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Thread: The Betting Thread

  1. #7951
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Quite liked madrids odds tonight. I know they’ve been iffy and Atalanta are good but can’t not take 7/4 for them in a must win game

  2. #7952
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Rangers are overpriced tonight. Should be evens

  3. #7953
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Rangers, Anderlecht, Sociedad, Gent and Panathinaikos @ 50s

  4. #7954
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waffdon View Post
    Rangers, Anderlecht, Sociedad, Gent and Panathinaikos @ 50s
    0-0, up 2, up 3, up 3 and up 1.

    Looking forward to a late rangers winner before some plumber from Wales ruins it all and equalises against Panathinaikos

  5. #7955
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Well, it should have been a late winner. That Dessers miss will haunt me for a few days

  6. #7956
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Blackburn are at 9/4 away to millwall even though they’ve won 6 in a row and 5 clean sheets whereas millwall are winless in 6 and haven’t scored in 3.

  7. #7957
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    Isn't that always the case in the Championship? Odds look awry and then Millwall end up 3-0 up inside 20 minutes.

  8. #7958
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    Well, not quite, but the Championship once again delivers.

  9. #7959
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Stick all your Christmas money on Conny hill

  10. #7960
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Easiest money you will ever make

  11. #7961
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Why is it every time Mullins and Henderson face off, one of them has a complete mare?

    Who do you have in the King George, Waff?

  12. #7962
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    I don’t agree with that. Conny Hill is literally the best horse in existence. Battered a highly rated horse on his return from bad injuries giving away 7lbs.

    L’homme Presse but would not be shocked if that French horse suddenly turns up again. He was incredible round here last year

  13. #7963
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Looks wide open to my untrained eye. The Real Whacker 20/1 is of EW interest.

  14. #7964
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waffdon View Post
    I don’t agree with that. Conny Hill is literally the best horse in existence. Battered a highly rated horse on his return from bad injuries giving away 7lbs.

    L’homme Presse but would not be shocked if that French horse suddenly turns up again. He was incredible round here last year
    2nd and 3rd. Take it

  15. #7965
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Joao Fonseca (probably) won't win the Australian Open this year, but it's the last time he'll ever be 150/1 for a Grand Slam.

  16. #7966
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Straight sets win against 9th seed Rublev. Clear path to the 4th round now where he'll be about 40/60 against Medvedev.

  17. #7967
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Toggle Spoiler


    Would have been one of the more mind boggling winning bets if Dortmund weren’t wankers. 90th min winner for Atletico, 96th for Barcelona, 91st equaliser for Exeter and 97th for Cardiff

  18. #7968
    Custom User Title phonics's Avatar
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    I just made 2.2k on roulette. My addict brain is kicking in and I think I need to never go near the thing again.

  19. #7969
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Wolves & Chelsea double 22/1.

  20. #7970

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    West Ham & Man Utd 20/1

  21. #7971

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    Lol.

    That’s Sky getting in my head saying how bad Villa are after a CL game.

  22. #7972
    Custom User Title phonics's Avatar
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    As someone who earns about 30k a year, this last month has been what I can only describe as dynamic



    I didn't know this menu existed and I'm about to delete my account.

  23. #7973

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    Holy addiction Batman. Ban yourself from them as well.

  24. #7974
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Bielle-Biarrey Hat Trick 5/1

  25. #7975
    Custom User Title phonics's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ben View Post
    Holy addiction Batman. Ban yourself from them as well.
    I did so and caved, was down 350 and then:



    These people are trying to destroy me via temptation.

    My personal favourite of the night:


  26. #7976
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Sell me your account.

  27. #7977
    Custom User Title phonics's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by -james- View Post
    Sell me your account.
    Off another 100 quid deposit



    What would buying my account achieve.

  28. #7978
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    I get through a lot of accounts, and accounts with history are more profitable. Accounts with twenty grand roulette turnover are the holy grail.

    I dunno if I'd actually buy an account off someone on here tho because of the financial chicanery that would be required.

  29. #7979
    Custom User Title phonics's Avatar
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    Can I get valuations on that?

  30. #7980
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Just seen it's Pokerstars. Maybe 200. Would probably pay 500 for a bet365 with that sort of history.

  31. #7981
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    Why does the account history matter?

  32. #7982
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    Presumably 20k of roulette playthroughs shows the owner not to be a James-esque shark.

