The Betting Thread

[Jimmy Floyd]

My final team for the Masters (all e/w)

Spieth 8/1
Watson 16/1
Fleetwood 33/1
Noren 35/1
Smith 100/1
Fisher 125/1

[Boydy]

Oh shit, it starts tomorrow, doesn't it?

[Jimmy Floyd]

Yep. About lunchtime.

[Boydy]

Bets placed:

£1 E/W - Angel Cabrera @ 401
£1 E/W - Danny Willett @ 301
£2 E/W - Adam Scott @ 51
£2 E/W - Matt Kuchar @ 41
£5 E/W Justin Thomas @ 12

[Baz]

Justin Thomas WIN
Bubba Watson WIN
Patrick Reed EW
Patrick Cantlay EW
Russell Henley EW
And of course Kiradech Aphibarnrat EW

(EW places to 10th.)

[Jimmy Floyd]

Taking Baz's team over Boydy's there.

EW to 10th is a double edged sword because it absolutely slashes the prices. Absurd overround of like 150% on the market.

[Baz]

Bored between watching rugby and going to bed so I've put two 20-selection accumulators on, £1 each.

They're mostly a mix of over 1.5, 2.5 and 3.5 goals with a few handicaps thrown in for good measure.

One pays £976.27 and the other £3,606.35. :rosebud:

[SincereTheRebel]

Brechin are a funny case of ending up in a division which you're nowhere near good enough for.

Went up through the league one play-offs last season despite being perhaps the worst team in the league. Went off second favs against Stenhousemuir, who finished bottom, in the last game of the season, then fluked their way through the play-offs.

Could rather have done with knowing about all of this about eight months ago, instead of being filled in recently by someone who's been profiting off this information since August.

Brechin City vs St. Mirren -2 @1.8
Brechin havent won a league game in the scottish championship all season.

Hamburger SV vs Schalke 04 @1,8
Hamburger are rock button without a win the last 15 league games. Schalke are second with 5 wins in a row.

Edit: two hard loses this week. Other bets havent made up for loses. Down about £50 so far this weekend.

[Kikó]

Justin Thomas WIN
Bubba Watson WIN
Patrick Reed EW
Patrick Cantlay EW
Russell Henley EW
And of course Kiradech Aphibarnrat EW

(EW places to 10th.)

👍👍

[Jimmy Floyd]

What was he, 30/1? Great effort. I made about £130 off £40 stakes which is a lot better than I normally do. Roll on the US Open at Shinnecock.

[Boydy]

I won nothing.

Thomas was my highest place bet at what, joint 17th or something?

[Baz]

What was he, 30/1? Great effort. I made about £130 off £40 stakes which is a lot better than I normally do. Roll on the US Open at Shinnecock.40/1 on Sky bet.

All in I bet about £20 and won £104 so not bad. Withdrawn £100 to make up for recent losses, including Cheltenham, and got £4 to go again.

[Max Power]

Claude Puel next manager to leave at 66/1 is worth a couple quid.

Form is bad and the extremely strong dressing room has already started briefing the press about how shit he is. Owners always will side with players and aren’t afraid to pull trigger mid season.

[SincereTheRebel]

Italy - Serie B
Monday 9th April 2018
730pm
Avellino vs Perugia @2.3
Avellino have won two games this year. Perugia are fighting in the play-offs and have not lost in eight league games.

England - League 2
Tuesday 10th April
745pm
Morecambe @2.4 vs Chesterfield
20th vs 24th (bottom). Chesterfield have won two away games all season.

edit: Perugia lost and Morecambe drew

[Baz]

BTTS Liverpool win @ 9/1
Lovren to score and win @ 66/1
Firmino to score @ 7/2

Only £1 on each.

[Mazuuurk]

I'm on Man City to go through at 5.5 and on a draw between Roma & Barca at 4.6.

Starting nicely.

[Baz]

BTTS Liverpool win @ 9/1
Lovren to score and win @ 66/1
Firmino to score @ 7/2

Only £1 on each.
£14.50 return and into the semis. :thbup:

[Baz]

Aintree festival is upon us! I received three tips yesterday and they all came in. They all won too, nevermind placed.
Finian's Oscar 5-2
L'Ami Serge 5-1
Bentelimar 10-1
Needless to say, I didn’t back them. :( The treble would have been 230/1 too. Hopefully I’ll get some more tips today and stick £12 on a Trixie.

[Baz]

14:20 Vision Des Flos
14:50 Snow Falcon
16:05 Bouvreuil

[niko_cee]

Family bets on the national are as follows:

£5 Tiger Roll to win
£5 E/W Seeyouatmidnight
£2.50 E/W Chase the Spud
£2 E/W Milansbar
£2 E/W Baie Des Iles
£2 E/W Alpha Des Obeaux
£2 E/W Final Nudge
£2 E/W Chidlrens List

Backing the field. :cool:

[Baz]

Some bloke in Betfred yesterday asked the difference between win and each way. Good ol’ Grand National. :rosebud:

I’ve chosen so many horses, including Milansbar and those two French sounding ones above but it was getting out of hand so I’ve just gone for Raz De Maree and Bless The Wings mostly because of the jockeys.

