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Thread: U.S. Presidential Election 2016 (Sponsored by Betty Croker's Hamburger Helper)

  1. #10601
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Absolute bloodbath, somebody must know something about Pennsylvania or Ohio.

    I've cut my losses, I'll still win overall if Biden pulls it but I'm not willing to sit here at 2.30am and watch a train wreck in slow motion. Now to put the BBC on and watch them lose their minds

  2. #10602
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    I've still got the Beeb on and haven't really seen anything that would indicate that, so what do they know?

    Are other networks releasing less confirmed results?

  3. #10603
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    I've still got the Beeb on and haven't really seen anything that would indicate that, so what do they know?

    Are other networks releasing less confirmed results?
    Yes.

    Fox News has Biden 129 to Trump 94.

  4. #10604
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sir Andy Mahowry View Post
    Yes.

    Fox News has Biden 129 to Trump 94.
    Yeah, but unless those numbers include swing states they don't mean much more than the Beeb are saying.

  5. #10605
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    The confirmed results are irrelevant, what matters is the following states:

    Ohio
    Pennsylvania
    Arizona
    Michigan
    Wisconsin
    Minnesota

    Joe needs, I think, five of those six.

  6. #10606
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    The confirmed results are irrelevant, what matters is the following states:

    Ohio
    Pennsylvania
    Arizona
    Michigan
    Wisconsin
    Minnesota

    Joe needs, I think, five of those six.
    That assumes Trump has Florida, right?

  7. #10607
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Wisconsin and Minnesota to Trump is my guess.

  8. #10608
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Incidentally I think the current nearly 3 for Biden is insanely high.

  9. #10609
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    That assumes Trump has Florida, right?
    He has Florida, he has Georgia, he almost certainly has North Carolina.

    If JB somehow turns NC you can disregard the above.

  10. #10610
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    I did the Guardian election predictor the other day and gave Trump Florida. He still won having taken, as Jimmy points out, I think five of the six key states. That was simply based on increased difference in the polls compared to the fine margins of victory in 2016. I've just had Biden @ 3.1 on Betfair.

    Jump on boys.

  11. #10611
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Stuck another £20 on Biden at 2.8

  12. #10612
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    Pardon my ignorance Jim, but how many of those states did Trump win last time?

  13. #10613
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    Quote Originally Posted by Boydy View Post
    Stuck another £20 on Biden at 2.8
    I did so at 2.5 when the rise was happening.

  14. #10614
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    Pardon my ignorance Jim, but how many of those states did Trump win last time?
    All bar Minnesota.

  15. #10615
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    Some knobhead on Sky News claiming that if Trump wins he will "enter a state of mourning and then put together plans to leave the country, and move to a more democratic society".

    No, you won't.

  16. #10616
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    All bar Minnesota.
    So it's polling telling us he won't win all of them or enough of them, again?

    Haven't we been here before....

  17. #10617
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Just turned on the BBC and the coverage is unwatchable, complete embarrassment, did they even do any research between them?

  18. #10618
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    So it's polling telling us he won't win all of them or enough of them, again?

    Haven't we been here before....
    Polling tells us Joe will win all six, and it also tells us he'll win Florida, North Carolina...

    Donald still has to pull a shock result somehow to win it.

  19. #10619
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    The BBC coverage is pretty shit. Apparently CNN is good but I can't get it on my tv and I'm using my laptop to post/bet/read news sites. Is Sky any good?

  20. #10620
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    Polling tells us Joe will win all six, and it also tells us he'll win Florida, North Carolina...

    Donald still has to pull a shock result somehow to win it.
    It'd only be a shock versus what the polls have said though, polls which don't seem to work very well for much in Politics both here and across the pond since 2016.

  21. #10621
    Senior Member Bernanke's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    It'd only be a shock versus what the polls have said though, polls which don't seem to work very well for much in Politics both here and across the pond since 2016.

    The polling errors on state level in 2016 were bad, but this would be orders of magnitudes worse.

  22. #10622
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    And if they got Florida wrong, why are all of the rest right?

  23. #10623
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    3.7...

  24. #10624
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Right, I'm out.



    Suspect this will end up being a much better result than the one had I gone to bed.

  25. #10625
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Polls fully in the bin after tonight, then.

  26. #10626
    Senior Member Pepe's Avatar
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  27. #10627
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by -james- View Post
    Polls fully in the bin after tonight, then.
    Got to hand it to them, I didn't think they would be WORSE than 2016.

    God I am looking forward to when UK Twitter wakes up.

  28. #10628
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    North Carolina


  29. #10629
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Australian Broadcast Corporation has it 212-109 Biden

  30. #10630
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    Quote Originally Posted by Queenslander View Post
    Australian Broadcast Corporation has it 212-109 Biden
    They've clearly had a few too many.

  31. #10631
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    They feel comfortable calling states early for some reason.

  32. #10632
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Biden at 4.7 on Betfair now.

    Jesus.

  33. #10633
    Senior Member Pepe's Avatar
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    Time to go sleep. See you all tomorrow for the lolfest.

  34. #10634
    Senior Member Gray Fox's Avatar
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    Looking good for Biden in Arizona. There's hope yet.

  35. #10635
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sir Andy Mahowry View Post
    They've clearly had a few too many.

  36. #10636
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    You'd think the fact that the 'right' consistently outperforms the polls right across the anglosphere (and possibly beyond) might teach these people something, but of course it doesn't.

    Right, bedtime at last.

  37. #10637
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    You'd think the fact that the 'right' consistently outperforms the polls right across the anglosphere (and possibly beyond) might teach these people something, but of course it doesn't.

    Right, bedtime at last.
    That sounds like a white flag. You given up any hope now?

  38. #10638
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    Right, I'm out.



    Suspect this will end up being a much better result than the one had I gone to bed.
    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    That sounds like a white flag. You given up any hope now?
    I'd say so.

  39. #10639
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Yevrah View Post
    That sounds like a white flag. You given up any hope now?
    Yep, Donaldinho has got it done.

    Weirdly, although all my instincts tell me I want Biden to win, Trump winning is probably better for my beloved home nation of Great Britain.

  40. #10640
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    Just stuck a fiver on Trump. I've had such a jinxed year that it pretty much guarantees Biden as the next president. If not, I'm £1.66 richer.

  41. #10641
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  42. #10642
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Have all you fannies gone to bed?

  43. #10643
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    I'm still here. Lol'ing at the Guardians outright refusal to even suggest that Trump is in with a chance.

  44. #10644
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  45. #10645
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    I'm here. Looking like legal wrangle is back in the race.

  46. #10646
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    It's coming back to Biden. 5/4

  47. #10647
    Senior Member Queenslander's Avatar
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    Yep off to the stacked Supreme Court.

    RIP RBG

  48. #10648
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    I tried going to sleep but couldn't.

    Starting to get spicy now.

  49. #10649
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    Biden takes Arizona.

    Edit: According to Fox. AP not yet called it.

  50. #10650
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    This chap is the best bit of the BBC show by a mile.

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