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Thread: U.S. Presidential Election 2016 (Sponsored by Betty Croker's Hamburger Helper)

  1. #1101
    Romulus Augustulus ItalAussie's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by elth View Post
    I don't really get the visceral hatred for Clinton. She's just a politician with a long history of doing politician things.
    The only way I can see the hatred is if you give credence to the Republican narrative over the past decade, which is about as unbiased as her autobiography would be.

  2. #1102
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    Husband and wife presidents is probably a bigger step in the wrong direction than sticking a maniac like Trump in charge. Not that he is a maniac, particularly, more a figure of fun. He's an American Boris, replacing intellect and wit with brash vulgarity and piles of money. In many ways, he's the most American thing since sliced Uncle Sam. Maybe not 'modern America' though, whatever that is. Whenever I see one of his supporters on the news they do come across a bit like the sort of deranged sex pests who support the pick-up artist industry and have a general chip on their shoulder about the non-subservient existence of women in the modern world - which I suppose would explain why women are wary of him, and Mert is such a fan.

  3. #1103
    DEATH TO THE WEIRD Raoul Duke's Avatar
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    I feel like a lot of the underlying Hillary hate is just basic venal misogyny which lurks under a lot of American society. As Elth says, she's no worse (really) than any other political asshat. Obama, Bernie and perhaps Bloomberg are the only ones in recent memory who would represent any real change from expected norms (and that basically only comes down to race and campaign finance source).

  4. #1104
    Senior Member Davgooner's Avatar
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    I wouldn't include Obama in that. He's knee-deep in corporate money and has been a fucking massive let down. Hilary's campaign and supporters have been crying sexism for months when faced with legitimate criticisms of her record and her policies. There's been a lot of whinging about the fact she's got so much grief about the way her campaign is funded when as you say, everyone's at it; she'd have a point if she was running against Biden or someone similar and was getting grief. Unfortunately she's running against the most liberal senator in the country so the contrast is plain for all to see.

    Don't forget the FBI (headed by a massive republican) are currently conducting an investigation into her. Has a presidential candidate ever been indicted during an election campaign?

  5. #1105
    Senior Member Davgooner's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Spoonsky View Post
    Clinton will continue Obama's policies and philosophy, Trump will be very dangerous to a lot of vulnerable people in this country.
    Depends whether you think the former is a good thing. Trump will probably see the Republicans lose both houses within two years and a progressive landslide in 2020.

  6. #1106
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    I saw Obama described the other day - by the Guardian's Sir Michael White, no less - as a 'class act, but second rate president'. I thought that summed him up quite well.

  7. #1107
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    'Hillary' combines vacuousness and arrogance in such a way that she makes Tony Blair look substantial. Still, we live in hope for that 'progressive landslide'.

  8. #1108
    Romulus Augustulus ItalAussie's Avatar
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    It's crazy to me that people would think Obama's done a bad job. Republicans yelling at him doesn't mean a damn thing. Any one of the nuclear deal with Iran, actually getting the healthcare through, and being in charge of the stabilizing economy would have cemented the legacy of any other President.

    http://www.forwardprogressives.com/4...esident-obama/

    And even if you don't think what he did was good, it's impossible to argue that he hasn't been incredibly consequential. Especially given the stone-walling he had to stare down.

    http://www.vox.com/2015/6/26/8849925...ory-presidents

  9. #1109
    Better Than You Henry's Avatar
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    He's the first president never to have had a growth rate exceeding 3 percent during any year he's been in office. You can chalk that down to circumstance and so forth, but his failure to make substantial reforms to the way the economy works is at least partly to blame.

  10. #1110
    Romulus Augustulus ItalAussie's Avatar
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    Let's not forget the state it was in when he took it over. He stabilised the ship.

    Again, individual influence, etc. But if you're going to blame him for one, you have to give him credit for the other. There are charts from the first article give a pretty decent picture of the situation he's left the economy in when compared to what it was when he got a hold of it:

    Toggle Spoiler


    Again, how much credit you give him for that is up to you. But it's pretty clear that he's leaving the economy in a dramatically stronger position than it was when he got given it.

  11. #1111
    Senior Member Pepe's Avatar
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    The 'she's just as shit as every other politician' defense has to be the lamest defense I've ever heard. Well, it's probably only behind the 'misogyny' one.

