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Thread: The Betting Thread

  1. #7751

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    Jim Crowley having a stinking couple of weeks.

    Chester Cup a toss up between Aztec Empire and Forza Orta for me. Gone with Aztec Empire (4/1) as Oisin Murphy is going well today. I was looking at Zealandia for a place but Jim Crowley.

  2. #7752
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    Rodrygo to be carded 7/1

    He’s got a message on his undershirt so surely if he scores, his shirts getting whipped off
    tonight's bet is rodrygo goal + card potentially has message under shirt for brazilian floods
    I'm a twit

  3. #7753
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Hard to look past the top two in the market at Valhalla so I've opted for value.

    Alex Noren 100/1
    Keith Mitchell 100/1

    10 places e/w for the pair.

    Ryan Fox FRL 125/1

  4. #7754
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Horses. Fahey’s 2 year olds coming up trumps so far so had a 11/1 win only bet on Loom (16:45 York).

    Also been told Andesite in the same race, but I’m sticking with Loom.
    I'm a twit

  5. #7755
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    As ever there's no value at the PGA (other than Mito Pereira in 2022, RIP both him and me).

    Maybe McIlroy is value, historically plays well during marital breakups.

  6. #7756
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    27/1 EW double:
    Maw Lam (Thirsk 14:00)
    Blessed Honour (Newmarket 15:50)
    I'm a twit

  7. #7757
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Decent shout, cheers.

  8. #7758
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Second one came very close. Annoying.
    I'm a twit

  9. #7759
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Let's get some subscription service running @Baz & @Waffdon.

  10. #7760

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    We don’t need subscriptions. We’re all friends here.

  11. #7761
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    I meant for the outsiders

    Shane Lowry winning this before Rory would be brilliant.

  12. #7762
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    £5 Norris/Verstappen//Piastri tricast at 33

  13. #7763
    Senior Member SincereTheRebel's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waffdon View Post
    £5 Norris/Verstappen//Piastri tricast at 33
    Which bookie?

  14. #7764
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Lando winner @ 4.33
    Lando winner W/O Max @ 3.25
    Piastri podium finish @ 2.25

    Edit: That winner without Max is outright over the season whoops. I wondered why it was so high.
    Last edited by Sir Andy Mahowry; 19-05-2024 at 01:01 PM.

  15. #7765
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by SincereTheRebel View Post
    Which bookie?
    Bet365

  16. #7766
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Brendon Todd 100/1 - Charles Schwab

  17. #7767
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    14:15 Redcar
    Coppull Hall Lane
    I'm a twit

  18. #7768

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    Into 6/1 from 14/1 this morning.

  19. #7769
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    I'm a twit

  20. #7770
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Anyone got any Euros bets yet?

    Mbappe OR Kane top scorer 3/1

    A 9-fold favourites accumulator for a load of early games 22/1

    KDB AND Bruno Fernandes 3+ assists each 7/1

    60/1 accumulator on the following group stage finishes:
    Spain 1st, Albania last
    England 1st, Slovenia last
    Belgium 1st, Slovakia last
    Portugal 1st, Georgia last

    Plus following three singles at bizarre (small) odds cos I used Kwiff:
    Portugal to win group F
    Belgium to win group E
    England to win group C

    Will probably have some card bets on the England games if I watch them in the pub.
    I'm a twit

  21. #7771
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    17:25 Kempton
    Miss El Fundi
    I'm a twit

  22. #7772
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    BetVictor let you double the player of the tournament and young player of the tournament.

    Do I play it safe with like wirtz and Mbappe for 35/1 or doku and muani for 866/1
    I'm a twit

  23. #7773
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Musiala/Griezmann

  24. #7774
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waffdon View Post
    Musiala/Griezmann
    188/1
    I'm a twit

  25. #7775
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Memorial - 10 places EW

    Lucas Glover 70/1
    Chris Kirk 100/1

  26. #7776
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    On Bruno Fernandes to score 1, 2 and 3 goals. Returns £36, £85 and £1005 respectively. Let’s hope for a few pens.
    I'm a twit

  27. #7777
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    Win double 28/1

    7.20 Hamilton
    Angel of England 5/2

    9.00 Hamilton
    Vitrina 7/1


    Edit: the first was one of the worst I’ve ever backed.
    Last edited by Baz; 12-06-2024 at 06:59 PM.
    I'm a twit

  28. #7778
    Senior Member Jimmy Floyd's Avatar
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    US Open

    Fleetwood 35/1
    Fitzpatrick 40/1

  29. #7779
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Apparently any players approaching the referee at the euros who is not the captain will be booked.

