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Thread: The Betting Thread

  1. #4051
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Man City team news more than anything. You have your best front three finally playing though so 2/1 is very decent odds for the win

  2. #4052
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    Man City XI: Steffen, Cancelo, Stones, Dias, Zinchenko, Rodri, De Bruyne, Gundogan, Bernardo Silva, Sterling, Foden

    Looks fairly rancid.

  3. #4053
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Fuck it, Mon the Waff.

  4. #4054
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Lol

  5. #4055
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    Waff is cancelled.

  6. #4056
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Bonjour and a happy new year. Tournament of Champions. These are dull picks but there is absolutely nothing in the market, tightest one I've ever seen.

    D.Johnson 6/1
    Reed 16/1
    Muńoz 55/1
    Horschel 66/1

    All E/W.

  7. #4057
    Senior Member Pleb's Avatar
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    The Jimmy train is here lads.

    Buckle up.

  8. #4058
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    I'll follow on Reed. Money down for JT also.

  9. #4059
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/55560401

    This should be an interesting affair. Markets have Chorley a slight fave. No opinion myself, just interested to see how it pans out.

  10. #4060
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    It's hard because I have seen these reserve teams play lower league teams in the cup and batter them. I might have a single but would swerve it for my acca.

    Speaking of which, I often feel this saturday is the most potentially profitable in the football calendar due to the round of the FA Cup, a lot of big teams playing lower league opposition. There are some question marks over the likes of West Brom and Sheffield United, but simply backing all the PL teams against the weaker ones and the likes of Milwall against Boreham Wood pushes the odds right up.

    Could be a potential train in there if we could narrow down the cupset potential.

  11. #4061
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Dundee United are 7/2 to beat St Johnstone at home and I can’t quite get my head around it. United aren’t on great form but they’ve faced the top four recently and are a lot more reliable than the latter. If not going outright, lump on double chance as it should be about 1/3

  12. #4062
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Pitch inspection at 12 apparently so hold off for now

  13. #4063
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    It's fucking freezing here (-1) so could be a frozen one.

  14. #4064
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    -7 last night in Perth so probably similar there. There is under soil heating but no idea how good that is.

  15. #4065
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    Bonjour and a happy new year. Tournament of Champions. These are dull picks but there is absolutely nothing in the market, tightest one I've ever seen.

    D.Johnson 6/1
    Reed 16/1
    Muńoz 55/1
    Horschel 66/1

    All E/W.
    I'm only scoreboard watching but Horschel is look good right now.

    It's also a shame Munoz had a shitter on day 1 otherwise he'd be right up there.

  16. #4066
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Feelings towards JT @Jimmy Floyd?

  17. #4067
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Speaking of JT:



    This wasn't great.

  18. #4068
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    That's what I was getting at. Do keep up.

  19. #4069
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Manc View Post
    That's what I was getting at. Do keep up.
    I thought you were talking about his ability to win it here seeing as you've got money on him.

  20. #4070
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Manc View Post
    Feelings towards JT @Jimmy Floyd?
    Hasn't improved my opinion of him. It's not worth cancelling him (or anyone) over, but at the same time if you use it in that situation you probably use it a lot, and it's not a word I like at all. Has a nasty edge to it that the other ones don't, the yanks seem to love it.

    Most American golfers are genuinely terrible people and JT always comes across OK to me, but, yeah, well, whatever. Let's put it this way, you hear Tyrrell Hatton mouthing off on every hole of every round but you never hear him say that. And to be fair, you never hear Bryson or Reed say it either. It's not a great look.
    Last edited by Jimmy Floyd; 10-01-2021 at 10:30 PM.

  21. #4071
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    The computer obviously has a method given three of the selections currently sit at 16 under and the other 15 under.

  22. #4072
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    If Munoz hadn't played like a wanker on Thursday he would be right in it. Would like to see Joaco win this, lovely player.

  23. #4073
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    If you can find a market for Hibs/Celtic might be worth lumping on the former. They were 13/2 before bookies realised majority of Celtic’s team is self isolating. The latter are pretty shite anyway

    Edit: new odds probably aren’t worth it. They’ll be playing their third choice keeper if the list of players out is correct but still have first choice midfield and attack
    Last edited by Waffdon; 11-01-2021 at 12:55 PM.

  24. #4074
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Sky Bet have Hibs 3/1?

  25. #4075
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    It's total guesswork at this stage without knowing who is out. Not many Hibs players who would get into a second string Celtic side anyway.

  26. #4076
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Sony Open

    Simpson 12/1
    Bradley 60/1
    Na 66/1
    Piercy 90/1
    Perez 200/1

    The best value of the five by a mile is Na.

  27. #4077
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by -james- View Post
    It's total guesswork at this stage without knowing who is out. Not many Hibs players who would get into a second string Celtic side anyway.
    Barkas
    Hazard
    Ajer
    Ralston
    Brown
    Soro
    Turnbull
    Connell
    Ajeti
    Laxalt
    Ntcham
    Griffiths
    Edouard

    That’s doing the rounds but I’d take it with a pinch of salt. Would
    Leave them with 3rd choice keeper and a youth player up front

  28. #4078
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Hard to imagine Edouard and Ntcham aren't two of the thirteen who got told to isolate tbh.

