Is there anywhere, you can store funds from various peoples if you are putting. For example, every pay me £5 and the winner takes the pot. Anywhere to store it, other than my bank account?
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Is there anywhere, you can store funds from various peoples if you are putting. For example, every pay me £5 and the winner takes the pot. Anywhere to store it, other than my bank account?
BazBot.
Vietnamese winnings on Luton.
Betfair super boost Saka to score or assist @ 2.5.
Millwall, Plymouth, Gillingham & Doncaster 55/1
Colombia well worth a tickle at 15/2
Palace is printing money. Everton, Bournemouth and Brighton -1 for scenes.
Who is Brighton's midfield without Caicedo and Macallister?
Gilmour and Dahoud.
Little nibble on Forest.
Helenius to win by KO later @ 13.
He's got enough power to trouble AJ's glass chin.
He looked old enough to be his grandad on the promo poster I saw.
He's only 39, a spring chicken.
AJ did lose by KO the last time a fighter stepped in (Andy Ruiz) late to replace another.
He wont have had any prep for Helenius so he's likely to let it turn into a scrap.
Edit: Also on Helenius to win in rounds 7, 8, 9 or 10.
O1.5 in Huddersfield/Leicester, Ipswich/Stoke, Watford/Plymouth, Southampton/Norwich, Everton/Fulham, Bristol Rovers/Barnsley and Cardiff/QPR.
Probably is.
I'm not throwing a lot of money at it but I think it's a decent price.
Surely anyone he is fighting at the moment is under strict instructions to let AJ win, the whole thing is just a desperate attempt to get him back to the big boys table isn't it?
Free Bet Builder on Paddy Power for Chelsea/Liverpool. Think it’s based on how much you spend over there though so chances are it’s £2/3.
Still, decent value for backing cards and Salah hattrick
Son Heung-Min AGS @ 3.
https://i.imgur.com/r5okzET.png
'Mon Enzo and Reece James.
Bets for the United game:
Rashford 2+ shots on target & Bruno 1+ SOT @ 3
Casemiro 1+ SOT & Bruno 1+ SOT @ 2.64
Casemiro 1+ SOT @ 2.06
Casemiro/Lemina/Ait-Nouri booked @ 28.27
Gomes/Shaw/Semedo booked @ 40.88
Dawson/Fernandes/Martinez booked @ 49.55
Semedo 2+ fouls/Casemiro 2+ fouls/Lemina 1+ foul/Rashford 2+ SOT @ 6.51.
Aussies 20/1 to win this and England keep turning over possession cheaply.
:eyemouth:
Decent timing.
Kick off in 10 mins. Paddypower don't have it.
U23 AFF.
Thailand - Myanmar
Not fixed, but Thailand have taken a 'c' team and shouldn't be that good. If anyone wants to, please add £10 on Myanmar for me :) I will PayPal to you.
Was 7/1 on 365. Missed it due to crappy signal.
8/1 in play :sorry:
Gone down to 6 but I got your £10 on John Arne.
Thailand 1 - 0 :D
2-0 now. Always knew their good strength in depth at Thai youth level.
Thaijax.
BMW Champs - Rory 7/1
I got on Forest at evens prior to them being hammered down but the -1 has to be equally free money, only thing stopping us is Elanga possibly getting a start after his promising cameo against a high line and Hamer debut but nah, free money.
I’ve been doing £10 accumulators on 40+ booking points in each league and by the 70th minute the cash out is usually massive. So I’m going big and doing 3 x £50. £150 bet + £27.69 balance = £177.69
https://i.imgur.io/KnFMWRo_d.webp?ma...idelity=medium
Any guesses what my balance will be come 5:30pm tomorrow?
£48.24.
Serious goals in our game, Wolves and Newcastle at huge prices and Spurs. We eating good tomorrow.
I'm restricted on Bet365.
If anyone is willing to put £10 on Paqueta to get a yellow against Chelsea @ 3.1 for me I'll send the cash by Paypal.
Just get that post to Denise and she'll get the risk management team sacked.
Plymouth, Huddersfield, Stevenage & Gillingham 110/1
Wolves bet looking juicy. Goals in Liv prices are shit though.
Aye, assuming first one was PL and first half of championship games, that one was looking real good. Every game I looked at had minimum of 2 cards
I did the 3 3pm prem games as a treble and it just came in, thanks for the idea Baz.
#TRAIN
Forest, Brighton and Brentford winning means a Toon win (or early payout) nets £530. Mon Harvey Barnes I guess.
Bruno 1+ SOT
Rashford AGS
Rashford FGS
Rashford to score 2 or more
United to win.
Also have Porro/Richarlison/Lisandro, Romero/Shaw/Bissouma and Casemiro/Udogie/Van de Ven as my booking accas.
https://i.imgur.com/tp5rrnb.png
https://i.imgur.com/BuhyDAi.png
Fuck Man City.
England Women to lift the trophy and some card accas.
Put a couple quid on Soucek and JWP to score and be booked at 1000/1
My wife has discovered matched betting via her Peloton ladies Facebook group :D
Incheon v Hai Phong
Kick off in 15 minutes.
No idea why, Incheon massive favourites and at home, perhaps it's my heart backing this one.
Cheeky £3 at 11.
90th minute and this is somehow 1-1...
Not familiar with these teams and it's a serious home atmosphere they're up against but Al Sharjah with Pjanic, Manolas, Paco Alcacer and some random foreigners are up against a very shit Iranian side (Tractor) and are above evens to win a 1-off ACL qualifier. Get on for the ride. Handicaps possibly, too.
Count me in.
Galatasaray at a juicy price tonight.
Last minute winner!
Icardi's quality separating them as expected.
JC Ritchie 150/1 - Czech Masters. Bookies sleeping on this fella.
Looking at the 15:00 at York today, horse called Racingbreaks Ryder @ 22/1 form is either win or bust, 4 wins in the last 8 runs. Worth a sniff if you can get extra places I think.
Win or bust =/= extra places :cab:
I’m on it though, 25/1 six places :yn:
Bust it is :D
At a big course like York the reasoning falls over but at smaller courses I get enough of those coming in to break even at least.
Fenerbahce at just about a juicy enough price to tempt me tonight. Fred is injured but a good excuse to watch Dzeko, Tadic, Kent and some Turkish home atmosphere scenes for anyone that fancies it. -1 may even be decent for a punt.
Chelsea hcaps are free money, might go heavy on -1 and then something involving Jackson goals for big odds.
Willy hills free £5 bet this weekend no deposit.
LongShotValue on twitter on fire again, last three tips 2 winners 1 place.
Only fucking wins when I'm not on.
Got a £100 on Jackson to score from Sterling assist and Sterling to score from Jackson assist at 51 :drool:
The bank on under 1.5 @ 4/1.
Over 5.5 cards @ 2.8
Over 6.5 @ 4.5
Over 7.5 @ 7.5
Over 8.5 @ 11.
Booking accas:
Nakamba, Kabore, Gallagher
Caicedo, Lockyer, Morris
Chong, Giles.
No matter with that fucking lesbian's poor finishing costing it. -2 though :drool:
Forest at over 10s. We're made men tomorrow.
Over 4.5 in Bournemouth.
Six shots off the lead as we speak. Needs a solid back nine.
Last match against Fulham Trossard had 3 assists, 2+ assists for him today 14/1. Worth a sniff.
Cashed for £228.59
Good effort that.
Thought the Bet365 mafia had drugged Haaland after super boosting him to score.
Gordon surely nailed on for a card here.
Joelinton even money to pick up a yellow. Stick your mortgage on it.
$6 on Liverpool @ 20
$126 :drool:
Omega Euro Masters
Bjork 22/1
Rozner 30/1
Fitzpatrick 45/1
West Ham juicy as the free money Luton train rumbles on. On -2 too.
Yeah. Best price I saw for Matt was 17/2.
Slam handicaps.
I've gone as high as -4.5 @ 7.5
I could only get £40 on -4 and £25 on O5.5 Tampa Goals. Game tomorrow half past midnight ya?
Might have to unload on Hartford -7.5 :drool:
I could only get HT/FT worth bothering with. Cmon the Rowdies.
Some other BLM monster smashing one in for Hartford within 15 mins :D
Hojlund AGS
Hojlund FGS.
Edit: Not starting, cashed out.
Handshakes all round in the Swiss Alps.
Hojlund AGS and Maguire to get a card in play.
Irish Open
Olesen 50/1
Pepperell 66/1
Migliozzi 80/1
Eddie seems a little overpriced there. Rory skewing the market.
There's a reason Rory skews the market.
South Korea very tasty price tonight: https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/66667180
Also Bulgaria kicking off in 3 hours against Iran might be worth a tickle at a huge price.
Bellingham to have a shot on target has been boosted to 2.5 on Betfair.
£10 max stake.
Free money.
Internationals have ruined the 40+ booking points accumulator so I’ve just gone one on this week, on twelve 3PM league one and league two games. Gone big though. £250 @ 21.53/1 :yn:
16:20 cash out alarm set.
If you are looking to cash out at 500 would it not be easier to just back something at even money?
Would any of them actually have come in if not cashed out?
Top, top work.
What’s booking points? Do Bet365 do it?
10 points for a yellow, 25 for a red.
Bet365 don't do it but they do let you bet on the number of cards in a game.
So 4+ yellows would be pretty much the same thing? Or is it worth jumping onto one of these wanky sites that does points just to cover the red?
4 yellows would be 40 points, yeah.
I've never really ventured into booking points but I would imagine that the odds would be better on the wanky sites (Betfair might do it) because a red is so much more valuable than a yellow.
I’m informed that Bet365 don’t offer similar.
On skybet you go to football > accumulators > all > scroll to T > total booking points > select all 3pm games for either 30+, 40+ or 50+
Since I’ve been doing it, even if I’d picked all 30’s, it wouldn’t have come in. I don’t understand why they ramp the cash out up so much.
To clarify, it's over 40 booking points in all games, on 365?
Edit: :moop:
I can only assume you have flummoxed the algorithm for this particular market with the number of selections, but they will notice and adjust it eventually. May aswell go balls deep in the meantime.
My cashout is dogshit :moop:
Aye. Not gonna do international weekends again.
CMC/Dobbins/Chase/Justin Jefferson to score TDs @ 14.58
AJ Brown/Josh Jacobs/Keenan Allen/Justin Fields to score TDs @ 28.26
Lamar Jackson/Isaiah Likely to score TDs @ 6.36 (also have them as singles as well @2 and @ 2.8).
