Lockdown Werewolf

[Boydy]

You might wanna read over those again.

EDIT: I'll also update the first post.

[mugbull]

[Spikey M]

Well this is awkward.

[Baz]

You might wanna read over those again.

EDIT: I'll also update the first post.

you missed smiffy

[SvN]

I think that tops Smiffy withdrawing after being killed, just about.

[Boydy]

you missed smiffy

So I did. Cheers.

[Don]

I'm relinquishing my spot for Merse, that is heartbreaking stuff from the lad ffs

[igor_balis]

Fucking smiffy

Has boyd confirmed the existence or non existence of seers? Had a quick scan of the thread but didnt see owt.

[Baz]

Fucking smiffy

Has boyd confirmed the existence or non existence of seers? Had a quick scan of the thread but didnt see owt.

They are confirmed in the first post, along with doctors.

[7om]

I'm still of the opinion that the most obvious wolf at this point is SvN. My other gut feeling at this early stage is Jimmy. Makes sense for Boydy to get an intelligent poster in to the wolf pack to lead the fodder. Do your work seers.

[niko_cee]

Surely the operating hypothesis in the early stages is that whoever is being lynched is probably going to be a villager, so it's better to keep the more active people as they are more interesting and scrutable (oh that that were a word) going forward? I know everyone loves a bit of sleuthing, but the reality is the village just has to sit tight until something develops, as, at the moment, we are blindly stabbing in the dark.

[thommo]

I don't really get what Manc has been playing at so far. Minimal discussion, and only popping in to nominate (twice) and then vote. Didn't even make so much as a comment towards Spoonsky's suspicion and nomination of him. Something seems a little off there.

[Baz]

Tough, this, innit?

I mean we all have suspicions and probably what we consider as good evidence to back it up, and it’s good to share them with fellow-villagers. But also it makes you a target for the wolves.

Taz declaring his spreadsheet is basically smothering himself in marinade and laying naked on a boulder in the woods at night.

Unless he’s a wolf.

[SvN]

Surely the operating hypothesis in the early stages is that whoever is being lynched is probably going to be a villager, so it's better to keep the more active people as they are more interesting and scrutable (oh that that were a word) going forward? I know everyone loves a bit of sleuthing, but the reality is the village just has to sit tight until something develops, as, at the moment, we are blindly stabbing in the dark.

This is largely true. However, in every game I've played, there's been 2 or 3 wolves that minimally participate, but still vote every round. It's a strategy that's used time and time again. I'd suggest starting with those people to give ourselves the best chance of getting lucky with a wolf.

[SvN]

Tough, this, innit?

I mean we all have suspicions and probably what we consider as good evidence to back it up, and it’s good to share them with fellow-villagers. But also it makes you a target for the wolves.

Taz declaring his spreadsheet is basically smothering himself in marinade and laying naked on a boulder in the woods at night.

Unless he’s a wolf.

Taz is playing like he does every game, regardless of his role. There's nothing to gain from trying to get rid of him now unless we get ridiculously lucky.

[Spikey M]

I think we have the most to learn from killing Mahow. The only time I've ever seen anyone be as brazen as Bruh about killing someone has been when Seers are down to the last wolf.

If we kill Mahow, and he's a wolf. Grand.

If we kill Mahow and he's a villager. Bruh is confirmed as an idiot/wolf and his head needs to roll.

If we kill Mahow and he's a Seer or Doctor. Bruh gets banned from the internet.

[Baz]

I am a wolf and Mahow and I have decided to let fellow-wolf Taz do his usual thing.

FTFY

That’s me gone tonight, boys. Marked 4 of them for you though so do me proud. #martyr

[SvN]

I think we have the most to learn from killing Mahow. The only time I've ever seen anyone be as brazen as Bruh about killing someone has been when Seers are down to the last wolf.

If we kill Mahow, and he's a wolf. Grand.

If we kill Mahow and he's a villager. Bruh is confirmed as an idiot/wolf and his head needs to roll.

If we kill Mahow and he's a Seer or Doctor. Bruh gets banned from the internet.

This is also Bruh's first time ever playing, and he doesn't really know what he's doing. He's just inexperienced and prone to meltdowns. I don't think there's anything in what he's saying.

[Spikey M]

He's offering to bet money on it. It's the biggest lead we have.

[Browning]

I nominate Browning

Only five posts from him, come out and explain yourself or taste the cold steel of the lynching knife (I assume we've moved on from hanging).

I'm here, checking the thread when I can, but I just don't want to start flinging shit aimlessly like Bruh is.

The people on my radar have already been nominated this phase. I was going to second Mahow but was beaten to it, and then I thought the idea of a Bruh Vs Mahow 1 on 1 was funny enough to not be the one to ruin it, albeit the choices we've added are all decent enough.

[SvN]

I'll second the nomination of Browning.

He matches my hypothesis about a couple of the wolves laying low, but still popping in to vote.