[Spikey M]

I’m going to be repeating my tried and tested method of picking the horses with the names I like (and the ones my wife does) and then sticking a quid on the one with the longest odds.

[Kikó]

Bet365 is giving half back before 12 on Ew bets.

[Nick]

I’m going to be repeating my tried and tested method of picking the horses with the names I like (and the ones my wife does) and then sticking a quid on the one with the longest odds.

Absolutely the only way to pick horses for the national. Stuck a tenner on Gas Line Boy @ 26 and I Just Know @ 19 for that very reason.

Also got £10 on:

Boro
Swansea/Everton BTS
QPR vs Preston BTS
Bristol Rovers vs Blackburn BTS
Charlton vs Scunthorpe BTS

at around 19.

[-james-]

Alpha des obeaux e/w 40/1
Vieux Lion Rouge e/w 33/1
Houblon des obeaux e/w 33/1
Lord Windermere e/w 66/1
Pendra e/w 80/1


Anything under 25/1 is a scam. If I've picked the winner in the National I want to be bloody well rewarded for it.

[Spikey M]

Total Recall 11/1
Tiger Roll 14/1
Chase The Spud 22/1
Final Nudge 28/1
Children’s List 66/1
Pendra 100/1

All £1 E/W because I’m a regular fucking Rockefella.

[Magic]

Put a tenner on EW on Virgilio. 66/1

Also my accumulator being let down by Hull and Watford. :(

[Magic]

Put a tenner on EW on Virgilio. 66/1

Also my accumulator being let down by Hull and Watford. :(

Same thing happened with that many clouds cunt. Fuck horses.

[Spikey M]

One of them’s dead by the looks of it.

[Spikey M]

£8 profit. Make it rain.

[Bam]

Who come 5th?

[Shindig]

Tiger Roll was my workplace sweepstake one. Unfortunately, it's for restaurant vouchers rather than actual money. :moop:

[Magic]

Tiger Roll was my workplace sweepstake one. Unfortunately, it's for restaurant vouchers rather than actual money. :moop:

Bet it's Frankie & Bennys as well.

[Shindig]

It'll be Nando's or Ask Italian.

[Foe]

It'll be Nando's or Ask Italian.

Some say vouchers have a monetary value also shindig. Could just be rumours though.

[Boydy]

http://i65.tinypic.com/156c0vb.jpg

:drool:

Also had £2 each way on Warriors Tale which doesn't seem to have been settled yet for some reason but it hasn't won anything.

Sweepstake at work was useless though.

[Baz]

https://i.imgur.com/K9g30zJ.jpg

[Baz]

https://i.imgur.com/iPuahy6.jpg

In wiv da tipsta crew. :cool:

[SincereTheRebel]

Jesse Varvas @1.75 vs Adrien Broner - Is too goos to be true. Broner isn't worth picking in any somewhat 50/50 fight. I don't see broner winning at all.

[SincereTheRebel]

After reviewing this seasons football betting, I'm £423 in profit. Considering I bet every weekend, its pathetic. If I didn't come across Brechin the past month, I would have been negative £66 :lol:

They didn't record a win all season.

[-james-]

After reviewing this seasons football betting, I'm £423 in profit. Considering I bet every weekend, its pathetic. If I didn't come across Brechin the past month, I would have been negative £66 :lol:

They didn't record a win all season.


If you're a recreational gambler, I think any figure above zero is a job well done.

[Mazuuurk]

On that topic, are you planning on betting on the WC dino?

[Baz]

Huddersfield are 25/1 vs City. :lol:

[Mazuuurk]

City will win so yeah.

[-james-]

On that topic, are you planning on betting on the WC dino?

Yes. I'm not going to be able to watch 70 odd games of football without wanting to have money involved. I'm not sure how much time I'll have to do prep work on it, or really how I will approach it, so whether it is profitable or not remains to be seen.

I broke even on Euro 2016 iirc. Would have been a good tournament if I hadn't bet the farm on Ukraine being good, which they were very much not.

[-james-]

Australia to finish bottom of their group is the NAP though.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I'm never going to top backing Costa Rica to top the group last time out. One of those where in hindsight you regret the pathetic stake.

I probably know less about the teams this time than at any time since 1998, so it should be like childhood wonder again.

[Kikó]

My Boy Jack in the KENTUCKY DERBY YEEEHAAAA tonight. 25/1 on Bet365.

[Baz]

My Boy Jack in the KENTUCKY DERBY YEEEHAAAA tonight. 25/1 on Bet365.Why you betting on that? :D

From my very limited research I’d have gone with Hofburg @ 16/1 to WIN.

[Kikó]

Finished 5th. 30 from 10.