  12. #1112
    Senior Member mugbull's Avatar
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    Obama's been fantastic on so many issues. "Growth rate" is a generally pointless stat for non-third world countries these days, and in any case as president your job is to try and set market trends, rather than control the entire economy. Ours has been doing quite fine since he took office; the Fed Funds rate is almost negative, and there's no need for any structural reforms at the moment. Plus, he's very good at directing national discourse, for better or worse. And doing that Iran deal knowing full well that he'd get shafted by most American media and politicians afterwards was ballsy as fuck.

  13. #1113
    Senior Member Spoonsky's Avatar
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    I think Obama's achieved about as much as he could have within the system, and given the state of Congress. The criticisms that come in are that he hasn't changed the system well enough (hence Berniemania), and that he's betrayed the promise of 2008, both of which have some validity; but he's done pretty bloody well to achieve some of the things he has.

    I don't know if Obama's the best president of recent years (can you ever know until years later?), but he is certainly the smoothest. He's basically a god among liberals, leading to the odd situation where Hillary gets lambasted for wanting to continue his policies, yet nobody will criticize the man himself. I think it's partly that liberals love him for being the first black president just as much as conservatives hate him for it.

  14. #1114
    Senior Member elth's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pepe View Post
    The 'she's just as shit as every other politician' defense has to be the lamest defense I've ever heard. Well, it's probably only behind the 'misogyny' one.
    This basically reinforces my point - I admit I don't get it, and someone who obviously viscerally hates Clinton calls it a "lame defense" without any further elaboration. I literally have no idea what you think is the problem with her, and you think that's even an attempt to defend her?

    I'm not any closer to getting it because of whatever you think it is you're demonstrating with that comment.

  15. #1115
    Senior Member Pepe's Avatar
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    Viscerally hate her :*****)

  16. #1116
    Senior Member Davgooner's Avatar
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    Obama would always look good versus the shitstorm that went before him, but versus what he ran on and the HOPE of 2008 it's been shit. Started from the centre on almost every issue, implemented a Republican healthcare plan, and is capping it off with a horrible attempt at appealing to them with his SC pick. I give him credit for his new approach to foreign policy, but generally it's been turgid incremental progress still restrained by corporate interests, to which he's as tied as anyone else.

  17. #1117
    I used to be funny.
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    He was hamstrung a bit by a Republican House of Representatives or something, kinda, sorta, possibly.

  18. #1118
    Senior Member Bernanke's Avatar
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    Jake Tapper ‏@jaketapper 1m1 minute ago
    Breaking -- @SpeakerRyan tells @CNN he cannot endorse/support @realDonaldTrump right now --

    Ha! Apparently not since 1972 (George McGovern) has a prominent member of a party refused to support their presidential candidate...

  19. #1119
    Better Than You Henry's Avatar
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    LOL at the greatest war criminal of modern times refusing to endorse Trump.

  20. #1120
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Paul Ryan is the greatest war criminal of modern times?

  21. #1121
    More successful than most Magic's Avatar
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    Vladimir Putin is the Speaker of the House?

  22. #1122
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Bashar Al-Assad refuses to endorse Trump?

  23. #1123
    I used to be funny.
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    Donald Trump refuses to endorse Donald Trump?

  24. #1124
    Better Than You Henry's Avatar
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  25. #1125
    Senior Member GS's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Henry View Post
    He's the first president never to have had a growth rate exceeding 3 percent during any year he's been in office. You can chalk that down to circumstance and so forth, but his failure to make substantial reforms to the way the economy works is at least partly to blame.
    You've cited Obama's economic record as a positive, and questioned why the Conservatives haven't undertaken similar steps to him to achieve the same success. What is your actual view on this, other than suiting the point you want to make on the day?

    Quote Originally Posted by Spoonsky View Post
    I think Obama's achieved about as much as he could have within the system, and given the state of Congress. The criticisms that come in are that he hasn't changed the system well enough (hence Berniemania), and that he's betrayed the promise of 2008, both of which have some validity; but he's done pretty bloody well to achieve some of the things he has.