    Bookings galore one would hope

  30. #7780
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    I am hoping the Kai Havertz booked and scored 10/1 train rolls on this summer.

  31. #7781
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    Euro 2024 Winner - Ukraine 100/1
    Golden Boot - Sabitzer 250/1

    Millions made if Ukraine reach the final and/or Sabitzer ties 5th or greater in the scoring charts.

  32. #7782
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    14.40 Sandown Windlord 11/1
    I'm a twit

  33. #7783

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    Still working away on my predictor as I'm enjoying messing with Python a lot recently.

    I've given up on flats at the moment because even though it's incredibly accurate at nailing each horse's run time, the margins are so fine that it doesn't necessarily translate well to finishing order.

    Having more success on chase (not really attacked hurdles yet) because the spread is a lot wider. Unfortunately the accuracy goes down as the class of the race gets worse (due to lack of established trends in all runners, plus the inherent unpredictability of the horses at that level). So for now I'm sticking to Class 1 and 2 and unless I have a breakthrough I think that'll be that. A back test on Cheltenham 2024 was very good.

  34. #7784
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    When the horses are declared for next Saturday at Royal Ascot, please may I have your predicted winner in each race? Just for the Saturday.

    I’ve a shortlist of horses who may or may not be running that I fancy, but you seem to be having some success and I’m giving someone betting slips in a card on Friday.
    I'm a twit

  35. #7785

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    Will do.

    Flats aren't that much better than just studying yourself, although I did have a few winners at Epsom.

  36. #7786
    Senior Member Manc's Avatar
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    US Open

    Bhatia 40/1
    Bezuidenhout 175/1

  37. #7787
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Germany to win Euro 2024
    Fulkrug Golden Boot
    Wirtz Young Player of the Tournament

    I'll also be getting on card accas for the tournament.

  38. #7788
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    Fullkrug won’t even start will he?

  39. #7789
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    ffs

    11 goals in 16 games for Germany and Kai Havertz is keeping him out.

  40. #7790
    Senior Member Waffdon's Avatar
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    As a polish man, why do you love Germany so much

  41. #7791
    Senior Member Lofty's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sir Andy Mahowry View Post
    ffs

    11 goals in 16 games for Germany and Kai Havertz is keeping him out.
    Super Kai Havertz.

    Booked and score anytime, 12/1.

  42. #7792
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waffdon View Post
    As a polish man, why do you love Germany so much
    Am I really a Polish man?

    Always liked the teams they put out back in the 90s and 00s tbh.

    I've requested the Fullkrug bet to be voided. Only £2 anyway.

    Edit: Can't be voided or cashed out as the market has "been settled" according to the Betfair bot...
    Last edited by Sir Andy Mahowry; 14-06-2024 at 06:12 PM.

  43. #7793
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    McTominay 1 or more Shots on target, commit 2 or more fouls, fouled 2 or more times and to score or get an assist.

    McSauce heroics please.

  44. #7794
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Card accas:

    Porteous/Mittelstadt/Musiala
    Robertson/Kroos/Havertz
    Porteous/Hendry
    McGinn/McTominay/Andrich.

    Also Ruidger and McGinn to commit 2 or more fouls each.

  45. #7795
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    More German goals please.

    Free £1 bet every goal they score in the groups.

    Fist the Scottish.

  46. #7796
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sir Andy Mahowry View Post
    More German goals please.

    Free £1 bet every goal they score in the groups.

    Fist the Scottish.
    which bookies that with?
    I'm a twit

  47. #7797
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Baz View Post
    which bookies that with?
    Betfair.

    £10 min on the tournament winner.

    Also, Fullkrug maybe not such a bad bet...

  48. #7798
    Senior Member niko_cee's Avatar
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    They'll void it for you if he gets another tonight.

  49. #7799
    Bookie Sir Andy Mahowry's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by niko_cee View Post
    They'll void it for you if he gets another tonight.
    So close.

  50. #7800
    Isn't he banned? Baz's Avatar
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    Boo. I don’t get offers with Betfair or paddy power and they seem to have the best of that kind of promotion.

    And yeah, looks a good bet. I’m hoping Gonçalo Ramos has a similar impact off the bench for Portugal.
    I'm a twit

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