[-james-]

Got my wires crossed and entered the wrong B***ing thread. Eurovision:





Eurovision:

Cyprus @ 10.0
Czech Republic @ 16.5
Sweden @ 30.0

Top Balkan:
Croatia @ 20.0 (12.0+ fine)

Semi Final 1:
Azerbaijan to qualify at 2.3

Semi Final 2:
Russia to not qualify at 2.0


The Russia one is risky just because they'll probably buy their way through, but it's one of the worst entries ever so it seems a steal.


Cyprus actually has a chance?

:drool:


And yes, there is plenty to :drool: over.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EwMTyLqb7zo

[-james-]

Cyprus into 4.2 fav. :huhu:

[Mazuuurk]

Just listened to our contribution and it's actually quite decent.

Better than the Cyprus one really, but the dude looks a little weird and it's not really a normal Eurovision song so I can see it not winning.

[-james-]

Just listened to our contribution and it's actually quite decent.

Better than the Cyprus one really, but the dude looks a little weird and it's not really a normal Eurovision song so I can see it not winning.

Sweden were shorter than Cyprus before rehearsals. It's nailed on for a top ten, but it's not gonna win. It's fine, and Sweden always present their entry well, but it's not memorable enough.

[Mazuuurk]

Yeah like I said, being a better song isn't exactly what wins you the Eurovision.

[-james-]

Laying Bulgaria to qualify at 1.25 is probably a better bet than the Azerbaijan one I mentioned above. I think there are 4 slots nailed on from tonight (Cyprus, Estonia, Czechia, Israel), and the other 6 could be any of the remaining 12. Bulgaria is guff and way too short. Might have a lay of Greece as well.

[-james-]

Green on Norway and Lithuania now as well. Expect Norway to go off fav on the night, and it'll probably be a three horse race between them, Cyprus and Lithuania.

[Baz]

Got a free £10 bet. Any world cup top tips? Or should I put yet more money on Suarez golden boot?

[-james-]

Australia to finish bottom of group - 1.85
Uruguay to win group - 1.91
Peru to qualify - 2.88
Senegal to win group - 6.0
Croatia to win group - 3.45
Uruguay outright - 30
Spain & Morocco dual forecast - 6.0

This is stuff I'm on so far.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Argentina to finish third in their group.

BANKER.

[Baz]

Australia to finish bottom of group - 1.85
Uruguay to win group - 1.91
Peru to qualify - 2.88
Senegal to win group - 6.0
Croatia to win group - 3.45
Uruguay outright - 30
Spain & Morocco dual forecast - 6.0

This is stuff I'm on so far.I’ve gone for a double of Uruguay and Senegal to win their group @ 9.0 :thbup:

[SincereTheRebel]

Germany to be eliminated in the group stage @8
Lewandowski to be top scores @34

[Jimmy Floyd]

Portugal each way @ 25/1
Lukaku golden boot @ 16/1
Giroud golden boot @ 33/1
Brazil-Germany forecast @ 20/1
Argentina out in R2 @ 2/1
Belgium out in QF @ 2/1 NAP
140+ group stage goals @ 10/1
Group B lowest scoring group @ 5/1
Group C highest scoring group @ 13/2
Australia no goalscorer @ 7/1
Group A forecast Egypt-Uruguay @ 11/2
Group C forecast Denmark-France @ 13/2
Group D forecast Croatia-Nigeria @ 18/1
England 5 group points @ 8/1
South Korea 0 group points @ 9/2
N'golo Kanté player of the tournament @ 80/1
Alisson golden glove @ 4/1
Brazil/Germany/France/Spain the semi-finalists @ 25/1
Lukaku Belgium top scorer, Neymar Brazil top scorer, Neymar pott, Brazil win @ 40/1
No 0-0 draws @ 100/1

20 bets, fiver on each (proper pro staking that), most of them for interest. See how much of my ton is left at the end.

[Reg]

That Egypt-Uruguay looks quite appealing. Salah might be enough to beat Russia to second?

The player of the tournament/golden boot markets are interesting. I might put a quid or two on a few of them - fun ones to follow and a chance to earn a fair bit.

[Jimmy Floyd]

That's Egypt-Uruguay in sequence. I think Egypt will be really fucking hard to beat.

[Mazuuurk]

I put in Gabriel Jesus for Golden Boot at 17/1 or something.

Wouldn't be surprised to see him do 4 tap-ins in one game and then take it from there.

[phonics]

140 goals in the group stages seems optimistic. How many games are there?

[Baz]

48.

Need an average of 3 goals a game. 10/1 seems pretty decent, considering Uruguay will shift seven past Saudi Arabia on their own.

[phonics]

Yeah sorry Jim. That fiver is dead to you.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I just figured the CL has beeen going goal crazy of late, so why not the World Cup. A few 6-2s and the like needed.

[phonics]

Yeah but those are good teams. This World Cup is going to have some right defensive shitters in it. Remember the last Euros? Awful stuff.

