad as a whole lacks depth. The first team is still strong, but their pre season, has been poor.

They will get relegated also.

[Kikó]

Lindelof will owe you money, come the end of the season. (He's one of the worst defenders ever to wear a United shirt.)

Complete bollocks.

[Offshore Toon]

I've backed 0-0 for CHE-BUR and BRI-MCI, 2-0 to Huddersfield and 3-0 to Everton. If all come in I'm going travelling. I've also backed Everton o2.5 and Huddersfield. Huddersfield beat us twice last year, I think, and Palace could struggle with their new formation.

[Foe]

Accumulator probably bust courtesy of a first minute Fulham red card. Magic. :moop:

[Trancemeister]

A fiver on Burnley HT at 6.00

[Baz]

£10 on burnley @13.

Burnley have lost key players over the summer but this chelsea squad as a whole lacks depth. The first team is still strong, but their pre season, has been poor.

They will get relegated also.:hail: :clap:

[Offshore Toon]

Sincere donned it. I wasn't expecting much from Chelsea, hence backing 0-0, but I should have had more faith in Burnleh.

[SincereTheRebel]

:hail: :clap:

Easily the most sucsefully day betting since i started. Had a five acca @22 and a three acca @9 come through. If man city beat brighton, it will take me past 600

[Offshore Toon]

I've backed 0-0 in this game, but if City score within 20 minutes I'll back them o4.5 as Brighton love a collapse.

[SincereTheRebel]

667 i took from yesterdays game.

After yesterdays peeformance, im sure chelsea will go out and buy players. Question is who? Im looking to put bets down on transfer specials. Any ideas on an available central midfielder?

Edit:

Veratti @23
Naby keita @51
Matudi @34
Vidal - cant find any odds on him joining chelsea

Also sturridge to join southampton @21

[Manc]

Messi & Kane hat tricks at 113/1. Tasty.

[SincereTheRebel]

Messi & Kane hat tricks at 113/1. Tasty.

who is that with?

[Reg]

Kane & Lukaku 1st goalscorers @16ish

[Boydy]

who is that with?

You can get 440/1 on Betfair now.

[SincereTheRebel]

Real madrid @3.5 against barcelona later looks like my bet of the day.

[Mazuuurk]

Neymar first scores @5.1 here. Stupid bet, but just looking for a bit of fun and somehow I got feeling for it.

Also on Juve to win @2.2, which is looking grim.

[Mazuuurk]

Real madrid @3.5 against barcelona later looks like my bet of the day.


On that too now @3.55. Not bad really.

[SincereTheRebel]

Nice

[Reg]

Tennis:

Venus Williams, Halep, Konta all to win @2.1

Premier League:

Everton relegated @151
Everton bottom Xmas day @201

[Manc]

I've just got Nice @ 10/1. Absurd price.

[Offshore Toon]

Ooh go on then. 13/1 on Bet365. Might do a tiny double with FC Astana too.

[SincereTheRebel]

Ive got with celtic and napoli double @2.3

I don think balotelli is playing.

Also the return spanish super cup is tonight, 10pm kick off

[Mazuuurk]

Thank youuu Olympiakos.
Fuck me.

https://snag.gy/rXGLxl.jpg

[Weaver]

Good bet, that, bet you were buzzing with that 93rd minute winner!

[Yevrah]

Is there a site where I can bet on the qualifying rounds of the FA Cup? Specifically the games tomorrow?

[Mazuuurk]

Good bet, that, bet you were buzzing with that 93rd minute winner!

Yeah I was out training and just checked the score, saw 0-1 and gave up on it. Then saw the notifications on my phone when I got back home :drool:

[Jimmy Floyd]

Not if you don't want to get whichever insider has given you the tip banged up for the next year.

[SincereTheRebel]

Is there a site where I can bet on the qualifying rounds of the FA Cup? Specifically the games tomorrow?

BET365 have today's FA qual games. They will probably have them tomorrow too. But you will have to wait until tomorrow until they become available to bet on.

[Yevrah]

Not if you don't want to get whichever insider has given you the tip banged up for the next year.

There's a game happening where I have it on good authority that most of the first team of the higher tiered team are missing due to a wedding.

[Jimmy Floyd]

:D

We've had that in cricket before but you wouldn't expect it in the cut throat world of semi-pro football.

[SincereTheRebel]

There's a game happening where I have it on good authority that most of the first team of the higher tiered team are missing due to a wedding.

Share the knowledge...

[Adam]

There's a game happening where I have it on good authority that most of the first team of the higher tiered team are missing due to a wedding.

:sherlock: Share...

[Jimmy Floyd]

Obviously he won't as if 5 people bet on an 8th v 9th tier game (or similar) at the same time the odds will either collapse or it will be suspended.

[-james-]

It depends on the game but there could well be plenty of bookies offering the game. High street bookie machines as well. Betway, bet365, skybet, 10bet, betvictor are likely decent shouts

I'm not sure the volume from on here would do that much, especially if it's spread about different sites.

What I'm trying to say is: feed us, yev.

[Offshore Toon]

Aye, go on, Yev, old buddy, old pal.

[Baz]

There's a game happening where I have it on good authority that most of the first team of the higher tiered team are missing due to a wedding.:brighton:

[Offshore Toon]

I didn't think it would be too hard to figure out but that's a very long fixture list.

[Yevrah]

I'll have a look tomorrow morning and I'll let you all know then.

There may well be no value in it anyway, as how the fuck do you compile odds for games at that level, but if I can share the love I will.

[Foe]

Shoved £19 worth of accumulators and trebles on tomorrow. Here's hoping the 42800/1 shot comes in.

Partick at 3.75 @ St Johnstone looks great value. Beat them 3-0 a week or so ago and Patrick's two losses were Hibs and Celtic.

[SincereTheRebel]

I play that super 6 with sky sports and rarely do i ever win. Decided to put £1 on at odds of 72000/1 on correct scores for the 6 games

[Jimmy Floyd]

Fourfold tomorrow.

AZ
Lyon
Bognor Regis
Blyth Spartans

4.57 to 1.

[Yevrah]

Can't find any bookies offering odds on the FA Cup games yet.

[Reg]

Got a few quid from that tennis bet so to potentially throw some of it away:

Man Utd 2-0 and Brighton 0-0 double @55
Man Utd win and Brighton draw double @5

[Max Power]

Liking Norwich at 3.3. Villa seem a pure mess.

[Offshore Toon]

I had Man Utd to not score in the first half. :moop:

[Offshore Toon]

Watford
Liverpool -1.5
Arsenal
Norwich

About 50/1

[Boydy]

Liverpool? To beat Palace? With Benteke playing for Palace?

[Offshore Toon]

De Boer has fucked them up.

[Baz]

De Boer has fucked them up.Bet your life savings on them tonight against Ipswich. Mick McCarthy will be calling up the ballboys.

[SincereTheRebel]

Bet your life savings on them tonight against Ipswich. Mick McCarthy will be calling up the ballboys.

-1.5 handicap @1.8

[Mazuuurk]

Alright then on that too.

Also this triple:

Sevilla - Turkish lot
Astana - Celtic
Nice - Sevilla

@11.25