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Thread: So things seem a bit mad in France

  1. #101
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    100 dead in the Bataclan apparently.

  2. #102
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    Hundred dead at the concert. Gear up, France.

  3. #103
    ram it up your shitpipe Giggles's Avatar
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    I presume that'll be deleted too. But say what you like, our Hazza is a tryer.

  4. #104
    Bookie P_3's Avatar
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    100 dead is absolutely horrifying.

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    ram it up your shitpipe Giggles's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lewis View Post
    That major Calais migrant/refugee camp is on fire as well.
    Not sure if that's real or not. I presume not though as there hasn't been a word on the news about it.


  6. #106
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    I would normally moan about it, but there is something kind of lol about Harold having his posts deleted.

  7. #107
    ram it up your shitpipe Giggles's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lewis View Post
    I would normally moan about it, but there is something kind of lol about Harold having his posts deleted.
    Even Spoons post where he quoted him too. Quite blanket.

  8. #108
    Senior Member Vim's Avatar
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    I had read that the Calais fire thing is not real. BBC just mentioned it now for the first time, but said it was "reports" from social media.

  9. #109
    Senior Member Spoonsky's Avatar
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    Fuck you Henry.

    100 is a bloody lot. Hard to imagine a worse death than that, waiting in fear while they shoot people one-by-one only to get blown up at the last. This seems pretty unprecedented in its scope and coordination, doesn't it? Usually the big death tolls come from one-off explosions or plane hijackings.

  10. #110
    Senior Member 7om's Avatar
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    118 dead in that club alone. Dread to think what number we're going to wake up to in the morning.

  11. #111
    Senior Member Alan Shearer The 2nd's Avatar
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    140 being mentioned now.

    This is fucking mental but at the same time I'm surprised so few (comparatively) people have been killed in other recent attacks.

  12. #112
    Senior Member Spoonsky's Avatar
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    On the other hand, my friend is still alive.

  13. #113
    Senior Member CJay's Avatar
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    My cousin is in Paris with a group at the minute. Thankfully they made it back to their hotel safely.

    The death toll from that concert is sickening.

  14. #114
    Just Luca, but still a DJ Luca's Avatar
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    Someone from the hotel that my mum/aunts/friends were hiding in called his relative, who came (presumably) with a van and brought them all back to their apartment.

    They're now going to get absolutely wasted and try to sleep.

  15. #115
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Shocking to the system.

  16. #116
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    I think the manner of these things stick rather than the actual kill count. Maybe I'm too historically-minded (lol) and see things being blown up as more normal (even acceptable) than labour-intensive shooting galleries. Similarly, numbers are pretty hard to grasp once they get past a couple and become impersonal. I always think the leap from five dead to thirty dead is a lot more 'shocking' than thirty to a hundred and thirty, at which point it is just more of a massacre rather than a mere incident.

  17. #117
    Senior Member Spoonsky's Avatar
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    The coordination also makes it seem a lot worse to me. One nutter, or group of such, is always at some level easier to understand than something like this. This just seems like warfare.

  18. #118
    Bookie P_3's Avatar
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    I'm more worried that what started as groups of men in cars and whatnot, ended in just two dead terrorists. Oh, plus the two suicides.

  19. #119
    Romulus Augustulus ItalAussie's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lewis View Post
    I think the manner of these things stick rather than the actual kill count. Maybe I'm too historically-minded (lol) and see things being blown up as more normal (even acceptable) than labour-intensive shooting galleries. Similarly, numbers are pretty hard to grasp once they get past a couple and become impersonal. I always think the leap from five dead to thirty dead is a lot more 'shocking' than thirty to a hundred and thirty, at which point it is just more of a massacre rather than a mere incident.
    I think we notice the number of digits in a death count, and each extra digit is almost the "same" degree of shockingness. Human brains tend to process numbers logarithmically - it's the only way we can deal with very large numbers.

    Makes you wonder if we'd have been a more peaceful society in base 2 rather than base 10.

  20. #120
    Romulus Augustulus ItalAussie's Avatar
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    I'm a little bit staggered that they let the football match play out, rather than calling it off. Although on thinking about it after the fact, it may be that they didn't fancy 60,000 people out on the streets in a panic straight away.

  21. #121
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ItalAussie View Post
    I think we notice the number of digits in a death count, and each extra digit is almost the "same" degree of shockingness. Human brains tend to process numbers logarithmically - it's the only way we can deal with very large numbers.

    Makes you wonder if we'd have been a more peaceful society in base 2 rather than base 10.
    That would make sense. Is there any reason to believe that at a certain point it just becomes meaningless?

