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Thread: Binance End Game Thread

  1. #1851
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    Is this your retirement plan baz?

    Has any of your old crew jumped back in with reduced settings?

  2. #1852
    Administrator SvN's Avatar
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    How did we do yesterday @Baz? Looks like it was a decent day.

  3. #1853
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    We've got a new, possibly better, offer.

    Let's give him the account.

  4. #1854
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    Quote Originally Posted by SvN View Post
    How did we do yesterday @Baz? Looks like it was a decent day.
    It was a about 200 up when I checked late last night but that was US time.

    Though it wasnt having the best morning.

  5. #1855
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SvN View Post
    How did we do yesterday @Baz? Looks like it was a decent day.
    For some reason I didn’t get the daily summary email. Will investigate later and update the spreadsheet.
    I'm a twit

  6. #1856
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Stream hasn't been on for over 24 hours now.

    Where is our money?

  7. #1857
    Administrator SvN's Avatar
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    It came on for a second earlier and it looked like Baz was on Skyscanner.

  8. #1858
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    It made 2.12% yesterday the stream is a drain on it.

  9. #1859
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    A BOT with performance anxiety.

  10. #1860
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sir Andy Mahowry View Post
    Stream hasn't been on for over 24 hours now.

    Where is our money?
    Keeps going off. Dunno why. Twitch app is rubbish. Currently -41 open and +129.50 for the day.
    I'm a twit

  11. #1861
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    The daily summary emails have returned.
    We’ve hit 30% total profit, sending us over the £12k mark.
    I'm a twit

  12. #1862

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    This is some good shit.

  13. #1863
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    What would we end up with at Christmas on the current rate of return?

  14. #1864
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    This is shit. Hurry up and lose the money.

  15. #1865
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lewis View Post
    What would we end up with at Christmas on the current rate of return?
    Based off around 30% in approximately 26 days, I'd guess around 550% or £60k, meaning:



    But that's a complete guess and I'm happy for someone to use some actual maths to calculate. I think I said 17th December was the target withdrawal date?

    Anyway, latest actual figures just for Spikey:





    I really hope this doesn't go tits up now.
    I'm a twit

  16. #1866
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    I'd have £13 now if I had put that tenner in

  17. #1867
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Crank it up! Crank it up!

  18. #1868
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    Do not crank it up.

    Look gents, this thing works at how it’s set, we need to have a serious chat about a long term plan.

  19. #1869
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    It works until it doesn't.

  20. #1870
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    We've already seen it not work and we're still 30% up.

  21. #1871
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    In a month. That's 1,692% per annum. It's insane.

  22. #1872
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    I remember my first time using the Martingale strategy on the roulette table.

  23. #1873

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    We were exposed for £6k at one point. Double the risk as Taz wants and that’s £12k exposure, which is our entire pot currently. All it takes is one similar movement in the wrong like last time and it’s gone. We need way more capital before we get cocky.

  24. #1874
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    We really don't ever need to get cocky. £100 invested at 30% a month is half a million quid over five years (£12.3m over six). We should be leaving it in/having real talk about adding to the pot and all meeting in Monaco by the end of the decade.

  25. #1875

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    I agree there. I’m not interested in a cash out this Christmas.

  26. #1876
    Administrator SvN's Avatar
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    How easy is it to look at historical data and simulate what would've happened with the bot? Be interesting to see how often bank-emptying events occur.

  27. #1877
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Talking about half a million when you're on 12k 🤤

  28. #1878
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kikó View Post
    Talking about half a million when you're on 12k ��
    Regretting not buying in, eh?

  29. #1879
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    No.

  30. #1880
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    And look, who knows where this will go, I'm just looking at all available evidence so far and it looks excellent. The idea we all bail out at Christmas (again, on all available evidence so far), so, what, we can have an extra drink or two over the festive period, is the wrong play for me.

  31. #1881
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SvN View Post
    How easy is it to look at historical data and simulate what would've happened with the bot? Be interesting to see how often bank-emptying events occur.
    Someone tried to backdate to see how much they would be on had they started on X date but kept running into problems and eventually concluded it wasn’t possible (or, more likely, he didn’t know how) so I doubt it’s worth exploring.

