Always been a big fan of Tony Finau.
Always been a big fan of Tony Finau.
Really fucked up the staking on this bet so actually, come on Justin.
I had 1pt on each and 2 on Bryson (I don't post the staking plan because it's people's decision what they do, probably different if you're putting 50p on or a fiver or £100). If they both place (which they now should/will) then it'll be a profit on the tournament but probably not on the week unless Rahmbo pulls something out.
I managed to put less on finau than rose (really irrelevant now) and made Tony the same as your outside shots. Oh well. Good tips anyway.
Never change, Tony. Sniffs the lead and his arse completely goes on 16 and 17.
Decent shouts yet again. Cheers Jim.
My Bet 365 balance is looking pretty mega lately. £508.88 at the moment, with a couple of horses running later.
Uisce Beatha 16:10
Grand Morning 15:55
Both EW
I'm a twit
Andy Dufrense to win without favourite
3rd. Shite
Last edited by Waffdon; 07-02-2021 at 03:18 PM.
Not quite as good as Honeysuckle
Will be interesting to see this Bezos horse run tonight (21:03 Santa Anita) cos I’ve fallen victim to the hype and backed him 5pts EW for the Kentucky Derby.
I'm a twit
Pebble Beach
No European tournament for a few weeks now so just the US event per week in February. This run begins with a bit of a silly tournament and not the best use of one of golf's greatest venues, but this year it should be better as the Ams are not there and so you don't have the six hour rounds or having to endure Bill Murray doing the same unfunny shtick he does in all of these things. On to the actual tournament and the field is surprisingly weak this time around as many of the top boys take a breather before the run of quality tournaments coming up. Not so for Dustin Johnson who travels over 13,000 miles from his blood-soaked win in Saudi to play here. We are on him this week even at the skinny odds offered - as with Casey the other week, I'm taking the 'Air Miles Margin'. Cam Tringale and Wyndham Clark have been backed in recent weeks with no joy but come up again here and I'm willing to run the gauntlet with them once more.
D.Johnson 7/2
Day 25/1
Tringale 50/1
W.Clark 66/1
Rodgers 150/1
All e/w.
Scratch above, there has been a whole tranche of withdrawals including DJ and Clark. I'll go again later when the new field is confirmed.
Word seems to be it's because it's forecast to be a bit cold, which just about sums up American golfers.
Last edited by Jimmy Floyd; 09-02-2021 at 04:06 AM.
Pebble Beach Take 2
Cantlay 7/1
Day 18/1
Tringale 33/1
Rodgers 125/1
Schenk 150/1
McCarthy 150/1
Ventura 175/1
Haven't put 7 up in a long time, it's what happens in a star-free market. Spread those stakes. Cantlay is a bit of a cowardly pick but the computer likes him sans DJ, so there we are.
Kevin Na 175/1 for the Masters?
I'm a twit
Would think that is about right. He isn't a great fit for Augusta. Does his work on the accuracy courses.
Cheers for the previous picks Jim, and this week's.
Thoughts on SiWoo Kim? @Jimmy Floyd
For what, the AT&T?
Has a reasonable shot vs this field, I would want about 35-40 to back him, think he was less than that when I ran my numbers.
Nice start for Cantlay and Tringale.
Had a few sneaky sidebets outwith the computer on Donald and KJ Choi as they were both 500/1 and I was feeling sporty.
lol
Neither round was particularly disastrous.
I see Dufner's going well (well, well for 500/1) - he was on my long shot hit list of people I had heard of as well. Didn't go with him though, so apologies when he wins.
The computer kept giving me Dufner for a spell in the summer/autumn, though it's gone off him of late. He is in a group of players I do keep an eye on because they need results to keep their card, which he hasn't been getting so far. The likes of Donald and Choi are just blown up vets really who can get starts forever in the silly exemption categories because they were once good.
When did the Lincoln game get changed to tomorrow at 6pm? Swear it was 3pm. Only waiting on Hull to win with Dundee United/Norwich/Burnley/Watford paid out and then realised the Lincoln game wasn’t postponed and just a different time
It was postponed to then, because of weather (I saw something about it on twitter).
Got a few runners here but fear it might be a loss to Daniel Berger (straight vibin) and his slightly pornographic trousers.
Lashley with a massive choke there.
His chimpout after
I could do with another four putts from him on the next tbh. Day and Boutros right on the cusp of place, part place or no place.
I need Tom Hoge to not birdie the last part 5 to get a sliver of a place for my other boys, and we return from commercials to see his caddie climbing up a tree before they are both escorted back to the tee box on a cart. Love golf.
EDIT: I made 8.84 back off the 10pts, so a fairly OK week depending on your staking, but a bit annoying only to get that given I had three scoring players.
Last edited by Jimmy Floyd; 14-02-2021 at 11:22 PM.
My stakes were basically covered so it was a free hit for me, cheers.
Genesis Invitational
We're now at the start of a long run of superb tournaments and I think that of all the non-majors, this one is possibly my favourite American event. Historically this was just the 'Los Angeles Open' and as always it's held at the brilliantly evocative Riviera Country Club in Santa Monica. With the old-timey clubhouse, the vegetated hillsides and an authentic Hollywood feel, this is a lovely, compact but challenging venue with some great holes. The field this week is also exceptionally strong, and after missing Pebble last week, most of the world's top ten are back for this.
