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Thread: U.S. Presidential Election 2016 (Sponsored by Betty Croker's Hamburger Helper)

  1. #13251
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    We'll be fine.

  2. #13252
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    They crucially include crown dependencies in that which includes a lot of 'services'. Saved from Trump's wrath by Brexit and the tax havens, this will spin a few heads.

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    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Imagine thinking trump thinks logically like this. 🥲

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    There's nothing to tariff lol. Whisky?

  5. #13255
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kikó View Post
    Imagine thinking trump thinks logically like this. ��
    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    They crucially include crown dependencies in that which includes a lot of 'services'. Saved from Trump's wrath by Brexit and the tax havens, this will spin a few heads.
    Imagine thinking anyone who was against Brexit will ever admit, under any circumstances, that it was a good thing.

  6. #13256
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    What was a good thing, brexit? 🥲

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    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    The markets have reacted well this morning.

    European markets live updates: stocks, news, data and earnings https://search.app/Jt4wVRLNo3Hh6cRG8

  8. #13258
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    Brexit was just a thing that happened. It had been coming for a long time. It is pointless to try and rationlise it one way or the other, no one on either side of the divide will be particularly convinced one way or the other. Trying to say it was qualitatively good or bad is like saying it would have been better to let all those people die of covid and just keep on trucking. It has probably been handled pretty badly to date, but that was predictable, the whole process was designed to be as harmful as possible, and I'm not sure not being dragged into some sort of disaster by a madman necessarily gets a massive tick the the it was a good thing column.

    Will be interesting how Trumponomics clashes with all the classical economists saying how silly and a bad idea this all is, given that most publicly facing economists are wrong about almost everything almost all of the time.

  9. #13259
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    If one believes that post-1990 liberal consensus lasts forever then Brexit was a bad thing, which is why all the people most invested in that are also the people most invested in Brexit being a disaster. I voted leave because that's obviously not going to be the case, I am a British patriot and believe we will need agility and nimbleness in the future that being part of a 28 nation bloc does not afford.

    There are inconveniences and costs and the ledger book doesn't currently add up but it will be worth it.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Kikó View Post
    What was a good thing, brexit? 🥲
    Thank you for proving my point.

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    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Objectively Brexit had not been a good thing. Happy to be proven otherwise but it's not really here nor there for this discussion.

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    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    It hasn't been, but I'm not sure we'd be any better off had Remain won. It's not as if the EU aren't facing most of the same issues we are.

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    Senior Member Giggles's Avatar
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    It was a symbolic thing more than anything, never anything practical. Nobody is better or worse off.

  14. #13264
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    You could probably argue the whole thing has been equally 'harmful' the other way in distracting from / ostensibly stopping the drive towards federalism.

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    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    Imagine thinking anyone who was against Brexit will ever admit, under any circumstances, that it was a good thing.
    I mean, I voted remain and given the choice I'd vote to rejoin, but I acknowledge that as with pretty much everything, there are pro's and cons. Not everyone that voted remain became a lunatic.

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    How long do we have to wait for things to get better? That’s a genuine question, the two biggest things let’s control our immigration and make the NHS better which is what it was all sold on have gotten far worse since we left.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Spikey M View Post
    I mean, I voted remain and given the choice I'd vote to rejoin, but I acknowledge that as with pretty much everything, there are pro's and cons. Not everyone that voted remain became a lunatic.
    And I’m very much in that camp as well. There is plenty wrong with the EU and I actually do think Brexit could be made to work, but only really if we actually built and made things and if we actually had a degree of competence leading the country.

  18. #13268
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luke Emia View Post
    How long do we have to wait for things to get better? That’s a genuine question, the two biggest things let’s control our immigration and make the NHS better which is what it was all sold on have gotten far worse since we left.
    They don't get better. All they're interested in is GDP and growth. And for that they either need a massive fluke, like they had with the advent of the Internet (which is why they're so desperate to make AI the nations new religion) or more people.

