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Thread: U.S. Presidential Election 2016 (Sponsored by Betty Croker's Hamburger Helper)

  1. #8951
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    TV is entirely Bloomberg here in FLA.

  2. #8952
    Custom User Title phonics's Avatar
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    This is why TV ads don't win an election. Any exposure of you outside those ads makes people realise you're awful.

  3. #8953
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    I must say, from a position of relative ignorance, this whole Bloomberg campaign seems a bit odd. Isn't he a republican in everything but name anyway? In terms of taking the fight to Trump, I'm really not sure the gutter is the best place to try do that. I sense a donning of biblical proportions if 'Mike' somehow gets the democratic nomination. He seems a right arrogant so-and-so anyway so that'd probably be quite funny, and humiliating for him seeing as he has often sought to define himself by how much more of a success he is than Trump.

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    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    This stuff shouldn't still be funny, and yet...

  5. #8955
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Was HaroldBishop actually Donald Trump?

  6. #8956
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    "Michael Bloomberg Confirms He Used Prison Labor To Make 2020 Campaign Calls"

    https://t.co/dJNGdcEZZs?amp=1

  7. #8957
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    Quote Originally Posted by niko_cee View Post
    I must say, from a position of relative ignorance, this whole Bloomberg campaign seems a bit odd. Isn't he a republican in everything but name anyway? In terms of taking the fight to Trump, I'm really not sure the gutter is the best place to try do that. I sense a donning of biblical proportions if 'Mike' somehow gets the democratic nomination. He seems a right arrogant so-and-so anyway so that'd probably be quite funny, and humiliating for him seeing as he has often sought to define himself by how much more of a success he is than Trump.
    It is all vanity. He’s of whatever party will advance his interest, much like Trump.
    People really want there to be this cathartic thing where Trump gets taken down like it is a movie but that’s just Hollywood. Bloomberg was never really anything more than a new narrative in a primary.

    I don’t think that anyone is particularly strong on either side in this race, but the country is both demographically sorted and highly partisan so nobody has to be. People confuse that with strong parties, but everyone from Bernie to Bloomberg to Trump to Andrew fucking Yang thinking they can gatecrash the primaries (and be relatively successful) should illustrate that the parties really are not strong. A national media presence is now more important for the primaries than being a Democrat who can win a statewide governor’s race in a conservative state like Montana. But 20 states will vote D and 20 R regardless of the candidates.

    I’m likely going to register a protest vote against Bernie in the primary but I don’t really care for any of the other candidates enough to know who I’ll pick for it. I mostly just tired of our new politics of “I’m right and you’re evil.”

  8. #8958
    Senior Member Pepe's Avatar
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    Is that new?

  9. #8959
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    Almost certainly not, but it feels much stronger at the moment. Don’t get me wrong, but everyone seems to think we are on the verge of some civil war / end of times / economic stagnation forever .... because the other side is so .... Supply whichever civil war, other side, and source of all evil suits your political leanings.
    Last edited by mikem; 24-02-2020 at 02:57 PM.

  10. #8960
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    I think most of the stuff you read about DIVISION is largely an academic/media (wanker) NARRATIVE that you wouldn't hear about had a couple of elections not gone against them. Most people just crack on.

  11. #8961
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    Not explaining myself well, I agree with Lewis entirely. People do, but our politics don’t.

    I think this is generational as well. I’m in my forties so my formative politics are the 80’s and not the 90’s or 00’s. What isn’t remembered is that US politics weren’t competitive back then. Republicans could win the presidency, but Congress and the Senate were solidly Democratic up to the early 90’s and not slightly competitive. Currently, incumbents have a 3% advantage back then it was 15-18%.

    That made US politics different. Republicans couldn’t count on ever passing anything, and Democrats were not even slightly worried about losing either branch of Congress. Democrats passed the Reagan tax bill, not Republicans. Why? Because Reagan had to actually offer them something - funding Medicare and Social Security for 75 years. Then leaders of both parties simply bought off members of Congress with local appropriations. Both then ran on what they got.

    Now that both groups can win in November there is no more incentive to negotiate- if you give a political win you invalidate the reason why government should change hands. It is a different form of politics than used to exist.
    Last edited by mikem; 24-02-2020 at 03:30 PM.

  12. #8962
    Custom User Title phonics's Avatar
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    I have to say, this election is somehow managing to out gaslight the last one.