I’ve got Philadelphia to be the last unbeaten team.
Fortinet
Theegala 16/1
Bhatia 45/1
Laird 70/1 (FRL)
BMW
Fitzpatrick 16/1
Tom Kim 25/1
Luiten 60/1 (FRL)
Betfair oddsboost for Salah to have a SOT @ 2.
Plus some card accas ofc.
Any news on Barrington's Bookie Bashing experiment this weekend?
Forgot to do it
Roschon Johnson (Chicago Bears v Tampa Bay Bucs) to score a TD @ 4.5 on Betfair.
Game kicks off at 6pm and that's cracking value.
Theegala sauntering home.
Well batted. 16/1 seems a bit miserly from the bookies given he hasn't done that much for a while.
Based on @SpikeyM’s ITK, I’ve had a nibble on Maidenhead.
Am I right in thinking the shithousery of Newcastle might rack up some yellows tonight, or is continental refereeing a myth these days?
Al Nassr -2
Milan and RBL HT double.
Gordon yellow plz
Man City -1 at HT at over evens :drool:
My betting group had a spinoff group and now have all joined another group. Bet on north Macedonian cup earlier. :D
French Open
Bjork 18/1
Paul 25/1
Otaegui 33/1
Kimsey 55/1
AFC Cup starts tonight, which means teams you've never heard of playing against teams you think you may have once heard of...
Shan United v Macarthur FC
Dynamic Herb Cebu FC v Phnom Penh
Ravshan v FC Merw
$6 on the treble at 4.
Shan United :cool:
Fenerbahce - Villa - AZ @ 4.5 in an attempt to make this joke cup a bit more interesting.
What is this seemingly new(?) data representation of games available on Bet365 as 'timeline' and recorded on Soccwreay as 'excitement index':
https://uk.soccerway.com/matches/202...ol-fc/4239201/
It doesn't seem to merely be a graphical representation of attacks/dangerous attacks and so far it's proving fucking incredible for me, I'm reading it like Neo. Anyone got a link to an explanation behind it?
Got £750 on Koleosho and boys to bring me joyful scenes.
Zhang to win in rounds 5-8
Zhang to win in rounds 7-12.
Hopefully Joyce takes a nap in round 7 or 8.
O5.5, 6.5 and 7.5.
Let's see what Newcastle are made of.
Such a noob bet. Every top team takes their foot off the break in this situation. I'm not watching, but when we've battered sides early under Howe we've sat back in the second half.
It's why I've only put a couple of quid on.
Edit: Although that's profit, would be nice if they grab 2 more.
Good bet.
One more would be sweet.
I'm not watching so not sure what's happened but everything I said was true. I hope you get your eighth goal tho, Ho.
Yeah, I've seen a few people saying Barnes was shit and that's given me joy. Such a boring, uninspired signing. I can't emphasise enough how much respect I've lost for Howe with his white man tactics and fetish for yes men.
Wahey.
Alvarez first goalscorer 7/1 is insane value.
I’ve no money in good bookies so took 5/1 with Sky.
Brighton is a ridiculous price is it not?
I think Arsenal could be getting a few cards tonight. Gabriel, White and Jorginho especially.
I fancy Barca, Sunderland and Strasbourg as a treble tonight at 10s.
Fulham @ 3.25?
Choo choo.
Willian AGS too.
https://i.imgur.com/pgLW2pT.png
Finally a big card bet comes off.
Only had £5 on it (as opposed to £2) because of the Betfair promo of a free £5 BB if you put a £5 BB on.
Plymouth are letting me down for £400 odd, the cunts.
Ventforet Kofu v Buriram
What’s the info?
Nothing dodgy. Kofu spammed their way to Emporer Cup victory last season in Japan, but are a J2 team. Buriram are rather good.
Kofu spam their way to victory again.
Fucking Japanese arseholes.
I know this isn't how it works but Japs are a combined 25-12-3 in the AFC CL against Thai opposition.
Alfred Dunhill
Syme 50/1
Shinkwin 55/1
Sanderson Farms
Cole 18/1
Ryder 40/1
Brighton to get the draw at HT here is a tasty one. 6/1.
Stick to the silence response pls, it's less embarrassing.
Fair play, it was a good shout. I backed them at HT against Villa when they were 80/1 but VAR incompetence put paid to that after taking forever to give their comeback goal and letting Villa settle.
We're above evens tomorrow. Not for the -3 handicap, just outright. Salah vs Lamptey (for 30 mins before his muscles tear) :happycry:
Shriners - Hoge 28/1
Open de Espana - Arnaus 50/1
Quietly confident.
France @ 2.25 against an injury riddled Netherlands is crazy value.
South Korea v Vietnam, BTTS No @ 4/9. Gone big.
Fiver on Pakistan - Cambodia at 15/4
Tastyyyy Pakistani dons.
Junped on Japan -1 in-running to bring some interest to the afternoon.
Vietnam also failed to score.
Double win :)
We're gonna be made men come AC in Jan. I remember absolutely printing money during the last 2. The potential for unloading my entire net worth on South Korea to humliate us in the Round of 16 when they'll probably be evens to win the game :drool:
Slovenia @ 2.4 against NI tonight is pretty good value I'd say. They battered Finland a few days ago and NI are, well, shite.
Slovenia are 1 result away from qualifying as well and have two pretty hardish games afterwards. I'm on board.
Can we get Asian tips the evening before please, especially the winners.
On Slovenia too.
All aboard.
That’ll do.
Let's keep rolling. What's up next?
Is the Turkish Second Division fixed?
2nd in the league (W6-D1-L1) are away at second bottom (W0-D3-L5) and 12 minutes in, they're already out at 5.00 to win, with the shitty second bottom team at 1.72.
Have they gone a goal down?
Nope, 0-0 after 32 minutes. Odds pretty much unmoved, 1.80 vs. 5.00.
They were 4.5 at kickoff, which is just bizarre given the league positions. If it didn't seem suss as fuck, I'd have dabbled.
They lost 1-0. Stay clear of Turkey, then.
Champ 50/1 looks a lively outsider for the ZOZO champs. At the top of the market Im looks the one to back if you can stomach 14s.
10/1 for a Danish winner in Andalucia could be a tasty angle. Helligkilde 40/1 & R Hojgaard 25/1 look the pick of the bunch.
I should have backed the Hojgaard double, would have been tasty odds.
Havertz anytime 3/1. Definitely happening.
Back on the three 3pm 40+ booking points accas today.
LongShotValue gone to a subscription model, reaction quite amusing.
We got anything tasty today boysies? I've got that Slovenia money sat in my account losing value by the second so we need a train.
Card accas obviously (good to be back, fuck internationals)
£10 on Salah SOT boosted to evens
50p on a Liverpool red card @ 7.
Leeds, Charlton, Blackpool & Wrexham 25/1.
Just Bromley and Stockport today. Minefield.
2 misses made up for by the hit:
https://i.imgur.io/ji4m7pW_d.webp?ma...idelity=medium
Which league was the hit?
Gundogan first/last score, both 12/1
PSG and Newcastle both -1 double for a punt.
Difficult to see past Olesen 18/1 for the Qatar Masters. Otaegui 25/1 & Armitage 70/1 to do bits.
Langasque for me. Allez les bleus.
West Ham tasty price, Bowen and Paqueta on the bench so hopefully they get a good 30 mins if it's still tied.
William Hill giving all new and existing customers a £5 free bet this weekend.
Except me apparently.
Put mine on an acca:
Arsenal, Leicester, Stockport, Falkirk, St. Pauli, Auxerre
I didn't get it but I only just got my account back after 9 years.
Edit: I've got it \0/.
Yeah, but it's telling me I'm not eligible. Suffering from success. 😒
I logged in - first time in about 10 years - and within 2 minutes my account was locked because my identity wasn't verified.
Send your bank statement, driving license, passport, birth certificate, social media profile and your dirty bedsheets to unlock.
Betfair have just locked me out recently. I tried to go back in, went through all the posing in ballet shoes in front of a roaring fire that they asked for, and then they said no, you're permanently excluded and won't be let back in for any reason. Not sure what's going on there but so be it.
Probably reviewed your account if you were consistently up. My mate is a billy big bollocks gambler and has been banned from a few for the crime of winning too much, they start saying they need proof of means etc and they are worried about your gambling level yet only do this if you're winning.
The computer has been switched off for about six months, mainly because I just don't have time to plug everything in during the cricket season, so the timing is a bit puzzling.
Bit annoying though as other exchanges are all shite.
Real Madrid might not be in the best form but against that XI, it's tastyyyy.
Yup, I've put £50 on them at 8/5
Bookings this week:
https://i.imgur.io/RNRAzgu_d.webp?ma...idelity=medium
Pissing hell.
When can we invest?
Yeah, but I don't want to collapse your system.
I don't even have a SkyBet account anymore :(
Well I could get mine back but I'd have to phone them which I can't be arsed with.
Why no live chat, dickheads?
Ngannou to be knocked downed in round 1 or 2 @ 4
Fury to win & both fighters to be knocked down @ 7.5.
What time does it kick off?
I've seen some places say 10:30, some 10:45 and others 11.
11:15 at the earliest then.
Alexis MacAllister to get booked @ 7.5 on Unibet is huge value.
Us and Villa -1 double looks tasty.
£5 on Silva, Lindelof, Rodri, McTominay and Eriksen to be booked returns £1300
£5 on Haaland hat trick, Alvarez assist, 7+ City corners, City -3 and 70 booking points returns £1300
£5 Haaland 2+ shots on target each half, 1+ corner each half for both teams and 5+ fouls each half for both teams returns £2500
Spurs are 2.20 to beat Chelsea next Monday. Surely that’ll get backed right in during the week so I’m all over it now.
Big shout. Asians doubled with Arsenal away to us for big wins.
Literally the ideal side for Chelsea. If Enzo is back, it ain't the one.
Get the mortgages on it boys.
Really hate to be driven to such rude statements but I made more than all of TTH's combined monthly salary today. Bow down to me.
I didn't make that much, but we can all agree that United were a bit short.
Gone big on FK Tuzla City in Bosnia.
Get a load of that West Ham price. Everton and BTTS in our game also tasty.
West Ham @ 3.40 absolutely wild.
I'm deploying my very own bomb squad for the WWT.