[Boydy]

So far we have:
Mahow - nomiated by Bruhnaldo, seconded by Spikey.
Manc - nominated by Spoonsky, seconded by Don.
Browning - nominated by Jimmy, seconded by SvN.
7om - nominated by Pepe, seconded by Adramelch.
Bruhnaldo - nominated by Mahow, seconded by Pleb.

Nominated but not seconded:
AyDee - nominated by Manc (seconded by Merse lol).

That's five up for the vote so that should be enough. I'll close voting at half twelve just in case you want time to nominate anyone else.

[Lofty]

I’ll nominate Aydee (Second Nomination) and honour The Merse's last wishes. I do think his lack of defence during the vote was odd.

[Baz]

So far we have:
Mahow - nomiated by Bruhnaldo, seconded by Spikey.
Manc - nominated by Spoonsky, seconded by Don.
Browning - nominated by Jimmy, seconded by SvN.
7om - nominated by Pepe, seconded by Adramelch.
Bruhnaldo - nominated by Mahow, seconded by Pleb.

Nominated but not seconded:
AyDee - nominated by Manc (seconded by Merse lol).

That's five up for the vote so that should be enough. I'll close voting at half twelve just in case you want time to nominate anyone else.

I nominated Pleb.

[Pleb]

[mugbull]

Pleb is one of those whose posting patterns will never change, no matter what side he’s on

[Boydy]

I nominated Pleb.

So you did, sorry.

Update on nominations:
Mahow - nomiated by Bruhnaldo, seconded by Spikey.
Manc - nominated by Spoonsky, seconded by Don.
Browning - nominated by Jimmy, seconded by SvN.
7om - nominated by Pepe, seconded by Adramelch.
Bruhnaldo - nominated by Mahow, seconded by Pleb.
AyDee - nominated by Manc, seconded by Lofty.

Nominated but not seconded:
Pleb - nominated by Baz.

[Pleb]

Six is enough for voting this round.

[Baz]

[igor_balis]

Is it voting time, then? I am definitely leaning towards Mahow, based on my gut instinct that Bruh is a seer. I'm not 100% but we've nowt much else to go on.

[The Merse]

Completely missed that page in the morning skim read. FFS

[The Merse]

I’ll nominate Aydee (Second Nomination) and honour The Merse's last wishes. I do think his lack of defence during the vote was odd.

Good man, good luck all.

[niko_cee]

If Bruh's the seer we're so fucked it isn't even funny so I'm definitely not happy on the Mahow boat. Leaning towards Manc but not for any real reason.

[Boydy]

Yeah, voting is open.

Copy and paste the below, bolding your choice:

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

[igor_balis]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

As above.

[Boydy]

I will aim to close this vote around 8pm UK time. If those with roles who need to make a selection during the night could have their choices planned for then, that'd be just swell.

[Spikey M]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

You had better not be talking out of your arse, Bruh.

[mugbull]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

[Lofty]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

Interested to see if he mounts more of a defence this time.

[Don]

Right, here we go, not sure I can be arsed to keep this going but we'll see. 2 rounds of analysis has yielded some insights which will shake the wolves to their very core.

Technical restrictions mean this may not work on phones:

ethercalc.org/yx3kkd0n0s7s/form

- Villager data greyed out due to being useless at this stage.
- The (ordering) of nominations is as a whole but (ordering) for votes is just for votes of that individual. Hard to explain but should be easy to figure out what's going on.

The key conclusions are largely for benefit of seers at this early stage but villagers should get most out of this once wolves come out the woodwork.

Seers, take particular note of those dead votes in yellow. They be the work of chickenshits who don't want to vote.

I've got two hints of connections, AD and Pepe and AD and Thommo. As a result, let's kill off AD just to allay those two theories. If he's a wolf, we've got a fair bit to go off from previous round's voting too.

I fear I won't have long left as wolves will want to take me out immediately given the power this spreadsheet holds. Remember me.

[SvN]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee


Keep an eye out for people jumping onto Mahow and making him a runaway leader.

[Don]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

[mugbull]

Taz benevolently creating a tactical spreadsheet only to mark himself down as a villager seems like a good way to control the dialogue

[Baz]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

I am voting for Mahow because he is a wolf.

[Pleb]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

[Adramelch]

Mahow- Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

Again sticking with my nomination but now it's more substantiated than last time around. He's been very quiet (so it matches the "off the quiet" strategy), however he has been accused (by Bruh but still) and magically appeared to not only defend himself but point fingers and then disappear into obscurity again. Finally, he didn't vote so fuck that.

[Baz]

We got one, boys.

And look at all the Wolves trying to save him.

[7om]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

I think we should keep this vote tight and see what shenanigans unfold closer to the deadline.

[Pepe]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

Because I still think that he is being evasive, plus we don't really want a runaway vote.

Watch for late voters jumping on safe votes. That's the classic wolf tactic.

[thommo]

Mahow - Manc - Browning - 7om - Bruhnaldo - AyDee

Can't help but feel something is off with Manc. He's only popping up to nominate and vote and keeping himself very low profile otherwise.