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Thread: The Betting Thread

  1. #3951
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    You think Arsenal will score?

  2. #3952
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    No tbf, that's just relying on law of averages.

  3. #3953
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    So is Arteta at this point.

  4. #3954
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    I'm on Southampton today so expect Arsenal to find some form from nowhere.

  5. #3955
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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  6. #3956
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    A train is hurtling towards us tomorrow with the Asian CL final kicking off at 12:00.

    Iranian giants Persepolis up against Korean somethings Ulsan.

    The former scraped their way to the final but are now a team decimated by suspensions and absences with no firepower to threaten (missing 3 best players, CF, AM and CB).

    The Koreans (JohnA or Jimmy can further expand) are on fire, relentlessly scoring and smashing their way to the final, beating Iniesta and Vermaelen's Vissel Kobe in the semis. Their top scorer is none other than Junior Negao (yes, that very one) who averages about 6 goals a game.



    Just look at that and tell me you aren't gonna back him.

    Last I looked a couple days ago Busan were at 2.3 on B365 and it's evens today. Expect them to KO at odds on but even though it's a final, get on the handicaps, the thrashing to nils, the whole lot. 12pm live on youtube. Merry Xmas.

  7. #3957
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Ulsan -1.0 3/1 £25
    I'm a twit

  8. #3958
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    On over 2.5, 3.5 and 4.5. Mon.

  9. #3959
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    I've just read some preview that says Busan's coach starts big games conservatively but I wouldn't worry because the author looks like this:


  10. #3960
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    I'll introduce some jeopardy here by going the other way. Sounds like Persepolis name on the trophy to me. Qatari referee will help the Iranians.

  11. #3961
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    It would have to be a proper shitfest 1-0 aet or pens victory, really can't see how they're going to score (Offie you may want to change your bets to favour Busan as a result) but I also have never watched any of this Busan side (but fear not for the form speaks for itself).

    I'd be angry but I'm just glad the community can come together in a feast of gambling, like the degenerates we are.

  12. #3962
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don View Post
    It would have to be a proper shitfest 1-0 aet or pens victory
    I would like to introduce you to an old friend of mine: football as played in the Islamic world.

  13. #3963
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Don't group us in with the Arabs, please, he says as he watches his domestic league filled with nepotism and corruption yielding XIs with an average age of 30+ and one of the lowest goals per game averages in the world

  14. #3964
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Going down injured in your own half at 0-0 on 61 minutes is the sixth pillar of Islam and I'd say the Hajj is very definitely looking over its shoulder, too.

  15. #3965
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Why do you keep mentioning Busan?
    I'm a twit

  16. #3966
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Woah, there's a mindfuck.

  17. #3967
    Senior Member Pleb's Avatar
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    Whose winning the Copa Liberatores this year Taz?

  18. #3968
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Choo choo.

  19. #3969
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don View Post
    It would have to be a proper shitfest 1-0 aet or pens victory, really can't see how they're going to score (Offie you may want to change your bets to favour Busan as a result) but I also have never watched any of this Busan side (but fear not for the form speaks for itself).

    I'd be angry but I'm just glad the community can come together in a feast of gambling, like the degenerates we are.
    Cash outs are tiny so I'm strapped in.

  20. #3970
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Shit train so far. What happened to it being live on YouTube? I can't see anything.

  21. #3971
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    No, looks like buffstreams it is. Missed most of the forst half and will only half watch second half. Looking alright for your overs.

  22. #3972
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    Ulsan -1.0 3/1 £25
    I'm a twit

  23. #3973
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    I'm up a little.

    Cheers Taz.

  24. #3974
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    We'd all be up if we weren't greedy. As it is, dead train.

  25. #3975
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    https://twitter.com/austin_james906/...53088199090176

    1.6+ still widely available on Barcelona DNB.

  26. #3976
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    £30 on the draw @ 3.

  27. #3977
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    How do bookies miss things like that?

  28. #3978
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Especially in leagues/countries that would be right up for that sort of stuff.

  29. #3979
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    It won't be a draw.

  30. #3980
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don View Post
    We'd all be up if we weren't greedy. As it is, dead train.
    True dat. Good shout on that bloke scoring too.
    I'm a twit

  31. #3981
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Nobody hops on a train for evens. Either bring true insight or fuck off.

  32. #3982
    Just Luca, but still a DJ Luca's Avatar
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    Are there odds for the first MP to be caught mixing with their family in a Tier 4 zone?

  33. #3983
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    How do bookies miss things like that?
    They are oblivious to this sort of thing. All they do is stick up opening prices generated by some algorithm (likely largely based on the respective teams' historical prices at kick-off), and let the market do the work for them.

    Opening lines have very small limits, meaning that it only takes a relatively small amount of money to bump the price around. Anything a bookmaker gets wildly wrong does not cost them a lot to correct, and by the time the match starts you can assume that the odds are about right.

  34. #3984
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Bookmaking and pimping must be the two easiest rackets in human history.

  35. #3985
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    I reckon Paddy Power's yearly expenditure sheet is about 1% odds compilation and 99% marketing grads/Jose Mourinho adverts.

  36. #3986
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Chuck a bit of customer profiling in there as well. Got to be absolutely sure that the only bets you lay are to addicts and weekend acca merchants.

  37. #3987
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kikó View Post
    It won't be a draw.


    Ended 0-0, cheers @-james-

  38. #3988
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Yeah, good shout.
    I'm a twit

  39. #3989
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Get your Christmas money on this:

    I'm a twit

  40. #3990
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    14s elsewhere. EW or on the nose?

  41. #3991
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    EW to avoid being disappointed with second, like when it was 28/1 recently.
    I'm a twit

  42. #3992
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    James pulls through with the proper train. £121 profit from that (draw, draw-draw and 0-0). Legend.

    On the Baz horse.

  43. #3993
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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  44. #3994
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    Get your Christmas money on this:

    What gives?

  45. #3995
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sir Andy Mahowry View Post


    Ended 0-0, cheers @-james-
    Well played!

  46. #3996
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    6/4 for West Ham not to lose tonight. They love a London Derby and Chelsea’s best player should be out injured. Only way I don’t see it as value is of Werner is played through the middle

  47. #3997
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    I think you'll find Mason Mount is fighting fit.

  48. #3998
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Burnley is the train today. 2 midgets and a back 8 trying to do anything against a full-strength Burnley, do me a favour.

  49. #3999
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Fair play to Taz for the Burnley train today, even though I missed it. I'm going to follow Waff with West Ham to make up for it.

  50. #4000
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    I doubted the train and as such refused to board

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