Share price taking another dive. It’s operating at about 50% what it was 9 months ago.
Now trying to work out how much money I can legitimately throw at shares in a a few days time without it being irresponsible.
Work gave us a little bag with hand sanitiser, tissues, e45 cream and a stylus today.
Gonna use the cream on my bald head as a moisturiser.
Also got a new couch delivered at the weekend (made in Italy over the last two months) so clearly, I am fucked.
Told him he should self-isolate for a week and he's already gone out.Originally Posted by Sir Andy Mahowry
People are stupid and this is why it's spreading so quickly.
Looking pretty good for the initial red zones in Italy
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-51852320
Seems to indicate that it will have subsided in the rest of the country by two weeks time.
Give it until end of April at the latest and everything should be back up again. Don’t know how likely it is to have a recurrence, though. Definitely possible.
Italy is also clearly an outlier in how this has gone (from a mortality perspective anyway), ostensibly compared to all other countries, so I don't really get how it is the model everyone else is going to follow.
Italy just has way more cases that have gone unreported. Maybe there are other reasons to have a slightly higher mortality rate, but that is far and away the biggest. There's no other way, statistically, that that could happen. It's not like there's a different strain only affecting Italians
This is the problem I have with our government's advice.
Virus spreads through human contact, therefore reduce human contact = reduce spread of virus. That seems fairly failsafe logic, though someone please tell me if it isn't.
What they're basically doing is taking that logic and saying 'Well, actually...' and then spaffing out some guff from SOAS 2nd year undergrad anthropology.
Getting people to stay at home for 7 days with minor symptoms is progress, but have either the CMO, or Boris Johnson, or the behavioural scientist have ever experienced workplaces like car mechanics, or small shops, self-employed tradesmen etc where the approach to that will be TUFF IT AAAT MATE. On a similar theme, I just went to have my hair cut and I half wondered (naively) if they'd be wearing gloves or something as that's an ideal transmission scenario. In fact, the guy chatted shit about it in true barber fashion for ten minutes and then cracked this rib tickler: 'I might go to that Woo Fung on ollerdee, bet it's ot and there's some right good prices!!!!'
I think the most logical explanation is they had patient zero very early on, and didn't have a clue it was going around for weeks.
Also, today a mechanic came to look at my car (which I'm selling) and afterwards he held out his hand to shake and I couldn't refuse.
I'm a fool.
If Italy's approach is the right one then that's worrying for the stance we've taken. I know we're well behind them, if we're even on the same curve, but I get the sense we won't be locking much, if anything down.
Would be amazing if for all his pearl-clutching and stockpiling Floyd got this off the most pointless haircut imaginable.
When you're balding, you actually need a haircut more often as it looks dogshit past a certain length.
I mean that's just funny.
I just don't get how the phasing out of measures is going to work, because even if you halt spread and get pressure off healthcare services, as long as you have active cases in the country or people infected travelling, isn't it just gonna kick-start again? Is the solution to balance getting as many people infected as possible but over the appropriate time, so that they build immunity and stop community spread that way? How long is that gonna take?
What a mong.
That all sounded surprisingly sensible.
Then the first question asked by some dim bitch on 5Live was what 'new' meant in the context of a cough, as if the definition had magically changed in the last half an hour.
About two winters they reckon.
Tourism is 10% of the world economy. Even if markets crashed today, fuck knows what will turn it around in that case.
To fully remove it from circulation I mean. Not these measures.
Hey man i live in Palm Beach
Looks like we'll just have to wait until the summer term and get a 10 week break instead.
We've banned parents from our certificate assembly in the morning. That's about as radical as it gets for my school.
Jim and Yev will be glad to know that we've gone to semi-Madagascar mode here, advising against all non-essential travel and for people with pretty much any symptoms of anything to self-isolate until 48hrs after the symptoms have passed.
I will be sending a note of congratulations to whoever is in charge of you (mayor? Governor-General?) on behalf of Team Panic.
Well that last bit is nuts.
I'll let you know when we:
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The language these people are using is insane.
Catch what and how? What in the fuck is he talking about?Prof Chris Whitty, the country's chief medical adviser, said he was expecting the numbers to "increase initially slowly, but really quite fast after a while, and we have to catch it before the upswing begins".
I’ve missed a few pages, how fucked are we now?
Depending on how well "keep calm and carry on" works as a strategy, mildly or a bit more than that. Or maybe a lot. Who knows.
Went into the lidl in the city centre to get a few things on my way home from work. Pasta and rice shelves completely bare.
My boss showed me photos his wife took of the pasta and toilet roll aisles of a big Sainsbury's on the outskirts of Belfast and they were completely empty.
I wouldn't be surprised to see a proper breakdown of law and order if this shit keeps up.
People called the police when KFC ran out of chicken. The UK can lie to itself all it wants but it can't do 'keep calm amd carry on' at all.
Madrid health counselor on TV right now:
60% of cases are mild
30% are serious and need hospitalization
10% are critical
The stockpiling has been done too soon as well, were it even needed in the first place, so people are going to have to double dip in the run up to the supposed peak. While far more infected people are wandering around too.
It’ll happen here anyway. There was a lidl looted and torched just because of a snowfall two years ago so I’m fully expecting mayhem with this.
Well maybe I misread the briefing today, but that was the message we were seemingly given to follow.
Do we know it hasn't actually mutated from the shit that started in China?Madrid health counselor on TV right now:
60% of cases are mild
30% are serious and need hospitalization
10% are critical
I'm starting my 3 week work from home period starting tomorrow.
What snacks have you got in?
By the time I make it to the supermarket again all I'm going to be left with is Fray Bentos pies.
One of the most interesting things for me to have come out of all this is that worldometer website and the various normal stats it churns out.
95,531 deaths from seasonal flu this year
192,970 deaths from malaria this year
330,720 deaths from AIDs/HIV this year
2,553,950 deaths from communicable diseases this year
It's funny that AIDS isn't really considered when these things are discussed. 30m+ it's killed to date.
Best way. Most of us are now too. I’m closest to work so I’ll do what needs to be done on site which is ok of nobody else is there.
I'm not disagreeing that was the message, I'm saying the public won't be able to follow it.
Indeed. In fact, all signs point the other way.
I bought in a fuckload of beer, 6 big bags of walkers max chicken wing, and a couple of kilo bags of nuts. Eating all the fresh food til it’s gone and can start on tins and freezer then. Bottled another 20 litres of ipa today too.
I went to Costco today (before going to a restaurant so couldn't buy frozen stuff) and all they were missing was toilet paper, hand gel and pasta.
Will have to go again.
Question Time will be peak television.
Norfolk yet to have a case apparently (the highlands is the only other county unaffected). We should just shut the A11 at the borders and ride it out in isolation.
Yeah, more inbreeding, that's what you need.
What’s the atmosphere in Belfast like generally?
As someone who has been deploying the 'little and often' approach to panic buying, I'm pretty sure the supply chain is pretty resilient for all items except paracetomol.
Not sure about Ireland but it can't be too different. The only threat is complete thickos who think this will result in a year long ruckus, rather than a possible 2-4 weeks of needing to stay indoors for public health reasons.
As opposed to?
Best outcome of this for me is the expectation of offshore visits is going to be completely moot. Imagine being on rig if someone gets it.
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