[Baz]

SkyBet offering 5/1 on Fury to win in first two rounds, max stake £20. I think they’ll make quite a loss on that one. :harold:

[-james-]

on France not to qualify from group C at 10.0

[SincereTheRebel]

In my football man sweepstake, I got Brazil and Peru on Friday. Then today in my work sweepstake, i got Brazil and Peru again. It's a sign.


Brazil vs Peru - World Cup Final - 15th July
@500

[phonics]

£1 - Brazil to win the whole thing + Neymar top scorer @ 25/1
£5 - Neymar top scorer - 5/1
£1 - Brazil to win the whole thing + Jesus top scorer @200/1
£1 E/W on M'Bappe, Griezmann and Mitrovic.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

So far I've got £10 on Argentina a to finish third in their group. Nothing else so far as I'm trying to think where best to put my money.

[-james-]

I'm on Saudi Arabia +1.25 against Russia on Thursday.

[Mazuuurk]

Seems so hard to find value in this world cup because on first look, no teams look like they could cause much of an upset really.

Senegal and Morocco could maybe do something. But teams that in previous years have seemed like they could cause big teams trouble, like Australia, Japan etc don't really look like it now. And I just can't take Panama or Peru seriously.

[Cheddar]

I’ve done a top goal scorer for country accumulater consisting of Suarez, Gabriel Jesus, Muller and Griezmann at 61/1.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I'm avoiding the tempting Gabriel Jesus odds for various things, because Neymar will cry if anyone else gets to score.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I've gone in.

£10 on Argentina third in group D @ 6.5
£10 on Germany winners @ 6
£5 E/W on Werner top scorer @ 15
£5 E/W on Muller top scorer @ 26
£5 on Germany winners/Werner top scorer @ 26
£5 on Kroos golden ball @ 41
£5 on Brazil/Germany final @ 10
£5 on Egypt to qualify from the group @ 2.62
£5 on Uruguay 1/Egypt 2 @ 5.5
£5 on Poland 1/Colombia 2 @ 5
£10 on Suarez/Cavani/Lewandowski each to score 3 or more @ 13
£5 on Lukaku/Griezmann/Costa/Jesus to score 16 or more combined @ 10
£5 on England to be eliminated at round of 16 @ 2.87

[-james-]

Regular major event plug for Only Balls & Horses (https://twitter.com/OnlyBallsHorses) for some solid opinions, apart from the bit where I can only assume he does some PCP before tipping Australia to qualify.

[John]

That '16 or more' line is probably the lowest value bet I've ever seen someone take.

[Mazuuurk]

It does seem low considering the one above is much more likely at higher odds as well. I suppose it's also not that likely that both Cavani and Suarez score that many each but still.

[Mazuuurk]

I'm avoiding the tempting Gabriel Jesus odds for various things, because Neymar will cry if anyone else gets to score.

Probably very sound. Also I betted on him for Golden Boot so, definitely the right call there Jim.

[SvN]

That '16 or more' line is probably the lowest value bet I've ever seen someone take.

Yep, it means those four are scoring 4 each on average? Abysmal bet.

[-james-]

I saw Paddy Power were doing England to win it and Danny Welbeck to score the last goal in the final, at 15/1. They must be pissing themselves.

[SvN]

It's 150/1, not 15/1

[-james-]

It was definitely 15 earlier, must have been an error.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Uruguay are going to properly disappoint Mahow.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

They usually let everyone down.

£5 on Golovin FGS
£5 on Golovin AGS.

[-james-]

Uruguay -2 vs Saudi Arabia max bet.

[Mazuuurk]

Someone pointed out that if you bet on all Brazil, Spain, France and Germany to win the whole thing, you'll make a profit so long as one of them wins.

And the only other real contenders are Argentina and Belgium - and it just seems a little preposterous that either of those would win (though I do have a feeling about Argentina which generally means fuck all).

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Gone for the following today:

Morocco/Iran draw @ 3
Morocco/Iran 0-0 @ 6.5
Under 1.5 goals @ 2.4
Cavani to have 3 or more shots on target @ 4.5
Under 2.5 in that game @ 1.75
Andre Silva AGS @ 5.5

£5 on all bar the last which is a £2 stake.

[Foe]

Missed yesterday because of the late Iran goal on a 30/1 treble. Today it's a quad of France, over 2.5 in argies game, Croatia and draw Peru/Denmark.

How fruitful are you pros finding this? Can see some heavy backing of European/ South American teams vs the Asians / Africans.

[Trancemeister]

1u Mexico FH @ 6.0

cashing out

[Trancemeister]

1u Germany - Mexico BTTS 2nd half @ 2,5

[-james-]

How fruitful are you pros finding this? Can see some heavy backing of European/ South American teams vs the Asians / Africans.

There have been some stonking misprices but I'm only up a tiny bit on match betting. Peru losing yesterday was a heartbreaker. Outrights posted upthread are doing ok.


