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Thread: The Betting Thread

  1. #4001
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    I know Newcastle are shit, but 28/1 for 0-0 seems ridiculously high for a team that manages to successfully park the bus at least once a season.

  2. #4002
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    The city handicaps are free money.

  3. #4003
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    How many of you are on Locks Corner tomorrow?

    And for how much?
    I'm a twit

  4. #4004
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    The markets (and Nate Silver) still have massive faith in City being the best side in the league. They are basically exactly the same price as the last time this fixture was played. City are worse and Newcastle are probably about the same as then so it's hard to have much faith in the minus being value. Even with that, and line-up featuring a Rodri, Gundogan double pivot and Ferran Torres up front I'm not sure I could back the + though.
    Last edited by -james-; 26-12-2020 at 07:29 PM.

  5. #4005
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    City's games this season vs equivalent last season in terms of xG difference

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    They're just not putting away the muck like they used to.

  6. #4006
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Ends 5-0 lel.

  7. #4007
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    How many of you are on Locks Corner tomorrow?

    And for how much?
    Tenner e/w. Saw the odds have halved since you posted initially.

  8. #4008
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    I'm balls deep now (missed the early price), MON.

  9. #4009
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    You fucking fraudster.

  10. #4010
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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  11. #4011
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    I backed train wreck at 50s with a £1 ew double with Darlac in the next

  12. #4012
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Should have known better than to trust somebody whose yearly highlight was "dodgy dealings"

  13. #4013
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Liverpool handicaps to recoup it all. -2 at evens is the free money, the rest is what trains are made of.

  14. #4014
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Offshore Toon View Post
    Should have known better than to trust somebody whose yearly highlight was "dodgy dealings"
    He made a mistake and jumped badly on the second to last.
    I'm a twit

  15. #4015
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    I was only joking. The fact the odds more than halved shows there was something in it.

  16. #4016
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    He made a mistake and jumped badly on the second to last.
    Nah, he was travelling pretty badly at that point. Was never winning it.

  17. #4017
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    I had a couple of quid on the three draws at 100/1 but got panicked by Origi's late goal record and cashed out for £41

  18. #4018
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Eye watering talent over in Leopardstown today.

    13:15 - The Storyteller @ 13/2 - At the odds it's worth backing him to reverse half a length with the fav. Let's not forget this lad has beaten Gold Cup winners in the past.

    14:25 - A Plus Tard @ 11/1 - Only a six year old so has scope to improve. Wasn't that far behind Min (3rd) in the Ryanair and has beaten the impressive Chacun Pour Soi in times gone by.

    15:00 - The Big Getaway 10/11 - 8l behind Envoi Allen, should piss this.

  19. #4019
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    I'll run with that, Manc.

    I've done a series of doubles/trebles over Leicester, Villa and Everton. I very much like Villa to win both halves at 16/1.

  20. #4020
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    City, Leicester, Villa DC today.

  21. #4021
    Senior Member Max Power's Avatar
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    Leicester backers might regret it looking at how many changes we’ve made

  22. #4022
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    What a final half mile by A Plus Tard.

  23. #4023
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Mon the Manc.

  24. #4024
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    So close to the treble coming in. Great picks.

  25. #4025
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    I was too late for the first but got on the other two.

    Cheers Manc.

  26. #4026
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    £140 return for the double. Possibly got a bit lucky with both Delta Work & Minella Indo falling in the Savills chase, but I'll take it.

  27. #4027
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Villa crowd onto one, our midfield is all wrong for this game.

  28. #4028
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    £36.50 on the Villa.

  29. #4029
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Your defence is horrific as well. Only saving grace is two actual wingers playing. Hudson Odoi will have Targett on toast

  30. #4030
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Gonna bet against the Ryan Garcia hype train, once Bet365 make the fucking odds available again. I'm thinking draw as the judges are probably bent.

  31. #4031
    Senior Member SincereTheRebel's Avatar
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    I havent seen the odds but in guessing Campbell is at least @3

  32. #4032
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    He is. I got the draw at 18/1 and Campbell KO/TKO at 7/1.

    That second round knockdown was beautiful.

  33. #4033
    Senior Member SincereTheRebel's Avatar
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    Garcia hitting gloves so far but that final punch of round 5 got through.

  34. #4034
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Yeah, he's definitely ahead so far and Campbell looks shaky. Could be over very soon but Campbell has levelled out now.

  35. #4035
    Senior Member SincereTheRebel's Avatar
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    Strong body blow put Campbell down and out. That look painful. Lopez and Haney beat Garcia.

  36. #4036
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    What a body shot. Fair play, Garcia. The crown stuff is so ridiculous but he's pretty good.

  37. #4037
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SincereTheRebel View Post
    Strong body blow put Campbell down and out. That look painful. Lopez and Haney beat Garcia.
    Depends how many stops the hype train makes beforehand. If he goes for a title fight now it probably won't end well.

  38. #4038
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    It's eary days but I'm being super disciplined with my betting this year. Tracking everything and sticking to a staking plan.

    Toggle Spoiler


    Hit rate's not amazing but return so far has been pretty great.

    Probably all out the window when Cheltenham rolls around, mind.
    I'm a twit

  39. #4039
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Go Boy a non runner there but stuck the rest on a Lucky 31 EW so choo choo I guess!

  40. #4040
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Dropping £50 on a Sunday.

    Fairyhouse double @ 18/1

    12:40 - Runrized - Second ever start was in the truimph hurdle and wasn't disgraced. Long time off the track, could be anything.

    13:10 - Delvino - Beat a very smart type in Ballyadam on debut who has since won a G1. Huge scope.

  41. #4041
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    On.

  42. #4042
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Mon the Manc.

  43. #4043
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Choo choo.

  44. #4044
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Shambles.

  45. #4045
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Played...

  46. #4046
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    What happened? Are we changing his name to Graham?

  47. #4047
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Both failed to place.

  48. #4048
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Chelsea -1 depending on team news.

  49. #4049
    Senior Member Pleb's Avatar
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    Is it still going ahead?

  50. #4050
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waffdon View Post
    Chelsea -1 depending on team news.
    I assume the 'team news' you're expecting is for us somehow to name Ronaldo and Messi either side of Tammy Abraham up front.

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