Just wonderful.
Just wonderful.
Massive swing back to Clinton.
Has something happened that the BBC haven't reported yet?
I'm gonna make some coffee. Gonna need it.
If Clinton doesn't flip Virginia, you may as well all go to bed.
Michigan is going to be cloooooose.
Virginia too, but Clinton's only down a point with 20% to count.
Bagsy sucking Mert's cock last.
.....
Were I a gambling man I'd probably have stuck a tenner on Clinton at evens tbh. She still hasn't lost a state she needs.
someone said Trump was at +500 on 5dimes and is now down to +120
Polls.
I'll claim e-victory on that one. They are a media-narrative device and nothing more.
I'd be a bit concerned for the US, and my friends who live there. It won't affect me too much on a personal level. My future is in Australia, to be honest.
Watching foreign politics is a bit like watching sport, really. You pick your team, but it's not going to affect you in the end.
However this turns out, the country is broken and with luck I won't have to live here for about a decade.
Late campaigning in Michigan by the Republicans might turn out to have been a masterstroke.
.....
Paul Krugman is having a Twitter meltdown as he slowly realises most Americans aren't Ivy League elites, so silver linings and that.
Trump 1.9
Clinton 2.2
Biggest gap of the night so far.
It's worth remembering that on live sporting events, fast-changing odds often overshoot the "actual" value. This isn't a sporting event, but with the odds changing so fast, it might be in play.
It does look like Clinton should hold Virginia by a much narrower margin than she'd hope. It might just come down to New Hampshire.
(Assuming that Michigan doesn't shock everyone, which is a long way from out of the question)
One thing to remember with the close states is the rural booths are smaller, and are therefore faster to count and report. Clinton will come from behind in some states as urban votes are added to the tally.
She's 5k behind in Virginia with 14% to count, all of it urban. No guarantees but she should win it.
If this goes to a recount in Florida...
They haven't shown any numbers about third parties, there's no way Johnson gets the 5% right? Is he even going to get 3%?
Mike Pence in to 350 from 1000.
Appreciate I'm labouring this, but isn't Trump 1m votes (2.0%) ahead in the popular vote?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/us2016/results
The woman on the right of that BBC panel.
Virginia to Clinton according to Fox. It was meant to be Clinton's all the way, would have been a great sign for Trump if he'd won it.
Just as if Clinton won Florida it was over for Trump, if Trump wins Michigan it's over for Clinton. Severely underrated and under polled state.
Clinton's projected popular vote margin under 2% now, which isn't enough given her failure in the swing states.
Markets are tanking.
I reckon Trump's got this, and it'll go down in Michigan. It's certainly not going to be boring.
Clinton still a slight favourite in Michigan, but the voter model there has got it completely wrong. Much much higher rural turnout than anticipated.