  22. #122
    Romulus Augustulus ItalAussie's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lewis View Post
    That would make sense. Is there any reason to believe that at a certain point it just becomes meaningless?
    I don't know, to be honest. I could make an argument that there would be a drop-off after six or seven people, and that most people would stop being "more" shocked after six or seven digits of death count (above which it just gets bracketed into "unthinkingly horrifying"). This would be based on the fact that humans can only process individual numbers instantaneously up to six or seven (everything above that kind of gets sorted as "many; 10ish", or "many; 100ish", etc.).

    That's all spit-balling based on very loose hypothesis though, so don't read too much into that. But the fact that we process large numbers logarithmically is solidly established.

  23. #123
    Senior Member randomlegend's Avatar
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    I think once it reaches a number where people become unable to picture that many people or relate it to something, then it pretty much becomes meaningless.

    Up to 10s of thousands people can relate it to a football stadium or whatever. Once you start getting into 100s of thousands or millions it becomes very difficult to do that and people can't really comprehend it.

    We had to do some stuff on communicating risk to patients and this was how it came across, at least.

  24. #124
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    I saw this on the TV over someone's shoulder in a pub (140 dead by this point) and my first reaction was oh no, this one's the end. People simply aren't going to tolerate any form of Islamism anymore and if they want to, unfortunately they'll have to be made not to.

  25. #125
    Senior Member Bernanke's Avatar
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    So, just woke up. This is a bit mental isn't it?

    I always wondered why no one had been successful in Europe with Mumbai-style attacks. Well, now they have.

  26. #126
    Senior Member elth's Avatar
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    People have been "tolerating" violent Islamism?

  27. #127
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    Yeah, just woke up... This is mental.

  28. #128
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Spent most of the night in work just watching BBC news in disbelief and trying to ignore customers. This is mental.

    Was it the Bataclan where 100+ ended up dead? What happened there? Did they blow it up when the police/army/whoever started coming in?

  29. #129
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Feels a bit like this sums it all up as well:



    Why do we (the west) keep cosying up to the biggest promoters of this shite?

  30. #130
    Senior Member Bernanke's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Boydy View Post
    Spent most of the night in work just watching BBC news in disbelief and trying to ignore customers. This is mental.

    Was it the Bataclan where 100+ ended up dead? What happened there? Did they blow it up when the police/army/whoever started coming in?
    Concert hall filled with 1000-1500 people. They come in at the back of the crowd and just open fire. Place was packed so people weren't realizing what was happening, and even when they did, escape routes weren't exactly easily accessible.

    Oh, and they blew themselves up when police came in.

  31. #131
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bernanke View Post
    Concert hall filled with 1000-1500 people. They come in at the back of the crowd and just open fire. Place was packed so people weren't realizing what was happening, and even when they did, escape routes weren't exactly easily accessible.

    Oh, and they blew themselves up when police came in.
    Was that the same place they were killing people one by one as well?

  32. #132
    Senior Member Bernanke's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Boydy View Post
    Was that the same place they were killing people one by one as well?
    Yeah, Bataclan.


  33. #133
    I used to be funny.
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    Quote Originally Posted by Giggles View Post
    What do people expect? They've a bloody news channel for all that these days.
    And last time they cut into BBC1's feed was probably Stockwell or Michael Jackson's death. Y'know, the stuff that matters to more or is closer to home. Next time they do it will be for the Queen's death.

  34. #134
    More successful than most Magic's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Magic View Post
    I'm going to bed. I absolutely dread the final outcome of this. See you chaps tomorrow.
    Wow. I think as Spoon said if it turns out they are home grown which is increasingly likely...

  35. #135
    Senior Member Lee's Avatar
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    Why always France? I know there's a large muslim population and there's a lot of history that goes with that but you could make the same argument about the UK. Is our security just better? I mean the French are no mugs, are they?

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    Quote Originally Posted by Lee View Post
    Why always France? I know there's a large muslim population and there's a lot of history that goes with that but you could make the same argument about the UK. Is our security just better? I men the French are no mugs, are they?
    Things such as banning face covering (for example, burqa's) probably plays a part.

  37. #137
    Senior Member Spoonsky's Avatar
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    The French Muslims tend to come from the Maghreb countries with a greater tendency toward Islamist violence. Bangladeshis don't have quite the same history, and even Pakistanis don't seem as bad.

    There's also the fact that the Parisian Banlieus are the perfect melding pot for terrorists. Low-income Muslim families in public housing, segregated from central Paris and surrounded by others who are similar; the alienation is in-built. It's where the Charlie Hebdo brothers were radicalized and I'd place money on at least some of these guys coming from the suburbs as well.

  38. #138
    Senior Member Lee's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spoonsky View Post
    The French Muslims tend to come from the Maghreb countries with a greater tendency toward Islamist violence. Bangladeshis don't have quite the same history, and even Pakistanis don't seem as bad.

