The Betting Thread

[Jimmy Floyd]

I am back. Watched the epic 8 hole playoff on Sunday and was just itching to have been on one of them. I live for the chase.

Rocket Mortgage

Only 8 events left on the PGA Tour now, only 4 of which are 'regular' events, of which this is one. The build-up to the Open is very much in swing and the Americans are already having a cry about the British covid rules being more stringent than theirs (if there's one thing the yanks are great at, it's living under a rock). As such this event in Detroit has a very weak field and it's those, like several last week, desperate for a late run to keep their Tour status for next year who are worth keeping an eye on. That is with one exception. Bryson DeChambeau plays this event due to his personal sponsorship from the exciting-sounding Rocket Mortgage, and last year he basically walked it on a course which while not necessarily rewarding length per se, did reward his 'hit it and find it' philosophy, with very little trouble where he misses it. This should give him and other streaky bombers an advantage this week.

DeChambeau 7/1
SW Kim 45/1
Bradley 45/1
Grillo 50/1
Pak 400/1

Irish Open

Last year the Irish Open was a low key affair played in a wet September slot in front of more cows than people. This year, Mount Juliet provides a slightly less bleak and more conventional test as the first of the Open warm-ups in Europe, and this is a proper field, too: McIlroy, Lowry, Tommy, Bez, Kaymer, as well as the likes of Dick Bland and the rest of the weekly Euro cast. A proper menagerie of stars (including Rahm and a load of top Americans) join them in Scotland next week, but this should be a good event in its own right and with McIlroy a bit short at 9/2, I've gone for a much-loved computer winner of the past, alongside some classy grinders.

Bezuidenhout 16/1
Pieters 50/1
Hill 50/1
Fichardt 80/1
MW Lee 150/1

All e/w

Bonus bet: the Ric Flair double - Si Woo Kim and Min Woo Lee to win - about 7,000/1

[Baz]

Ric Flair double

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

That double is incredible.

[Mike]

All over the double!

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Euro 2020(1) bets:

£5 on Kane, Lukaku & Lewandowski to score a headed goal each @ 13

My only pre-tournament bet still standing. The rest were pretty tragic.

Just waiting on Lukaku.

[Kikó]

On the golf.

[Manc]

Putnam for the Rocket @150/1.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Bryson appears to have sacked his caddie during the warm up, this could be a wild ride.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

SCIENCE working again.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Bryson appears to have sacked his caddie during the warm up, this could be a wild ride.

He's +2 thru 3 and hitting 3 wood out of deep rough on 4. RIP Bryson.

The Woos however starting 67-68

[Jimmy Floyd]

There is no need to feel afraid.

[Baz]

Really wish I'd done it EW.

[Jimmy Floyd]

More frustration last week with four (I think) top 20s but nothing landing.

Scottish Open

The European event gets top billing this week because for the first time since Covid, it genuinely deserves it. This has long been the traditional warm-up event for the Open, but rarely can I remember a field as strong and deep as this on our shores outside the Open itself. There was no Open last year and so a lot of the newer American stars find themselves with zero experience of golf over here: the cold, the wind, polite applause and guttural roars from the fans rather than the whoopin', hollerin' and get-in-the-holes that you have in the States. Rahm, Thomas, Morikawa, Schauffele, McIlroy, Hatton and Fitzpatrick headline but there's also a real depth including first-timers in Europe like Zalatoris, Burns and Scheffler. The only disappointment is that for covid reasons, they aren't using one of the Scottish links classics, but instead Renaissance, which provides a test but not of the authentic seaside sort. If it rains - and for the clue here look to the name of the tournament - scores could be pretty low.