    Just today I've seen that Joe Biden, the guy who's only pro is that him and Obama are one and the same, release a press release dinging Sanders for having said exactly the same things as Obama about Castro.

    Followed by Bloomberg claiming that Bernie Sanders must personally apologize because an office of his campaign was graffitid by... leaning a wooden board against a wall and sellotaping a piece of paper to a window.




    I've got to work with these people in a few months and I'm genuinely worried it's going to end up with me being fired after being overheard for calling someone influential a cunt.

  13. #8963
    I used to be funny.
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    Perfect time to schedule that rehab.

  14. #8964
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mikem View Post
    Not explaining myself well, I agree with Lewis entirely. People do, but our politics don’t.

    I think this is generational as well. I’m in my forties so my formative politics are the 80’s and not the 90’s or 00’s. What isn’t remembered is that US politics weren’t competitive back then. Republicans could win the presidency, but Congress and the Senate were solidly Democratic up to the early 90’s and not slightly competitive. Currently, incumbents have a 3% advantage back then it was 15-18%.

    That made US politics different. Republicans couldn’t count on ever passing anything, and Democrats were not even slightly worried about losing either branch of Congress. Democrats passed the Reagan tax bill, not Republicans. Why? Because Reagan had to actually offer them something - funding Medicare and Social Security for 75 years. Then leaders of both parties simply bought off members of Congress with local appropriations. Both then ran on what they got.

    Now that both groups can win in November there is no more incentive to negotiate- if you give a political win you invalidate the reason why government should change hands. It is a different form of politics than used to exist.
    Werent the 80's horific for gay people and black people?

  15. #8965
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    Serves them right for spreading AIDS.

  16. #8966
    Custom User Title phonics's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Shindig View Post
    Perfect time to schedule that rehab.
    Shindig, genuinely, I can take these digs off some people. Not you. Please stop trying to pretend you’re above me.

  17. #8967
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lewis View Post
    Serves them right for spreading AIDS.
    And smoking THE crack?

  18. #8968
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    Homophobe.

  19. #8969
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Fuck.

  20. #8970
    Senior Member Spoonsky's Avatar
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    Bernie's going to be president of the United States, folks. And I feel like Mert in 2016.

  21. #8971
    Senior Member Bernanke's Avatar
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    What a dweeb.

  22. #8972
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spoonsky View Post
    Bernie's going to be president of the United States, folks. And I feel like Mert in 2016.
    Surely you don't actually believe this.

  23. #8973
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Are the people who narrowly went Trump over Hillary last time really going to switch to Bernie?

  24. #8974
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    Supposedly there were a group of #BernieBros who went Trump the last time in lieu of voting for The Devil Hillary but who knows just how many that was.

  25. #8975
    Senior Member mugbull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    Are the people who narrowly went Trump over Hillary last time really going to switch to Bernie?
    I think there are a good number, and not just Bernie Bros. My mom, for one

  26. #8976
    Senior Member Bernanke's Avatar
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    I also think the "switch sides" narrative is incredibly overrated as a deciding factor. It's about getting the turnout from your half of the population to be as high as possible on voting day, not Sean Hannity putting one in for Bernie or Spoonsky voting for the Don.

  27. #8977
    Senior Member Spoonsky's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bernanke View Post
    I also think the "switch sides" narrative is incredibly overrated as a deciding factor. It's about getting the turnout from your half of the population to be as high as possible on voting day, not Sean Hannity putting one in for Bernie or Spoonsky voting for the Don.


    Bernie´s base has grown since 2016, he´s winning Latinos easily and is about equal to Biden with blacks.

    I think the situation right now is really similar to Trump in 2016 - mainstream Democrats panicking but they can´t unite behind one candidate, so they´re inventing reasons why he´s not electable despite 1) all polls and statistics showing otherwise 2) the idea of ´electability´ taking a pretty big loss of legitimacy considering who our current president is.

  28. #8978
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    We've lived this movie, I hope for your sake that the USA is different.

  29. #8979
    Senior Member Bernanke's Avatar
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    Honestly 2/3 of Bloomberg, Biden, Buttigeig need to drop out ASAP for a moderate alternative to consolidate the lane, but it really won't happen because they all have massive egos.

  30. #8980
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    It all works out until the first debate when Trump starts his first answer (regardless of subject) with 'Folks, the reason why people call him "Crazy Bernie"...' and then lols his immigration policies into orbit.