I'm going to be on Morocco +1, Denmark -0.5, Peru +1 and Iran +2 next round, I think.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Peru/Denmark and Germany/Mexico hurt me.

[Trancemeister]

Brazil -1.0 & first to 5 corners 1u @ 2,63

[Mazuuurk]

I've done terrible so far, one goal away from a win in all my Overs bets etc.

Lumped my remaining Betfair bank on Brazil here at 1.45. Not that it will really make up for the losses. Need some good fortune now.

[Trancemeister]

Not one corner to Brazil so far. FFS.

[Trancemeister]

1u 0,5 goals & over 8 corners Korea-Sweden @ 1.80

[Pleb]

Jimmy's 0-0 bet :cool:

[Smiffy]

8/5 over 3.5 goals in Belgium game looks a steal.

[Waffdon]

Belgium -2 @ 2.62 will surely come in? Worth a few hundred

[Smiffy]

Too risky given it's opening game of group but 3 goals in the game less so.

England can fuck off. I ain't touching em but I think they might surprise a few compared to the last few tournaments.

[Waffdon]

Put £200 on -2 AH @ 2.20. They’ll want to score for fun as it might come down to GD with England. Attacking team too.

[bruhnaldo]

I took Panama +2.5 and I've never felt less confident.

[phonics]

I went to check my account to see what bets I'd placed.

I must have misread what I bet on because I've got a fiver on Belgium to win the world cup and Gabriel Jesus top scorer :cab:

[Trancemeister]

2u double Belgium -1.5 & England -1.0 @ 2,88.

[Trancemeister]

1u Belgiun HT @ 1,61

[Waffdon]

This is going well.

[SincereTheRebel]

I don't know why, but I haven't bet since day one of the World Cup. Looking at the results, I would have lost badly if I continued.

[bruhnaldo]

I'm down $10 but Panama trying to bring me back to evens for the tournament.

[bruhnaldo]

Aaaaaaand here we go.

[-james-]

Laid Belgium at 1.05

[Waffdon]

Put £200 on -2 AH @ 2.20. They’ll want to score for fun as it might come down to GD with England. Attacking team too.

New pair of underwear will now be purchased.

365 are doing the in play offer in England game.

[Trancemeister]

1u on over 0.5 FH goals @ 1,5
1u on England HT @ 1,9

[Trancemeister]

snowball the 0,5 goal win on over 1,5 FH goals @ 1,57

[Trancemeister]

1u England 2nd goal before 80 @ 1,66

[Trancemeister]

Put a bet before the WC on Kane, Lukaku & Lewandowski to be their teams top scorer @ 8,0. Looking good so far. Can actually cash out at 3,14 already.

[Mazuuurk]

I went and put a bet on all three todays game that there will be a penalty. About 3.1 in each game.

I dunno what regular odds for Penalties are without VAR, but with it, it seems to happen all the time.

So long as there's 1 penalty today, at least I'm +/- 0.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Didn't take long Maz.

[Boydy]

I went and put a bet on all three todays game that there will be a penalty. About 3.1 in each game.

I dunno what regular odds for Penalties are without VAR, but with it, it seems to happen all the time.

So long as there's 1 penalty today, at least I'm +/- 0.

Yeah, they were all 3.6 last night on betfair. There's money to be made in this strategy, I reckon. I was too slow for this game now though. :(

[Trancemeister]

1u Colomiba first goal before 80 @ 1,83

[Boydy]

What is this '1u' thing you keep posting in your bets?

[Trancemeister]

What is this '1u' thing you keep posting in your bets?

units. 1 unit is a low stake.

[Mazuuurk]

Didn't take long Maz.

Yeah that was fucking Nifty. Anything from now on is a bonus today.


Yeah, they were all 3.6 last night on betfair. There's money to be made in this strategy, I reckon. I was too slow for this game now though. :(

Substantially lower today then. Might be a good idea to stick a bunch of bets in on future group games as soon as possible really.

[Boydy]

Yeah that was fucking Nifty. Anything from now on is a bonus today.



Substantially lower today then. Might be a good idea to stick a bunch of bets in on future group games as soon as possible really.

Yeah, just stuck a fiver on today's other two games and Portugal tomorrow. They were all 3.0-3.2. Seems the bookies are adjusting already. :(

[Mazuuurk]

Yeah, just stuck a fiver on today's other two games and Portugal tomorrow. They were all 3.0-3.2. Seems the bookies are adjusting already. :(


I just went and betted on all games tomorrow as well. So long as the odds are all 3+ it'll always be enough with one penalty per day.

[Mazuuurk]

I'm also on Egypt @4.1 later. I know Russia have probably paid their way to win that somehow, but still that seems like good value to me, especially if Salah plays.

[Boydy]

Jesus, how are Egypt at those odds? I'll be getting on that too. I also fancy Senegal to beat Poland.

[Mazuuurk]

I know, right? That was on Betfair.