  29. #4079
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Livingston price looks nice given they seem to have been not up to much tonight.

  30. #4080
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Anyone seen this new betting craze doing long accas betting over 1.5 goals on farmer's leagues? Some guy landed one for £11k off a tenner earlier in the week and now everyone is trying it, to the point bookies are now suspending markets on the dodgiest fixtures

  31. #4081
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    2.37 for Fulham not to lose with that Chelsea line up is very good odds. They played a better team against Morecambe

  32. #4082
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    Sony Open

    Simpson 12/1
    Bradley 60/1
    Na 66/1
    Piercy 90/1
    Perez 200/1

    The best value of the five by a mile is Na.
    First time follower, and I'm cursing it by posting, but our boy Kevin is having a day of it.

  33. #4083
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    He is doing very nicely. I'm slightly afraid of Niemann for the win, but good chance of place.

  34. #4084
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Simpson rolling up to joint second with Na is good news for the computer but bad news for dead heat odds settling.

  35. #4085
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Kevin Na winning with Simpson placing would be the perfect result here.

  36. #4086
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    I'm still following my tipster's staking plan and up 37.675 points, aka £ 188.38 for January.
    I'm a twit

  37. #4087
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Think Steeley might go away with it now. Two places would be a good result though.

  38. #4088
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    4 way tie at the top right now

  39. #4089
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Kevin Na \0/.

    The Computer coming up big early in the year.

    Touch under £150 profit for me.
    Last edited by Sir Andy Mahowry; 18-01-2021 at 01:26 AM.

  40. #4090
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Top stuff Jimmy.

  41. #4091
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    He had a few moments in that round but ultimately was just hitting it too well. 66/1 was straight up banditry, no idea what they were playing at.

  42. #4092
    Just Luca, but still a DJ Luca's Avatar
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    I made a mental note to myself to open up a betting account and get on the Jimmy train this year, but the Old-Order Mennonites that run my bank don't do business with gambling companies, so I'll have to get creative to load my account without signing up for some questionable third party transfer service. Twats.

    EDIT: Turns out the majority of Canada's banks and fintechs are run by Old Order Mennonites.
    Last edited by Luca; 18-01-2021 at 06:02 AM.

  43. #4093
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Yeah, excellent stuff Jim. Thanks!

  44. #4094
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luca View Post
    I made a mental note to myself to open up a betting account and get on the Jimmy train this year, but the Old-Order Mennonites that run my bank don't do business with gambling companies, so I'll have to get creative to load my account without signing up for some questionable third party transfer service. Twats.

    EDIT: Turns out the majority of Canada's banks and fintechs are run by Old Order Mennonites.
    Hey, I think you should get a Monzo account. Get one through this link:

    https://join.monzo.com/r/340el90
    I'm a twit

  45. #4095
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Does anyone ever use your affiliate links, Baz?

  46. #4096
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Luca View Post
    I made a mental note to myself to open up a betting account and get on the Jimmy train this year, but the Old-Order Mennonites that run my bank don't do business with gambling companies, so I'll have to get creative to load my account without signing up for some questionable third party transfer service. Twats.

    EDIT: Turns out the majority of Canada's banks and fintechs are run by Old Order Mennonites.
    Just use paypal?

  47. #4097
    Just Luca, but still a DJ Luca's Avatar
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    Nah, Bet365 doesn't accept that here in Canada either. The intermediary services on offer ("iDebit" is one of them, "Instadebit" isbanother) have a history of being a bit wonky, so I'd rather avoid.

    I've been meaning to try out Neo Financial (a new neobank here) so I'll give it a whirl for this. Probably won't work, so I'll have to resign myself to using one of the above-mentioned services.

  48. #4098
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Oh, that's annoying.

  49. #4099
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Feels like I've had no luck on when to follow Jimmy's train - one time I did it I forgot to do e/w so the place didn't even stick any money back. Great work again though.

  50. #4100
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    American Express

    This is a slightly odd one. Much like Hawaii last week it's normally a pretty run of the mill event which would not attract the HUGE names, but this year Jon Rahm is playing and the market is a mess as a result. If he doesn't win, whoever does will do so at a tasty price. The computer likes Rahm so much that even his short price favourite status is seen as amazing value, so we're on him, and then I've gone with a few bigger priced citizens too.

    Rahm 6/1
    Champ 40/1
    Clark 80/1
    List 200/1
    Bramlett 300/1

    Abu Dhabi

    The first Euro event of the season has a great if very top heavy field, almost the equal of the US event according to owgr. Rory McIlroy is playing here, as is Justin Thomas, who looks to atone for last week's 'faggot' controversy by taking a hefty appearance fee to play in a locality where homosexuality carries the death penalty. The computer barely makes the field favourite vs McIlroy and Thomas, so I have to be on one of them, but they're quite hard to separate. I've gone with McIlroy as he knows the territory a bit better, though perhaps Thomas will benefit from the newfound freedom to choose his own clothes.

    McIlroy 6/1
    Hatton 12/1
    Coetzee 125/1
    Rock 150/1

    All E/W

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