    There's also the fact that the Parisian Banlieus are the perfect melding pot for terrorists. Low-income Muslim families in public housing, segregated from central Paris and surrounded by others who are similar; the alienation is in-built. It's where the Charlie Hebdo brothers were radicalized and I'd place money on at least some of these guys coming from the suburbs as well.
    Yeah, sorry, all that is what I meant by 'history'. But there's segregation here and the Pakistanis are pretty shit. I just wondered of there's something about Paris in particilar which makes it an easy target.

  39. #139
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    Having (open) land borders probably makes it lot easier to get hold of things like automatic weapons.

  40. #140
    Better Than You Henry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spoonsky View Post
    Fuck you Henry.
    Sorry, what?

    But yeah, good call on Saudi Arabia.

  41. #141
    Senior Member Lee's Avatar
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    You would think it won't be that long until somebody decides it's ground war time in Syria. They've just blown a Russian plane up and now this. The Russians in particular, right or wrong, aren't likely to fuck about.

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    ram it up your shitpipe Giggles's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lee View Post
    Why always France? I know there's a large muslim population and there's a lot of history that goes with that but you could make the same argument about the UK. Is our security just better? I mean the French are no mugs, are they?
    Britain panders to them a bit more by trying to be ridiculously PC about most of their crap.

  43. #143
    Better Than You Henry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lee View Post
    You would think it won't be that long until somebody decides it's ground war time in Syria. They've just blown a Russian plane up and now this. The Russians in particular, right or wrong, aren't likely to fuck about.
    What would the war aim be? As unpalatable as it is, the only realistic one is probably to back Assad (presumably with concessions from him) which is what the Russians are doing.

  44. #144
    Senior Member Lee's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Henry View Post
    What would the war aim be? As unpalatable as it is, the only realistic one is probably to back Assad (presumably with concessions from him) which is what the Russians are doing.
    What is it now? Everybody knows that chucking a few bombs on Raqqa won't end IS. A properly co-ordinated ground war (with a real plan for what happens afterwards) would work far better and I'd be amazed if there aren't contingency plans for that eventuality already. I think you are correct in that to make it as clean and quick as possible it would have to happen alongside Assad. I dunno, it's a shit option but then they all seem a bit shit at the minute.

  45. #145
    Better Than You Henry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lee View Post
    What is it now?
    Fuck knows. I don't think TPTB give much of a shit about ISIS, despite the rhetoric.

  46. #146
    Senior Member elth's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lee View Post
    You would think it won't be that long until somebody decides it's ground war time in Syria. They've just blown a Russian plane up and now this. The Russians in particular, right or wrong, aren't likely to fuck about.
    The Russians are already on the ground in Syria.

    As for "the West" not knowing that Saudi Arabia is the source of all the problems - firstly, that's horrendously naive (everyone and their dog loves a good meddle in the ME) and secondly, they know perfectly well where all of the trouble comes from. They just think putting up with Saudi Arabia's support for nutjobbery is worth the cost. Who else can "the West" side with in the Middle East? Iraq's a failed state, Iran's spent 30 years preaching Death to America, Syria is Israel's main enemy, Jordan's got all the political clout of Belgium and the Gulf States are minnows. They prop up Saudi Arabia because there's nobody else.

  47. #147
    Senior Member Lee's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Henry View Post
    Fuck knows. I don't think TPTB give much of a shit about ISIS, despite the rhetoric.
    I agree with that; if they did they'd already have gone in. Much better a couple of hundred dead Parisians now and then than for any of OUR BOYS to be captured and beheaded on a live stream with the government being blamed.

  48. #148
    Senior Member Lee's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by elth View Post
    The Russians are already on the ground in Syria.
    And the Americans and Brits were on the ground long before any bombing. I meant a ground invasion with proper numbers.

    Who is saying the West doesn't know the part the Saudis play in all this? Have I missed a post?

  49. #149
    Better Than You Henry's Avatar
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    You forget - there already was a "ground invasion with proper numbers". It was called the Iraq war, and when it started there was no such thing as ISIS.
    Why do you think that a repetition is going to improve anything?

  50. #150
    Senior Member Lee's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Henry View Post
    You forget - there already was a "ground invasion with proper numbers". It was called the Iraq war, and when it started there was no such thing as ISIS.
    Why do you think that a repetition is going to improve anything?
    I don't forget and I understand the genesis of IS. I wasn't talking about a repeat performance which is why I wrote of a proper post-war plan. It can be done; the Americans managed it in Japan. Unfortunately I doubt any major power would be willing to put the effort into the infrastructural and social support which would be necessary.

    All options are shit; keep bombing with no impact and innocents dead, support Assad which might kill IS and will result in different innocents dead, or invade without a plan for afterwards which will leave us back where we are now within the decade. It would be nice to think the different sides will just talk to one another (they will eventually, it always ends that way) but we are a million miles away from that scenario now.

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