[Trancemeister]

Egypt are 4.5 on Bet365

[Boydy]

I got them at 4.5 on Betfair just now.

[Mazuuurk]

WTF was 4.1 for me. Did Salah confirm he's not starting or something?

[Boydy]

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2018/06/world-cup-2018-mo-salah-fit-egypt-coach-warns-russia-180619113137044.html

Don't think so. That was the latest news I could find and it sounds like he'll play.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Went in on Colombia at half time :(

A goal or two either way (for Colombia ideally) and I'd be ok as I got on some overs too.

[Baz]

I’m on the Egypt train, lads.

[Boydy]

So much for the Egypt bet but there's the penalty. :drool:

[Jimmy Floyd]

Five overs on the bounce have hauled me back into the 140 goals group stage bet. 98 needed from 31.

[bruhnaldo]

i'm up $15 for the tournament now thanks to mother russia :drool:

[Waffdon]

Dumb question inbound: what’s the difference between backing -2.5 AH and -3 AH?

[Waffdon]

Also tempted to stick the £200 stake from the Belgium/Panama game on Portugal/Uruguay -1 @ 2.60

[SvN]

Dumb question inbound: what’s the difference between backing -2.5 AH and -3 AH?

Well with -2.5 you'd win with a 3-0 (with a score of 0.5-0). With -3, a 3-0 would be a push so you'd get your money back (score of 0-0).

[Waffdon]

Uruguay -2.5 it is.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Seven is the number they need to be ok with a draw against Russia, so that might be worth a punt.

[Waffdon]

You’d hope. Their lack of midfield and creativity in general worries me. Hopeful Suarez can turn up for one game, the fat twat.

[Mazuuurk]

Penalty in the Russia games saved the day for me yesterday. Have bets on Penalties in all games today as well. Sort of can't see this keep up forever, but...


Also, I'm going to be very tempted to stick money on Russia against Uruguay. Something is definitely up with Russia, they are all full of something; steriods, vodka, of just the fear of a Gulag. I dunno, but they aren't playing 100% fair.

[Waffdon]

Going to stick £75 on Portugal-1 AH @2.25 as think they’ll win so at the minimum I’ll get money back if they don’t score a few. I’ll leave until right before kick off as odds constantly increasing. Winnings if they come in will go on some sort of Uruguay handicap.

[SvN]

Please note that my previous information about handicaps was specifically regarding Asian Handicaps.

[Mazuuurk]

Dont underestimate Morocco!

[Waffdon]

Please note that my previous information about handicaps was specifically regarding Asian Handicaps.

Aye. I bet on the -1 or -2 AH all the time. Was just having a brain fart last night with the 0.5.

[-james-]

Going to be one hell of a bookie liability on the on the Portugal, Uruguay, Spain treble today.

[phonics]

Egypt lost me a tenner.

[SvN]

I've had a nightmare so far. Lost around £100 on various bets. Closest I came was a treble on cards, corners and goals in the Belgium game - 1 goal away.

Not sure what to go for today.

[Waffdon]

https://i.imgur.com/NtU2nWT.png

Saves me depositing money for Uruguay game if it comes in. Today is going be amazing or disastrous.

[-james-]

2.34 available on matchbook, no commission. Mugging yourself off there.

[-james-]

I'm on Morocco +1.

[Waffdon]

2.34 available on matchbook, no commission. Mugging yourself off there.

Trying to bet with 365 more often to get my in play bet offers up to £50.

[Waffdon]

The odds on that site don’t look any different at all.

[Trancemeister]

Bet365 build a bet

Over 0 cards for Morocco
Over 4 corners for Portugal
Over 4 goal kicks for Morocco
Over 1 goals in match

@2.10

[SvN]

I'm also on the Portugal -1 AH train

[Mazuuurk]

I'm on Morocco +1.

You inspired me here :moop:

[Trancemeister]

Just for the hell of it

Ronaldo to score again @ 1,90

[SvN]

Bet365 build a bet

Over 0 cards for Morocco
Over 4 corners for Portugal
Over 4 goal kicks for Morocco
Over 1 goals in match

@2.10

Is that 1 out of 4? I looked at this and thought it was free money.

[Waffdon]

I ended up changing the Bet I posted to £55.00 on Portugal -1 and £100 on Portugal, Uruguay and Spain @ 2.50. So £50.00 down instead of getting my stake back. Cracking stuff.

Really not sure how much to pile on Uruguay handicaps now.

[Trancemeister]

Is that 1 out of 4? I looked at this and thought it was free money.

Lost due to only one goal in the game.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I have money on 7-0, over 5.5 and Cavani to score a header.

Mon the rape.

[SvN]

Lost due to only one goal in the game.

BBC said Portugal only had 3 corners.

[Dave.]

BBC said Portugal only had 3 corners.

It says 4.:cab:

[Trancemeister]

BBC said Portugal only had 3 corners.