Bhatia 33/1
Champ 40/1
Brandon Wu 70/1
Ajax -1 should be a fun bet to follow this evening.
Man City aside, it looks like a good day for a BTTS accy in prem tomorrow. Everton price tasty too.
Only the Championship available for the total booking points today. 10 legs, £100 at 44/1 will have to do.
BTTS and Overs is League 2 territory but they're on FA Cup duty today, wankers. I guess Bundesliga will have to do for that instead.
I'll take a chance on Over 2.5 goals in the six Bundesliga games.
Hojlund FGS and AGS.
Wolves price :drool:
Man City/Wolves/Brighton @ 5.5
Wolves single
Lots of card accas.
Edit: Brighton in play.
£34 profit from £50 stake. Mon the Baz.
Also used Wolves as my pick this week (rather than Palace) in a LMS competition I'm in :(
Happy days.
That's a point, have you ever done all three divisions in an accy, Baz? Is it even possible...
I had Wolves down as a good bet too. Bastards.
We won't doubt you again hun.
Emotional bet on Fluminense Asians.
Might be worth ramming in 20 a time no? I'll give it a go next week.
Alexis MacAllister to be booked @ 5.1 on Unibet.
I'm on the Hairy Hungarian Hunk AGS in a big way.
Spurs to win.
Fuck this game. This weekend has been an absolute minefield.
Chelsea to have a red.
Tonight is surely the night Newcastle get battered. Even if it is Dortmund.
-1 and -2
PSG above evens if anyone is needing some free money tonight.
PSG, drawtmund and Sevilla @ 70s
Dortmund is a tasty bet too.
Other legs not looking so good though.
Copenhagen for some more free money today :drool:
Rolling the PSG free money onto it?
Insert that's the joke/I'm fucking massive/PM me if you need a tenner response here.
Cheers
:D
Can I just get a timestamp on that please? I assume at 0-2 as my man only breaks his silence when it's FT normally. Chickenshit gonna be burnt badly :D
I knew I'd enjoy the bet above but this is spectacular. Only sad point is not topping up which I absolutely would have had I not been driving.
Thanks for posting again, it pretty much confirms our victory
Ooof, he's doubled down. I enjoy it at the time but it's not good for this place when I send you Utd kids off to lurking status after such monumental e-victories.
Bayern and Inter goal plz
Get that Roony shirt on and feel the burn baby.
Congrats. How much did you win?
About £1k. I did lose my balls and cover the draw at 3-2 a little.
Nedbank
Rai 20/1
R Hojgaard 30/1
Time to get on us at over 3s. And a smaller double with Ajax to score 2nd goal.
Liverpool & Villarreal double 10/1.
Just seen the subs. Unloaded some more.
Cracking job, Taz.
Cheers mate. Doubled down on draw now too.
Bet on three random Olympiakos players + Paqueta to get booked, to keep us occupied while playing FM.
Tomorrow could be insane.
https://i.imgur.io/YDXeVCQ_d.webp?ma...idelity=medium
I've joined in again so probably another damp squib:
https://i.ibb.co/SNx8c3x/Screenshot-...23-Sky-Bet.jpg
I've done two 20 folds across the three leagues. One with the highest possible odds and one with the lowest to see if that makes a difference on the payout.
Everton 2/1
Wolves 2/1
Bolton 11/10
Barnsley 7/2
Stevenage 6/4
Portsmouth 3/4
Stockport evens
St Mirren 7/4
All overpriced in my opinion. Now to pick the right combos :lol:
Putting a tenner on Wolves -2 at 18s too
Yeah, I'm backing Wolves to put last week right.
Bolton, Portsmouth, Stockport
Brilliant :lol:
Time to get on them some more :drool:
Yeah, Spurs still doing this high line pish. Confident enough wolves will turn this around
Yeah, piled on, every attack is getting through.
I’d be interested in @-james- input on whether adding more legs to my system is a good or bad plan.
I wasted some on late draw which was looking like it was gonna give me a decent profit but this is bigger scenes.
BTTS treble for 3pms to keep things interesting.
The high odds one is a huge failure. Low odds giving x3 return currently, but still not as good as the original system.
Bournemouth free money alert.
He is massive.
I guess take more of the drugs you're on...
I'd take some credit but you need to ban yourself from the sport if you looked at that Newcastle list of 20 and didn't see the bet.
Although I will have a nibble on the Toon to make a comeback @ 9.
Maybe low odds 20-fold ain't so bad after all.
City are calling. Possibly handicaps too.
https://i.ibb.co/DQvyR8b/IMG-5666.png
Fuck you Haaland. Honestly thought he had 4 but was only 3 on target.
I don’t know if other bookies have this exact accumulator but on skybet you go to football>accumulators>today>all and select total booking points. Then select all the 3pm kickoffs from league two to have 40+ booking points (middle column) and place your bet. Do the same for all the 3pm kickoffs in league one. And then finally combine all the 3pm kickoffs for the championship and premier league, again to all have 40+ booking points. Now these bets have NEVER come in, and I’ve been doing it a while, but the secret is the cash out is sometimes astronomical. So when you’ve placed all three bets, set an alarm on your phone for 16:20. Sit back and wait. When your alarm goes off at twenty past four, go and cash out all three bets. Don’t be tempted to see if they’ll go higher, don’t let them ride out, just cash them out. Do this every week and you’ll end up well in profit.
I've no idea, but it's the sort of thing bookies can fuck up. About ten years ago, when William Hill first brought in cash out, I used to back draw no bet on favourites who were a goal down and cash out once they scored. I think I thought the cash out calculation was fucked and was basically treating it as next goal on inflated odds.
I would guess this thing is no more than a hot streak of variance though rather than one of the biggest bookies in the country either a) not knowing how to price a cash out or b) systematically underestimating cards every week.
When you're given your cash out I'd go through each game in play and see if the in-play odds for your selection are lower than what they are in your acca. Of course that would take forever but it would let you eliminate a) as a possibility.
RSM Classic
J.T. Poston 28/1
Pendrith 40/1
DP World Champs
N Hojgaard 25/1
Double T10 last week. I'm due.
Thailand 1-1 China, currently halftime. Going in on China at 11/4.
Good start for Nicolai and I feel like a big result is coming for him somewhere, though the cavalry may be hard to hold off here. Also have huge respect for him as I was following his group recently at the BMW PGA, and quite unbidden he decided to get his knob out and have a lengthy piss in the long grass right by the side of the 8th fairway. I now can't look at him without thinking of this.
£150 banked :drool:
A great bunch of lads.
Where you watching that and just bet on how it was going, John? Seemed a surprising result.
Get your families life savings on Pogues Christmas Number One.
You don't reckon Shane's got long left then?
LadBaby. It's always LadBaby.
Not this year.
It should really be Taylor Swift though.
He's already won a 50-fold accumulator just to make it to the age he has.
In a bizarre twist, I kinda know the Thailand manager (he used to manage Ho Chi Minh City) and whilst he sets teams up well, he absolutely cannot change a game. No tactical changes, gets subs wrong - he just can't change a game for some reason. Once China started to move things about, it was inevitable.
And it was a bit of a punt.
:drool:
Nicolai bringing home the bacon. Top, top player.
Well done. He's got the game to start competing in the big ones. Has a card now too, unlike his bro who somehow missed his.
Joberg Open
Lawrence 16/1
Lombard 25/1
Small nibble on Harrison Crowe 70/1 down under.
This is quite niche even for me, but Jharkhand, at 19/20 (Betway), are very long to beat Maharashtra tomorrow in their Vijay Hazare Trophy opener.
In she comes. Tried to develop an edge on shit domestic cricket, so we'll see how we fare in future.
https://i.ibb.co/JmrpCxj/Screenshot-...036-Chrome.jpg
https://i.ibb.co/Wx9CB1v/Screenshot-...044-Chrome.jpg
I am gonna do some serious volumes this weekend. Everton are obviously the free money providers but there's a tasty above evens bet in every fucking game. Liverpool, Villa, Wolves and Bournemouth the pick. BTTS accy is a go-er too.
7/2 for Newcastle to nil. That low block will be scandalous and they’ll get a goal on the break against Silva.
When was the last time Liverpool won at City? Feels like it must have been Sven era for them.
4-1 in 2015 apparently, soon after Klopp arrived. I have no recollection of that whatsoever.
Luton on the long side for me, Clive.
Big last man standing game has the final two on palace so I’m praying for a Luton 0-0 masterclass.
Betway free £5 bet no deposit required this weekend.
£10 on Oscar Piastri podium @ 15 and £10 on Lando Norris fastest qualifier @ 5.5
Mac Allister and Alexander-Arnold to both get booked @ 11/1.
I put PP’s free £5 bet builder for City game on:
3 or more bookings for City, 7 or more corners for Liverpool and both Haaland and Nunez to have a shot on target each half. Returns £1300 for some reason
No yellow cards first half. :D
It's alright, it will get spicy in the second half.
Alexis usually likes his late on.
If Trent the mong had done his job he'd have a yellow and it'd be 0-0.
Thought Macallister was coming in then.
That should have been a booking there. We've been mugged.
BTTS accy on 3pms pays handsomely. As do Forest. Bit of Bournemouth too.
Newcastle -1.
Also on BTTS across the board.
And Newcastle/Palace/West Ham/Brighton/Bournemouth.
Forest worth a little chase here, Brighton not great and struggling for subs with likes of Lallana and Ferguson not having 90 in them.
:drool:
There were a ludicrous number of goals in the 3pms today. I only won £150 from the bored accumulators but hope some of you won a new house.
Arsenal should rape Bees here.
The one time I didn’t bother with a few monster btts accas. Over 30 games came up in the English Top 5 leagues.
Probably would have still been let down by one game being 0-0 mind
Arsenal -1 and -2.
Is Ange going to change tack here or is the Spurs arsehole lubed up and gaping for a Villa bumming?
Everton are actually in better form over the last 5 games than United but still wary of backing either in that.
The double is free money. I'm unloading on Villa, handicaps and Villa to score over 3.5 at filthy odds.
Villa to win, Villa -1 & -2, Diaby AGS, Villa/Villa, Villa O2.5 & O3.5.
Also, cards obviously.
Some fucking retarded attacking play prevented full scenes. Ah well, onto the mighty Toffees.
United to win, Rashford AGS, Rashford FGS.
Cards.