  31. #8981
    Senior Member Bernanke's Avatar
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    I can't believe we're actually gonna get this this summer:


  32. #8982
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bernanke View Post
    Honestly 2/3 of Bloomberg, Biden, Buttigeig need to drop out ASAP for a moderate alternative to consolidate the lane, but it really won't happen because they all have massive egos.
    Interesting article on why it doesn´t necessarily work this way (though personally I agree with you): https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...ainst-sanders/

    The media can paint him as radical, socialist, ideologically extremist, etc... but ultimately, when people actually hear the man speak, they hear him decrying corruption and economic inequality. Which isn´t exactly a radical viewpoint:


  33. #8983
    Custom User Title phonics's Avatar
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    That is really quite good.

  34. #8984
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    #Texas Early Voting Counts as per Texas Democrats:

    2016: 170,839
    2020: 271,377

    Turnout Increase: 63%

    #Democrats #USA

  35. #8985
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Bernie is on a hot streak criticising Americas foreign polocy.

  36. #8986
    ram it up your shitpipe Giggles's Avatar
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    Someday I’m going to sit down and read how all this works. Their whole system sounds mental.

    One thing; why do they make such a big thing about Iowa in every vote? It’s just one of fifty, so does it have an extra big population or something?

  37. #8987
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Not having all the states vote on one day seems bizarre.

    Iowa was a mess because of some bullshit app they used. Despite Bernie winning the popular vote, Pete won the most state delegates. That is the most I know @spoonksy is needed l.

  38. #8988
    Senior Member John's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Giggles View Post
    Someday I’m going to sit down and read how all this works. Their whole system sounds mental.

    One thing; why do they make such a big thing about Iowa in every vote? It’s just one of fifty, so does it have an extra big population or something?
    Each state votes separately on who they think the nominee should be but they don't all do it at the same time. I think Iowa goes first, so the winner there gains momentum for the next vote, and so on. Most states only get two options, because the ten no hopers have dropped out after getting three votes each in the first few votes.

  39. #8989
    Respect the point. Byron's Avatar
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    You also have candidates like Steyer and Bloomberg who choose to ignore the states that won't win in and pour resources in later states hoping to build late momentum.

  40. #8990
    Senior Member Spoonsky's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Giggles View Post
    Someday I’m going to sit down and read how all this works. Their whole system sounds mental.

    One thing; why do they make such a big thing about Iowa in every vote? It’s just one of fifty, so does it have an extra big population or something?
    It's a little mental. Each state has a certain number of delegates to distribute, and every state has their own rules of how to distribute them. So some states will be winner takes all, but most give them proportionately - so if Bernie has 40%, Biden 20%, Warren 20% then they'll be distributed as such. States with a bigger population have more delegates, so while Iowa gives something like 20 delegates California gives ~400. Iowa is only important because it's the first state so whoever wins it gets a lot of media coverage and MOMENTUM. They put some random smaller states first - Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada - so that people will pay attention to these states, otherwise candidates would just spend all their time in California, Texas and New York.

    If at the end of the primary no candidate has an outright majority of delegates, there could be a brokered convention where they contrive to nominate someone else instead. This is quite possible to happen this year if Bernie has a plurality of votes.

    Correct me if I'm wrong @mikem

  41. #8991
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Would the contrived candidate not turn into a laughing stock and get thumped?

  42. #8992
    Senior Member Spoonsky's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    Would the contrived candidate not turn into a laughing stock and get thumped?
    Absolutely, not to mention the hordes of Bernie bros rioting in the streets of Milwaukee. I don't think it would happen, but I also don't put it past the democratic party.

  43. #8993
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Hillary Clinton is starting a podcast in a few months.

    Fuck me what rotten lot those running the Dems are it reminds me of the Australian Labour Party.
    Last edited by Queenslander; 28-02-2020 at 03:45 AM.

  44. #8994
    I used to be funny.
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    Does it have an emails segment?

  45. #8995
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Hopefully.

  46. #8996
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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  47. #8997
    Senior Member Pepe's Avatar
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    That was good stuff. What a fucking legend.

  48. #8998
    Just Luca, but still a DJ Luca's Avatar
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    Fucking hell.

  49. #8999
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Best touring comic atm.

  50. #9000
    I used to be funny.
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    He's got it sewn up.

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