Because mert.
Because mert.
Trump stands by his campaign manager through an assault (clearly not but whatever) case and then fires him on a Monday morning when there's nothing else going on in the news :cab:
By the way, during times like these, nothing cheers me up more than checking out the replies to his tweets. It's an incredible ocean of 100% pure, oaken brown, dog shit.
So, a Brit tried to assassinate Trump? What the fuck?
http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-36582770
We gunna pretend like the Left didn't cultivate a climate of hatred / violence / hysteria, because I sure as hell know if the tables were turned that's exactly the rhetoric the mainstream media would employ to somehow shift the blame on Trump.Quote:
Originally Posted by Bernanke
Oh and he was an illegal immigrant.
Clocked a class of students earlier researching The Donald. In amongst people searching on his business background and political views was one lad asking Google 'Is Donald Trump dating his daughter'.
Quality.
God Emperor up 4 (43-39), highest polling numbers since October:
http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public...te_house_watch
Interesting article about Trump's press manager, a 27-year-old model fittingly named Hope Hicks.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/26/st...rump.html?_r=0
It's amusing how Mert keeps crowing about the Rasmussen Reports poll results, while ignoring every other poll in the country showing Trump down 2-8 points.
I assume that solely listing Rasmussen polls is basically fishing for responses.
How did those 'objective non-partisan' pollsters do in predicting the Brexit results? Hmm?Quote:
Originally Posted by elth
Some of them did reasonably well.
So you point out a poll that helps your argument and then when faced with polls that don't agree with your view you then state that polls can't be trusted.Quote:
Originally Posted by Mert
Lol.
No. I don't trust polls by establishment / center-left sources, the same polls that were shockingly inaccurate in predicting the Brexit results. They have their own agendas to promote and skew their data sets accordingly. See ABC News/Washington Post poll results for more information.Quote:
Originally Posted by Byron
Were any polls actually shockingly inaccurate as regards the referendum? Other than the secret ones the City and the bookies had access to. Wasn't the prevailing view that it was going to be margin of error tight?
Populus had an absolute mare, but the online crew did pretty given it was a one-off event with no precedents. YouGov were solidly around the correct mark throughout the campaign.
This is exactly what you said before the last election. The one where the polls (aside, notably, from Rasmussen) largely got it right.Quote:
Originally Posted by Mert
You mean this election?Quote:
Originally Posted by ItalAussie
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...ard-democrats/
"The polls did have a strong bias this year — but it was toward Democrats and not against them."
I mean the one where you went into the election convinced that the polls were wrong, and then melted down, Karl Rove-style, on the night.
Surely it makes sense to listen to the polls and look to change the situation, rather than pulling a Romney and claiming that they were wrong. Like, it's no skin off my nose what you go in believing, but if you're putting all your eggs in the basket of the polling company well-known for being the least reliable, then there's a decent chance of a repeat. It's not like the fact that Hilary is dominating the polls at this point is even that big a deal - you don't get bonus points for winning early polls. There's only one that matters.
That said, if you want to bring in fivethirtyeight, their prognosis is not a strong one for Trump at this stage. :sorry:
What makes sense is to light all polls on fire.
Something something terrified!Quote:
Originally Posted by Pepe
Didn't John Kerry have very strong early poll ratings? Although I'm really not sure why.
Is this the same fivethirtyeight that said Trump would never win the nomination? There's a reason people don't trust experts, it's because they've lost all credibility.Quote:
Originally Posted by ItalAussie
Whilst I'm as up for a bit of pseudo-science (hello economics) bashing as the next man, this whole "what do experts know?" movement the world seems to be in the grip of does seem a bit on the cultural revolution/Pol Pot side of things.
Without wanting to assimilate too strongly into the metropolitan bourgeoisie, the man on the Clapham omnibus maybe good for a reasonable man test, but that doesn't mean he's not a fucking idiot.
The one you just posted to back up your point, but are now discrediting entirely because it speaks against another of your points.Quote:
Originally Posted by Mert
The man on the Clapham omnibus is probably a management consultant who works in the City these days.
Is Mert trashing his own sources? Guys, we don't even need to be here.
Aye, so he probably can't even fulfill the common sense requirement anymore.Quote:
Originally Posted by Boydy
The man on the Clacton omnibus.
Eh? An article reflecting retrospectively on the failure of pollsters (really all they've done is compiled existing data) does not add credibility to their own pollings / predictions going into me future. Especially given their track record with Donald Trump.Quote:
Originally Posted by John
They're either credible or they're not. You can't say they're credible when they're agreeing with you and then dismiss them when they aren't. That's just a slightly inbred cousin of confirmation bias.Quote:
Originally Posted by Mert
It's like trusting CNN for news / facts but not trusting the editorials in their opinion section. Cmon now.Quote:
Originally Posted by John
FBI won't press charges on Hillary.
Mert :wave:
I'm dissapointed but I can't say I'm surprised, welcome to Obamas partisan America where the Justice Department is only a tool to be wielded to repress conservatives.Quote:
Originally Posted by Spoonsky
Comey's statements directly demonstrate that Clinton lied to the public at least, so at least we'll have decent attack ad fodder.