DCL & Bruno to have a SOT @ 2.75 too.
One of my card accas is close to coming in.
Young/Doucoure and McTominay.
Just need Scotty boy to fly in for a nice payoff.
Wolves :drool:
BTTS UCL seven fold at 26/1. Tempted to have gone for the full eight, but you can't trust Brendan's boys.
That's a frightening fucking post, literally banged on the exact same bet and was coming to post pretty much a word-for-word post :drool:
Choo choo on the late kick offs.
Yep, we go again, Antwerp was the biggest remaining doubt.
Go hard or go home.
PSG -2 and PSG -1&Dortmund.
:moop:
Sickening but a top top bet. Brb, liquidifying my assets for Gala.
If I speak I am in big trouble.
You’re obsessed.
At least wait until we're 3-0 up, or ideally when the full time whistle has blown ffs.
Finally got a card acca to come off.
It's been a while, sadly it's a small one.
My guy coming in here with his 2 inch todger every time :D
I mean, it was a joke because last time we were 2-0 up and I came in gloating, we ended up losing. Hence why I said nothing.
The silver lining is that you've probably spunked your months wages away.
Aussie Open
Hisatsune 33/1
Micheluzzi 40/1
Saffer Open
Schmid 20/1
Du Plessis 22/1
Another profitable card last week. Hopeful the heater can continue.
That does look long for Hisatsune in his form.
Didn’t expect my random £2.50 100/1 bet to still be alive when I noticed inter were 3-0 down.
3-3 now but still need a lens goal as well which isn’t likely
:D
Thought of you when I read that story.
I bet she does, probably not at all royalty related mind.
How did cards go last weekend?
Big Bash starts later this week - if anyone likes a back and lay, Melbourne Renegades I think are seriously overpriced to win the outright, you can get as much as 9/1 with some bookies (other, shrewder outfits show 6/1). I have them as the second strongest side behind the favourite Perth Scorchers but bookies have them in the bottom half.
Early round FA Cup fixtures can fuck off. Nothing worse than trying to find accas and btts without League 1 and 2.
FA Cup is where it's at.
Bolton, Newport, Oxford, Peterborough, Stevenage, Sutton, Wycombe in 90 @ 22ish to 1.
Early round FA Cup rounds is harder to call than midweek lower league England games.
Same with the Scottish cup early rounds. I put East Kilbride on my acca to boost the odds (1/2 or so) as they usually are always getting into round 4 and punching above their weight (dominate junior football). Think they lost 7-0 in the end. Literally same thing happened with Swindon a week later in the Cup - think they were 6-0 at half time to a non league side.
BTTS acca in all prem games is worth a go.
There’s about 2 games mate
Wolves two first choice holding midfielders out so I'll be backing a lot of goalscorer combinations as it's forecast to be RAINING GOALS again at the Emirates the afternoon. Jesus Saka Martinelli AGS bet builder juicy at 16s.
I had one bet today (I’m with Waff on FA Cup being a nuisance), Over 3.5 and BTTS in Leeds vs Middlesbrough @ 4 and it’s done already. See you next week.
I’ve got a 13 fold over 2.5 goals with 5 already up and 5 with 2 goals in it. Other games are 1-0. Reckon the cash out would be fairly mega. Not a chance it comes in, second halves always dry up with the goals when you need them.
11 up. Southampton who were 2-0 up after 15 mins letting it down alongside Forfar. We go again.
United draw
United to win
Hojlund AGS
Maguire AGS
McTominay AGS.
Man City -3, Man City -4 and so on.
Mon the Doku brace too.
Can't believe I didn't back up the Chelsea Brighton Overs/BTTS in this game.
Can Haaland stop being shit?
I'm also on City handicaps.
Melbourne Stars evens in the Big Bash game tomorrow morning is long. Brisbane are missing four to the tour match and aren't really that good to begin with.
BTTS in all six games tonight 22/1.
£5 on Man Utd, hojlund/garnacho to score and disasi booking
Alfred Dunhill
Schaper 25/1
Pavan 125/1
Bournemouth price on Saturday, dear lord. Those ebony dons in attack arriving at Old Trafford in perfect time for the start of Utd's results regressing to their mean/rightful xPTS placing. Liverpool -3 is at 6.5 currently on Bet365 for 17 Dec. May want to secure that as it'll probs be at around evens after Solanke's girth loosens things a little.
Have you abandoned card betting, @Baz?
BTTS on the four 3pm games looks tasty.
Looks good so far.
The worst ones are in, all resting on Bees now surely.
United look unlikely to score.
I think Waff mentioned it the other day, but goals really do dry up altogether in the second half of the football league. Definitely worth experimenting.
Shame but still, what a price Bournemouth was at over 5s :happycry:
Villa win and I might retire.
Martinez usually good value for a card against Arsenal.
What was his price? Looks a shoe-in if the game remains tight.
I'd imagine double figures.
Keepers are always priced highly but not many sites offer prices on them.
3.6 right now on 365.
He was 5/1.
My mate had a 365 betbuilder on Rice, Zinchenko, Luiz and McGinn to get booked that returned over a grand off a fiver the jammy fuck.
Little tickle on Newcastle DNB 30/1
Mad to think we're all gonna more than double our net worth this time tomorrow.
I know they got shown up by some mid-table nonsense at the weekend, but 6/5 for Bayern is pretty ludicrous is it not? I'll think about how much I dare commit, but already on Over 3.5 + BTTS at the same odds.
Do they have anything to play for? Feels dangerous to me, especially at Fortress Theatre of Dreams. There's probably a long term MoU between Beckenbauer and Bobby Charlton that stands until they're both dead.
Only bet on United getting any type of result if you're happy to lose money.
Or with 365 who pay you out once they are 2 up which makes the following collapse even funnier.
Bayern have Stuttgart (3rd) at the weekend. Not a chance they take this seriously.
They're off the back of a humiliation, motivation is high if anything. Imagine thinking motivation even comes into this though, if you're not maxing out your stakes tonight and waving your dick all over SVN's face, this ain't the game for you.
Just depends on the line ups I suppose.
Havertz, Nketiah and Jorginho card treble worth a punt at 225/1 (WH) considering they have 10 yellows between them already this season.
£5 on Napoli, Lens, Inter, PSV DC, Bayern DC, Galatasary DC, Leeds DC, Ipswich DC, Huddersfield DC and Oxford DB @62
Don’t think I’ve ever backed so many lower odds before. See how it goes
Edit: I thought PSV needed to win to guarantee 2nd. Shit.
Don't sweat Waff they're gonna bum this no hope second string on pace alone.
Samba saves Ramos’ penalty but then it gets retaken and he dinks it down the middle.
Can’t believe I thought lens could still get 2nd. Need to hope they score on the break with Sevilla piling forward
Post your bet Taz, while it's 0-0.
Here you go, champ.
Toggle Spoiler
Mauritius Open
One of the three market leaders should take this down, but 12/1 is quite frankly sickening.
Frittelli 35/1
Pavan 55/1
I'll thrown in Nicolo Galletti 250/1 for good measure.
I can't respect this Spurs side and their naivety one bit. Away to a Forest side in need of the points, I don't like mong-eyes' defensive team selection but it's deffo a tasty bet.
United being 8/1 in a two horse race and 5/1 the draw [both Betfair] is a bit :cab:
It's the culmination of 2 decades of our work gradually easing our girth into the Utd lot. What a harvest :drool:
Salah to score and get booked, surely. Almost as guaranteed as C Ronaldo that time.
United will put out the worse side ever seen and somehow keep it tight, just like Spurs were gaped for a City bumming last weekend and somehow came away with a point. The last time I saw a team sheet I knew would get smashed by a filthy margin and it transpire was the fateful 8-2.
BTTS in all four PL games 8/1.
McTominay to score, McT to get booked and Amrabat to get booked.
United are 10/1. Don’t think it’s going to happen but that’s long enough for a little dabble.
Hojlund with the ghost shot at the end there the useless cunt.
Everton and O3.5 in Chelsea.
Tempted by nearly 4/1 for Newcastle but not sure how they’ll cope without Joelinton. That and surely botman isn’t close to being fit
Nothing better than backing against Brighton and Spurs this season and with home advantage in this big rivalry, Palace are fucking tasty tonight.
Hull, Cambridge, Salford 15/1.
2500 to 1 accumulator bet lost on the final leg due to a lack of a Christian Romero yellow card :(
Hull @ 6/4. Lump lump
Il Est Francais. Some horse.
Pinged everything.
Lucinda’s horses are in shambles right now. The drift on Giovinco was pretty alarming
Nico de Boinville is cursed.
Wondered what happened there. What a shambles
Gone big on Darwinny 2 or more at 8.
Villa for scenes.
£2 free bet on Fernandes/Mainoo/Dendoncker/Digne to get booked.
Hull, Bristol City, Derby, Sheff Wednesday 33/1.
The Sentry
Morikawa 12/1
Tom Kim 25/1
Something to keep a Friday afternoon interesting. Libya comfortably beat Indonesia 4-0 three days ago at a camp in Turkey as they both prep for AC/AFCON.
https://uk.soccerway.com/matches/202...libya/4290266/
They're playing again at same pitch and time today. Libya have one star player who is not in either squad so ignore him. Indonesia have fuck all.
Libya at close to evens. I'm on -1. -2 at 8s and -3 at 20 if you think you've got girth. I'll watch the first 10 and may unload.
Indonesia do have Jordi Amat (he played the 2nd half of the first game), bless them. Also a pair of Ipswich and Wolves youth defenders (1 played same as Jordi but the other wasn't available last game). Meh.
My mates said to go big on Mozambique and Jamaica. Not sure if he means to win the lot
Is that for AFCON because I've maxxed my tournament stake already on England.
1 change for Libya from first game so looks like they went strongest XI for both. 7 changes for Indonesia including the defensive big names coming in but 5 of the newbies played the full 2nd half in first game and didn't trouble the Libyan dons. I'm unloading for a ride.
Choo choo.
Bad start :eyemouth:
Great start actually, but didn't capitalise and defended like shit for an undeserved goal. Keep calm and load on the outright.
Gadaffi's men are cooking.
Libya look shaky af at the back, proper emotional ride this.
Cupset treble 137/1
Middlesbrough
Peterborough
Bristol Rovers
I'd love that but I expect Villa will bum us. We've too many injuries to key players and fuck around trying to play out from the back despite not having the quality to do so.
