I wouldn't take my word for it, @Luke Emia is the man you want to hear from.

But it seems likely there'll be at least one rate cut between now and September which should hopefully mean 5 year fixes would drop a bit with the signal that cuts are starting to happen. I think they had been expected for a while by the markets to start this month but then a bunch of banks were raising their mortgage rates again in the past few weeks as it became less and less likely.

I still don't know I managed to luck out with renewing mine last year around March time. I seemed to catch the post-Truss dip before they went back up again. Mine only went up about £80 a month or so.