They had 5

[SvN]

They've updated it. Here's what it was (I still had the tab open)

https://i.imgur.com/pULk3Q3.png

[Baz]

Didn’t Morocco have about 7? :cab:

[SvN]

I've gone for Uruguay -2 here. Was tempted by the -3 but decided to not be greedy. Odds are 2.36

[Dave.]

Looks like the BBC report on the game has gone mental. I have refreshed 3 times and the stats have changed each time.:cab:

[Baz]

I need Suarez to score loads. Winning that golden boot bet will make the World Cup great.

I’d win £650 plus a £5 bet for every goal he scores.

[SvN]

Put more money on -1.5 & -2 to give me a small win if they win 2-0. If it's 1-0 or worse it's disaster territory.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

More on -3 and Suarez 2 or more as well as Cavani 2 or more.

[Waffdon]

https://i.imgur.com/uIJis1G.jpg

Could be a great or shite day for TTH.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

All that coke you might get tonight...

[Waffdon]

Haha. Gonna go big on England against Panama and then back to normal stakes after that otherwise I'll blow it all. Good fun though during work.

[Mazuuurk]

I'm on a combo of over 3.5, Suarez to score and Uruguay to win here @3.44.

Figured basically I could spice up my over 3.5 bet, basically.


So need 3 more here. Looking shaky.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Uruguay are shit.

I don't hold out much hope.

[Waffdon]

This is awful.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I highly doubt we'll even get a second.

Bookies must be on the verge of some big wins.

[Trancemeister]

FFS Cavani

[SvN]

Deary me. I think that's me done for the entire world cup

[Waffdon]

Spain winning keeps me up £50. That was brutal.

[Boydy]

Not even any penalties today. :(

[Mazuuurk]

Have faith Boydy

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I started really well but it's gone to proper shit :(

[bruhnaldo]

i'm $25 up now boys :drool:

[-james-]

Today I'm on Denmark, Peru and Croatia.

[Waffdon]

Folk sleep on France too much.

[-james-]

Folk don't sleep on France nearly enough.

[Mazuuurk]

Can't see Peru beating France. A draw, maybe.

I still quite like the odds of 1.6 to be honest. Feel like France will win, but it will be a bit ugly maybe. Like Spain last night.

[Mazuuurk]

Going for a Draw in Denmark - Aussies. Feel like both are toothless.

[Mazuuurk]

Also build a bet of:

France
Over 0.5
Over 1.5 (it seems you can combine this :cab:)
Over 6.5 Corners

@2.39.

[Baz]

Jimmy’s no 0-0 bet is looking amazing.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Did you forget the penalties bets?

[Mazuuurk]

Nah, I was on this one :cool:

[Mazuuurk]

Have penalty bets on all of todays games.

[Boydy]

Missed betting on the Denmark Australia game as I was in work earlier. Was tempted to go for a draw as well a penalty in that one. :moop:

[Trancemeister]

Hurry the fuck up and take the penalty. I have brazil to score before 80

And now he overrules it via VAR :D

[Trancemeister]

Went profit anyway with some late bets on Brazil including betting on brazil to get a 2nd right after their 1st @ 7.0

[SvN]

Alright dilj

[Baz]

I’ll win ten billion euros if I carry on getting every score spot on.

[Kikó]

Arigato 1930 Newmarket.

[Baz]

Arigato 1930 Newmarket.Info? :sherlock:

[Baz]

Arigato 1930 Newmarket.

Info? :sherlock:
2nd.

:thbup: I was £5 EW @9/1 (£7.50 profit)

more tips same source plz

[Reg]

New customer offer on betway: England to beat Panama 33/1

Min. £10 deposit.

https://betway.com/england-panama/?utm_medium=OnlineAffiliate%20DR&utm_source=Oddschecker&utm_campaign=72907&utm_content=3218306&utm_term=50126

edit: Winnings paid in free bet btw.

[Baz]

How much can I stake? Stakes must be at least £/€1, with no maximum. But only £/€1 worth of the stake will be enhanced to 33/1 if England win.

:thbdn:

[Reg]

Yeah, well it'd be far too good to be true otherwise.

Portugal's outright odds (on various sites) look pretty good.

[Baz]

Lukaka and Hazard 1+ shots on target each
Hernandez and Lozano 1+ shots on target each
Harry Kane to score
Senegal to win

4 fold @ 9/1

Makes it more interesting dunnit

[Kikó]

2nd.

:thbup: I was £5 EW @9/1 (£7.50 profit)

more tips same source plz

When I can. 🧐

[-james-]

Belgium -0.5 from 4-1 (i.e. to win by 4 or more) is the worst beat I've ever had.

[Trancemeister]

Mexico to score in the 2nd half

[Kikó]

After eventing time 😎
https://preview.ibb.co/kdoy0T/Screenshot_20180623_192007.png

[Kikó]

Baz https://twitter.com/Betracingnation/status/1010560477737504769?s=19

[Boydy]

Stuck a fiver on that yip at 4.9 on the betfair exchange.