Hillary lied to the public about important things, Trump invented and pretended to be a publicist so he could brag about all the bishes Donald Trump was fucking.
Comme ci, comme ça.
Honestly...I'm so upset Kasich didn't get the nomination, this was a fucking lay up of an election to win. He would have been a perfect moderate socially, fiscally center-right candidate that would have brought the country together and legitimized Republicans a little bit in the eyes of the Left.
The polarization right now is indescribable, it's like living in two separate countries who hate each other, forced to co-exist in one. If our generation wasn't a bunch of pussies, I wouldn't be surprised if a civil war broke out. I predict secessions within 25 years.
But God Emperor?
Provided they could prove they don't have Irish sympathies, I would be up for resettling Republicans in Scotland.
I would imagine Texas is big enough for them.
Mexas. Yeah right.
They could even build The Wall all around the state.
The elites won't let him win, the major media outlets pretty much run 24/7 anti-Trump propaganda and it is wearing down his supporters on the margin. And as much as I love him fighting and sticking it to the mainstream media he's too populist, I studied enough economics that I know protectionism doesn't work. Cutting taxes without cutting spending on entitlements doesn't work. Etc.Quote:
Originally Posted by John
I'm mostly just upset because I don't think traditional principled conservatives (the people and principles that made this country great) are a significant voting block in this country anymore. It's beginning of the end of American greatness happening in a slow motion train wreck, and most people are totally oblivious / more interested in letting trannys into YMCA locker rooms / watching the Kardashians act slutty on TV.
No joke I applied to a bunch of law firms in Texas in the off chance that they decide to succeede (also 10% more income because of no income tax).Quote:
Originally Posted by Pepe
I presume all the "Texit" jokes have already been made.
But yeah, nobody really believes in principled political positions. The Republicans spent so long courting the public with populist rhetoric that they didn't realise that their philosophical supporter base had eroded from the inside out. They're basically a reactionary populist party now, with some laissez-faire capitalists trying and failing to wrangle the runaway train. I will be interested to see where they go post-Trump.
Bernie will endorse Clinton tonight
The Bernster has played this incredibly well all things told.Quote:
Hillary Clinton's campaign is making it official: Former Democratic rival Bernie Sanders will join her at a New Hampshire event on Tuesday where he plans to endorse her.....Though Clinton effectively clinched the nomination more than a month ago, Sanders has been slow to formally endorse her fall bid against Republican presumptive nominee Donald Trump. He has instead maneuvered to win commitments from Clinton and the Democratic Party to incorporate portions of his agenda into theirs.This all makes sense. Though I've had my issues with Sanders, I said a few weeks ago: "In the end, the threat of Donald Trump will prevent Bernie and his followers from hating Hillary too long, but in the meantime there's no reason not to use every weapon in his arsenal to browbeat both Hillary and the Democratic Party into moving in the direction he wants them to go."
Last week, Clinton announced revamped policy on college tuition and healthcare that did just that. And at a meeting on the Democratic Party platform, Sanders successfully pushed for liberal positions on an array of issues, including the minimum wage and climate change.
And that's what he's done. He cooled it on the personal attacks, but used every bit of leverage he had to move both Hillary and the Democratic platform to the left. He didn't get everything he wanted, but unlike some of his more rabid supporters, he never expected to. He did lose the primary, after all.
Nonetheless, he got a helluva lot. He played his cards well, and in Hillary Clinton I think he had a fairly willing sparring partner. She didn't fight all that hard against his platform demands.
But yesterday the platform was finished, and Bernie is pretty happy with it. With that done, he's endorsing Hillary almost immediately. My guess is that it will be a fairly enthusiastic endorsement, too—and will get more enthusiastic as time passes and the wounds of the primary race fade away. In the end, I'm happy to see that Bernie has pretty much played things the way he should: he stopped the personal attacks, pushed the party to the left, and now he's diving in to the campaign against Donald Trump. Good work.
He seems to have got her to adopt his plan for college funding, and the $15 minimum wage. It'll only make it even more annoying when she pisses it all way whilst negotiating with the Republicans.
Quite. None of it matters unless the Democrats win congress. Even then, they'll have their own concerns far more than they do here.
Still, it's nice for him to get a platitude or two now he's finally chucked it.
r/s4p is amazing right now.
Quote:
[–] [score hidden] 6 minutes ago
What a lying piece of shit.
This whole time he lied to our faces.
At least with Clinton you knew that she was a fuck. Now we find out that Bernie was even worse- he was pretending to give a shit and now he's selling us all out.
What a complete fuck.
I'm done with this politics shit. Fuck this, let whatever happen in November happen. Who the fuck can ever trust anyone again after the 1 person who promised to actually give a shit about us just stabbed us int he back.
[–] [score hidden] a minute ago
Never did I imagine that I be witness to the creation of a new political hope, a party that truly represented the people, by a person who lived those morals and values their entire life. And never did I imagine that same person, so steadfast in their beliefs, get bought and sold to destroy that movement in an instant...
[–] [score hidden] 6 minutes ago
Bernie is now a fucking paid Hillary shill!
You have to assume those folks just became aware of the existence of a world around them within the past 12 months.
'Bernie', mate. 'Bernie'. This time it was different.
Until he betrayed us. The cunt.