This question from Paxman is absolutely shit again - what the fuck is she meant to do after the referendum result.
He's completely past it.
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This question from Paxman is absolutely shit again - what the fuck is she meant to do after the referendum result.
He's completely past it.
The crowd laughing at her was a bit good.
The best bit about this (she is pretty crap, though not as crap as the Brillo one) is that Twitter is starting to BELIEVE.
This has been a bit of a dry bumming for the last 5/10 minutes.
She's all over the place and he's not even going in that hard on her. Shambles
The big difference between May and Corbyn in this format is that the latter can afford to be wooly and promise the world knowing it's unlikely he'll have to deliver it. It's much more difficult for May to defend the status quo unless she pretends she's going to piss the economy up the wall for it.
This is good stuff on Brexit though.
The Brexit argument is easy for her - she can just repeat the lines about "will of the people", "fuck the EU" etc. and people like me will give her a standing ovation.
I reckon there literally won't be a single vote move in the entire country, in any direction, as a result of that programme.
I can't imagine viewing figures would be particularly high. It's just a case of minimising the risk, really.
The BBC cut Corbyn's time down to equivocating on the IRA and his refusal to say he'd take out a jihadi with a drone. :nodd:
If the question is security and / or Brexit in the closing days, then he's fucked. I do wonder what Jim Messina's targeted advertisements are focusing on in the marginals, mind you. It's alright driving vote share up in a small number of areas, but this sort of stealth targeting campaign is what destroyed the Lib Dems.
Read it somewhere else which I can't find now, but here's a(n admittedly not very big) study. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-35050075
PS I know that doesn't address your earlier point quite, but a Google didn't lead me anywhere really.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DA--lcPWAAAWls7.jpg
Youth turnout was down in 2015 from 2010.
It went up in 2010, but that's more likely to do with it being a tight election compared to 2005's Blairist victory parade.
Well the first significant problem crops up in the first ten words:
The rest of it basically says people who previously knew nothing about politics knew more about politics after watching the debates, which I'm sure is true but that would be equally true of any television programme on any subject. Whether it moves votes or has any impact on the result compared to a non-debate campaign (or a campaign without interview programmes such as tonight's) I am pretty sceptical, having followed 2010 and 2015 and the EU referendum.Quote:
We would like to thank ITV for funding this research
Sent my postal vote for labour away to today. Let the riots begin.
The only evidence anyone can point to that these set pieces have an impact on polling is Cleggmania. That the spike disappeared completely by election day suggests it had no measurable impact on actual voting.
Postal votes are bloody brilliant.
Okay, this is the first time I've heard of the Young People's Party but apparently they'd like to decriminalise foxhunting, controlled substances and brothels. Also their leaflet contains a "I'm not this namesake who is also a paedophile." disclaimer.
The Sun are being made to print a front page apology to Jeremy Corbyn. Cunts.
lol at Labour having their proposed land value tax (good idea) dubbed the 'Garden Tax'. Wankers.
I enjoyed last night. Corbyn came across relatively strong and stable, whilst May had more of an erratic badger aura. I see she's gone back to Maybot in her speech in Wolverhampton today. Need to get her on TV more. She's a liability and the lid may come off at some stage.
Yeah, that 2015 story seems to be doing the rounds on social media. That's where I'd seen it and assumed it was new.
I notice it's no longer 'Theresa May for President' but 'Theresa May & The Conservatives Present Strong And Stable' which sounds like the worlds shittest jam band.
It's the hope that's going to make the impending loss great.
The Tories are going big on the IRA links, so they clearly have evidence it's cutting through. YouGov had a poll that only one in five were aware of it.
There's a rather good article in the Spectator on the topic, which summarises it rather neatly.
She's quite reminiscent of Gordon Brown in many ways. Not quite as useless but also not as intelligent. Fortunately unlike Gordon she's up against some crank grandad and the remnants of the 1985 Oxford communist society.
Also, I've noticed the various UKIP/Arron Banks vehicles have started backing Labour hard in the last few days (UKIP even pulled out of a seat somewhere saying they were backing Labour). What is their game?
The theory goes that a Conservative landslide will allow them to get complacent on Brexit (probably because half of the new MPs will be fannies), and come up with a crap middle ground, whilst a narrow win will keep them worried about UKIP enough to Brexit properly.
ICM has 45/33. This is like the good old days of 2010 with Lee posting them all. No Lib Dem Tide to deal with this time though.
I've had some money on the majority falling between 125-149.
Increases to a fifteen point leave when undecideds are split on leadership. Crosby has this.
The smaller leads are apparently down to thinking eighty per cent of young people will vote so lol at that.
Michael Gove needs to be brought back into cabinet.
'Needs' is a stretch, but it would be good for entertainment purposes if you put him somewhere crap like DEFRA and he tried to reform trees.
Because it should be all hands on deck after the Maybot wins a bigger majority.
Jez sez 'Only Labour can be trusted to unlock the talent of Black, Asian and Minority Ethnic people, who have been held back by the Conservatives'.
The mother (the father is obviously absent) of all fake OUTRAGE storms coming in 5, 4, 3...
Another poll says that the gap has closed to six, motherfuckers.
Do you (try to) use "motherfuckers" in real life, Henners?
This Labour broadcast is bemoaning the decline of the coal industry.
It has closed to six assuming that the Communist Youth League turn out in numbers unheard of in British political history, which simply won't happen. Still, if it scares the core Tory vote into storming the polls ala 1992 then happy days.
Even then, it hardly matters if they're piling up votes in safe seats in Islington. They're still going to get annihilated in many marginals owing to vacuuming the 2015 UKIP vote. It'll probably wobble in advance, but a heavy campaigning line on Brexit in the closing days will see it home.