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Thread: The Betting Thread

  1. #7301
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Cheers mate. Doubled down on draw now too.

  2. #7302
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Bet on three random Olympiakos players + Paqueta to get booked, to keep us occupied while playing FM.
    I'm a twit

  3. #7303
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Tomorrow could be insane.

    I'm a twit

  4. #7304
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    I've joined in again so probably another damp squib:


  5. #7305
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    I've done two 20 folds across the three leagues. One with the highest possible odds and one with the lowest to see if that makes a difference on the payout.

  6. #7306
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Everton 2/1
    Wolves 2/1
    Bolton 11/10
    Barnsley 7/2
    Stevenage 6/4
    Portsmouth 3/4
    Stockport evens
    St Mirren 7/4

    All overpriced in my opinion. Now to pick the right combos

  7. #7307
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Putting a tenner on Wolves -2 at 18s too

  8. #7308
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Yeah, I'm backing Wolves to put last week right.

  9. #7309

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    Bolton, Portsmouth, Stockport

  10. #7310
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Brilliant

  11. #7311
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Time to get on them some more

  12. #7312
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Yeah, Spurs still doing this high line pish. Confident enough wolves will turn this around

  13. #7313
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Yeah, piled on, every attack is getting through.

  14. #7314
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Offshore Toon View Post
    I've done two 20 folds across the three leagues. One with the highest possible odds and one with the lowest to see if that makes a difference on the payout.
    I’d be interested in @-james- input on whether adding more legs to my system is a good or bad plan.
    I'm a twit

  15. #7315
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don View Post
    Yeah, piled on, every attack is getting through.
    Take that.

    Handicaps in the bin but 2 different accas still alive thankfully. Didn’t realise it was an early kick off at the time

  16. #7316
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    I wasted some on late draw which was looking like it was gonna give me a decent profit but this is bigger scenes.

    BTTS treble for 3pms to keep things interesting.

  17. #7317
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    The high odds one is a huge failure. Low odds giving x3 return currently, but still not as good as the original system.

  18. #7318
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lofty View Post
    I've joined in again so probably another damp squib:

    Stop participating please you’re a jinx.
    I'm a twit

  19. #7319
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Bournemouth free money alert.

  20. #7320
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don View Post
    Bournemouth free money alert.
    Put down the drugs.

  21. #7321
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    He is massive.

  22. #7322
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    I guess take more of the drugs you're on...

  23. #7323
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    I'd take some credit but you need to ban yourself from the sport if you looked at that Newcastle list of 20 and didn't see the bet.

  24. #7324
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Although I will have a nibble on the Toon to make a comeback @ 9.

  25. #7325
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    Stop participating please you’re a jinx.
    How did yours fare?

  26. #7326
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Offshore Toon View Post
    How did yours fare?
    £78.04 loss
    I'm a twit

  27. #7327
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Maybe low odds 20-fold ain't so bad after all.

  28. #7328
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    City are calling. Possibly handicaps too.

  29. #7329
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Fuck you Haaland. Honestly thought he had 4 but was only 3 on target.

  30. #7330
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    I’d be interested in @-james- input on whether adding more legs to my system is a good or bad plan.

    What exactly is it you're doing?

  31. #7331
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by -james- View Post
    What exactly is it you're doing?
    I don’t know if other bookies have this exact accumulator but on skybet you go to football>accumulators>today>all and select total booking points. Then select all the 3pm kickoffs from league two to have 40+ booking points (middle column) and place your bet. Do the same for all the 3pm kickoffs in league one. And then finally combine all the 3pm kickoffs for the championship and premier league, again to all have 40+ booking points. Now these bets have NEVER come in, and I’ve been doing it a while, but the secret is the cash out is sometimes astronomical. So when you’ve placed all three bets, set an alarm on your phone for 16:20. Sit back and wait. When your alarm goes off at twenty past four, go and cash out all three bets. Don’t be tempted to see if they’ll go higher, don’t let them ride out, just cash them out. Do this every week and you’ll end up well in profit. ��
    I'm a twit

  32. #7332
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    I've no idea, but it's the sort of thing bookies can fuck up. About ten years ago, when William Hill first brought in cash out, I used to back draw no bet on favourites who were a goal down and cash out once they scored. I think I thought the cash out calculation was fucked and was basically treating it as next goal on inflated odds.

    I would guess this thing is no more than a hot streak of variance though rather than one of the biggest bookies in the country either a) not knowing how to price a cash out or b) systematically underestimating cards every week.

    When you're given your cash out I'd go through each game in play and see if the in-play odds for your selection are lower than what they are in your acca. Of course that would take forever but it would let you eliminate a) as a possibility.

  33. #7333
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    RSM Classic

    J.T. Poston 28/1
    Pendrith 40/1

    DP World Champs

    N Hojgaard 25/1

    Double T10 last week. I'm due.

  34. #7334
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    Thailand 1-1 China, currently halftime. Going in on China at 11/4.

  35. #7335
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Good start for Nicolai and I feel like a big result is coming for him somewhere, though the cavalry may be hard to hold off here. Also have huge respect for him as I was following his group recently at the BMW PGA, and quite unbidden he decided to get his knob out and have a lengthy piss in the long grass right by the side of the 8th fairway. I now can't look at him without thinking of this.

  36. #7336
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    £150 banked

  37. #7337
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    A great bunch of lads.

  38. #7338
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Where you watching that and just bet on how it was going, John? Seemed a surprising result.

  39. #7339
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Get your families life savings on Pogues Christmas Number One.
    I'm a twit

  40. #7340
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    You don't reckon Shane's got long left then?

  41. #7341
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    LadBaby. It's always LadBaby.

  42. #7342
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Not this year.

    It should really be Taylor Swift though.
    I'm a twit

  43. #7343
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    He's already won a 50-fold accumulator just to make it to the age he has.

  44. #7344
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don View Post
    Where you watching that and just bet on how it was going, John? Seemed a surprising result.
    In a bizarre twist, I kinda know the Thailand manager (he used to manage Ho Chi Minh City) and whilst he sets teams up well, he absolutely cannot change a game. No tactical changes, gets subs wrong - he just can't change a game for some reason. Once China started to move things about, it was inevitable.

    And it was a bit of a punt.

  45. #7345
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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  46. #7346
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Nicolai bringing home the bacon. Top, top player.

  47. #7347
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Well done. He's got the game to start competing in the big ones. Has a card now too, unlike his bro who somehow missed his.

  48. #7348
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Joberg Open

    Lawrence 16/1
    Lombard 25/1

    Small nibble on Harrison Crowe 70/1 down under.

  49. #7349
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    This is quite niche even for me, but Jharkhand, at 19/20 (Betway), are very long to beat Maharashtra tomorrow in their Vijay Hazare Trophy opener.

  50. #7350
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    In she comes. Tried to develop an edge on shit domestic cricket, so we'll see how we fare in future.

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