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Thread: The Betting Thread

  1. #3901
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    It really is, should go off 4/6 or something.

  2. #3902
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Those 'system bet' days were the one. Grinding out 40 sub-1.1s for our riches

    I'll get on blind without looking into it for the ride.

  3. #3903
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Paddy Power are doing a free £5 bet on the Manchester derby for anyone who’s previously deposited with them.
    I'm a twit

  4. #3904
    Administrator SvN's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don View Post
    Those 'system bet' days were the one. Grinding out 40 sub-1.1s for our riches

    I'll get on blind without looking into it for the ride.
    The glory days. I won about £6k laying correct scores circa 2009. I genuinely considered doing it full time after uni.

  5. #3905
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    I was going to say name a more iconic duo than SvN and a system bet.

  6. #3906
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Correct scores are the most beautiful of all football bets. The mechanics of the odds movement on them during a game must form into one of those fractal images that mathematicians wank off to.

  7. #3907
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    If you add up the probabilities on a Premier League correct score market, figure out what gets creamed off the top and then look up Denise Coates' net worth, everything starts to make sense.

  8. #3908
    Senior Member Offshore Toon's Avatar
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    I'm on the James train.

  9. #3909
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by -james- View Post
    If you add up the probabilities on a Premier League correct score market, figure out what gets creamed off the top and then look up Denise Coates' net worth, everything starts to make sense.
    The sportsbook markets which go up to 7-2 etc are pretty much fraud. The betfair one which levels off at 'any other' for a team getting 4+ goals is a beauty though.

  10. #3910
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Quote Originally Posted by -james- View Post
    An odds-on accumulator of stuff I think is value this weekend. 8/1ish.

    I couldn't get ES Auckland so I upgraded Queen's Park to home win to make it worth the ride. Let's have the theead kept updated with progress as it looks a ballache to follow.

    On Leeds to make back the stake above. Not confident but why tf would you not want added reason to cheer those dons.

  11. #3911
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Bolivar’s basically in.
    I'm a twit

  12. #3912
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    finished 5-0

    More of that, please.

    Also, possibly an omen, I did the 5 fold on the 7 picks, so I'm deffo winning. Hope all 7 come in, obviously.
    I'm a twit

  13. #3913
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    https://www.europeantour.com/europea...rboard?round=4

    Absolutely quality leaderboard for tomorrow's final golf of the year. Obviously would like Hovland to win having tipped him, but if any of the others manage to beat Fat Pat it would be class. Might in-play the fuck out of it if I wake up early enough.

  14. #3914
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Coleraine leaving it late with a 90+3 winner to make it 2-1 but that’s 4 out of 7 in.

    Crusaders was another 5-0.
    Queens Park drew 3-3 so the double chance safety net was needed.
    I'm a twit

  15. #3915
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Feels like the hard part is still to come with Blooming having drifted a bastard, but I think we're on a 1 in 3 shot from here.

  16. #3916
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Man Utd not to lose at 2.20 not a bit overpriced?

  17. #3917
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Feels pretty lotto pre-game but I'd be looking to be on City in play if anything.

  18. #3918
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    I'm on goals - United will surely play for counter attacks and City will surely break them down.

  19. #3919
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Im probably basing it on regency bias between the two. I’ve fancied City every time but I’m sure Ole is unbeaten in the league against them and he always wins after he gets hounded out a bit

  20. #3920
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    I'm on goals - United will surely play for counter attacks and City will surely break them down.
    This theory rested on City being something other than a completely disjointed mess.

  21. #3921
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Auckland and Blooming

  22. #3922
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    What a fucking car crash. Don't fucking waste my time with system accies spread across 3 days of twilight hours that I can't even ride ever again.

  23. #3923
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Yours was dead when you added Leeds.
    I'm a twit

  24. #3924
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    He didn't add Leeds, he was on them as a single.

  25. #3925
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    What Mahow said. Mine died with getting greedy with Queen's Park first.

  26. #3926
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Fitzpatrick doing me a solid.

  27. #3927
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Corinthians @ 3/1. Yes please.

  28. #3928
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Manc View Post
    Fitzpatrick doing me a solid.
    Well done, he was mighty today.

  29. #3929
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Are we going to get a review of The Computer in 2020?

  30. #3930
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Manc View Post
    Corinthians @ 3/1. Yes please.
    Happily cashed out at HT.

  31. #3931
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Manc View Post
    Are we going to get a review of The Computer in 2020?
    We will tomorrow if I remember. Mediocre-ish last couple of weeks although Hovland placing today was OK.

  32. #3932
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Computer end of year stats:

    115 golfers backed
    97 lost
    14 placed (longest odds: Reitan 250/1)
    4 winners (longest odds: Ortiz 125/1)
    192.4pts staked
    Final tally: +164.2pts (ROI +85.34%)

    By tour
    PGA tour: 43 golfers backed, 2 winners 2 places, 61pts staked, final tally +20pts (ROI +132.8%)
    Euro tour: 61 golfers backed, 2 winners 10 places, 99.4pts staked, final tally +83.6pts (ROI +84.1%)
    Majors: 11 golfers backed, 2 places, 32pts staked, final tally -0.4pts (ROI -1.2%)

    I will start the clock again for 2021, will be interesting to see if it stays even remotely close to those levels or if this was just a lucky run.

  33. #3933
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    85.34% is truly insane. Get a blog going.

  34. #3934
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Mind if I steal all your picks and use them to monetise a telegram group?
    I'm a twit

  35. #3935
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    The Ortiz win and Reitan place

  36. #3936
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    Mind if I steal all your picks and use them to monetise a telegram group?
    Stuff like that doesn't work with golf as most punters don't have the patience to absorb 97 losers out of 115.

  37. #3937
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    What a selection. All seem free money so some combo of them will pay big.

  38. #3938
    Administrator Kikó's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jimmy Floyd View Post
    Stuff like that doesn't work with golf as most punters don't have the patience to absorb 97 losers out of 115.
    That's a polite way to say fuck off.

  39. #3939
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don View Post


    What a selection. All seem free money so some combo of them will pay big.
    This Brighton and Leeds semi you have is cute. Fulham and Newcastle double for sure

  40. #3940
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    Last time Brighton played Fulham at 'The Cottage' they were 2-0 up at half time and somehow contrived to lose 4-2, so I wouldn't have that one marked in as a win, but then it'll probably come down to who gets the more ridiculous penalty awarded for or against them.

  41. #3941
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    US Election market finally settled on Betfair. Biden available for 1.04 at the bell and never went below 1.02. Absolutely mental.

  42. #3942
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Over a billion pounds traded on the market post-election night. Betfair Christmas do is going to be a big one.

  43. #3943
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Hopefully it becomes all the rage, I'm itching to trade a Euro 2004 market.

  44. #3944
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    I didn't have it in me just in case.

    £40 odd back from my bets on Biden and for him to win Georgia.

  45. #3945
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    https://www.facebook.com/groups/400378864446489

    The absolute funniest thing ever.

  46. #3946
    Administrator SvN's Avatar
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    I completely forgot I had about £90 tied up in that market, so that was an unexpected bonus.

  47. #3947
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Had a bit on City -1

  48. #3948
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Don View Post


    What a selection. All seem free money so some combo of them will pay big.

  49. #3949
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    The Wolves/Draw double though

  50. #3950
    The Artist Formerly Known as Taz
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    Today's BTTS accy on all the games at 20/1+ will recoup it alland then some.

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