Bigger game on Tuesday as well so surely you’ll be resting players
I don't think we can. The first choice players who won't start today will be more through fitness concerns than thinking about Chelsea, so I think it'll be a case of strongest team possible but it will be nowhere near strong enough. We were literally down to the bare bones for Coventry on NYD (four lads on the bench don't even have pro contracts).
Thailand v Kyrgyzstan Result & Both to Score @ 6/1
Thailand haven't even turned up in country yet, just changed their head coach, and 7 or 8 players withdrew from the squad.
#ThaiShambles
Sony Open
Conners 25/1
J.T. Poston 30/1
Dubai Invitational
Otaegui 45/1
Winther 66/1
Btts in the mud already. There’s been about 6 goals in England after nearly half an hour :lol:
Japan to absolutely smash Vietnam in 1hrs time. Unfortunately, the bookies well on top of it.
Vietnam massively understrength.
Fuck it. £40 on Vietnam at 70/1
Wit
What did John Arne find out in those 15 minutes?!
Holy fuck. Vietnam 2-1 up. £310 cash out.
I ain't going anywhere (yet).
FML.
3-2 Japan.
Dubai
Meronk 22/1
Smith 33/1
AMEX
Sungjae Im 20/1
J.T. Poston 30/1
Vietnam v Indonesia at 12/5.
Just kicked off. Vietnam under strengthened and Indonesia got a load of forriners.
This guy we know as John :drool:
I'm currently liquidating all my assets in time to back South Korea/Japan against us in the quarters on 3 Feb :drool:
I got 3 bets on various combos all backing Indo.
Amat just gone off with a bloody nose, but they should hold on.
I've cashed out for £150.
10 minutes extra time and Vietnam are going for it.
Ras Al Khaimah
Hao Tong Li 40/1
Shinkwin 60/1
Veerman 70/1
The Hojgaard transatlantic double is definitely happening this year.
Pavon winning at Torrey is mental. A year ago I wouldn't have trusted him to win the monthly medal down the road.
Pebble Beach
Difficult to see past Spieth or Homa for this one. 16s the pair.
I've been eyeing up this bet for over a few months now and the time is now. Iran vs Japan on Saturday at 11:30. Japan at evens outright. I have the best part of a K on it and some on -2 at 8 because I have ridiculous girth. I'll probs have more before KO.
Japan not been as dominant as expected and have a GK that Utd scouts deemed a talent so there's seriously weakness there but thankfully we have no system, no legs, no manager, no star player (sent off in previous round) and no hope. Cracking streams to be found on Bet365 with English commentary for those that will tune in. Mitoma is also back fit but that matters not, they don't need star players, their style matches up perfectly to our bs.
I'm done at 2K.
https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/D4...XrISiwVneMLJt0
Phenomenal effort.
:drool:
Tremendous. :D
You ok, mate?
Ouch
Incredible day at Don towers. Had £200 on BTTS on all 4 later prem games at 10. 91st min Sheff Utd goal chalked off by VAR :D
I did think I bet that has fucked someone.
Shaw, Fernandes and Casemeiro to get booked, 30/1.
My paddypower account got shut down (fortunately, I withdrew $600 a week before. And, fair play, they sent me the final $30 in the account when I asked... although they could have done this when they shut the account.
Anyway, which sites are the best nowadays, and more importantly include Vietnam football? Season restarts in 2 weeks, and we've already had 5 players from the second division recently arrested for match fixing https://cadn.com.vn/clb-ba-ria-vung-...ost290631.html
:drool:
Villa on Wednesday around 2.15 is surely a train
Phoenix Open
JT 10/1
Kitayama 70/1
Qatar Masters
Larrazabal 40/1
I'm on Homa at 20/1.
Nunez to score a header and Nunez to score from outside the box 100/1
Villa 5/1 to win here is tasty.
Done a variety of bets involving David Hancko scoring for Feyenoord. :yn:
:thbgrin:
Genesis Invitational
Burns 25/1
Finau 28/1
Theegala 30/1
Wyndham Clark 35/1
Si Woo Kim 55/1
Going all out for the win.
Welsby, Makinson and Percival to score tries @ 10/3
Newcastle at evens is very generous
Numerous goalscorer bets on Mats Deijl (Go Ahead Eagles) at big prices. :yn:
Kenyan Open
Catlin 33/1
Kawamura 35/1
Over evens for Liverpool to win in 90 mins. :|
I’ve done a few bet builders:
Salah 2+ goals
Nunez goal involvement
Liverpool win
Van dijk so score a header
Nunez to score a header
Diaz 2+ shots
Diaz goal involvement
Bradley goal involvement
Liverpool win
Just out of interest do you usually do bet builders before lineups are announced? Or was it a cup final thing?
Yes to both
I don’t normally do bet builders
Constitution Hill 13/8 for Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham because he has a cold.
Might be the greatest value in horse racing history
That is indeed madness. Unload the wheelbarrows.
I’ll be in the stands for that as well. Scenes.
Been a while since I've bet.
Haaland to score 2 or more
Haaland hattrick
Haaland to score from a De Bruyne assist
Man City -3
Bruno/Casemiro/Dalot/Garnacho to be booked.
Case red is free money no?
Nicky Henderson is a sassij
Leeds
Leicester
Peterborough
Mansfield
Ipswich
Southampton
10/1
Put £15 on Leeds, Ipswich, Barnsley, Mansfield & PSG
Fuck off, Mansfield.
Over 2.5 goals 50/1
Roma v Brighton
Qarabag v Leverkusen
Benfica v Rangers
Marseille v Villarreal
Ajax v Villa
Olympiacos v Tel Aviv
Haifa v Fiorentina
USG v Fenerbahce
I’ve never really paid attention to royal ascot but some bet slips for the Saturday will be a good wedding present. When do people usually start churning out antepost picks for it?
Also there’s a lad on Reddit called YTGriffo who posted an insane ante post treble. So gutted I didn’t get involved. I’d link it but reddits being an arse on my phone.
Unfortunately my account got shut down, but if anyone else wants free money..
Kicking off in 50 mins
Hoang Anh Gia Lai (HA HAGL) v Ho Chi Minh City FC
Go on then
HAGL are shit and just sold their best player, and loaned their manager to another team...
Ho Chi Minh in the mud.
Losing 2-1 at HT. still confident?
Fucking bunch of useless twats. Hope we get relegated.
Work is disappointingly busy this week. I’ve planned poorly.
Just printed off my tickets. Tattersalls Tuesday to Thursday. No Gold Cup this year.
Is Friday not the worst day anyway?
It’s getting worse every year for the declarations. They need to reduce it by a day. The novice chase would be brilliant but instead they’ve got them all scattered because some are in that dreadful amateurs race tomorrow evening and others are in the Turners.
Tuesday is definitely the best day.
Definitely.
Especially when Willie’s odds on horses cock up :drool:
Willy Hill's also offering a free £5 bet per day no deposit or bet required.
Cheers. Their odds seem garb but a free fiver's a free fiver.
All my alt accounts are banned on there. Paddy offering £5 free bet too.
Gevrey @ 34s in 14.50 EW. mon the rain.
Just put him in my acca, his form suggest he will either piss it or keel over, no inbetween. Hopefully they have been trying to drift his price pulling him up.
Tempted to lay Lossiemouth as well. Distance an unknown and they heavy rain this morning should only make it more difficult.
4th last year in a race here. Won a mini national in Ireland and runner up in Irish National so staying the trip won’t be an issue. Hopefully it’s a quickly run race and he peels them off like Corach Rambler
Edit: similar can be said for Kitty’s Light who loves the soft and long distances so will put a few quick on that as well in same race
365 Superboost is State Man at evens.
Folk have definitely made absolutely bank on that Mullins treble. Sickening
Indeed :youpi:
Mullins with the first five home in the opener. The sport is dead.
Another short priced fav. :lol:
Backed both for once with El Fabiolo and couple favs tomorrow
Wyndham Clark for THE PLAYERS (I just love writing it out in caps), outrageous value.
Liverpool -2
Easiest money I’ve made this year
Just nearly spewed in the betting shop. Waterford Whispers must have traded at well under 1/2 in play. Was about £50 up after yesterday and stuck £35 on GDC, Limerick Lace and Waterford Whispers at 15/1.
Also had a 25p Lucky 31 on them 3 plus Majborough (13/2) and Itsontheline 2/1 so maybe it’s a good thing the latter got done going up the hill as I don’t think my heart could have taken that. Think I’d have got about £220 back if Waterford Whispers did win though so still £780 down the fucking drain.
And to make things worse I forgot to back Jim’s shout on the golf. DISGUSTING
David Potts 10/1 to win celeb big brother, worth a few quid.
Some geezer (mate of a mate) supplied us with a massive trends document for Cheltenham, which suffice to say I did great from. Anyway, the week kind of reignited my passion for the horses so I've wasted my evening learning Python and I'm currently scraping every jump race result since 1998 from Racing Post, in anticipation of discovering trends for every course/meet. :drool:
Shite tips incoming.
Everton 11/2 to get relegated but with another points deduction potentially on the way, rumour is Dyche has upset the apple cart with a misjudged joke during their Portuguese warm weather training. Wouldn't be surprised if they come back even shitter than before now.
To be fair I only got given it in paper form on the Tuesday morning.
Done a bet builder on everything that means 0-0 in tonight’s England match.
I'm sure you are all too wise anyway but just in case: hearing a lot of horror stories about MGMBet so I would swerve them. Saw one the other day where they settled an extra place horse winner as a loser because 'too many horses pulled up during the race' :D
Because March is a kicker in the bank due to a number of financial obligations, I've just done £100 worth of antepost on Cheltenham. :happycry:
Has anyone got any antepost selections for Royal Ascot?
I’m 18 mins late but there’s rumours of the [female?] ref wanting a bit of limelight and is keen to make sure San Marino win their first game in however many years. Probably helps that they’re against St Kitts and Nevis.
Matt Whitley to score a try in each half seems overpriced at 100/1 (skybet)
Brentford Hope 14:05 Haydock
Wins
Carrying a lot of weight that Baz, although he did fuck the handicappers last time out too. I'll go for Mr Mackay, 8/1 seems long.
Tanganyika in the 2:40 looks a good price too.
Also Frankie Dettori's Newgate looks way overpriced at 17/2 in the Dubai World Cup 16:35.
Shambles from Ben.
