How does 12 years of Democrats in the White House make you feel, mert? Because it's going to happen.
How does 12 years of Democrats in the White House make you feel, mert? Because it's going to happen.
Not to pile in, Mert, but if I was you I'd be putting my eggs in the Pence 2020 basket.
I mean, the silver lining of a potential Trump victory is how short-lived it will be when the IRS bum-rush him. Leaving Pence to be sworn in.
A somewhat effective attack ad, I would suggest.
http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/...m_source=atltw
This is quite good. The only two times they've previously endorsed a candidate were Lincoln in 1860 and LBJ in 1964.
Kaine: 'Trump said Putin was a better leader'Quote:
Originally Posted by GS
What Trump actually said: 'Putin is a STRONGER leader'
Kaine: 'Trump didn't know that Russia had invaded Ukraine'
What Trump actually said: '[Putin] will not go into Ukraine' in reference to the remaining area that makes up Ukraine
Kaine: 'Donald Trump is going to have a deportation force which goes door to door'
What Trump actually said: We are going to have a deportation force'- nothing about going door to door and such a force already already exists under Obama, it's called ICE.
Etc...
I'm legitimately curious, do these distinctions make a difference to you? Or do you not view the characterizations made in that video as deliberately misleading? I feel like there are plenty of reasons to dislike Trump without being dishonest about what he's said / meant.
Lol why would I bet 1/1 when you could literally take those odds, put it $25 on Trump and Hillary, and make money both ways?Quote:
Originally Posted by Byron
How will it feel when the entire Establishment and globalist status quo is upended by a true outsider?Quote:
Originally Posted by 7om
As much as it would be immature to make chicken noises it is properly lol that for the months of bluster about Trump winning, you are backing out of a simple bet.Quote:
Originally Posted by Mert
Basically, I'm lolling at the bottle job from you (or in your words, beta behaviour)
Either take the bet or don't, I'm not desperate for the money but the lolling and multi quoting on election night will be superb. Considering you've said the media is wrong and Trump's supporters don't pay attention to the media, you've backed yourself into a corner you'll only get out if Trump wins, which is looking increasingly unlikely.
The trend in this election that's got me curious is that at some point, North Carolina slipped to being bluer than Ohio. Given that before 2008, the Democratic Party hadn't won it since 1976, it's an interesting trend worth keeping an eye on in future elections.
The issue for Trump is that, even in his best scenarios, he has to win one of Colorado, New Hampshire, or Pennsylvania. While they're not dead certs, he's got a lot of catching up to do in all three states. It's interesting trying to figure out what his best "path to victory" is likely to be.
On numbers alone, his best option is probably running through:
Iowa (51.6%)
Ohio (46.9%)
North Carolina (40.8%)
Florida (36.5%)
Nevada (36.5%)
Colorado (21.6%)
If he fails to get Colorado but flips New Hampshire (23.2%, but I reckon that's it's actually more likely than Colorado, given NH's more contrarian tendencies), he'll want to be absolutely certain of getting one of the Maine or all of the Nebraska special districts (60.3% and 55% respectively, but I'd guess that there's more statistical noise there because it's a one-district sample), otherwise it's an electoral college tie.
Why would I just choose to give you free money you idiot.Quote:
Originally Posted by Byron
But it's not free money is it? Taking your posts over the last few months then this bet represents free money for you right? Because Trump is definitely and absolutely going to win.
Unless.....
He knows, man. He knows. 4chan can't save him.
Serious collapse from Mert. It's almost as if he doesn't believe his own bluster.
Good job Mert isn't a professional gambler.
Oh I know, but I want to see him admit it.Quote:
Originally Posted by Shindig
On the Veterans PTSD thing, Biden killed it.
"I don't think he was trying to be mean, he's just so thoroughly, completely uninformed."
which could sum up a huge amount of this campaign.
Mert collapsing like a hot air balloon hit by a flamethrower.
Trump's going to get a polling rebound after the second debate, where to improve his standing all he has to do is not urinate himself publicly.
I reckon he's going to flip out in the final debate though. Could play either way of course, but he'll do and say anything that pops into his head.
Are you guys actually retarded or do you not understand how math works?
Read the entire quote. Just another non-gaffe invented by the media that nobody is offended by, even McCain had Trumps back on this one.Quote:
Originally Posted by phonics
Poor ol' Lyin' Ted. I'd feel sorry for him if he wasn't such an almighty thundercunt :drool:
I imagined Mert to be more of the take the bet and then 'lol I wasn't serious I won't pay' kind rather than the shit his pants kind. Odd.
Current odds for Trump is +250. If I bet Byron $50 that Trump wins at 1:1, and Byron keeps $25 and bets $25 on Trump winning that means that...Quote:
Originally Posted by Pepe
Trump wins: Byron makes $12.50 / Mert makes $50 (where he could have made $125)
Hillary wins: Byron makes $75 / Mert loses $50
Why would any sane individual take that bet? I am happy to lay down however much money you want, but you need to give me real odds.
It's a 'friendly' bet you unbalanced wank.
But he's on €180k p/a.Quote:
Originally Posted by Pepe
It's almost as if he doesn't want to admit that his bluster over the last few months is absolute bollocks.Quote:
Originally Posted by Lewis
:D This kidQuote:
Originally Posted by Mert
Do both then you big fanny.Quote:
Originally Posted by Mert
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mert
The fact you don't understand how bets between mates work doesn't surprise me. Bottle job this.
Isn't gambling illegal in murica?
They play for matchsticks in Vegas I've heard.
Mert, do you have any friends? Proper friends, not frat bros.
Indian burial ground.Quote:
Originally Posted by Disco
I'm sure you're a fun person with lots of friends too. Can't imagine the kind of good times you enjoy having!Quote:
Originally Posted by Pepe
Pepe's part of a Mexican rapist biker gang. They do misty flips over The Wall and high five each other while the Spanish translation of Top Gun plays in the background.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jCfZq4F2a_IQuote:
Originally Posted by phonics
That actually exists.
What is wrong with you?Quote:
Originally Posted by mokbull
What he said.Quote:
Originally Posted by phonics
Frat bros are sensitive.Quote:
Originally Posted by Pepe
The best part is, 5)343's nothing wrong with me, I'm optimized in most ways. You, you shit on everything because you can't handle it. Be a man
How old are you?
Take a guess, hit me with a confidence interval
Mokbull donning proceedings :cool:
I don't really care, just wondering how much to lol at 'be a man'
As much as comes naturally, I guess.
Mokky is as far away from the definition of 'man' as Baz is.
Time to suck your wife's bitch dick magic om nom nom there it goesss
Mok continues to cane it
http://www.reactiongifs.us/wp-conten...e_simpsons.gif
Apologies for going off-topic, but I've only just discovered that Pence doesn't believe in evolution.
Potential VP of the US.....
The Vice President doesn't have to evolve things. Or indeed do things, so far as I can tell after 8 series of The West Wing. Besides, The Donald is the healthiest man ever to run for President, so there's no chance of him needing to step up.