    I don't know if Obama's the best president of recent years (can you ever know until years later?), but he is certainly the smoothest. He's basically a god among liberals, leading to the odd situation where Hillary gets lambasted for wanting to continue his policies, yet nobody will criticize the man himself. I think it's partly that liberals love him for being the first black president just as much as conservatives hate him for it.
    One of Obama's big problems is that he campaigned with a particular rhetoric that he was never, ever going to fulfil. HOPE and CHANGE are great campaign themes, but he's still going to go into work every day dealing with the exact same checks, balances and constraints as every other president. Getting any sort of healthcare deal through was good work, albeit he did so with a Democratic congressional majority and even then it was hacked away at. Still, he pushed it through and fair play. Iran and Cuba will both hopefully be successes, but those are still in the "too early to tell" stage.

    Lack of clarity on Syria, and a failure to deal with Libya post-Gaddafi have been significant failures, in my view.

    I'd agree with Ital that he's done well economically, particularly as I think we're all too prone to assuming politicians can actually improve the economy significantly through unilateral policies. He can't move global markets, much as he might want to. He helped to stabilise matters after the recession and Lehman Brothers, and beyond that there's probably not a huge deal he can do.

    Ultimately he's faced a Congress which thinks he's some sort of devil, and Republicans who seem to have decided to block everything he wants to do out of spite. In that context, he's done as well as he can. He just raised expectations far too high in 2008. And he was following Bush, for fuck sake. Anything looked better at the time.

  26. #1126
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    See, you posted your original thing about a war criminal right after Bernanke's post about Paul Ryan not endorsing Trump. It wasn't very clear.

  27. #1127
    Senior Member Boydy's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GS View Post
    You've cited Obama's economic record as a positive, and questioned why the Conservatives haven't undertaken similar steps to him to achieve the same success. What is your actual view on this, other than suiting the point you want to make on the day?
    Probably that it's positive compared to the Tories but not as positive as it could or should be.

  28. #1128
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    Jeffrey Sachs wrote about this last year, and they're basically the same when you account for us 1) taking a slightly bigger hit in the first place; 2) being more exposed to shitty Europe; and 3) them rolling in cheap gas and oil.

  29. #1129
    Senior Member GS's Avatar
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    Tories are scum, mate. Did you not get the leaflet?

  30. #1130
    Senior Member elth's Avatar
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    The thing with Obama is that I think he more or less did the best possible job that could be done, which unfortunately fell a long way short of what he'd promised, and well short of what were with hindsight pretty unrealistic expectations.

    But if I knew the future in 2008, I still would have said he was easily the best available candidate.

  31. #1131
    Romulus Augustulus ItalAussie's Avatar
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    In the end, the big three are economic policy, social policy, and foreign policy. I think most of us agree that he did a decent job on the first two, and managed to do the best job he could have done given the circumstances. It's less than what he campaigned on, but obstructionist Republicans weren't a part of his campaign platform, either.

    On foreign policy, he'd largely been middling out, with solid arguments for and against. But I'd say that Iran and Cuba knock it into favourable territory, and both of those will be important components of his legacy. It's not a slam dunk like the other two, because there's still questions over how Syria was handled. But to be honest, I don't know that it wouldn't have been a disaster no matter how it was approached.

  32. #1132
    Better Than You Henry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Boydy View Post
    Probably that it's positive compared to the Tories but not as positive as it could or should be.
    Yep, that. Stimulus was the right thing to do, so he deserves kudos for that and for facing down the austerity-hawks within in the US. However what stimulus he did was too small and poorly directed. He also didn't do much to fix the underlying issues that caused the crash - he just basically fixed up the system back to the way it had been.

    By comparison, the Tories descended into flat-earth territory, choosing an austerity program that is (to put it mildly) counter-productive and damaging to the economy. They've done this because of an ideological opposition to the concept of the welfare state itself, all the while posing as moderates.

  33. #1133
    Senior Member Pepe's Avatar
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    He didn't really do much for blacks, did he? He also deported more people than Bush.

  34. #1134
    Senior Member GS's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Henry View Post
    By comparison, the Tories descended into flat-earth territory, choosing an austerity program that is (to put it mildly) counter-productive and damaging to the economy. They've done this because of an ideological opposition to the concept of the welfare state itself, all the while posing as moderates.
    Righto.

  35. #1135
    Custom User Title phonics's Avatar
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    :x

  36. #1136
    Senior Member Bernanke's Avatar
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    What a don.