Went with Baz for Brentford Hope. The other two I think are still running.
:D
This has been great fun. I decided the way to go was rather than just predict the finishing positions, I would instead try to predict the running time of each horse. The data scraping took me a week or so and then I had another week of errors because I'm shit at Python still and also didn't really understand how regression models and machine learning work.
Anyway, I finally had a breakthrough on Sunday night and the back testing was successful so last night I thought I'd try to predict today's racing. Unfortunately I've only set it up for chase races using 2018-2023 data so far (partly because I kept running into self-induced errors using the full dataset, but also I think my CPU won't cope with it all together) and there's a whopping two chase races today and they're both at the clown course Hereford so we've got just two shitty Class 5s, so not the best start. That might be a blessing in disguise though because I've not cracked the input of racecards yet so it took a lot of manual work to enter today's 15 runners into the model.
Today's predictions:
14:30 - #3 wins in 248.8303s (2nd #6, 3rd #2)
15:30 - #2 wins in 333.093s (2nd #4, 3rd #1)
Actual result:
14:30 - #3 wins in 248.9s :eek: (2nd #5, 3rd #2; paid 3 places)
15:30 - #5 wins in 336.6s (2nd #4, 3rd #2; paid only 2 places)
14:30 returns a win at 15/2 and a place at 11/4.
15:30 returns a place at 3/1. The predicted time for the actual winner was 336.2674s so again, incredibly, pretty bang on. Just turned out to be a slower race than anticipated.
I haven't obviously just stumbled across a quick route to millions but this is so much fun. It seems like it might be a good predictor, I just need to find a way to input racecards that isn't 100% manual for this to be worth bothering with, it takes way too long as it is. I'm excited to see what is says for the National on Saturday. Although I feel this model might work better for flats (less random opportunities for falls, even more trend indicators like stall draw).
Does the model account for juiced up Irish runners?
Build us a full sheet for Aintree, please.
If they've run in Britain before then yes! If there's some fresh blood then unfortunately not. It wouldn't be difficult to build in Irish data but I think I'm limited by CPU. I'm still adding in GB data from previous years and that's the priority at the moment. Hopefully I don't hit a memory error.
Sure. I'm not at home until tonight so I'll paste up the code then. There's a load of models in the 'sklearn' package. I tested a few and ended up using RandomForestRegressor (DecisionTreeRegressor was also a good one). Also import train_test_split also from 'sklearn' to test the accuracy (R-squared?) score for your model. And of course 'pandas' to read the csv data input.
Will do. My model accuracy score yesterday afternoon (for those Hereford predictions I posted) was 0.990 (max=1) and last night I added in another couple of years worth of data which brought the score up to 0.993. That is pretty huge. In the National (about 9 minutes run time), the 0.990 score leaves a margin of error of around 5 seconds; 0.993 shaves about 1.5 seconds off that margin of error, so if I ran the model on the race as it is, each horse would be within ~3.6s of the predicted time. Obviously the more I can bring it down the more accurate it will be, because even though 3.6s over 9 minutes is great, 3.6s can still cover a handful of positions. Given the number of years worth of data still missing from the model, I reckon that score can get >0.996 and then it could get tasty.
Here's one for today from the model.
15:00 Market Rasen - War Lord (#1) has the fastest time but margin of error means a lot of overlap. Going off this I'd bet on it at 6/1 or more. It was 8/1 earlier, but drifted to 12/1 in the last hour.
16:00 Market Rasen - Coolmoyne (#9) was a good EW shout at 13/2 earlier (~50% shot for a top 3) but has been backed right in to 9/2F at the moment. The model has it as the winner but not that confident.
Yep, loads of trial and error. I'm using RandomForestRegressor now but I went through loads to get there. There could easily be a better one out there still, but I just ran with it because it had a decent accuracy score right off the bat.
Data cleaning I feel your pain. Luckily my data scrapes in a somewhat logical fashion to begin with and as my Python skills still aren't great, I use Notepad++ to clean it up instead.
Cutting down my time spent on this is vital. Ideally it'd be ran on every race and the model would pick out a handful of value bets. As it is now, I'm inputting a limited number of races so I'm falling into the trap of trying to see value in something that probably isn't there, as the pain of admitting there's no good bets to be had after wasting an hour is not what you want.
EW double, let’s have it.
Choo choo.
War Lord out to 16s now. :D
Something must not be right in the stables for a drift like that.
Our boy there was out in front and got excited and fell. :D
Since a few of you followed in, I'll put the stats up for transparency. As you can see it was anyone's race and I mentioned War Lord because his odds were so much longer than his chance. The drift this morning might have been from some stable info. I watched the race and it was incredibly slow (looked like it was pissing down). Bet365 paid 3 places (#5, #7, #4).
I've also added the 16:00 race below too. Bet365 paying 4 places.
Code:15:00
num pred(s) min max WIN%
1 295.7262 293.6725 297.7942 20.58%
2 299.1247 297.0474 301.2165 3.73%
3 297.0416 294.9788 299.1188 14.06%
4 296.8301 294.7688 298.9058 15.11%
5 296.4196 294.3611 298.4925 17.14%
6 296.6480 294.5880 298.7225 16.01%
7 297.1812 295.1174 299.2594 13.37%
16:00
num pred(s) min max WIN%
1 266.4029 264.5529 268.2659 0.12%
2 264.2181 262.3833 266.0658 12.93%
3 264.2582 262.4231 266.1062 12.69%
4 267.2189 265.3632 269.0876 0.00%
5 264.4423 262.6059 266.2915 11.61%
6 262.9835 261.1572 264.8225 20.16%
7 278.7130 276.7775 280.6620 0.00%
8 281.3068 279.3533 283.2740 0.00%
9 262.7363 260.9117 264.5736 21.61%
10 262.8642 261.0388 264.7024 20.86%
11 267.8636 266.0034 269.7368 0.00%
I’ve been told Not So Sobers in the 16:35 at Market Rasen. Was 16s but 8s now so looking promising.
A solid EW. :thbup:
@Boydy
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Cheers.
What's your original dataset look like? And what's your cleaning process?
Also, I found this a while back which might be useful - it's a Racing Post scraper: https://github.com/joenano/rpscrape
That's what I'm using. :thbup:
I'm having to make everything numerical. Luckily the scraper has a unique ID for courses, jockeys, horses, owners etc., so the only converting I need to to is things like Going (assign each type of Going a static number so the model knows it's a variable).
Is this Mellcorp/Bazbot version 3? :drool:
Masters
Hideki 19/1
Zalatoris 40/1
C.Young 50/1
I'm liking Zalatoris for a top 5.
I get Cameron young and smith mixed up so backed them both EW with Delta Work and Coko Beach respectively in the National.
Also backed the fav in both on the nose with another pony at aintree. Plus all these at a couple quid:
Eckroat 200/1 £3ew
Si Woo Kim 67/1 £5 ew
Nick Taylor 200/1 £3 ew
Bhatia 90/1 £3 ew
Denny McCarthy 200/1 £2 ew
Hojgaard 200/1 £5 ew
Lampracht 500/1 £2 ew
Go into your "rpscrape" folder and in there somewhere there's a settings.toml file - change jockey to false and jockey_id to true, then the scraper will get you the unique ID instead of their name.
Ah, nice. Cheers.
Still doing chase only.
13:45 Aintree
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A two horse race apparently. #3 is 4/1 and #4 is 11/10F so both technically within range to bet on as they're splitting hairs. I'm on #3.
14:55 Aintree
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#6 is the favourite here (Shishkin) which is my own pick for this race anyway. I got 3/1 this morning. #2 currently at 10/1, great value there so I'm on that too.
16:05 Aintree
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22 runners whittled down to half a dozen. #3 currently 40/1 and Bet365 paying 5 places.
16:40 Aintree
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#9 at 6/1 is my bet here.
I’ve got a fiver on Grey Dawning, Sir Gino, Shishkin, Bob Olinger & It’s on the Line
EW Yankee on Annamix, Unexpected Party, Ahoy Senor, Langer Dan & Honkey Tonk Highway ( fancying the Skelton’s a bit too much apparently)
A test run on the hurdles.
14:20 Aintree
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Pretty much reflecting the bookies market.
Has number 1 only got three legs?
Last one for today.
15:30 Aintree
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Not sure why it rates #6 so much (14/1) but I'm on it. Hurts to go against Langer Dan after Cheltenham.
Someone needs to blow Willie Mullins’ yard up. getting boring now.
26 out of 34 runners in the National are Irish. :harold:
The size of these fields. :sick:
Thought Ahoy Senor had that
These first few races seem very slow for just "Soft" ground.
Indeed the GoingStick has it the same as the National course which is officially Heavy.
What a finish. :cool:
That was a mad race.
Yeah, that was special. Would be tops off if Ahoy Senor and Langer Dan got up on the line. EW will still pay I guess
Nice little preview for the National that. Engine trumps everything.
:moop:
Back in the office today so not got my laptop with me. Turned out alright yesterday in the end. 2 wins (including a forecast) and 2 EW.
Going solo on today's. 13:45 Aintree #2 and #5 reverse forecast paying about 12/1.
@Boydy how you getting on with yours?
Haven't had time to actually grab the data without text yet and have a look at it.
I was reading this yesterday: https://medium.com/@chyun55555/data-...n-98437e8d93cb
I was wondering about this bit:
Do you think that numbers for the ids of the horses, jockeys, trainers etc is kinda wrong then? The ids aren't ranking them but the algorithm is probably gonna consider larger numbers more important?Quote:
However, label encoding must be used only in appropriate cases. For example, using label encoding in regression models could result in critical errors because regression models will identify 2 as a larger value than 1. This means that regression models will identify grape(2) to be more important than banana(1), which definitely is not true because fruits are not ordinal data in this case.
I don't think so. I'm using a decision tree model rather than a linear one, so it wouldn't consider a higher ID more important than a lower one. My understanding of decision tree so far is that the decision trees will identify trends in the data for that ID (ie. this jockey_ID usually goes a bit faster than average at this course_ID).
I might be wrong because I still don't completely understand how it works, but I've found a few different githubs exploring various things using the same models and they are appearing to be using unique IDs in this same way.
I suppose a way to confirm it is to use GridSearchCV on your data to assess whether the unique IDs are having a negative effect (if at all). I might try this tonight.