    Mass immigration was not an accident and I don't believe the managed decline of the NHS is either. Slow but steady privatisation is the aim.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Kikó View Post
    Objectively Brexit had not been a good thing. Happy to be proven otherwise but it's not really here nor there for this discussion.
    Which is all well and good, but have a re-read of what I said.

    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    Imagine thinking anyone who was against Brexit will ever admit, under any circumstances, that it was a good thing.
    A hypothetical posed, but you couldn't wait to jump on it being bad. The point being there will still be many people (not all to be fair as Spikey says) that irrespective of the circumstances will never concede it as a good thing.

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    "Why can't you consider the thing that's been absolutely no good as a good thing. I'm very intelligent"

  21. #13271
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by phonics View Post
    "Why can't you consider the thing that's been absolutely no good as a good thing. I'm very intelligent"
    If it allows us to dodge huge tariffs from the Yanks, that's a good thing? No?

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    This is too easy and so unbelievably predictable.

  23. #13273
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    Which is all well and good, but have a re-read of what I said.



    A hypothetical posed, but you couldn't wait to jump on it being bad. The point being there will still be many people (not all to be fair as Spikey says) that irrespective of the circumstances will never concede it as a good thing.
    I don't understand what it's got to do with what I said. Trump is a zero sum game person and doesn't care whether the UK has a surplus or deficit.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    This is too easy and so unbelievably predictable.
    You're going to have to explain this, please.

  25. #13275
    Senior Member Pepe's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spikey M View Post
    All they're interested in is GDP and growth.
    Aren't you rolling on zero growth? Probably good that they don't try to fix immigration or the NHS or you would probably all be sent to Haiti and paying 100% taxes to fund the NHS if they did.

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    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    Leaving the European Union was a means to an end, and they have either failed to take advantage of its potential benefits (trade, regulations, etc.) or deliberately fucked things up (immigration). It was always only going to be as good or as pointless as our governments wanted it to be, and we have had dogshit governments since.

  27. #13277
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pepe View Post
    Aren't you rolling on zero growth? Probably good that they don't try to fix immigration or the NHS or you would probably all be sent to Haiti and paying 100% taxes to fund the NHS if they did.
    We are. Hence the immigration. I honestly don't think they know what to do.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Lewis View Post
    Leaving the European Union was a means to an end, and they have either failed to take advantage of its potential benefits (trade, regulations, etc.) or deliberately fucked things up (immigration). It was always only going to be as good or as pointless as our governments wanted it to be, and we have had dogshit governments since.
    So how does making it infinitely harder to trade with our closest and biggest trading partner become advantageous?

  29. #13279
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Magic View Post
    So how does making it infinitely harder to trade with our closest and biggest trading partner become advantageous?
    By taking advantage of being able to do things that members of the EU can't do. Norway have done so very nicely.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Spikey M View Post
    By taking advantage of being able to do things that members of the EU can't do. Norway have done so very nicely.
    Like what and how?

  31. #13281
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Magic View Post
    Like what and how?
    I don't know, I am Yevrah. It was the Leave plan though, wasn't it. Leave the EU, cut up the regulations that stop us from over-fishing, fracking, marrying 9 year olds, etc. Then cash in on the fact that none of our EU rivals can compete.

    Now, obviously, we didn't do that and here we are. I will leave the how's and whys to others.

  32. #13282
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spikey M View Post
    I don't know, I am Yevrah. It was the Leave plan though, wasn't it. Leave the EU, cut up the regulations that stop us from over-fishing, fracking, marrying 9 year olds, etc. Then cash in on the fact that none of our EU rivals can compete.

    Now, obviously, we didn't do that and here we are. I will leave the how's and whys to others.
    So you stated it as a fact and have no evidence?

  33. #13283
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Evidence? We're talking on TTH, not having a debate at your Student Union you fanny.

  34. #13284
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spikey M View Post
    Evidence? We're talking on TTH, not having a debate at your Student Union you fanny.
    Right. So I had a thing that worked and now I did something and it's shit. But it could have worked. Not sure how but it could have.

  35. #13285
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    No, you're right. The EU is paradise right now and it's only everyone outside of it that's struggling.