  37. #1137
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    Quote Originally Posted by John Arne View Post
    I don't think I have ever meet an American under the age of 35 who is a republican. Many of the older people I meet are, but never the young-middle aged ones.

    Maybe it's just that those who travel more, tend to be more liberal.
    Recent survey at Duke showed that only 1/3rd of people involved in Greek life (about 25% of the school) identified as Democrat (and most of those were probably in sororities). You just need to hang out with less poor people.

  38. #1138
    Senior Member GS's Avatar
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    Yes, fuck the poor!!

    Mug.

  39. #1139
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    Quote Originally Posted by Henry View Post
    You haven't said which people. Cite some polls.

    I predict that when he gets his ass handed to him in the general election, you'll be crying about some conspiracy or other designed to keep him out.
    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ..._41_clinton_39

    Trump 41. Clinton 39.

    He hasn't even gotten started.

  40. #1140
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mert View Post
    Recent survey at Duke showed that only 1/3rd of people involved in Greek life (about 25% of the school) identified as Democrat (and most of those were probably in sororities). You just need to hang out with less poor people.
    I'm talking mostly about business owners and who I would deem predominately middle-class folk.

    Also, is this week your "women are inferior" week? I'm losing track of the rota.

  41. #1141
    Better Than You Henry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mert View Post
    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ..._41_clinton_39

    Trump 41. Clinton 39.

    He hasn't even gotten started.
    That poll is way out of line from all of the others.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...nton-5491.html

    Unsurprising since Rasmussen is known for pro-Republican bias.

  42. #1142
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    Quote Originally Posted by Henry View Post
    That poll is way out of line from all of the others.

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...nton-5491.html

    Unsurprising since Rasmussen is known for pro-Republican bias.
    Clinton +6.5 with 6 months to go until Election day and he hasn't even started campaigning for the general election. Only an idiot would claim that Clinton was safe, the sort of idiot who thought Trump wouldn't ever secure the Republican nomination

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    Quote Originally Posted by John Arne View Post
    I'm talking mostly about business owners and who I would deem predominately middle-class folk.

    Also, is this week your "women are inferior" week? I'm losing track of the rota.
    Eh no, just statistics:

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/120839/wo...dless-age.aspx

    I think our entire fraternity had 1 democrat and 1 'moderate' and the rest were Republican/Libertarian.

  44. #1144
    Senior Member Davgooner's Avatar
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    Might be interesting to see how the markets react if he gets near the presidency. His comments on national debt the other day were a bit worrying to say the least.

  45. #1145
    Senior Member GS's Avatar
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    He hasn't a fucking notion. It's different getting a party nomination compared to winning an election across the whole country. Most centrists / swing voters will surely be appalled at the sort of shite he comes out with.

  46. #1146
    Senior Member Spoonsky's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mert View Post
    Eh no, just statistics:

    http://www.gallup.com/poll/120839/wo...dless-age.aspx

    I think our entire fraternity had 1 democrat and 1 'moderate' and the rest were Republican/Libertarian.
    '

    You're talking about a frat at Duke, it's always going to be a pretty conservative place. Not really a representative sample.

  47. #1147
    Romulus Augustulus ItalAussie's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mert View Post
    Clinton +6.5 with 6 months to go until Election day and he hasn't even started campaigning for the general election. Only an idiot would claim that Clinton was safe, the sort of idiot who thought Trump wouldn't ever secure the Republican nomination
    I wouldn't say she's safe with definiteness, but even that would be less silly than pulling out a Rasmussen poll which is wildly out of line with every other poll.

    A lot of things can change in the coming months, but Rasmussen's pointlessness is as dependable as ever.

  48. #1148
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    Didn't 'The Donald' just say he would look at restructuring their debt (albeit in his usual piss-poor way of explaining things)? They could easily get away with that.

  49. #1149
    Romulus Augustulus ItalAussie's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Davgooner View Post
    Might be interesting to see how the markets react if he gets near the presidency. His comments on national debt the other day were a bit worrying to say the least.
    Yeah, I read that. The whole system is predicated on the US being the safest credit risk in the entire world. If he erodes that idea by trying to mess around with repayments, then that will have fascinating and very dangerous knock-on effects. Can't just declare bankruptcy to get out of it, either.

  50. #1150
    Won the Old Board Lewis's Avatar
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    The whole system used to be predicated on them having enough gold to back up their currency until it suddenly wasn't.

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