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Thread: The Betting Thread

  1. #4401
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    If Mister Malarkey wins I’ll buy you an NFT.
    I'm a twit

  2. #4402
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Places.

  3. #4403
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Cabaret Queen
    Discorama
    Burrows Saint
    The Long Mile
    Tout Est Permis

    £10 on each E/W

  4. #4404
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    The wife has:

    Chris's Dream
    OK Corral
    Ami des bois
    Mr Malarkey

  5. #4405
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Post your horses you nonces.

  6. #4406
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Cabaret Queen for me. My lifetime record is 1 place and 2 horses dead so fingers crossed we can at least bang in the equaliser today.

  7. #4407
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Oof. The kiss of death.

  8. #4408
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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  9. #4409
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    de Bromhead horses are on the juice.

  10. #4410
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Had 2.50 each way on both Any Second Now and Farclas. I think both placed?

    Betfair not settled yet so not sure how much that gets me.

  11. #4411
    Senior Member Pleb's Avatar
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    Rahm and Finau placing is a small victory for the COMPUTER

  12. #4412
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    It is indeed, though that Finau T10 is an embarrassing way to do it. Record for the year now stands at 230pts wagered 431.04pts returned (RoI +87.41%). I also won on Stewart Cink's top 20 and a couple of other side bets though they aren't in the calculation.

    Im over Matsuyama match bet possibly the worst tip I have ever put up, deki beat him by 23 shots and took the jacket.

    Two tournaments next week which will have somewhat shorter previews.

  13. #4413
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Just about scraped profit largely thanks to Cink.

    Would have been a nice amount had Macintyre not bogeyed 17th and thus tied with Harman as the top lefty.

  14. #4414
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Only took the main bets so ended up return £42 on bet £38.

  15. #4415
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    RBC Heritage

    Back in its traditional slot just after the Masters, this nudge around Harbour Town in South Carolina is not too far up the road from Augusta but demands a different skillset, with long hitters largely neutralised, and accurate wedge play rewarded. As with a lot of PGA Tour events at the moment, the field seems to be a revolving door, with Bryson pulling out today and I cannot imagine that Dustin Johnson won't at least consider doing the same.

    Fitzpatrick 28/1
    Na 45/1
    Kirk 60/1
    Streelman 66/1
    Reavie 150/1

    Austrian Open

    Not much to say about this one except that it's the first event of 2021 to take place in Europe. Field is similar to the recent Kenyan events, but with the Africans replaced by a selection of lowly mountain goatherds. I'm on two of the homeboys at opposite ends of the market.

    Schwab 18/1
    Crocker 33/1
    Catlin 50/1
    Chesters 100/1
    Heisele 125/1
    Nemecz 250/1

    All e/w

  16. #4416
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Unless I’m missing something or it’s the biggest fix in history, Ben Askren to beat Jake Paul in a boxing match at 6/4 is free money

  17. #4417
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Nah. I reckon if he give me one free punch even I could make Askren’s legs wobble.
    I'm a twit

  18. #4418
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Based off of what? One flukey knee to his face?

    He’s been knocked out once in his life in MMA. I don’t they a Youtuber will be able to do the same in 10oz gloves or whatever they’re using
    Last edited by Waffdon; 16-04-2021 at 09:21 AM.

  19. #4419
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Investing in France to win Eurovision, this really is a test of an Englishman's nerve.

  20. #4420
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Sorry for the hasty delete. The endorsement remains.

    It's a very accomplished entry in what looks a far from vintage year, and far easier to get right on the night than co-favourites Malta and Switzerland.


  21. #4421
    Senior Member Pleb's Avatar
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    Isn't this Eurovision 2020?

  22. #4422
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    What's the value selection @-james-? I see San Marino are turning out Flo Rida.

  23. #4423
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    The San Marino song is a bit of a banger but I can't see it contending, even if Flo Rida is physically there (which I rather doubt).

    France and Bulgaria are the safest bets at the moment. Romania, Moldova, Belgium are worth small greens if you want to get involved now but I don't want to advise any of them properly before rehearsals.

    I'll do a Jimmy style preview in a few weeks.

  24. #4424
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    It's a pretty good song, is the frog language factor something it has to overcome? Couldn't see that charting outside francophone territories (though I know nothing so it's probably number 1 everywhere).

  25. #4425
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    To an extent, but it's that much better than most of the other entries that it shouldn't be a factor. There's precedent for foreign language ballad types winning (Serbia 2007, Portugal 2017) and it's the type of thing that gets lapped up by juries. I think it's pretty immediate and everyone knows what "Voila" means.