  33. #7983
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Because if you open a Willy Hill account and land a 4 match card bet builder for 60k they will want a sample of your bone marrow before they pay you out.

  34. #7984
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    Another example of capitalism taking the piss. You've lost the bet, just pay up you fucks.

  35. #7985
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    The modern bookmaker model is just ensuring that a small portion of your user base accounts for a very large portion of your takings. The main line of defence isn't having prices that are difficult to beat, it's having a customer base that doesn't beat your prices.

    Offer the 18 year old a tenner on enhanced odds England to score against San Marino at evens, and hope they end up using only your website for the next fifty years, or even better that they end up with a six figure income and a gambling problem. There are plenty of stories of people with accounts that are down large sums getting VIP Cheltenham packages or flown out to the Champions League final or whatever.

    The mongs at [insert bookmaker] don't need to be good at pricing events when they can just copy what everyone else is doing and easily filter the accounts that know what they are doing. In the same vein, most of the game for most people on the other side is finding ways of getting on. I am far more concerned about how I'm going to be getting bets on in three months time than my bottom line for the next three months.

    They're a lot slower to close an account that's got a decade of muggy activity on it (but has now started betting Bundesliga 2 a week in advance) than an account that was opened yesterday and is immediately max staking Saudi Division 2. There is just a lot more scrutiny applied to new accounts.

  36. #7986
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    Send me what you want placed via mug accounts and I'll send you your winnings.

  37. #7987
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    I've never done that sort of arrangement, always imagined it would be way too much faff. Would inevitably end up sending over 8 losers in a row. Maybe for one off special bets.

  38. #7988
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    How does taking an account off someone work anyway? Can you just change the bank it is linked to or is it a bit of a faff with all the ID stuff? Seems like it could end up being a lot of trust on each side type arrangement.

    I've barely used my Bet365 account in the date range it allows you to look back through so it's probably no better than a new account. -66 p/l in the last 12 months, mostly off shit tips in here.

  39. #7989
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    They give me some means of depositing in their name. It is a faff but I haven't ever really had a bad experience, nor have they. Obviously I don't do it with randoms. It's an open offer for some quick cash and there's usually the odd person interested. I have other means of getting on bets of course, would much prefer to only use my own accounts.

    There was a phase a few years ago where you could buy 365s that had been made and verified by randoms off the street in Bangladesh, but they run a slightly tighter ship now.

  40. #7990
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Is Betfair down for anyone else?

  41. #7991
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    Chill lads. It's all up and down in gambling. The more you wager, the more the gambling companies fuck you. Especially with slots/roulette/poker. Unless you get a big win out of nowhere. Then you need to run far away. You know that.

    Amount of times I've lost so much and then put a tenner on something and it all comes in. £500- £1000 win. Not worth the hassle though.

    Just bet on things you know about.

    Example of which, a couple of years ago. I lost a few bob and then had a £5 free bet pop out of nowhere. I like a yankee or a lucky 15, then this happened.

    If I'd whacked £50 on it, it wouldn't have come in. Amount of times I get 2 or 3 horses out of 4......But to get the full monty......on a little free bet....

    Last edited by AJ23; 24-02-2025 at 03:11 AM.

  42. #7992
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Sheff Utd at over 3/1 tonight is a bit mad. They’d be on same points as Leeds without that points deduction. Fair enough having Leeds as favs but they’re not that good to be odds on

  43. #7993

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    I'd wait to see if Hamer is fit first before committing.

  44. #7994
    Senior Member -james-'s Avatar
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    Leeds are the best Championship side on record by my numbers. Stick them in the BPL as it is and they're probably top half. Sheff Utd would get relegated.



    Translating across divisions is hard so there are error bars but odds on at Brammal Lane doesn't seem too farfetched.

  45. #7995
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Maybe, but the price is wrong. Hamer or not - £20 on draw no bet 3/1

  46. #7996
    Administrator SvN's Avatar
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    Where are you getting 3/1?

  47. #7997
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    2/1 my bad

  48. #7998
    Administrator SvN's Avatar
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    Looks like the bookies knew what they were on about this time.

  49. #7999
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    SvN being an absolute weapon shocker

  50. #8000
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    I fancied Sheff United to put it on Leeds early with the crowd behind them, then Leeds' quality taking over in the second half.

    Wish I'd been confident enough to put more on it.

    Last edited by AJ23; 25-02-2025 at 01:53 AM.

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