    Also both Yev and Taz are getting very carried away. We could just as easily be on £0 next Friday, as we could be on £12m in six years. It’s simply too volatile to predict, so I just take each day as it comes and hope my spreadsheet shows profit every day. I would not like to crank it up. I’ve had it on higher settings before, as have others, and it literally always resulted in liquidation. I seem to have found a sweet spot and I suggest we ride it out.

    I’m actually concerned that as the pot grows, the settings automatically crank up, albeit only slightly. Remember it’s set to a “lot” of 0.05 per £1k, so ticking over to 12k yesterday means we moved from 0.55 to 0.60 for today onwards, which doesn’t sound like much but it is still added risk.

    I genuinely don’t know what happens if we reach £20k and it seemingly goes to 1.0.

    I would like to withdraw my initial £5k eventually, at least.
    I'm a twit

  32. #1882
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    Don't worry Baz, not mentally spending the money yet.

    As for the risk automatically increasing, can you manually intervene to bring it back down again?

  33. #1883
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    Don't worry Baz, not mentally spending the money yet.

    As for the risk automatically increasing, can you manually intervene to bring it back down again?
    Yeah, like say it does well on 0.6 but then starts losing when it bumps up to 0.65 (£13k) I can set it to stay on 0.6 for the foreseeable. I just have to disable “autolot.”
    I'm a twit

  34. #1884
    Administrator SvN's Avatar
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    I can't see any reason to switch the settings. Just tell the bot to fuck off and keep them as is.

  35. #1885
    Administrator SvN's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    Someone tried to backdate to see how much they would be on had they started on X date but kept running into problems and eventually concluded it wasn’t possible (or, more likely, he didn’t know how) so I doubt it’s worth exploring.

    This is a shame, because it means we (or I, at least) have no idea if that Thursday where we were 6k down is a one off, or we can expect much worse to come.

  36. #1886
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    Quote Originally Posted by SvN View Post
    I can't see any reason to switch the settings. Just tell the bot to fuck off and keep them as is.
    Agreed.

  37. #1887

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    Quote Originally Posted by SvN View Post
    This is a shame, because it means we (or I, at least) have no idea if that Thursday where we were 6k down is a one off, or we can expect much worse to come.
    I experienced one of these on my own individual run a few months ago, so maybe they’re not that rare.

  38. #1888
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Just to clarify I'm supporting the crank out of sheer boredom. There's no delusions of this continuing for 12 months here let alone 6 years so shitting our pants at 0.65 is quite the melty behaviour.

  39. #1889
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    I would like to withdraw my initial £5k eventually, at least.
    Understandable. You got a decent wedge sitting out there.

    I am all aboard the let it tick along without rocking the boat train.

  40. #1890
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    No one is withdrawing until I (and the rest of the £100ers) have got a million.

  41. #1891
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    Perhaps at some point (end of year) you offer up the opportunity to withdraw your original stake or ( a fixed percentage) so it’s derisked.

    Right now baz has £5k on the line, if that £5k was back in his pocket and the residual pot left there might be more desire to play the risk.

    I don’t mind if I lose £100, but not having a “cash out” to remove my risk if you’re already 2 or 3x up seems mad. slice some profit when you can and then roll forward.

    That’s my view anyway. Hopefully it keeps improving but given the impending financial doom we seem to be hurtling towards I understand the caution.

  42. #1892
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    I would be happy to leave my initial stake in for another go, but quitting while we're ahead would be nice.

  43. #1893
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    Pennies away from 3k profit in 4 full weeks.

  44. #1894
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    Quote Originally Posted by Danny View Post
    Pennies away from 3k profit in 4 full weeks.
    (So far) it is literally printing money.

  45. #1895
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Told you.
    I'm a twit

  46. #1896
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    How does it scale? I have no idea how it works, but does it rely on low liquidity action? If not, why isn't everyone with 6 figures in the bank doing it?

  47. #1897
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Because there are endless ways to get richer when you are already rich and most of them don't come with risk anywhere near this.

  48. #1898

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    What Spikey said. I lost an entire pot to this bot a few months ago because I didn’t have enough capital to ride out a dip.

  49. #1899
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    BOT day off today?

  50. #1900
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Oh balls I think it’s expired. Will get it sorted.
    I'm a twit

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