EDIT: Just read a bit more. At worst the IDs will be useless to the model (but certainly not detrimental). But if the machine learns a trend between the ID and another input then it will use it, otherwise it is essentially ignored. So something like course_ID will certainly be useful to the model (because course trends are definitely a thing).
£20 on the McManus treble today.
Feel dirty for backing Jonbon
Dem Irish roids again.
Shame we didn't get the forecast but a win is a win. 6/4 looked a decent price after watching him fly in the last furlong.
Jango Baie flying there, would have probably won if not for that interference.
The Nicholls yard seems spot on atm. Pic D'Orhy, Kandoo Kid, Afadil E/W treble.
I have no idea why I backed Jonbon in this dirty treble as I fancy Pic D’ohry as well. This 2nd place finish is gonna be fun
Oh Jonbon baby
Tempted to whack it all on Corach to bring it home
FAVs galore.
It’s taken me far too long to realise it’s the way forward. These long shot Yankee’s are utterly pointless.
Trixie on Harry’s two favs in the next couple races and Zeeband in the last
Lovely drift on him as well like last year
Yep I'm all over it at 7/1. The Model agrees.
Funny you should say that, I've stuck a few quid on it too. Model fancies it a bit. I'll post up all the times shortly.
Code:num name pred min max WIN%
1 Noble Yeats 553.2005611 550.9610426 555.4491827 19.83%
2 Nassalam 556.965241 554.710482 559.2291651 0.00%
3 Coko Beach 555.9924704 553.7416494 558.2524404 0.54%
4 Capodanno 556.3125482 554.0604314 558.5738192 0.00%
5 I Am Maximus 555.2836849 553.0357333 557.5407738 5.44%
6 Minella Indo 564.162835 561.878938 566.4560155 0.00%
7 Corach Rambler 551.5773376 549.3443904 553.8193612 31.04%
8 Janidil 554.7460366 552.5002615 557.0009401 9.15%
9 Stattler 563.1266543 560.846952 565.4156229 0.00%
10 Mahler Mission 555.950639 553.6999873 558.2104389 0.83%
11 Delta Work 557.9633524 555.7045527 560.2313335 0.00%
12 Foxy Jacks 557.8414555 555.5831493 560.1089412 0.00%
13 Galvin 557.8162962 555.5580918 560.0836796 0.00%
14 Farouk D'Alene 565.5759083 563.2862908 567.8748326 0.00%
15 Eldorado Allen 556.4142034 554.1616751 558.6758877 0.00%
16 Ain't That A Shame 557.432053 555.1754041 559.6978745 0.00%
17 Vanillier 556.0602951 553.8091996 558.3205408 0.07%
18 Mr Incredible 556.066479 553.8153584 558.3267498 0.03%
19 Run Wild Fred 555.9159072 553.6653961 558.175566 1.07%
20 Latenightpass 557.557236 555.3000804 559.8235663 0.00%
21 Minella Crooner 557.259587 555.0036364 559.5247075 0.00%
22 Adamantly Chosen 555.0748866 552.8277803 557.3311268 6.88%
23 Mac Tottie 560.6568361 558.3871324 562.9357656 0.00%
24 Chemical Energy 557.6202132 555.3628027 559.8867996 0.00%
25 Limerick Lace 554.9643753 552.7177163 557.2201663 7.64%
26 Meetingofthewaters 555.7029279 553.4532791 557.961721 2.54%
27 The Goffer 555.882062 553.631688 558.1415832 1.30%
28 Roi Mage 555.2125269 552.9648633 557.4693266 5.93%
29 Glengouly 556.1774076 553.9258379 558.4381293 0.00%
30 Galia Des Liteaux 555.4376072 553.1890325 557.6953218 4.37%
31 Panda Boy 565.1879634 562.8999164 567.4853108 0.00%
32 Eklat De Dire 560.8592319 558.5887088 563.1389841 0.00%
33 Chambard 555.7844225 553.5344437 558.0435468 1.98%
34 Kitty's Light 555.871356 553.6210253 558.1308337 1.38%
McManus' horses being absoutley hammered in the market.
Sholing are playing Walton today.
Walton sacked there manager midweek and core players have all gone with him
3 of the back 4 and the GK have left
Sholing need the points as well
21/10
Stick it in a double with Farnborough who are playing Taunton.
Taunton playing their 7th game in 15 days.
Double is just over 2/1 with Denise. Free money? :henn0rz:
Also one for @Giggles while I’m sharing dodgy info from my group :baz:
In the Nicky Rackard Hurling I’ve backed Kildare to cover the -14 vs Sligo.
Kildare 2 divisions above Sligo in the league and have been impressive. Huge gulf in class here.
Reckon they’ll win 20+
Kildare -14 10/11 (Boyles,Powers)
Starts at 1pm
Corach, west balboa, brighterdaysahead & Found a Fifty in doubles and trebles.
Bottled sticking 200 on Corach and settled for £50 at 8s
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Just hit 1000/1 on a 10p scratch card from Paddy Power’s 1 free spin a day thing :lol:
Not a chance Corach is winning now with that luck
Lump it on. McManus' luck has to turn some time.
Brighter days ahead is an absolute weapon. How did they get that best at Cheltenham
Glad I didn't bother with that race. Cheltenham spooked me so didn't fancy it at 11/10. Silly me.
Cruz Control :cool:
Led start to finish. Thought it was getting caught a few times but great ride from Sheppard.
I've gone all in on Mahler Misson 16/1.
:sick:
Jockey just jumped off the cunt.
Wife turns to me 5 seconds before the race is off and says 'I've got I Am Maximus in the work sweep, can you put me £5 EW on it?' :moop:
Well, that went well.
Mon found a fifty
Absoutley romped home. Future Gold Cup winner for sure.
Whilst I've still plenty of tweaking to do on the chase/hurdle models to improve them, I've decided to have a look into flats because I've already got the data scraped.
Turns out flats might be a lot more accurate in a predictor (which makes sense as the distance is shorter, less non-finishers, draw bias etc.). My chase model is topping out at around 0.9955 accuracy with 25 years of data so I'd have to start adding in manually calculated indicators to improve it further (eg. previous class wins, days since last run, jockey form/quality) and then it gets really time consuming. I put in one year's data for flats with the same inputs as chase (plus stall draw) and it's straight to 0.9990 on first test. That could go up a bit more, or fall slightly, as I add in the other 24 years data I've got but it's a promising start. Retrospectively applied it to yesterday's meeting at Yarmouth (no flat meetings today) and got 3 out of 8 winners which is pretty decent considering no favourites won.
I need to get better at Python though because this is so time consuming. Although I'd otherwise be wasting said time on something that would definitely not be profitable in future years, instead of probably not profitable, and I'm having fun either way.
Milan, Lille & Fenerbahce to qualify 15/1.
Scottish National card at Ayr tomorrow. My two big fancies are Favour And Fortune in the Champion Hurdle & A Penny A Hundred in the Mares. 25/1 for the double.
As for the National itself Git Maker 7/1 looks the one to beat. Only 1 pound higher in the handicap after finishing second in the Kim Muir. The winner that day (Inothewayourthinkin) has since gone on to win a G1. Could potentially hack up. Mr Vango looks the best of the rest.
Go on then, £10 trixie. Choo choo..
Harry Derham double at Bangor. :yn:
Mr Vango for the Scottish National 12/1. Also Elvis Mail has drifted from 12/1 to 40/1 so unless something is going on in the stable, that looks way, way overpriced now.
Persian Time in the first race at 6/1.
Is it soft ground or something? Vangos a mud monster
Surprising how little coverage this has had. Don’t think it’s even been mentioned by the Racing Post.
Look forward to the documentary about it in 30 years.
Such a corrupt 'business'.
Of course Racing Post won't acknowledge it, because it'll confirm what everyone already knows about Irish racing. I think it's very low risk that it would blow up mainstream, but it's not worth the chance.
Everton & Sheffield United double 63/1
Baz :cool:
What's the cash out?
I only put £2 on lol so it’s £7.75
Returns £127.50 later though :(
Gone in big on Bournemouth though so I’m flicking between the two
As long as that useless cunt is upfront for us I wouldn’t worry about the Everton leg of it.
Zander Lombard 55/1 - ISPS Handa
Ukraine 12s e/w for Eurovision is certainly too big.
Shishkin’s dead :|
Seen that. Not a great year for Hendo.
Karma for not running Conny Hill more often IMO
Jesus. :|
What an awful year Henderson has had.
Did anyone watch that race at Punchestown?
A loose horse came from out of nowhere and decided to charge and spear the jockey off of the 2nd fav :D
Yeah I’ve been watching it. The usual Irish shenanigans. :D
This is pretty spot on for the state of play for Eurovision at the moment. Fuck knows. Hope someone copped the Ukraine 12s last week!
So it's not coming home then?
Boycott it, you fucking fassyholes.
Are Israel still in it? I assume, if they are, that they have to qualify, so will probably avoid the ignominy of getting nul points in the final by suffering the less embarrassing fate of achieving the same in a semi nobody watches.
Early guess at left side of the board, with ranges of potential finishes
Ukraine: 1-3
Italy: 1-5
Croatia: 1-6
Switzerland: 1-5
Netherlands: 2-8
France: 3-11
Israel: 3-11
Greece: 4-11
Ireland: 5-16
Norway: 6-15
Sweden: 6-12
UK: 6-16
Belgium: 7-15
Lithuania: 7-20
In to 33/1 now.
I had a fucking 26/1 shot win yesterday but it was in a mad accumulator that a bunch of favourites couldn't even manage places in so it was all for nothing.
How's your ML going on the flat races @Ben?
Hgranca De Thaix
Its On The Line
Ballyburn
50/1 treble
Wouldn’t be backing any of Townend’s short price favs after this week so far. At it
I think I'm slowly getting there. I still can't convert the JSON file for today's cards to a CSV for easy input but the accuracy is really good. Problem is, a top flat horse usually only wins 2 or 3 of their last 6 so the model could predict it within a half second and it might still not win. I manually inputted the racecards for Ascot this week and only come out with a couple of bets worth bothering with (11/2 win and 11/1 place), so a good strike rate but that was about three hours work because to get the model even more accurate I've created custom variables (jockey form, won previously in these conditions and class etc.) which takes a lot of clicking around on Racing Post to get the info.
If I could crack the JSON thing then it would allow me to run a full day's worth of races in a couple of minutes.
Offft, Itsontheline wins it on the line.