    Switzerland, currently hovering around the same odds as France, is also performed in French. That has a pretty high ceiling but its chances will depend entirely on presentation. Wouldn't be surprised to see it drift to 20s post-rehearsals.

  26. #4426
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Sad that The Computer didn’t catch this:



    125/1
    I'm a twit

  27. #4427
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Computer works on more solid stuff than that hocus pocus.

  28. #4428
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waffdon View Post
    Unless I’m missing something or it’s the biggest fix in history, Ben Askren to beat Jake Paul in a boxing match at 6/4 is free money
    £15 on Askren @ 2.4
    £5 on Askren by KO @ 6.

  29. #4429
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waffdon View Post
    Based off of what? One flukey knee to his face?

    He’s been knocked out once in his life in MMA. I don’t they a Youtuber will be able to do the same in 10oz gloves or whatever they’re using
    I'm a twit

  30. #4430
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    He’s definitely thrown that.

  31. #4431
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Absolutely. Wouldn’t be surprised if Jake Paul gave him his paycheque just for the publicity. One step closer to Conor.
    I'm a twit

  32. #4432
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Come on Catlin (Austrian Open). Schwab probably too far out.


    Fitzpatrick, Steelman in with a chance of placing.

  33. #4433
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Schwab forgot how to play in round 2 which hurt him a lot.

    He could potentially win but he'd need a lot of help from those above him you feel.

    Edit: Although Kieffer and Catlin are playing far too good right now.

    Schwab should be fine for a dead heat place at the least though.
    Last edited by Sir Andy Mahowry; 18-04-2021 at 12:05 PM.

  34. #4434
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Mon Catlin.

    MASSIVE putt on the 14th to take him to -13.

    Edit: Kieffer will not fuck off though.
    Last edited by Sir Andy Mahowry; 18-04-2021 at 02:16 PM.

  35. #4435
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Schwab has fucked it.

    Betfair is only 7 places so unless Canizares bogeys and finishes on -7 I'm getting no dead heat placing from him.

    Edit: Catlin could win but he's missed a relatively easy putt (especially with how he's putted today) for birdie which would have near enough guaranteed a playoff at worse.
    Last edited by Sir Andy Mahowry; 18-04-2021 at 03:28 PM.

  36. #4436
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    This playoff is nervy as fuck.
    Last edited by Sir Andy Mahowry; 18-04-2021 at 04:14 PM.

  37. #4437
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Kieffer's put it into the water

    Catlin has a chance.

    He's in the water again
    Last edited by Sir Andy Mahowry; 18-04-2021 at 04:35 PM.

  38. #4438
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Twice!

    Thrice!

  39. #4439
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    And a third time

  40. #4440
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Well done Jimbo yet again.

  41. #4441
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Cor, loving that result. Pity Schwab only got 1/5 of a place (at my bookie anyhow).

    Might get a sliver from Hilton Head, we'll see.

  42. #4442
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Excellent as always Jim, cheers.

  43. #4443
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    Cor, loving that result. Pity Schwab only got 1/5 of a place (at my bookie anyhow).

    Might get a sliver from Hilton Head, we'll see.
    He snuck into a dead heat place with Betfair thanks to Canizares dropping to -7.

    That playoff today was the tensest Golf I've seen (obviously helped by having money on one of them ofc).

  44. #4444
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Fiver on Neil Robertson at 5.8 for the World Championship. There's power in that hair.

  45. #4445
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sir Andy Mahowry View Post
    That playoff today was the tensest Golf I've seen (obviously helped by having money on one of them ofc).
    Playoffs are a nightmare and it feels like my guys always fuck them, but, as we say to the god of death: not today.

  46. #4446
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    I love that Mahow has become a hardcore golf viewer.

    Jimmy and The Computer single-handedly doing more for fan engagement than all the mooks at the European Tour with that as part of their job description combined.

  47. #4447
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Time to pack in the day job, Jimmy.

  48. #4448
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Two places in America thanks to Fitzpatrick and Kirk.

    Jimmy and The Computer donning it again.

  49. #4449
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by -james- View Post
    Time to pack in the day job, Jimmy.
    Tbh I'm still a bit mystified as to whether it works and if it does, why others aren't doing it.

    This week one of the well known tipsters had 4 selections the same as me for Austria, which was , but for Heritage we completely diverged, as we usually do, so I think it was just coincidence.

  50. #4450
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    £136 back from about £20. You're the new BTC.

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