Betfair had Werner and Berg to score and Ozil and Lustig to be carded at 351. Thought that was worth putting a quid on.

[Boydy]

Ozil isn't even playing. :moop:

[SvN]

I'm on Germany -2. If this loses, it's definitely curtains for me until the new season.

[Baz]

Mexico already spoiled my four fold so I’ve had another bet on England.

Stones and Maguire to each score a header @ 350/1

[Waffdon]

I’ve £232 on England -2 AH tomorrow.

[Waffdon]

I regret it already.

[Baz]

:lol:

[Waffdon]

Someone get me a Panama top.

https://i.imgur.com/14cRXMJ.png

https://i.imgur.com/Qwokvez.png

[Trancemeister]

Managed to get on some over goals in the 1st half. Now over 6.5 @ 1,72

[Jimmy Floyd]

Portugal each way @ 25/1 nailed on
Lukaku golden boot @ 16/1 up there
Giroud golden boot @ 33/1 he's still beautiful
Brazil-Germany forecast @ 20/1 not so much
Argentina out in R2 @ 2/1 looking possible
Belgium out in QF @ 2/1 NAP still NAP
140+ group stage goals @ 10/1 need 3.4 a game. Noble effort
Group B lowest scoring group @ 5/1 damn that 3-3
Group C highest scoring group @ 13/2 nope
Australia no goalscorer @ 7/1 hoo roo
Group A forecast Egypt-Uruguay @ 11/2 not so much
Group C forecast Denmark-France @ 13/2 watch this happen
Group D forecast Croatia-Nigeria @ 18/1 SO CLOSE
England 5 group points @ 8/1 Harry Kane stole my dreams
South Korea 0 group points @ 9/2 GUTEN MORGEN
N'golo Kanté player of the tournament @ 80/1 only if he kills Neymar
Alisson golden glove @ 4/1 whatever
Brazil/Germany/France/Spain the semi-finalists @ 25/1 never write off the germans
Lukaku Belgium top scorer, Neymar Brazil top scorer, Neymar pott, Brazil win @ 40/1 Neymar letting the side down
No 0-0 draws @ 100/1 WE STILL BELIEVE

20 bets, fiver on each (proper pro staking that), most of them for interest. See how much of my ton is left at the end.

....

[-james-]

My Uruguay group a winner lump has come down to a match bet on them against Russia. They're 2.8 today, I'm on at 1.9. Pity

[Trancemeister]

Lewandowski letting my treble down of him, kane & lukaku being their teams top scorer. Can cash out at double atm.

[Waffdon]

Ronaldo/Costa 20/1 to score first on SkyBet. Would get on it before they reduce it.

[SincereTheRebel]

Lewandowski letting my treble down of him, kane & lukaku being their teams top scorer. Can cash out at double atm.

Poland havent scored a goal yet, so its still on. They play Japan next. I would cash out with the quickness. Lewa being my top scorer has let me down.

[Trancemeister]

Poland havent scored a goal yet, so its still on. They play Japan next. I would cash out with the quickness. Lewa being my top scorer has let me down.

They scored one vs Senegal.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Yeah, Krychowiak is the top scorer right now.

[SincereTheRebel]

Fucked it lad.

[Waffdon]

After eventing !!! But I had £10 on Suarez/Salah ags (enhanced) @ 8 so have stuck £10 on the aforementioned Ronaldo/Costa double and £25 on Spain -1 and Portugal to nil @ 5.20.

[SincereTheRebel]

Iran to win @6

[-james-]

On under 2.5, Iran +1, Iran SW and Iran 1-0 cs.

[Waffdon]

https://i.imgur.com/NTycGcG.jpg

VAR :drool:

[Baz]

How much are you up for the whole tournament?

I’ve a free five pound bet to use. Gonna find some silly odds request a bet for the England match, I reckon.

[Waffdon]

Between £550-£600. Mainly from betting against Panama. Blew loads on Uruguay/Saudi.

[Boydy]

Can't believe there wasn't a red card in the Portugal - Iran game in the end.

[Waffdon]

Sky Bet (today’s first day I’ve won with them) -

Deposit: £80
Withdrawn: £240

Bet365 -

Deposit: £490
Withdrawn: £810

That’s since the start. Lose too much money throwing on stupid bets with my winnings from Panama games

[-james-]

This is probably like introducing someone to smack, but you'd enjoy PGA, Waff. Professional Gambling Advice on Facebook. Group of addicts who are good/think they are good at gambling.

[Waffdon]

42 likes on their page?

[Kikó]

I'm £143 up on the month but it's mainly from the nags. Football is my Achilles.

[Mazuuurk]

I'm down maybe 50-60 quid this tourney, but it was worse before (like 90). Penalty bets on every single game so far (also have the remaining group games now) have kept me afloat.

Also some recent better luck, like I had an over 2.5 double on Egypt - Saudis and Uruguay - Russia. So that came in nicely with two late goals.