Cash out must be tasty @Manc
Through the roof. I've jumped ship. :drool:
I would. Either that or lumping a quarter of whatever the cash out is on it not winning at 7/2. Jockey has been a disgrace. Got to be at it.
Which doesn’t really make sense as you’d think he’d want to win on a few of them to get the jockey championship. Looks like Jack Kennedy should be fine now even with his ban in place tomorrow
https://eurovoxpop.uk/2024/05/06/eur...sals-forecast/
Some superb stuff on the Israel televote here that's encouraged me to get them green on Betfair. It doesn't take a huge contingent to swing the televote (see: UK giving Lithuania at least 8 points every year).
Though you can probably wait until after the jury votes have been announced and get them at 200/1 or something.
What betting sites are people predominantly using atm? I've always been a skybet man due to the price boosts specifically for the GGs, but the golf prices simply aren't competitive. I'm considering boylesports who offer decent value for eight places.
I've been kicked out of betfair, so I use Skybet only, mainly because they put their markets up on time. If there's a good one I'd be interested in hearing but mostly it's a cartel I would assume.
You should have an account with all of them, and use whoever has the best price/terms for the thing you want to bet on, of course.
James is correct but I always default to Bet365 because I hate having a load of apps on my phone so I only have that one.
As with Jim, I've been turfed from Betfair.
I used to have the oddschecker app logged into every bookie you could name and place bets through that, but nowadays they’re all limited so I use [my mums] skybet almost exclusively as I’ve a second phone with bet365 on, but it’s usually too much fuss to bother with.
When I was betting a lot, my accounts were restricted so my mum made some accounts in her name. I had a second phone (I’d love to say it was my old one but I bought I specifically for gambling on. Even has a Bet365 case :baz: )for the bet365 one to avoid it being linked to my restricted account. I previously bought bet365 accounts and used them on my phone but they ended up getting restricted too. Skybet don’t seem so bothered so I use that on my usual phone and never had a problem.
My Betfair one wasn't even that heavy in terms of profits. I guess I just bet on the wrong stuff in their opinion.
You should have an account with every single bookie that offer sign up bonuses.
I normally use paddy power as their withdrawals are in your bank within 10 seconds. They’ve banned most of them in my relatives names but my mums and sisters is still going strong (with the same bank details. No idea how)
I never knew quite what happened with my Betfair, one day I just couldn't log in having been 'permanently excluded', maybe it was that time I successfully matched £100 on Vladimir Putin to win the Russian election at 1.18.
I suppose but I was way in.
Got to a point where I was weighing up between £25 and £50 a point, which would be more profitable in the long term. Went for £25 and got restricted really quick so in a blaze of fury upped to £100 and went down swinging. Was an exciting few days. :drool:
I’d say I miss betting so frequently but as much as the money was lovely, the discipline to dedicate chunks of your day to getting prices and placing bets was a pain. Once I got to a point where a big winner was ‘okay that tops the balance up’ rather than WOOOO GO ON HORSE I knew it was time to become more casual. Plus my tipster stopped being good. :stamford:
TTH should run a tipping service. Jim & Ben can cover the golf. Me & Waff the horses. Ones to avoid with Don. Eastern flavours provided by JA.
Can I take booking accas?
I'd have to stick to fixed matches, my recent record on non-fixed games is pretty hit & miss.
Rodrygo to be carded 7/1
He’s got a message on his undershirt so surely if he scores, his shirts getting whipped off
McIlroy
Berger
Stricker
844/1
Dahmen 80/1 is my e/w punt.
13:30 Chester - Master Zoffany 20/1
Israr looks good in the next at Chester but I going with Oviedo at 14/1 (2 places). Very good record last season and could have improved further.
Jim Crowley having a stinking couple of weeks. :D
Chester Cup a toss up between Aztec Empire and Forza Orta for me. Gone with Aztec Empire (4/1) as Oisin Murphy is going well today. I was looking at Zealandia for a place but Jim Crowley.
Hard to look past the top two in the market at Valhalla so I've opted for value.
Alex Noren 100/1
Keith Mitchell 100/1
10 places e/w for the pair.
Ryan Fox FRL 125/1
Horses. Fahey’s 2 year olds coming up trumps so far so had a 11/1 win only bet on Loom (16:45 York).
Also been told Andesite in the same race, but I’m sticking with Loom. :yn:
As ever there's no value at the PGA (other than Mito Pereira in 2022, RIP both him and me).
Maybe McIlroy is value, historically plays well during marital breakups.
27/1 EW double:
Maw Lam (Thirsk 14:00)
Blessed Honour (Newmarket 15:50)
Decent shout, cheers.
Second one came very close. Annoying.
We don’t need subscriptions. We’re all friends here.
I meant for the outsiders
Shane Lowry winning this before Rory would be brilliant.
£5 Norris/Verstappen//Piastri tricast at 33
Lando winner @ 4.33
Lando winner W/O Max @ 3.25
Piastri podium finish @ 2.25
Edit: That winner without Max is outright over the season whoops. I wondered why it was so high.
Brendon Todd 100/1 - Charles Schwab
14:15 Redcar
Coppull Hall Lane
Into 6/1 from 14/1 this morning.
:checkit:
Anyone got any Euros bets yet?
Mbappe OR Kane top scorer 3/1
A 9-fold favourites accumulator for a load of early games 22/1
KDB AND Bruno Fernandes 3+ assists each 7/1
60/1 accumulator on the following group stage finishes:
Spain 1st, Albania last
England 1st, Slovenia last
Belgium 1st, Slovakia last
Portugal 1st, Georgia last
Plus following three singles at bizarre (small) odds cos I used Kwiff:
Portugal to win group F
Belgium to win group E
England to win group C
Will probably have some card bets on the England games if I watch them in the pub.
17:25 Kempton
Miss El Fundi
BetVictor let you double the player of the tournament and young player of the tournament.
Do I play it safe with like wirtz and Mbappe for 35/1 or doku and muani for 866/1 :D
Musiala/Griezmann
Memorial - 10 places EW
Lucas Glover 70/1
Chris Kirk 100/1
On Bruno Fernandes to score 1, 2 and 3 goals. Returns £36, £85 and £1005 respectively. Let’s hope for a few pens.
Win double 28/1
7.20 Hamilton
Angel of England 5/2
9.00 Hamilton
Vitrina 7/1
Edit: the first was one of the worst I’ve ever backed.
US Open
Fleetwood 35/1
Fitzpatrick 40/1
Apparently any players approaching the referee at the euros who is not the captain will be booked.
Bookings galore one would hope
I am hoping the Kai Havertz booked and scored 10/1 train rolls on this summer.
Euro 2024 Winner - Ukraine 100/1
Golden Boot - Sabitzer 250/1
Millions made if Ukraine reach the final and/or Sabitzer ties 5th or greater in the scoring charts.
14.40 Sandown Windlord 11/1
Still working away on my predictor as I'm enjoying messing with Python a lot recently.
I've given up on flats at the moment because even though it's incredibly accurate at nailing each horse's run time, the margins are so fine that it doesn't necessarily translate well to finishing order.
Having more success on chase (not really attacked hurdles yet) because the spread is a lot wider. Unfortunately the accuracy goes down as the class of the race gets worse (due to lack of established trends in all runners, plus the inherent unpredictability of the horses at that level). So for now I'm sticking to Class 1 and 2 and unless I have a breakthrough I think that'll be that. A back test on Cheltenham 2024 was very good.
When the horses are declared for next Saturday at Royal Ascot, please may I have your predicted winner in each race? Just for the Saturday.
I’ve a shortlist of horses who may or may not be running that I fancy, but you seem to be having some success and I’m giving someone betting slips in a card on Friday. :youpi:
Will do.
Flats aren't that much better than just studying yourself, although I did have a few winners at Epsom.
US Open
Bhatia 40/1
Bezuidenhout 175/1
Germany to win Euro 2024
Fulkrug Golden Boot
Wirtz Young Player of the Tournament
I'll also be getting on card accas for the tournament.
Fullkrug won’t even start will he?
ffs :face:
11 goals in 16 games for Germany and Kai Havertz is keeping him out.
As a polish man, why do you love Germany so much
McTominay 1 or more Shots on target, commit 2 or more fouls, fouled 2 or more times and to score or get an assist.
McSauce heroics please.
Card accas:
Porteous/Mittelstadt/Musiala
Robertson/Kroos/Havertz
Porteous/Hendry
McGinn/McTominay/Andrich.
Also Ruidger and McGinn to commit 2 or more fouls each.
More German goals please.
Free £1 bet every goal they score in the groups.
Fist the Scottish.
They'll void it for you if he gets another tonight.
Boo. I don’t get offers with Betfair or paddy power and they seem to have the best of that kind of promotion. :thbdn:
And yeah, looks a good bet. I’m hoping Gonçalo Ramos has a similar impact off the bench for Portugal.
Fiola/Szalai/Xhaka
Frueler/Kerkez
Schar/Schafer.
Card bets for this game.
Couple of Hungary bookings and corners would be lovely
Brozovic/Kovacic/Rodri
Carvaja/Pongrcic/Cucurella
Le Normand/Gvardiol.
Mon the cards.
Ramadani/Ajeti/Barella
Mario Mitaj/Di Lorenzo
Pellegrini/Hysaj/Djimisti
Ramadani/Buongiorno.
Ramanczuk/Bednarek
Frankowski/Zalewski
Dumfries/Schouten
Simons/Zalewski/Reijnders.
Have any of your card bets come in yet?
Think he’s had 1 person get booked
It's been more, had a couple of close misses.
Card accas are always like this. It's not like I'm putting £10 on each, it's 50p and if one goes in it's big profit.
Very hit and miss but I like that personally. It's always turbulent because you get a shit ref and there's no cards.
Bijol/Stojanovic/Hojbjerg
Janza/Cerin/Hjulmand
Karnicinik/Drkusic/Andersen
Hojlund & Wind 2 or more SOTs each
Hojlund AGS.
No judgement from me, was just wondering. I’ve bet on skiing and fishing in my lifetime, I wish you prosperous returns.
We've all got our betting kinks.
Free bet builder on paddy for England game so you’ll be able to get even more in
We go again.
Lukic/Zivkovic/Kostic
Gudelj/SMS/Bellingham
Pavlovic/Milenkovic/Rice.
Also Kane and Bellingham to get fouled at least once each @ evens. Max stake of £10 on Betfair.