
Originally Posted by
Yevrah
It's quite straight forward. There are 4 ways the virus goes away:
1. We vaccinate against it
2. We stay inside until it's gone (not that simple I know, but for the purpose of brevity let's use that as a catch all term for proper isolation and testing, leading to a capacity to treat where possible and elimination through knowledge of where it actually is)
3. It kills everyone it can
4. The pixies ask it nicely to leave
Let's assume 4 won't happen.
1 takes time, which if we're on semi-lockdown for the duration and that duration is into next year will kill the economy. Particularly if other countries have managed to make 2 a success.
2 might work, but people need to disabuse themselves of the notion that that's what we're doing. We're manifestly not. Or not properly at least. And it doesn't strike me that we're going to.
3 by process of elimination, if we can't get a vaccine quick enough, is the only option left. Mixed in with some mitigation from our half arsed efforts at 2.
If I've misunderstood anything, shout.