Morikawa 14/1
Conners 40/1
Palmer 66/1
Rozner 80/1
V Perez 100/1 nap
Kawamura 175/1


John Deere Classic

As the great and the good depart the US for a couple of weeks, we now move into the truly yee-haw section of the American golf season as those who have not made the Open stay behind for a few of their own hoedowns in the late season scramble for career salvation and tour status next year. Nowhere is this better encapsulated than at the John Deere Classic, sponsored for decades by the tractor folk and hosted somewhere deep in the Midwest. There is also the carrot of an Open spot for the winner - usually JD put on a charter flight to take them from Illinois to whichever rugged windswept part of the coastal British Isles they need to get to. The field here tends to be weak and unusually for a full PGA Tour event, the bottom quarter or so are genuine no hopers. For this one I've stuck to those who have something to gain here, as well as wily veteran Steve Stricker.

Stricker 50/1
Stanley 60/1
Howell III 66/1
Laird 125/1
Villegas 250/1
Shelton 250/1

All e/w

[Manc]

Vegas 66/1
Kizzire 45/1

[Baz]

Not really sure where to post this but here will do.

I’ve mentioned before that I follow a tipster for horse racing. I’m in a telegram chat group and everyone chats pretty much all day. Jon Oster used to be in it. Anyway, a “pornstar” called Elle Brook has joined, presumably in a desperate attempt to get horny perverts to subscribe to her only fans or whatever she uses. It’s a bit weird. Posted a pic of herself naked besides and England shirt with a dildo halfway up her bits. Then when called out on whether it was genuinely her she posted a video saying the name of the group chat. Then today she posted her miming along to Three Lions, with [presumably fake] jizz dripping out her mouth.

Most of the group seem to be enjoying it but when I’m scrolling through the chat looking for insider tips (“info”) I’ve now gotta be wary in case my wife catches a glimpse of some dolled up girl with cum in her mouth.

[Kikó]

DM.

[Baz]

DM.

NSFW: https://anonfiles.com/ReYdyc5euf/IMG_2533_MP4

[Manc]

She's really exploring all revenue streams. Fair play.

[Lofty]

I'm need to see the rest of the evidence to be sure.

[Manc]

Does this chat cover the national hunt season? If so I want in.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Min-Woo couldn't do this last week?

[Baz]

Slabhead to score please

[Jimmy Floyd]

Obviously on Minwoo a week early, fucking raging. At least Palmer came home.

[Baz]

Obviously on Minwoo a week early, fucking raging. At least Palmer came home.

A lad in my betting group had €50on him 150/1. Four and a half Gs, motherfucker. Obviously aftertimed seeing some YouTube video of him tearing it up at St Andrew’s.

[Lofty]

Three Lions 2022 Christmas Number One?

[Jimmy Floyd]

The Open

After a two-year wait, the best tournament in golf (for my money) is finally back and despite various types of Covid chaos, the field is still as strong as you would hope for a major championship. Britain has a far stricter covid regime than America does - over there, once you're vaxxed it's basically pandemic over for you. Here, regardless of vaccination status, we have heavy restrictions especially in professional sport and especially where contact tracing is concerned, something that has put a few yank noses out of joint. Hideki won't be playing and nor will Bubba Watson, Kevin Na or Zach Johnson. Matthew Wolff has also withdrawn for 'unspecified reasons', while there's another reason for the absence of Sungjae Im and Siwoo Kim - they are preparing for the Olympic tournament in a couple of weeks, which for them as Koreans is far more important than any major championship, because a medal will get them out of military service and thus allow them an unbroken tour career, something which tends to ruin most Korean golfers in their prime.

Anyway, back to Sandwich on the Kent coast, which saw two surprise winners in its most recent Opens, with Darren Clarke winning in 2011 and Ben Curtis in 2003. Sandwich is an old links which tend to play pretty firm whatever the weather - although as I type this on Monday it is shitting it down across the south, things should dry out as the week goes on and a sunny weekend is in prospect. Wind speeds don't look like getting up to anything outrageous so the carnage of 2003 should be avoided, but it will still be a tough test with a shit ton of blind shots (which pampered pros hate) and nasty hay waiting for errant shots.