    As already stated, I voted remain. I would vote to rejoin. I'm simply capable of playing devil's advocate and understanding that there were potentially ways that leaving the EU could have worked in our favour if we had capable leaders.

  36. #13286
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spikey M View Post
    No, you're right. The EU is paradise right now and it's only everyone outside of it that's struggling.

    As already stated, I voted remain. I would vote to rejoin. I'm simply capable of playing devil's advocate and understanding that there were potentially ways that leaving the EU could have worked in our favour if we had capable leaders.
    I never said that. We are now much worse off financially than we were before, and our immigration is fucked.

    Devils advocate is fine, but you need evidence to demonstrate how it was incompetent leadership that caused BREXIT to fail rather than it was just a stupid idea with no possibility of being good.

  37. #13287
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    In which case you need evidence that we had something that was working while we were in the EU. Because last time I checked the economy has been fucked since 2007.

  38. #13288
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    At least, unlike our grown up in the room European betters we aren't going to be voting in actual Nazis, at least not for a few years.

    Norway is an interesting example. Their extremist left wing government is coming under increasing pressure to justify things like their wealth taxes. These are the times we are in.

  39. #13289
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    The proper lefties wanted Brexit as well, just as a reminder.

  40. #13290
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spikey M View Post
    In which case you need evidence that we had something that was working while we were in the EU. Because last time I checked the economy has been fucked since 2007.
    War of the Roses was a right cunt as well, IIRC.

    Main point is, after BREXIT, graphs go down, apart from one...how much more wealth was transferred up. COVID caused both of these lines to go in their respective directions even harder.

  41. #13291
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    I think Brexit is probably one of the few seismic political spasms of recent times that can't be put down to elite conspiracy, other than in perhaps a very localised/self-serving way for people like Boris. Very much not what was wanted by the establishment and really not in 'their' interests at all.

  42. #13292
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    Quote Originally Posted by niko_cee View Post
    I think Brexit is probably one of the few seismic political spasms of recent times that can't be put down to elite conspiracy, other than in perhaps a very localised/self-serving way for people like Boris. Very much not what was wanted by the establishment and really not in 'their' interests at all.
    It actually seems like anything bad that happens almost always benefits the already rich and fucks the already poor.

    For example:


  43. #13293
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by niko_cee View Post
    I think Brexit is probably one of the few seismic political spasms of recent times that can't be put down to elite conspiracy, other than in perhaps a very localised/self-serving way for people like Boris. Very much not what was wanted by the establishment and really not in 'their' interests at all.
    Which is exactly why leave won. First and foremost, it was a middle finger to piggy fucking Etonian.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Spikey M View Post
    Which is exactly why leave won. First and foremost, it was a middle finger to piggy fucking Etonian.
    Yeah, take even MORE money you pig fucker!

    Needless to say, I had the last laugh.

  45. #13295
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Magic View Post
    It actually seems like anything bad that happens almost always benefits the already rich and fucks the already poor.

    For example:

    Of course. You only need to look at the 2008 financial crisis. Millionaires and Billionaires bailed out at great expense to tax payers. Not one of them faced any consequences for crashing the economy and we're still paying for it nearly 20 years later

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    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Magic View Post
    It actually seems like anything bad that happens almost always benefits the already rich and fucks the already poor.

    For example:

    I like this graph. Very clear.

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    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    They need a much more granular breakdown of that. The top 1% will be 100s if not 1000s of percent up, the next tranche to top 5 will be doing very nicely, bet it flattens out a lot after that.

  48. #13298
    Senior Member Spikey M's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kikó View Post
    I like this graph. Very clear.
    But does it look any different to how it would look if Remain had won?

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    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spikey M View Post
    But does it look any different to how it would look if Remain had won?
    It's why Remain didn't win. The 'Top 20%' is basically everybody with a house in the South and pensioners.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Spikey M View Post
    But does it look any different to how it would look if Remain had won?
    It probably would have still gone up, but not as fast or hard. It came at the worst possible time as well, with the COVID bonfire.

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