The market is pretty tight this week, unlike last week when I felt it was a fraction sloppy. Our chosen top boy is Big Jon Rahm, who the computer absolutely loves but who hasn't really delivered when I've backed him in recent times. Let's hope that changes at this slightly heftier double-figure tariff. I'm also on 'young' Scottie Scheffler (who looks about 44), and some Aussie and Saffer longer shots. (late decision) we'll also stick with last week's placeman Cam 'Isosceles' Tringale for what seems like the 48th week in a row but whose solid golf is not being recognised by the oddsmakers just yet.
Rahm 11/1
Scheffler 40/1
Tringale 70/1
Smith 90/1
Frittelli 150/1
Schwartzel 225/1
All e/w.
I'm a twit
9 lengths off the winner.
I put my £5 free bet on West Ham -2 and won £50. Smugly overconfident, I decided to put it all on Bayern and Chelsea when Bayern were 2-0 down at half time
Checked out all my antepost bets so far, after @Waffdon mentioned bankers elsewhere.
Fantasio D’alene £5 EW @ 33/1 – Martin Pipe Hurdle
Lieutenant Rocco £5 EW @ 33/1 – Ultima Chase
Great White Shark £5 EW @ 16/1 – Coral Cup
Coo Star Sivola £7.50 EW @ 50/1 – Ultima Chase
The Storyteller £5.00 EW @ 22/1 – Stayers Hurdle
Hook Up £5 EW @ 20/1 - Mares Novice Hurdle
Paul’s Saga £10 win @ 16/1 – Stayers
Barbados Buck £5 EW @ 14/1 – Albert Bartlett
Houx Gris £5 EW @ 18/1 – Boodles Juvenile
Barbaos Buck & Houx Gris double £2.50 EW
Southfield Harvest £7.50 EW @ 20/1 – Pertemps
Appreciate It (Supreme) & Chacun Pour Soi (Champion Chase) both to win £5 @ 6/1
Shishkin (Arkle) & Envoi Allen (Marsh) both to win £20 @ 7/2
Galvin £3.60 @ 4/1 – Win Any Race
Eskylane £3.60 @ 16/1 – Win Any Race
Holymacapony £3.60 @ 16/1 – Win Any Race
Monkfish £3.60 @ 13/8 – Win Any Race
Hook Up £3.60 @ 14/1 – Win Any Race
Locks Corner £40 EW @ 50/1 – Pertemps
Paisley Park £3.60 @ 5/2 – Stayers
Youmdor £3.60 @ 18/1 – Triumph Hurdle
Also
Bezos £50 EW @ 25/1 – Kentuck Derby now available at 40/1
Cloth Cap £12.50 EW @ 20/1 – Grand National
Kimberlite Candy £50 EW @ 25/1 – Grand National
I'm a twit
I see the GN weights are announced today. Hoping the handicapper doesn't anilihate Cloth Cap.
Champion Hurdle - Honeysuckle @ 3.50
NH Chase - Coko Beach @ 15 ew
Cross Country Chase - Defi Des Carres @ 50 ew
Kim Muir - School Boy Hours @ 25 ew
Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle - Hook Up @ 10
Pertemps - Come on Teddy @ 25 ew
Mares’ Chase - Elimay @ 3.75
Ballymore Novice Hurdles - Bravemansgames @ 5.5 NAP
Hunters Chase - Highway Jewel ew @ 16
County Hurdle - Eclair De Beaufeu @ 33
Ryan Air - Min @ 7
Supreme Novice Hurdle - Appreciate It @ 2.75 NB
Stayers Hurdle - Thyme Hill @ 5
Triumph Hurdle - Zanahiyr @ 3.75
Do have £15 Appreciate It, Shishkin, Honeysuckle, Envoi Allen and Al Boum Photo to win @ 154
Last edited by Waffdon; 16-02-2021 at 11:05 AM.
If anyone has £5 or less in their paddy power, might as well put a bet builder on for Liverpool cos it’s risk free: https://promos.paddypower.com/promot...CRMLEPLIV1602P
Angelino 2 shots was 10/1 when I did mine. 🤨
I'm a twit
Managed to get 5 of my 6 through the cut in LA but most of them a way back and there's the odd complicating factor of several big dogs having missed the cut and Sam Burns having a five shot lead. He showed definite arse-twitching tendencies when I was on him at Houston and he led at 36 and 54 (I think), hoping he hasn't learned anything and they continue.
I haven't been watching but Burns with a lovely choke-job in round 3 so far.
Today should be a great watch, conditions are absolute carnage and everyone's going backwards. Obviously DJ the man to beat but I wasn't expecting to have Cam Smith just 4 back from the lead here.
Rahmbo clawing his way up the leaderboard.
Doesn't look like Burns will choke today.
He's trying to fuck it up.
Bloody Rahm always does this. Moops around for three days and pisses it on Sunday to finish 6th.
Just need Cam not to blow up.
Cam would do a lot better if he just shaved that thing he calls a moustache on his top lip.
Oh God, Finau is going to take this isn't he?
I'm rooting for Max, lovely guy. Finau sniffing the lead normally ends one way.
Finau's arsehole twitching on the 18th.
Looks like 18.45 returned from 10pts this week on my stakes, so a good week. Next week is an absolute sweepstakes.
+122.19% ROI in 2021 thus far. 3-10 from 53 each way selections.