I saw in the Liverpool -Brighton game our expected goals was only 1.92 as well and Brightons was 1.7 or something. Seriously who comes up with this shit?
I saw in the Liverpool -Brighton game our expected goals was only 1.92 as well and Brightons was 1.7 or something. Seriously who comes up with this shit?
Wallopers whose wage depends on complicating a very simple game.
Arsenal 4.6 – Manchester United 1.9 was the xG.
lol.
It basically measures how well you're finishing over a period of time. Not without its interest/uses, but xG advocates seem to think it's the holy grail.
Fullmatchesandshows
How is this xG shit worked out?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/40699431
It's better than shots and shots on target. Worth a glance. It's not perfect, but then I'm not sure why anyone would expect it to be.
I think Dave Gayer is too good to get excited about now. The double save was brilliant (even if the follow-up owed a debt to wank finishing), but the best 'keeper in the world - which he is by a huge distance - should easily be keeping that Lukaku slice out, so you're just like yeah alright mate why not start taking free-kicks?
What's lol about that? It describes what happened far better than the actual scoreline.Originally Posted by Sir Andy Mahowry
I think the name "expected goals" is a bit shit and doesn't do it any favours. It's predictive over long term and a better metric than plain shots, but plastering xG numbers on the screen at the end of each game and not commenting on them is exactly not the way to do it.
Decent read: https://2plus2equals11.com/2015/12/1...d-goal-totals/
The fact that I use it on a daily basis for betting purposes is why I like it though, I can see why everyone else might think it was a load of wank. The more people that think it's a load of wank, the better.
Nice to know you bet like a hipster as well.
It would have been hipster (and very clever) to bet like this if it were 2009.
Surely the market worked in xG ages ago and now the hidden value is in underestimating people with ponytails and two inch knobs.
To an extent, yes, though I think everyone's model differs a bit depending on what they think is predictive.
It all comes down to interpretation really. It's always going to be useful data, but it always need a "narrative".
Another option
https://www.reddit.com/r/footballhighlights/
Felt a bit for Hugton/Brighton yesterday. They'd obviously seen something they thought they could exploit in the way Liverpool (normally) play, changed their formation, and then Liverpool turned up with some batshit set-up with 9 midfielders.
Still not quite sure what that penalty was for.
Bob F repaying the faith, did you stick with him Jimmy?
The big boys yes, but there's plenty of time to use an accurate xg model to make money before they place their bets and correct the market.
@niko_cee I couldn't tell what it was for live and now having seen it on MOTD it's maybe the softest "push" I've ever seen given. I do find it funny though that Klopp complains about a decision even when his team's won 5-1.
Yeah, best time for a bad one to go against you and the sort of 'it all evens itself out' mantra that it never really does (the price for that one being presumably not having Ming sent off the other night) . Although, in the context of the match, and Liverpool's record when 3 ahead, perhaps it wasn't totally irrelevant.
Liverpool’s starting eleven yesterday was amazing.
I'm a twit
Decent result against in form Villa. Would have taken a point before the game but we were so good in the 1st it ended up being disappointing.
Are Sky really suggesting Redmond is dropped today because 'Pep' shouted at him?
Benevento, lost their first 10 games of the season, GD -28. Just equalised in the 95th minute against AC Milan with a lovely diving header from the keeper. Amazing scenes.
That was amazing.
https://streamable.com/c37d1
Scenes.
Love that.
Willie Collum has just screamed 'I am the referee' in Josh Windass' face.
Classy stuff from the Aberdeen fans, offering up a rendition of their favourite little ditty about the Ibrox Disaster. Imagine the outcry if a fanbase was in the habit of singing a song about Hillsbrough any time they played Liverpool. It's laughable that they never get even the tiniest bit of opprobrium for that song.
Especially when it's the rangers, who's fans would never sing anything like that. Saints one and all.
Jon Moss is absolutely dreadful.
We've had some questionable songs in the past and we've been hammered for them every time. My point is that while every other club gets hell any time they sing an even vaguely filthy song Aberdeen fans mock the deaths of sixty six fans on a regular basis and it's brushed off as banter.
Maybe people just don't notice because they sing it to the same tune as their number about Ian Durrant getting his knee kicked off.
Stop greetin’.
That nobody cares is probably more a reflection on Liverpool than everybody else. If Rangers want the same standards, then they should milk the disaster[s] to a much greater extent than they currently do.
Is there a newspaper they could ban?
I’ve never even heard of the Ibrox Disaster.
I'm a twit
That's brilliant.
They banned the BBC. No idea if stilk the case.
A complete lie. We banned one reporter because he was consistently talking utter bullshit about us and the BBC boycotted us in response.
I think Moyes will have the tactical edge today over city. Away win.
Do Rangers and Celtic fans both have a persecution complex then? My mate in work who's a Celtic fan was going to some show a while back that was called 'Anyone but Celtic'.
That West Ham line up looks disgusting. 8-0 City.
Take your sectarian divide and add native Scottish bitterness. They should both be on the list of banned organisations along with Al-Muhajiroon.
This isn't a persecution complex. It's a situation specific to that song. Celtic get grief for their IRA shit, and a few years ago some of their fans got a shoeing for having a pop at the Ibrox Disaster, we get grief for our sectarian stuff, and people have been fucking jailed for singing the Famine Song. The press generally can't wait to report on a fruity song being sung in the stands of just about any club, but somehow Aberdeen bring out that one every time we play them and it's never even mentioned.
How is BBN Blackburn Rovers when CRE is Crewe Alexandra?
Going back to Liverpool, it's nice that they respect those publicly owned media outlets which are not on the banned list.
https://www.theguardian.com/football...droidApp_Tweet
Oh wait. An immensely sinister football club.
To distiniguish them from Blackpool, probably.
CRE isn't ambiguous, BLA is.
Blackpool aren't playing Crewe though. Every other one of these 3 letter things on BBC that I've seen is the first 3 letters of the team name.
What will the teams in the Manchester derby be abbreviated to next weekend?
Same reason the Schumacher lads were MSC and RSC, even after Ralf was gone, it's less ambiguous.
MOU and PEP.
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