I haven't had time to write the usual essays on this one but the research has gone in and spat out the following seven names for each-way backing (11 places with Skybet):

Oosthuizen 25/1
Fitzpatrick 33/1
Reed 35/1
Grace 50/1
Fowler 66/1 (shoot me)
Cink 125/1
Senior 500/1

And these side bets:

Top Japanese: Hoshino 5/2
Top Amateur: Bairstow 11/2
Richard Bland top 20: 6/1
Richard Mansell top 40: 11/2
Jack Senior top 40: 11/2
Darren Clarke top 40: 6/1

[Manc]

Love the Grace and Oosthuizen picks. Thoughts on Koepka?

What betting sites are people using in this day and age? Looking for value and a clean app.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I very very very nearly included Koepka. Of those priced under 20/1 he would be my pick.

[Manc]

Can you get odds on a 1-2 finish?

[Jimmy Floyd]

Skybet have a dual forecast market, yeah, imagine others would too.

I've moved most of my golf stuff over to them now as they get odds up on time on a Monday.

[Manc]

I've gone Oosthuizen, Grace & Leishman all E/W.

[Jimmy Floyd]

As Morikawa steams into an unanswerable lead, it should come as no surprise to recall that I backed him last week. Every fucking time.

[Manc]

Grace with an eagle at the 7th. There's hope yet.

[Jimmy Floyd]

A nice quad from him at the 9th to crush said hope.

I have to say, the most satisfying aspect of tipping up golf is when you plump for a Jack Senior at 500/1 and after 30 holes he is doing the business. It rarely sticks the landing (these people are 500/1 for a reason) but it reassures you that the methodology is sound.

Louis on course for another comfortable runner-up finish which will be OK.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

Louis

[Jimmy Floyd]

Well placed but I am left rather wishing that instead of Morikawa, Spieth and Dustin Johnson within four it was, say, Keith Mitchell, Ted Potter Jr and Frank Lickliter II.

[Manc]

What on earth happend to Fowler?

I'm all in on Louis now. A place and I'll get my money back, a win sees me £150 up.

[Manc]

Louis.

[Jimmy Floyd]

I can kind of take that, he needed 67 for a playoff, not sure he had that in him. Morikawa was supreme all week. Bit disappointed I discounted him from the running but I thought he hits it too straight and would need a year or two under his belt to win this one.

He's heading for a hell of a career, what a player.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Indulging myself with 7 picks in each this week as there are quite a lot of 3 figure dallies in there.

3M Open

Grillo 30/1
Todd 60/1
Dahmen 70/1
Kodaira 150/1
Hoge 175/1
McCumber 400/1
Pak 400/1

Cazoo Open supported by Gareth Bale (lol)

Van Tonder 33/1
C.Kim 40/1
Geary 50/1
Guerrier 80/1
Farr 125/1
A.Fitzpatrick 125/1
Leon 125/1

[Lofty]

Cheers Jim, hopefully a good weekend.

[Jimmy Floyd]

In semi-related news I'm now inside the top 80 in the global fantasy Euro Tour standings (not sure how many play, around 50,000 perhaps), now absolutely bricking it with my picks for that each week. Christ knows how those at the top of the fantasy PL global rankings psychologically deal with it. Every wrong move is a bomb.

Captained the last two major winners - Morikawa as a result of forgetting to change my team after the previous week. It's only the true greats who scale the heights.

[Sir Andy Mahowry]

I'm disappointed that McCumber isn't actually "McCucumber" which is what I first read his name as.

[Jimmy Floyd]

The Hundred (cricket)

Oval Invincibles 11/2 outright

[Manc]

Feeling Bubba.

[Baz]

Rhys Enoch top 20, 5/1
Jack Davidson EW (6p), 400/1

[Lofty]

Won a grand on the Postcode Lottery today, which was nice.

[Manc]

Did you make the TV ad?

[Lofty]

No door knock, just a shiny gold envelope from the postman. Was genuinely confused until I opened it.

[Jimmy Floyd]

Probably the worst Thursday in living memory for the computer. I need to stop backing streaky knobheads.